grains world markets and trade february 2010

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 02-10February 2010

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Barley: A Decade of Change & Export Redistribution

EU Russia & Ukraine Other

1999/00 2009/10

10 MMT Exports

1.5 MMT Exports

Once upon a time (just ten years ago), the EU dominated much of the international barley market, particularly in North Africa and the Middle East. Competitors, such as Australia and Canada, faced the EU’s comparative freight and logistical advantages (there were also small erratic suppliers, such as Syria and Turkey). The EU support programs guaranteed high prices and stimulated production, while export subsidy programs helped to ensure that EU barley had a competitive price advantage against other countries.

However, it is all different now. Global barley trade dynamics have changed dramatically with the emergence of low-cost supplies and increased competition from Russia and Ukraine,which also happen to be competitive regional exporters that can match the EU’s comparative freight and logistical advantages. EU policies and programs have reduced market and support prices, stimulated domestic use, and de-emphasized export subsidies as a market-clearing mechanism. Recent regulation changes will soon eliminate intervention support for barley, which could cause some acreage to shift to more profitable crops, and further reduce exportable supplies.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 8 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 12 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 31 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 50 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, February 2010

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

February 2010

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2009/102008/092007/082009/102008/092007/082009/102008/092007/08

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.8 68.0 60.3 6.3 6.5 7.0 331.2 307.1 334.1

Other 554.6 614.7 617.1 428.0 440.8 429.2 460.7 484.4 463.8

World Total 610.5 682.7 677.4 434.4 447.3 436.3 791.9 791.5 797.8

Domestic Consumption


Other 584.6 599.1 612.2 422.4 429.6 430.4 509.2 514.7 525.1

World Total 613.2 633.4 644.4 426.5 433.7 434.5 770.9 773.7 807.4

Ending Stocks


Other 112.7 146.1 169.2 80.0 92.4 91.2 88.4 103.4 90.4

World Total 121.1 164.0 195.9 81.0 93.3 92.5 129.6 145.9 134.0

TY Imports


Other 110.6 136.1 118.4 27.6 26.1 28.1 99.4 81.2 82.3

World Total 113.6 139.5 121.6 28.2 26.8 28.9 99.9 81.5 82.6

TY Exports


Other 82.1 115.2 101.8 26.5 25.9 27.7 37.6 35.3 34.9

World Total 116.4 142.5 124.3 29.8 29.0 30.8 98.2 83.2 84.9

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

February 2010

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES:


4

Domestic: Prices for all classes of wheat fell through the first week in February, except for Hard Red Spring (HRS) which was unchanged. Growing global supplies more than offset a slight uptick in U.S. export sales. Soft and Hard Red Winter showed the largest declines, of $24 and $18/ton, respectively, while Soft White fell $10/ton. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10 Selected Exporters:

• Argentina is raised 1.0 million tons to 4.0 million on higher production and increased exportable supplies.

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

150

200

250

300

11/6

11/13

11/20

11/27 12

/412

/1112

/1812

/25 1/1 1/8 1/15

1/22

1/29 2/5

$/M

T

HRS HRW SRW SWW

• Pakistan is halved to 500,000 tons based on reduced exports to Afghanistan.

• Turkey is up 300,000 tons to 2.6 million due to higher expected flour shipments to Iraq

and Indonesia. Selected Importers:

• Afghanistan is raised 700,000 tons to 2.0 million as the pace of wheat flour shipments from Kazakhstan remains brisk.

• Iran is cut 1.0 million to 3.5 million based on the slow pace of imports.

• Pakistan is halved to 500,000 due to increased domestic supplies and minimal imports to

date.

• Turkey is up 500,000 tons to 2.5 million based on the strong pace of trade, particularly from Russia.

• Uzbekistan is increased 400,000 tons to 1.4 million on the strong pace of flour shipments

from Kazakhstan. • United States is up 150,000 tons to 3.3 million because of expected feed-quality wheat

imports from Brazil and Europe.


