guest worker programs and circular migration: what works?

Upload: german-marshall-fund-of-the-united-states

Post on 10-Apr-2018

216 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    1/17

    ImmIgratIon PaPer SerIeS 09

    GUEST WORKER PROGRAMS

    AND CIRCULAR MIGRATION: WHAT WORKS?

    FRIEDRICH HECKMANN

    European Forum for Migration Studies

    ELMAR HNEKOPP

    Institut fr Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung

    EDDA CURRLE

    European Forum for Migration Studies

    http://gmfus.org/
  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    2/17

    2009 Te German Marshall Fund o the United States. All rights reserved.

    No part o this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any orm or by any means without permission

    in writing rom the German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF). Please direct inquiries to:

    Te German Marshall Fund o the United States

    1744 R Street, NW

    Washington, DC 20009

    1 202 683 2650

    F 1 202 265 1662

    E [email protected]

    Tis publication can be downloaded or ree at http://www.gmus.org/publications/index.cm. Limited print

    copies are also available. o request a copy, send an e-mail to [email protected].

    GMF Paper Series

    Te GMF Paper Series presents research on a variety o transatlantic topics by sta, ellows, and partners o theGerman Marshall Fund o the United States. Te views expressed here are those o the author and do not neces-

    sarily represent the view o GMF. Comments rom readers are welcome; reply to the mailing address above or by

    e-mail to [email protected].

    About GMF

    Te German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF) is a non-partisan American public policy and grant-

    making institution dedicated to promoting greater cooperation and understanding between North America

    and Europe.

    GMF does this by supporting individuals and institutions working on transatlantic issues, by convening leaders

    to discuss the most pressing transatlantic themes, and by examining ways in which transatlantic cooperation can

    address a variety o global policy challenges. In addition, GMF supports a number o initiatives to strengthendemocracies.

    Founded in 1972 through a gi rom Germany as a permanent memorial to Marshall Plan assistance, GMF

    maintains a strong presence on both sides o the Atlantic. In addition to its headquarters in Washington, DC,

    GMF has seven ofces in Europe: Berlin, Bratislava, Paris, Brussels, Belgrade, Ankara, and Bucharest.

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    3/17

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    4/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    3

    Sw , w b

    w

    b E U S. G

    1 j- w. G

    w , , G

    C ( G), B C

    b w

    b w w.

    F x, G

    G C w;

    B-K Cv I R A 7

    w ; EUC

    B C (E C

    7 7).

    T b v

    b . I

    w

    w b

    G w B

    P U S. A

    x b

    EU C, U S w.

    Introduction1

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    5/17

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States4

    The guest worker

    program was

    conceived as a

    strictly temporary

    program in which

    new workers

    would rotate

    between their

    country of origin

    and Germany.

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States4

    T G w w b b. A

    b v q G

    w v w

    q . I 155 G

    w I. U 161

    x G D

    Rb F Rb G w

    . T, w 161w

    E G b

    G

    w M w .

    T z x

    16 b j

    , :

    Das deutsche Wirtschaftswunder: H

    w

    b.

    The founding of the Bundeswehr: I

    q 5, , v

    ,

    b .

    The building of the Berlin Wall: U

    w b A 13,

    161, 15, 3,

    E G

    F Rb G;

    w w q

    w q. C b

    v b

    161 w.

    Expansion of secondary and higher

    education: M v,

    vb b.

    Demography: T b

    1565 16.

    Decreased numbers of women in the labor

    market during the 1960s: I

    ,

    w b .

    The reduced number of hours worked per

    week: G w v 4

    w 16 48

    w 15.

    T w w v

    w w w

    w bw

    G. A

    w v w . Hwv, v ,

    :

    The employers: E w

    v w w b

    ; w w b

    ( ) w v

    w b

    b w . I

    b v

    v w v

    . O w,

    - v.

    The receiving country: E

    G

    W W II. Bw 145

    15, b 1 G

    x z

    G G

    S E

    E Sv U. B b

    B W 161, 3.8

    E G F

    Rb. T

    v

    vw

    . A b

    , w w

    Lessons from the guest worker

    program in Germany, 195519732

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    6/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    5

    The developme

    of the immigratio

    situation

    Germany can b

    better understoo

    by looking at wh

    happened to th

    initial intentions

    the main actors

    employe

    receiving count

    and workers

    the proces

    w. A, b w v b

    v w

    w. T , ,

    166167.

