guiding control: spatial epidemiology of ntds

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Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs Simon Brooker London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Launch of the London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine 30 th January 2013

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Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs. Simon Brooker London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Launch of the London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine 30 th January 2013. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Simon BrookerLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

Launch of the London Centre for Neglected Tropical Disease Research London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

30th January 2013

Page 2: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Global Atlas of Helminth Infections: Ascaris lumbricoides in Latin America & sub-Saharan Africa

Page 3: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Mapping lymphatic filariasis (LF)

Page 4: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Mapping trachoma: prevalence of trachomatous inflammation–follicular, 1985-2012

Page 5: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Defining the transmission limits of STH species: temperature and aridity exclusions

• Areas at stable risk of transmission for at least one STH species (dark green), unstable transmission of at least one species (light green) or at no risk of transmission for any STH species (dark grey)• Pink hatching indicates countries excluded on the basis of socioeconomic status; also shown are irrigated areas (blue), urban extents (dark pink) and surrounding peri-urban extents (light pink).

Page 6: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Estimating the global burden of STH in 2010

3.99 billion people are at risk of any level of hookworm transmission, whilst 4.00 billion are at risk of any level of A. lumbricoides and T. trichiura transmission

1.71 billion people (95% BCI: 1.36 – 2.11 billion) infected with at least one species of STH

DALYs:Ascariasis 1.3 million DALYs (95% CIs: 0.7-2.3)Trichuriasis 0.9 million DALYs (95% CIs: 0.3-1.1)Hookworm 3.2 million DALYs (95% CIs: 1.7-5.7)

Page 7: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Country estimates: Ascaris lumbricoides

Page 8: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Spatial modelling of the prevalence of STH infection, 2010Bayesian geostatistical modelling

A. lumbricoides T. trichiura

Page 9: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Spatial modelling of STH in Kenya: a control planning tool

Page 10: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Understanding the context: LF treatment coverage

Page 11: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Understanding the context: mapping water and sanitation

Page 12: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Spatial modelling of water & sanitation statusUse of geostatistical small-area estimation

Page 13: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Evaluating mapping approaches for trachoma: Comparison of integrated threshold mapping and cluster random sampling

Page 14: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

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Developing a NTD mapping tool: End user survey of functions and applications

Survey of control programme managers and NTD staff

Page 15: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs
Page 16: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs
Page 17: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Reports

Page 18: Guiding Control: Spatial Epidemiology of NTDs

Training materials