harmon to moen to rogers to the trombone player in the · harmon to moen to rogers to garner to...
TRANSCRIPT
Harmon to Moen to Rogers to Garner to Rogers to Ford to Moen who runs over Tyrrell the trombone player in the
Stanford end zone
Boise River nr Twin Springs - 13185000
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
1911
1914
1917
1920
1923
1926
1929
1932
1935
1938
1941
1944
1947
1950
1953
1956
1959
1962
1965
1968
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004A
pril-
July
Run
off (
kaf)
Boise River nr Twin Springs - 13185000
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1911
1914
1917
1920
1923
1926
1929
1932
1935
1938
1941
1944
1947
1950
1953
1956
1959
1962
1965
1968
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004Ju
lian
Dat
e of
Pea
k Fl
ow
Boise River nr Twin Springs - 13185000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
Mon
thly
Con
tribu
tion
to R
unof
f vs
Ann
ual F
low
March % April % May % June % July %
Boise River nr Twin Springs - 13185000
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
1400.00
1912
1915
1918
1921
1924
1927
1930
1933
1936
1939
1942
1945
1948
1951
1954
1957
1960
1963
1966
1969
1972
1975
1978
1981
1984
1987
1990
1993
1996
1999
2002
2005M
arch
-Jul
y R
unof
f (ka
f)
Mores Creek Summit Snow Course - 6100'
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
1933
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005A
pril
1 SW
E (in
ches
)
Atlanta Summit Snotel - 7580'
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005A
pril
1 sw
e (in
ches
)
Idaho City, Idaho - 4442 - 3965'
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005Se
ason
al P
reci
pita
tion
(inch
es)
November-March prcp
April-June prcp
Idaho City, Idaho - 4442 - 3965'
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005Se
ason
al A
vera
ge te
mpe
ratu
re (d
egre
es F
)
November-March AvgFApril-June AvgFMarch AvgF
Cl Cl I()
Cl N
"'"' M
"'"' .c <.> C ns
0::: -'ii 3: 0
:::c @) ... GI
.:::: 0::: vi 0
..J Cl
i:ii
0 0 0 0 Li) <0
0 0 0 0 0 <0
0 0 0 0 Li) N
2005
2002
1999
1996
1993
1990
1987
1984
1981
1978
1975
1972
1969
1966
1963
1960
1957
1954
1951
1948
1945
1942
1939
1936
1933
1930
1927
1924
1921
1913
1910
1907
1904
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Li) 0 Li) N ~ ~
~aaJ-,u:>e) uoun~ A1nr-1!Jd'lf
1000
T,m et Start End
~ i.:..::~ :.:..:...:= -' 13185000, ID, Boise River Near Twin Springs, I .. I Apr [ .. J Jul H Predictors Start End
1200. ---ob,~rv•d--~--~--~--~---..----~--~--~---..-Predicted -e-Historical
830, ID, Trinity Mtn. .. Apr F .. Apr F .. 800 ~----1-----I-----I------I------I--I SnotelSwe .. 306, ID, Atlanta Summit .. Apr F .. Apr F .. >
rt-C.--'-'-'~'"F~ :..::.c..:::.L:.=:.:..:.=::_-----'.-.'il,;..,::-'--W l=:...:.... ...... !.'DC! ~ 600 .,_sn_o_te~ISw_e-l-.. il-"49~6,~l~D,~G~ra~ha~m~G=ua~rd~S=ta~.----4= .. ,a.:.:A~pr~F---l-.. =lil-'A~pr~F--4• .. MI ~
SnotelSwe .. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit .. Apr F .. Apr F .. ' SnotelSwe .. 550, ID, Jackson Peak .. Apr F .. Apr F ..
SnotelSwe .. 845, ID, Vienna Mine .. Apr F .. Apr F SnotelPrcp .. 830, ID, Trinity Mtn. .. Oct-IF .. SnotelPrcp .. 306, ID, Atlanta Summit .. Oct-I F .. Mar L SnotelPrcp .. 496, ID, Graham Guard Sta. .. Oct-IF .. Mar L .. SnotelPrcp .. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit .. Oct-I F .. Mar L SnotelPrcp .. 550 ID Jackson Peak .. Oct· I F .. Mar L .. SnotelPrcp .. 845, ID, Vienna Mine .. Oct-I F .. Mar L ..