    A

    w G

    . T

    G

    x, b

    , w b G

    V. T w z : Deutschland ist kein Einwanderungsland,

    G .

    The sending countries: S v

    v w

    v E. T, x,

    w w

    v z

    . I, x,

    b

    (Kb , 11).

    The workers: P v v. E w v v

    abroadw v b

    at home. G w wv,

    b w b v

    , v . T

    v

    b

    . T v w b

    w x

    b, b.

    I w,

    w G.

    F j w,

    b . T

    w v w

    w , v , b

    . I w . B

    w . I,

    v , ,

    b . T v

    v

    v v

    w .

    T v

    b b b w

    :

    The employers: E z v

    w w b z

    w w b v.

    A , w v

    z w w,

    w . E

    z b

    w: T F

    Lb O b

    w w w w v

    w .

    Rv w v

    z w

    (J 18: 748).

    The receiving country: U

    , G bb

    Deutschland ist kein Einwanderungsland,

    . T w

    17 18 w Integration auf

    Zeit.Y, , b

    G v w

    w . I

    w . W P M

    v, w

    v

    , v

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    7/17

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States6

    w .

    A x v

    w

    w :

    173. T -

    b 17w w, b w,

    b v -v

    b

    v

    w 173. T w

    b G.Px, wv, b

    : T

    , b w b

    b G,

    ,

    v j .

    T b

    (B 18: 176).

    The workers: T v, ,

    b b

    ,

    b .

    T

    w

    b. I G, w

    x b b

    w

    v

    . Sv v 17

    w w

    (, .., M 186

    H 187).

    W v w w w b

    x, w

    . R

    v

    ,

    v , b

    v w bb b

    w v , ..,

    . F

    v

    w . A

    v , b w,

    v

    . W b

    b b b -

    q G v

    w. A

    w .

    T b G

    w v

    w . O

    , v w w v b

    z jb . O

    , w , b

    b

    . W w

    w b w b

    M E.

    The main

    lesson to be

    learned from

    the German

    guest worker

    program is that

    it is very difficult

    to restrict such

    workers to an

    economic role.

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    8/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    7

    The curtailment

    of the Bracero

    Program in 1960

    and its end in

    1964 saw the

    beginning of the

    increasing wave

    illegal immigratio

    that we see up to

    the present.

    I 14, Cw, U S I

    Nz Sv

    q

    b. Mx b, b

    Mx U S

    b v--v

    : T O B A

    T M Mx A

    W U S (O B

    A 14) w bw Mx

    U S A 4, 14. A

    x 147, w

    151.

    F 14 147, , b

    U S w 4

    . T j w C.

    F 148 151, 4,

    b w U.S.

    (www.w./.), b

    b b INS

    w (Cv 1, Ax

    A). Pbb j Mx w .

    T b ( ) Mx

    x. A

    Mx b

    15, K W w j v

    w : Pb Lw 78 w

    J 151, w B w

    w . C b bv

    b w

    z Mx b. O

    U.S. ,

    w U.S. .

    W wb b

    x -b

    15, B P

    w bz. F 15 15,

    .5 Mx w

    U.S. (C 171: 111). I 154 w B w , b w

    x 161 163, Pb Lw 78

    x Db 164. W x,

    - b

    . M 4.5 Mx w

    b w U.S.

    v 14 164 (C 171: 1).

    E , wv,

    q,

    b U S

    jb, b . T

    B P 16

    164 w b

    wv w

    . T, b

    . T b

    , wv, b

    x w

    w (W

    M 6: ).

    Lessons from the Bracero Program in

    the United States, 194219643

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    9/17

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States8

    Against the

    widespread

    understanding,

    circular migration

    is more than only

    a special form

    of temporary

    migration.

    . T q

    (Gb C 5: 31). T

    ww

    b

    z

    b v . T

    w-w-w .

    Av v

    , b

    v. C

    .

    Gv q v w

    v

    w .

