NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities Plans

Mike Laverty 20 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

Break: Tour of Chambers Prairie E.S.

Stan Koep 45 min. Enrollment Projections Mike/Courtney 15 min.

Growth – Past and Future Mike Laverty 10 min.

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Dec. 14 Report to School Board Dick

Withycombe

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

4-H Club , Art/Language Classes, Community Enrichment

250

Schools - Community Facilities Annual Use in Hours

(Based on Oct. 2010 Use)

Boy Scouts, Girl Scouts 380

Churches, Home Owners Associations, Cielo Project

1,030

KPAC Events 120

Community Youth Sports Practices & Banquets 2,150

Thurston County Chamber Fun Run 60

YMCA Before/After Care @ Eleven Schools (10 mos.)

12,100 YMCA Youth Sports 120

Subtotal 16,210

Schools - Community Facilities Lacey Parks & Recreation 2010 Use

Lacey ACT (13 events) 6,500 39Participan

tsHours

Day Camps (Winter/Spring Breaks & Summer)

740 827 Lunch Program & Playground Pals (Lunches Served)

20,500

527 LPRD Classes, Fitness/Sports Programs (Building Use)

1,720 1,574 LPRD Sports Programs (Field Use) 80 72

Public Sports Leagues (Field Use) 16,200

5,790 Pool Rentals (194) 5,820 498

Youth Swim Clubs 240 1,100 Swim Programs/Lessons 6,600 1,650

Lacey Parks & Rec. Total 58,400

12,077

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min. 2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities

PlansMike Laverty 20

min.

2006 Bond2006–2012 6-yr CFP $ 225,020,000 2006 Bond (4-yr) $ 112,000,000

2010–2016 6-yr CFP

* If 2012 Bond Passes

New Construction $ 67,242,00

0Middle School #5, Elementary #14 & #15, Support Facility

Modernizations $ 93,250,00

0Evergreen Forest Elem., North Thurston H.S., Meadows Elem., Pleasant Glade Elem., Seven Oakes Elem.

Facility Upgrades $ 16,500,00

0Planned Capital Improvement Projects

Emergent Needs $ 41,125,00

0Building, Site, Equipment, Administration

Mitigation $ 5,862,000

Land, Planning, Modular(s)

Total 2010 CFP $ 224 million

2012 Bond $$$ ????????

?

2010–2016 6-yr CFP

* If Bond Does NOT Pass

New Construction $ 0

Modernization $ 0

Facility Upgrades $ 0

Emergent Needs $ 12,350,000

Mitigation $ 1,112,000

Total $ 13.5 million

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities Plans

Mike Laverty 20 min.

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities Plans

Mike Laverty 20 min.

Break: Tour of Chambers Prairie E.S.

Stan Koep 45 min.

• Currently K-6 (Planned for K-5)• Occupied 2009• 2006 Bond and State-Matching Funds• 57,373 Sq. Ft.

• 13.1 Acres• Current Enrollment = 575• Portable Classrooms = 2

Chambers Prairie ElementaryBasic Facts

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities Plans

Mike Laverty 20 min.

Break: Tour of Chambers Prairie E.S.

Stan Koep 45 min. Enrollment Projections Mike/Courtney 15 min.

NTPS Enrollment Data and DRAFT Projections

John Bash, Chief Operations Officer

Tonight…2010 Actual enrollment compared to

projectionsRecent draft of projections through 2030Demographic enrollment dataMilitary enrollment dataPending projection workState funding of K-12 programs (Kindergarten,

class size reduction, other?)From (7th/8th ) to (6th-8th ) Middle Schools: When?School Boundary Considerations

NTPS Enrollment – October 2010Projections:

Budget (FTE) = 13,190

Sept. FTE = 13,540Diff. = +350 FTE

2009 Sept. HC = 13,704

2010 Sept. HC = 14,098

Difference = +394

Capital Facilities Plan:

2010 Proj. = 13,6862010 Sept. HC =

14,098Difference = +412

Conclusion: NTPS is growing at a much faster rate than we projected.

Elementary GrowthSept. 2009 to Sept. 2010

School 2009 2010 DifferenceCP 541 580 39EF 502 546 44HZ 550 586 36LC 435 449 14LK 696 674 -22LH 416 393 -23MD 484 473 -11MV 664 737 73OV 539 605 66PG 542 613 71SO 647 641 -6SB 666 659 -7

WD 511 515 4

Total K-6 Increase = 278

Middle School GrowthSept. 2009 to Sept. 2010

School 2009 2010 Difference

AMS 290 300 10

CMS 639 623 -16

KMS 704 702 -2

NMS 588 606 18

Total Middle School Increase = 10*

* Includes Aspire 6th Grade

High School GrowthSept. 2009 to Sept. 2010

School 2009 2010 Difference

NTHS 1329 1382 53

RRHS 1083 1104 21

SSHS 143 152 9

THS 1500 1539 39

Total 9-12 Increase = 122

DRAFT: NTPS Projected Growth2010-2030

2010 2015 2020 2025 20300

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

76138497

960210314 9914

2112 2274 2782 2978 32014358 4692

53606088 6643

1408315464

17745

19380 19758

ElementaryMiddleHighK-12

NTPS Demographic Data% of total population: 2003-2009

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Am. IndianAsian/Pac. Isle.BlackHispanicWhite

% Qualified for Free/Reduced Meals NTPS 2005-2010

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

33% 33%36%

46%

37% 39%

% F/R

% F/R

NTPS Military Student Growth2004-2009

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

750 727 694

824

1164

1494

ElementaryMiddleHigh K-12

Pending Projection Work…State & Federal Funding/Cuts of K-12 Programs

Title 1 All Day Kindergarten – Funding ends this year. Budget analysis needed.

State class size reduction – Elementary?Levy Equalization Funding?

Local Program/Budget Decisions:From (7th/8th ) to (6th-8th ) Middle Schools: When?School Boundary ConsiderationsEarly Learning: Pre-school futureIntra-District Transfer Policy Changes?

Pending Projection Work…Joint Base Lewis-McChord Growth

Projection?

Economy has not affected growth.Thurston Regional Planning Council (TRPC)

Data?Residential Patterns /Trends?NOT like Olympia and Tumwater

Projection update by January/FebruaryThis data used to plan for district operations,

including facility needs.

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities Plans

Mike Laverty 20 min.

Break: Tour of Chambers Prairie E.S.

Stan Koep 45 min. Enrollment Projections John Bash 15 min.

Growth – Past and Future Mike Laverty 10 min.

Growth – Past & FutureLatest

ProjectionsNew Elementary Schools

New Middle Schools

New High Schools• Overcrowding starting in 2017

• 2016• 2019• 2022

• 2014• 2018• 2021

Growth Past & Future

NTPS Facility Advisory Committee Future Bond Planning

Growth Needs Chambers Prairie E.S.

Nov. 17

Review Prior Meeting Dick Withycombe

15 min. Community Impacts to Facilities Tom Nelson 10 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

2006/10 & 2010/16 Capital Facilities Plans

Mike Laverty 20 min.

Discussion Dick Withycombe

15 min.

Break: Tour of Chambers Prairie E.S.

Stan Koep 45 min. Enrollment Projections John Bash 15 min.

Growth – Past and Future Mike Laverty 10 min.