± ± ±
6 0.953 45/46
12 0.931 24125
18
All 0.951
45
Rese1voir RotRed BEARStn"'n-1-----1--
400
200 ~----1-----l-----1------1------1-----1--i-1----+----1--~
0+----1-----l-----1------1------1-----1---l----,I-----I--~
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
100% ~1 1-,---.----~---.----,-~ 2
90% 1 3 80% =~ l-<---1-----1-----1-----+-70% 1 6 l--l---1-----1-----1-----l-60% 1 7 1-1---1-----1-----1----l-
1 8 50% 1 9 l-<---1-----1-----1-----+-40% 1 101--l---l-----l-----l----l-
• 11 30% 1 121-'---1-----1-----1----1-,
-20% ~13r-<---t-----L----'----'-' ~14 10% 1 15 0% ~16t--+----+----+----+----l-'------,,----,----~---.---...i..-lJ ~17
1910 1 18 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
1400 _ _______ fo'--re~c.c.:ast,;__ ____ _
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
O+---i----1-----1----l--'-T~o~l~eG~r~a""lh
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
--+-A--'na,;,_l,ysis Type z-score ... Transformalion Sqrt More Predictors ... (none active) 1---1------11-----1_.:..:fi'--'rst Year Used 1961 Advanced Settings ... (none active) I
----1------1------1-- Clear Last Year Used 9999 . . . Target Data Src USGS .. I Helper Predictand ... (not active) I Publication Date 2/1 /07 Start Inst Start Ace End Ace
- ~--1----1-----1----1-----1-----1-----1-~- - ---1-----1-----1-----1-----1--'Published? _IE__ Apr F ... Oct·! F ... Mar L ...
Tar et
> SnotelSwe " 306, ID, Atlanta Summit 2. SnotelSwe • 496, ID, Graham Guard Sta. 2. SnotelSwe " 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit 2. SnotelSwe " 550 ID Jackson Peak > SnotelSwe • 845, ID, Vienna Mine ;, 830, ID, Trinity Mtn.
306, ID, Atlanta Summit 496, ID, Graham Guard Sta. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit
> 550 ID Jackson Peak
> SnotelPrcp • 845 ID Vienna Mine
> l. 2.
.. > > >
Start End !Apr (:] Jul G Start End .. AprF .. AprF ..
.. AprF .. AprF .. .. AprF .. AprF ..
.. Apr F .. Apr F .. .. A r F .. A r F ..
.. AprF .. AprF .. • Oct-IF • Marl • • Oct-IF • Marl
• FebF • Feb F
6 0.941
+----
24/25,__ __
12 0.931 24/25
18 ---
1200 - ---obs••••d---------------------------~ _,._ Predicted
1000
800
! 600 IL
400
200
--+- Historical
0 +----+----+-----+-----+-----+------i---1----+----+---~
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 ·~ !I,_________...__~~-· 60% • 7 ~ ------ii----+---+----+----+-----+-<
• 8 50% • 9 l-t------il----t---+----t----t----t--40% • 10~ ----1----t---+----t----t----+-
• 11 30% • 121--1----ll----,!----l-----+----+----+-20% ~13~ ------il----+---+----+----+----+-
~14 10% • 15
0% R16'----!----11----,1----1-----+----+----+-'---~------'---+' ~17~ 1910 • 18 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
1400 ~ -----fo,_rec,.c_ast-'----~-~
I I I I I 1200
1000 IIIII 800
600
SnotelPrcp CoopPrcp USGSStr~ All 400 IIIII
P• d O 9~1 T O ~:I ~ __ 20
: +------l- --+- -+-- -+--To.....,_le_Gr_._a -'lh
Grou NRCSStrm SOI Reserwir Rotded BEARStrm o 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Correl l_-r~--~---,--,_-1-~ l Years Analysis Type z-score "' Transformation CurrZ First Year Used Pred Clear Last Year Used
Tar et Data Src
----1-----1----1-----1-------f----1-----1-~--
Publication Date ---1----1----1----1----1-~Pu-blished?