    D

    w

    b . A w

    , A

    Nw v x

    (A/Nw 7).

    T b

    . I w

    v .

    G w w b w

    (M 3: 1). W x

    v w b

    v . P , wv, v b

    v

    . M b w

    : . Distortion

    b w

    x w,

    w dependence w b

    jb (M 3: 3).

    M b w

    , ,

    z .

    G w b w,

    b

    b (M 7: 37). B

    E U S,

    b

    v.

    T Gb C I

    M z v

    : T C

    v v w

    New programs for a changed

    situation4

    Table: Typology of circular migration according to Agunias and Newland

    Permanent migrants Temporary migrants

    Permanent returnReturn of Irish diaspora in the

    late 1990s

    Korean turnkey project managers

    in the Middle East

    Temporary returnTaiwanese migrants from Canada

    and Silicon Valley

    Contract workers from the

    Philippines

    S: A/Nw 7, 4

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    10/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    9

    The European

    Commission

    will develop a

    number of legal

    instruments to

    promote circular

    migration. The

    general purpose

    of these activitie

    is to increase

    the welfare of

    both the membe

    states and the

    sending countrie

    b , b b

    , b

    v.

    Second proposal package: Promotion and

    development of circular migration

    Tw b

    : ) -

    w EU,

    b v

    , b) -

    w w b w v b bw

    v , b w b

    w .

    T b) v

    : w, , v

    , ,

    , . C

    w EU b

    b

    . R bx w . R, wv,

    b v v

    -.

    T E C w v b

    v

    q ,

    w, w

    . T

    v w b

    b ( , x, b b ).

    T E 16 b w

    :1

    Increasingillegalimmigrationandillegal

    , w

    Growingnumbersofseasonalworkersfrom

    EU

    Highunemploymentratesamonglow-

    q w, v w

    q w

    Agingofsocietyanddecreasinglaborsupply EU ,

    w EU b

    Increasingdemandfor(highly)qualified

    w b , b

    v

    Internationalcompetitionforhighlyqualified

    w

    T E C q E

    C x w

    b b x

    E U, w

    b . I

    C M 16, 7, E

    C b w (E

    C 7).

    First proposal: Establishment of mobility

    partnerships

    I , v

    w b.

    S w w

    , b , v

    b b. I , v w x b

    1 C 5 b B/H 7.

    The present discussion on labor

    migration programs in the European

    Union15

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    11/17

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States10

    . I , wv, v

    w

    b v ,

    w q. I

    x (, .., C/

    Z 3: 61). O ,

    b

    q w w, v

    v , w v

    v.

    I , b v xb

    b b . Hwv,

    w

    v , w

    v b v

    v b

    T b

    v

    b v .

    Assessment of the political measures

    regarding the control of circular migrationT E C

    v . T, v

    b . I

    , w

    b : )

    v b v

    ,

    b)

    v

    .

    I v

    v : A b

    G EU

    bv, b

    x . A ,

    Assessment of the economic impact

    C b

    v :

    F v ,

    Pros:Sinceforeignlaborismoremobileand

    xb, b

    b bb, w

    w.

    Cons:Becauseofshorterstays,incentivesto

    v w.

    Result:Circularmigrationisobviouslymore

    v v w

    w q (..,

    w ). I

    b q w.

    F ,

    Pros:Humanandprofessionalskillsgained

    b

    vb

    (w , wv, b

    bv). H

    b x . T b

    v.

    Cons:Returnmigrationcancauselabormarket

    ( , ), b

    .

    Result:Circularandtemporarymigrationcan

    b v, b

    x.

    E G

    . A G

    S-E P (GSOEP), 6 w v

    . W 41

    , w EU

    w q

    . F v b

    Circular

    migration can

    contribute to

    a reduction of

    unemployment

    via flexible

    adaptation of

    labor supply to

    labor demand.

    However, circular

    migration

    workers usually

    do not gain

    human capital

    in the receiving

    countries.

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    12/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    11

    Migration in

    general and

    circular migration

    can speed up

    the convergence

    process.

    A C b

    w b

    b v

    b

    . M b

    v v v .

    T w b v

    b . Ex

    (..,

    COMECON E

    b )

    b . M v

    . Cv

    v ,

    b v .