I I I I I Sqrt
1982 9999
More Predictors ... (none active) I Advanced Settings ... (none active) I
USGS .. - Helper Predictand ... (not active)
1 /0/00 Start Inst Start Ace End Ace
Apr F "' Oct·lF "' Marl "'
Tau et Stai1 End 2l 13185000, ID, Boise River Near Twin Springs, I .. I Mar G Jul B
Pl'edictol's Stan End > SnotelSwe .. 830, ID, Trinity Mtn. .. AprF .. AprF .. > SnotelSwe .. 306, ID, Atlanta Summit .. AprF .. AprF .. > SnotelSwe .. 496, ID, Graham Guard Sta. .. Apr F .. Apr F .. 2. SnotelSwe .. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit .. Apr F .. Apr F .. '
2. SnotelSwe .. 5501 ID, Jackson Peak .. AprF .. AprF .. 2. SnotelSwe .. 845, ID, Vienna Mine .. Apr F .. Apr F
> SnotelPrcp .. 830 ID Trinity Mtn. .. Oct-IF .. Marl .. > SnotelPrcp .. 306 ID Atlanta Summit .. Oct-I F .. Marl .. :
> 496, ID, Graham Guard Sta. .. Oct-IF .. Marl .. 2. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit .. Oct-I F .. Marl .. I
SnotelPrcp .. 550, ID, Jackson Peak .. Oct·! F .. Marl .. SnotelPrcp .. 845, ID, Vienna Mine .. Oct·! F .. Marl .. .. .. AprF .. AprF ..
.. FebF .. FebF ..
.. Feb F .. Feb F ..
.. FebF .. FebF
.. FebF .. FebF ..
.. FebF .. FebF
Stmioil" 6 Correl 0.945 Years 24/25 CurrZ
Station 12 Correl 0.933 Years 24/25 CurrZ
Station 18 Correl Years CurrZ
All 0.952
24
0
1400
1200
1000
-.-Predicted • ~ Historical
~ 800 .Q IL 600
400
200
0 1910
+ I I
1920 1930 1940 1950
1600 ~ -----fo_re_c_ast _____ ~
-- 1400
/ 1200
1000
1960 1970
d .- -
\ _,_ - - -~ J • '--Jh--·~
V ' I ~ -¥ -
1980 1990 2000 2010
800
600
" " >
~ .g ±±±±± 400
200
To le Gra h 0 +-----+-------il--~-..........
0 500 1000 1500
l Analysis Type Z·Score .,..
Clear Targel Dala Src Publicalion Dale _ _,_ __ _,_ __ _,_ __ _,__ __ r-aP~ublished?
I I I I I
Tau et Start End _d 13185000, ID, Boise River Near Twin Springs, I .. I Apr (:] Jul B
Pl'edictol's Stan End > SnotelSwe .. 830, ID, Trinity Mtn. .. Feb F .. Feb F ..
> SnotelSwe .. 306, ID, Atlanta Summit .. Feb F .. Feb F .. > SnotelSwe .. 496, ID, Graham Guard Sta. .. Feb F .. Feb F .. 2. SnotelSwe .. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit .. Feb F .. Feb F .. ' 2. SnotelSwe .. 5501 ID, Jackson Peak .. Feb F
2. SnotelSwe .. 845, ID, Vienna Mine .. Feb F .. Feb F > SnotelPrcp .. 830 ID Trinity Mtn. .. Oct-I F .. Jan L ..
> SnotelPrcp .. 306 ID Atlanta Summit .. Oct-I F .. Jan L
2. 637, ID, Mores Creek Summit SnotelPrcp .. 550, ID, Jackson Peak
SnotelPrcp .. 845, ID, Vienna Mine ..
.. Oct-IF ..
.. Oct-I F .. Janl
.. Oct-IF .. Janl ..
6 0.913
1600 _ ---obs•,v•d--~--~--~--~~--------------__,._ Predicted
1400 · --Historical
1200
1000
! 800 IL
600
400
200
0+---+----+----+---+----4----ii----1----+---+---~
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
1~ !! i-,---------,--~-50% • 9 1-,---1----+----t----+-----t-l~~ 40% • 10
• 11 30% . 121-,---1----+----t----+----+! 20% ~13
~ 14 10% • 15
2010
0% ~161--+----l----+-----4------l---µ....----------....l...-lJ ~ 17
1910 • 18 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Stmioil" Correl Years CurrZ
35/36...._ __ , 1800
Station Correl Years CurrZ
Station Correl Years CurrZ
Correl Years
CurrZ Pred
.0,6321------ -- 1600
12 0.885 24/25 .0.291
18
..__ __ 1400
1200
1000
800
600
" " >
~ ~ ±±±±± All
I I o_.9=1~"---D.470
477.93954 BEARStrm
400
200
o -1-------U-------'-T~o ~l~e~Gr~a;....uh
0 500 1000 1500
1 Analysis Type L:z_:-s:;:.co_:re ___ _J,,,"'--1--1-~
Clear ---L- Targel Dala Src
--1-----1----1----1----,-:.P=ublicalion Dale Published?
I I I I I Sqrt More Predictors ... (none active) I
1971 Advanced Settings ... (none active) I 9999 ·
USGS .. Helper Predictand ... (not active) I 2/1 /07 Start Inst Start Ace End Ace
--+- Guidance X norm -tr- Official x norm Boise R nr Boise: Apr Jul Volume
140
130
120
110
-E 100 .... 0 C:
'rJ?. 90
80
70
Skill (r2) -I I '
~ - ----
~ )
fa ~ I.it. . " , ~ / ,L .. N~
I
~ . "
I~ I _,
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50 ~
0.40
0.30
0.20
60 . " 0:10
50 I I I I I I I I I I I 0.00
1-0ct 1-Nov 1-Dec 1-Jan 1-F eb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep
2006 Boise River near Boise Daily Streamflow Forecasts Using SNOTEL Data ,Q, N RCS Official Forecasts (triangles) and Observed Flow (at end of season) :-.::.::::.~.:!:.·;~~--
110 ~ --~--~--~--~-~~-~~-~--~------ 1.00 ........
160 ~--+--+-~~-+.:--+--±-µ-~ w;.=~:P::===t====J ~ A. _ / , "*\ _._ · 0.90
150 t:-=-===t:===:!====:t==~'~t1 ~~~==tt=~=~-~r~~-~~ 140 f }\ ~~'· Ji.. ....... r , o.80
rd 1::," Apr - J JI Obse ved Fl ,w 130 -- I J ~ lt..._,.,r--1::, ·> 0.70
~ _ 2062K~F e 120 •----+----+---•··-•---1---+---+,t46"/.,ol-Av~n !:I" ., o.60
J 110 --., p.\-j~. / w-V______________ §: 'o \l \. I ~) • , · o.5o = ~ 100 :i2
~ JYJ./ ~ 0.40 v, l 90 ~"r~~~\..~ t+t-~ H\~ ~\~ ~-+-~~+--~-+-~~+-~-+~~-+-~--,f--~I
80 \J I • 70
60 ~-f--l--+---,J-+---+---+-----,i------,i---
50 ~If
--Daily Forecast % 6 Official Forecast %
- %Average - Obse1ved Flow % - Skill (r2)
0.30
·> 0.20
•> 0.10
I I I 40 +---+---+---+---+-----,i------,i------,-----,-----+---'- 0.00 1.oc, 1-Nov 1-Dec 1.Jan 1-Feb 1-Miu 1-A11r 1-May 1.Jun 1.Jul
Idaho SNOTEL Mont h to Date ( MTD) Precipitation
0/o of Norma I
Feb 14, 2007
Current MTO Prec ip . %of Normal
• >200'11
• 150.200Y.
6 125-149'11
6 100.124%
v 75$'11
9 50-74'11
v 2~9%
• 1.241•1.
+ 0'11 ...... v U'tavailab;:e' • Provitionil on, Subjecr ro Revi.sion
USDA 0~ 1co·20==40--61)==,·o- ,o~JIJes
,,..