    Alternative political proposals

    T E C

    b b bw EU

    b v .

    M b

    b GDP.

    S w q

    , b

    b v

    . T , wv,

    b w

    w q. A b

    , v

    b b

    w, w w w

    q .

    A -

    w :

    w b b w , w w

    . A

    b ,

    b b xb.

    T b b

    v b b.

    Mb

    , b,

    w

    .

    T , , w

    ,

    b . O

    , w

    b

    -q w, w jb

    w v w w v . O

    , w

    q w ,

    b b v

    v

    . T, b . A ,

    x w

    w b

    . W v

    w b . Mv,

    . A,

    b

    b (.., b

    b) b

    q . I ,

    bw v . T v

    w b

    v

    .

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    13/17

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States12

    An immigration

    policy for long-

    term change that

    also takes into

    consideration the

    interests of the

    sending countries

    should pay

    attention to six

    decisive criteria.

    1. Increased qualification level of immigrants:

    I G E

    ,

    v v w q v (

    U S, C, A,

    Nw Z) b

    b . C

    b q

    w w .

    2. Increased immigration rates in the long run:

    B ,

    b b

    v . E

    w v v

    w

    v . A

    , w

    w b b .

    A, , GDP

    b .

    R .

    3. Increased incentives for return and circular

    migration:

    T b bb , v

    b

    v, q

    w

    w .

    4. Limiting the granting of temporary work and

    residence permits:

    T w

    v v .

    T, b

    .

    5. Promotion and support of investments ineducation in the sending countries:

    S b w

    q

    v . M

    b w b

    v q,

    ..,

    vb v

    w . B

    bw v b

    v .

    6. Contribution to economic development and

    improvement of the institutional framework

    in the sending countries:

    A

    b w b

    b

    v , .., b

    b

    b v v w . S

    x

    bw

    C E

    E EU. T w b

    v v

    ( )

    ,

    q w .

    Final remarks: Circular migration as

    part of the development of a European

    migration policy

    I Db 1 E S

    T (F)

    j E

    b v. G EU, b

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    14/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    13

    , q, , b , w

    bj

    b w . C

    b . A b

    v b 7.

    A Ob 7, E

    C w :

    ) A v E B C

    -

    q

    b) A

    -

    w w

    b ,

    - w

    b

    T w b w

    E . T,

    Nvb 4, 8, EU P

    B C

    v (.., B

    C w).

    W b ,

    E C

    w

    , w - b

    bw EU b . T

    w v b 8,

    w x . A v

    R -

    b b E

    C b E P J

    8. A v ,

    w S

    - .

    A , b

    , v

    C, w v b j

    . T H 4 w

    . A b

    b w E

    P I A, b

    E C B

    Ob 1516, 8. N w

    w b ,

    b b v

    E , w

    EU

    C.

    T w w v :

    1. L : q

    w, B C,

    . I : ,

    b w

    , w

    3. B : v b

    v w ,

    b, Fx (EU x b

    ), w

    4. A : v

    , j

    (),

    (1)

    5. C :

    v

    bw v

    T w b , b v

    . A w

    w b H .

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    15/17

    The German Marshall Fund of the United States14

    A, Dv R. K Nw (7).Circular Migration and Development: Trends,

    Policy Routes and Ways Forward. W,

    M P I, A 7.

    Rv : www../ b/

    MDvPB_4187.

    B, Rb J. Xv S--M (11).

    Convergence Across States and Regions.

    B P E Av 11:1,

    M, . 1718.

    B, Rb J. Xv S--M (15).

    Economic Growth, Nw Y: MGw-H.

    B, T (18).Arbeitsmarkteffekte in

    der Migration und Einwanderungspolitik. Eine

    Analyse fr die Bundesrepublik Deutschland.

    Hb, P-V.

    B, M, F Dq, H

    R (3). Brain Drain and LDCs Growth:

    Winners and Losers. IZA D P 81.

    Rv : ://.z./81.

    B, T Hb B (5). W E Economic

    Policy, V. 44, . 6173.

    B, H (). Eine fiskalische Gesamtbilanz

    der Zuwanderung nach Deutschland. IZA

    D P 516. Rv : ://.z.