~ NRCS Prtp>'10Cylnt USONNRCS Na.tlonalV/JIK ¥IO Oln\l!e cerr.er Poc11ar.d,, oregon • o..;a 1.m1•a'.'eb.\? .;;r ::~ « p0$t'i!lg or l':lrp:ll\V,.W.+,M)C.!lm.U~.l..90Y~&f Ull!'/li\lC.'t ~ffffll'!Off'!lal
Feb 14, 2007
Current SWE %of Normal
• > ,eo%
• 140.160'11
6 120-139'11
6 100.IIO'II
v 80.w.4
'i' 60-79%
• 40,'IO'II
• 1·39"/,
+ O'/ •
lhlvlila~·
Provisionil Di:a Subjecr ro Revi.sion
USDA -~ NRCS
Idaho SNOTEL Snow Water Equivalent (SWE)
•to of Normal
~~= ~-~= --1111es 0 1020 40 60 ,o 100
Prtp-cyu,, U$DNNRCS NJOonJI Waltf MO OlfT\1!t CfIT.ff POlillr.Cl. or~ • Oiii t.w>'i','~~ ii t:rr.e «~n·rigor t.~:O\V,.Vl',\'CC.r.fC$.Usda,govfgl61 IJ!la-te.'i;;tJ.'e ,to.'\g'-!ffln oorm;;t
BOISE near Boise (12)
13202000: B OISE near B oise (12)
Group: Snake Basin
State Basin OUtlook Report
For e cast volum e in 1 ooo·s of acre-feet
State: Idaho USGS Data
~~~(Dr~ ie-r~) ----- ----------------------- --- -------- C~h~a-r,c~ e-o~f-e-x-cee~ d~in-g- ---------------- ------------------- -- 7(\l\letl~~er~)~~
Target (71-00 norm) 19 in 20 7 in 10 5 in 10 3 in 10 1 in20
APR-JUL (141 0) 723 899 1030 11 70 1391 APR-SEP (1530) 803 991 1130 1278 1512 APR-JUI\I Cl 260) 660 609 9 20 ·1036 1 2 23
FEB.JUL (1700) 871 1082 1240 1408 1674
For e cast as per cent of the 1971-2000 nornlal .-~~(~Dr~i~e~r)~----~ ---------------------~----------~C~h~a~r,c~e~o~f~e~x~c~ee~d~i~n~g----------------- -------------------- -~(\l\letl""'""er,--,)~~
Target APR-JUL APR-SEP APR-JUN FEB.JUL
19 in20 7 in 10 5 in 10 3in 10 1 in20
~ ~ n ~ ~
m ~ n ~ ~
m ~ n ~ ~
51 64 73 83 98
A footnote of '"(2r indicates that the vakJe is natural volume - actual volume may be a ff ected by upstream w ater management . Forecast issue date (yyyymmdd): 20070201 Data file creation date : 20070207 Google Earth kml creation date: 20070207
20-y
r Mea
n A
nnua
l Flo
w (1
06 m
3):£ 0.4 +' C a, ·-0 l; 0.2
0 (..)
C 0.0, ~ ---'~ ~ - ~ 0
i
- High P1ers.istence - Anti-persistence
20-yr M·ean ·Flow
1 g . .40 1 gso 1 gso 1 Q10 1-ggo 11,ggo 2000
End of 20-y·ea.r Movin91 Window
600
500
400
300
200
100
Peak Flow Shift
90 a) Sprague 1981 • 2005
55 b) u. Williams<tl 1981 · 2005
60 - 40 ~ (") I C"l 30 E 25 E CD
CD 1971 - 1995 0 1971 -1995 ~ 90 .... ~55
~
~ 40 ~ 60 0 30 .;::: 25 - E E ~ "' (1J Q) 1961 -1985 i 90
... ci5 55
(/) 60 >-40 ~ 30 £ 25 ..c C - 0 C 0 ~
:::E 90 C 55 C: 60 li'l 40 (1J Q) 30 ~ 25 ~ C C 0 ·.; 1/) 1941 · 1965 (1J 90 E 55 en 60 m = 40 Q)
30 ~ 25 J Ol (1J ... ... Q)
I 1931 · 1955 & 90 2:: 55 60 ::, 40
f! 30 25 w ov~o4~/'c, ':,'l>-:-v. e'O~~" '1?-(;f~'l>-\':,vs:- '>\-v\e~ o<>~o4<::?c, ':,'l>\~~'lf '1?-Q~'l>-\":>v~ ~v\,.v\e~