    /516.

    B, Hb E H (7).

    Zirkulre MigrationGrundlage fr eine

    neue Zuwanderungspolitik? Bewertung eines

    Vorschlages der Europischen Kommission.

    I , b, Nb, J7, 7.

    Cv, K (1). Inside the State: The Bracero

    Program, Immigration, and the INS, Nw Y,

    R.

    C E C(5). Proposal for a directive of the European

    Parliament and of the Council on common

    standards and procedures in Member States

    for returning illegally staying third-country

    nationals. COM(5)31. Rv ://

    -x../LxUSv/LxU Sv.

    =COM:5:31:FIN:EN:PDF

    C, A K F. Z

    (3). Circular movements and time away from

    the host country. DIW D P 3.

    B, Db 3. Rv ://wwww.// b/73/411/

    3.

    C E U (8). European

    Pact on Immigration and Asylum. 1344/8.

    Rv : ://.../

    //8/13/ 1344.8.

    C, R B. (171). The Bracero Program.

    Interest Groups and Foreign Policy, A &

    L, Uv Tx P.

    E C (7). Circular migrationand mobility partnerships between the European

    Union and third countries. C

    C E P,

    C, E E

    S C, C

    R, MEMO/7/17. B,

    E C. Rv : ://

    -x../LxUSv/LxUSv.

    =COM:7:48:FIN:EN:PDF

    E C (7).Attractive

    conditions for the admission and residence ofhighly qualified immigrants. MEMO/7/43.

    B, E C. Rv :

    ://.//RA.

    =MEMO/7/43&=HTML&

    =1&=EN&L=

    References6

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    16/17

    Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration:

    What Works?

    15

    Gb C I M(5).Migration in an interconnected world:

    New directions for action. Report of the Global

    Commission on International Migration.

    Rv : ://www..//

    ---5.

    H, E (187). Rckkehrfrderung

    und die Rckkehr auslndischer Arbeitnehmer

    und ihrer Familien. Ergebnisse des Rckkehr-

    frderungsgesetzes, der Rckkehrhilfe-Statistik

    und der IAB-Rckkehrbefragung. In: Hnekopp,

    Elmar (ed.): Aspekte der Auslnderbeschftigungin der Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Nb:

    I Ab- B,

    . 8734.

    J, M (18). D -

    Awbvb v 161 164.

    I: J, M, A Ez: Fremde

    Heimat. Eine Geschichte der Einwanderung aus

    der Trkei. E: Kx-V, . 68.

    Kb, H (). Einwanderung und

    Einwanderungspolitik am Beispiel der deutschen

    Green Card. Ob, LIT-V.

    L, S, P Nj, Jq

    P (5). A M-A A

    E I W.Journal of

    Economic Surveys, V.1, N. 3, . 451477.

    L, S, P Nj, Jq

    P (6). The Impact of Immigration on

    the Employment of Natives in Regional Labour

    Markets: A Meta-Analysis. IZA D

    P 44. Rv : ://.z./

    44.

    M, P (3).Managing Labor Migration:

    Temporary Worker Programs for the 21st Century.

    Gv, I Lb Oz (ILO).

    M, P (7). B M G W GlobalGovernance, V. , N. 3, JFb

    7, . 341.

    M, U (186). Rb

    T V Mz

    161185. I: M, W F S:

    Zukunft in der Bundesrepublik oder Zukunft in

    der Trkei?F .M., D, . 537.

    Official Bracero Agreement for the Temporary

    Migration of Mexican Agricultural Workers to

    the United States as Revised on April 26, 1943,

    b Ex N Bw A

    Eb Mx C Mx

    M F A. A

    A 4, 14. Rv : ://www.

    w./b.

    W M, Db (6). Temporary Worker

    Programs: A Patchwork Policy Response.mpi

    Insight, N. 1. W, M P

    I, J 6. Rv : ://www.

    ./ ITFIAF/TFI_1_M.

  • 8/8/2019 Guest Worker Programs and Circular Migration: What Works?

    17/17

    Off i c e s

    Washington Berlin Bratislava ParisBrussels Belgrade Ankara Bucharest

    www.gmu.org