February 2010

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

4,0008,59810,22812,1688,21613,426 Argentina

15,00013,4527,44911,24115,21115,826 Australia

18,50018,58316,56119,27815,63315,109 Canada

1,0007232,8352,7831,3971,171 China

19,00025,31812,27113,81615,70114,745 EU-27

7,5005,7018,1818,0893,8173,039 Kazakhstan

1,2001,4061,261548533504 Mexico

18,00018,39312,55210,58410,5148,456 Russia

2,6002,3421,7632,2003,2082,235 Turkey

9,00013,0371,2363,3666,4614,403 Ukraine

6,0497,6327,7826,4825,8866,360 Others

101,849115,18582,11990,55586,57785,274 Subtotal

22,50027,29534,32825,04127,25228,552 United States

124,349142,480116,447115,596113,829113,826 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0003,8002,3001,4005001,000 Afghanistan

5,3006,3595,9044,8745,4765,358 Algeria

2,6002,8821,5551,7312,0342,058 Bangladesh

6,5006,3677,1367,7045,8235,009 Brazil

8,8009,9007,7007,3007,7718,150 Egypt

6,5007,7406,9425,1376,7587,061 EU-27

5,5005,4235,2245,5964,9814,661 Indonesia

3,5009,3002007001,105200 Iran

3,8003,8683,4242,9124,9963,010 Iraq

2,1002,0601,1861,4581,6631,549 Israel

5,3005,1565,7015,7475,4695,744 Japan

3,7003,3713,0923,4393,8843,591 Korea, South

1,6501,6771,5679941,7221,488 Libya

3,1003,3413,1363,6103,5493,717 Mexico

1,8003,7594,1911,8012,4182,272 Morocco

3,5003,5502,6773,2653,6783,014 Nigeria

1,5001,3851,4521,3671,6441,449 Peru

3,0003,2012,2662,7542,9542,593 Philippines

1,6001,40048917750 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,5001,3338851,2421,407 South Africa

1,5001,7121,0601,3231,6591,522 Sudan

1,8001,700200200231200 Syria

2,5003,5772,1921,77864372 Turkey

1,5251,5001,4981,7651,6911,504 Venezuela

2,3002,7861,8612,4202,1871,860 Yemen

35,51538,74236,72839,99935,27039,463 Others

118,390136,056110,573110,250108,846108,302 Subtotal

2,7092,9642,8621,9522,6843,578 Unaccounted

3,2503,4603,0123,3942,2991,946 United States

124,349142,480116,447115,596113,829113,826 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


February 2010

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production

9,0009,00018,00016,10014,60016,100 Argentina

22,50020,93913,56910,82225,17321,905 Australia

26,50028,61120,05425,26525,74824,796 Canada

114,500112,464109,298108,46697,44591,952 China

7,9007,8838,2758,2748,1847,177 Egypt

138,218151,080120,133124,870132,356146,886 EU-27

80,58078,57075,81069,35068,64072,150 India

12,00010,00015,00014,50014,30814,568 Iran

17,00012,55016,45013,45011,2009,950 Kazakhstan

6,3703,7301,5836,3273,0435,540 Morocco

24,00021,50023,30021,27721,61219,500 Pakistan

61,70063,70049,40044,90047,70045,400 Russia

17,80016,80015,50017,50018,50018,500 Turkey

20,90025,90013,90014,00018,70017,500 Ukraine

6,2006,0006,2005,8505,8005,250 Uzbekistan

51,95945,95148,16345,53449,68149,852 Others

617,127614,678554,635546,485562,690567,026 Subtotal

60,31468,01655,82149,21757,24358,698 United States

677,441682,694610,456595,702619,933625,724 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,7508,4508,0507,8507,7507,550 Algeria

11,40010,70010,30010,30010,4509,900 Brazil

8,1008,0276,7878,9868,2428,240 Canada

102,000102,500106,000102,000101,500102,000 China

17,05016,55015,95015,45014,80014,200 Egypt

127,000127,500116,536125,500127,525123,220 EU-27

76,12070,77076,42273,37169,98072,838 India

16,20015,90015,50015,30014,80014,550 Iran

7,5507,5257,5007,5007,4007,400 Kazakhstan

7,6507,5507,4507,1506,8006,600 Morocco

23,30022,80022,40021,90020,90019,600 Pakistan

41,20038,90037,70036,40038,40037,400 Russia

17,40016,90016,80016,65016,10016,800 Turkey

12,10011,90012,30011,70012,50011,700 Ukraine

7,2507,0506,8006,5006,1185,700 Uzbekistan

129,128126,063118,116121,066122,532116,044 Others

613,430605,459588,367584,643591,379575,664 Subtotal

32,16834,29128,61430,94031,32031,783 United States

645,598639,750616,981615,583622,699607,447 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,8566,5564,4066,8659,6987,922 Canada

60,78548,68538,96338,45034,38738,821 China

4,9835,3434,1204,1204,0062,861 Egypt

17,06318,34512,34314,07523,38427,496 EU-27

18,02013,5105,8004,5002,0004,100 India

4,1573,9073,1573,5073,2573,419 Iran

11,1298,4291,8192,2313,4543,386 Russia

46,17341,37142,13841,43251,74447,537 Others

169,166146,146112,746115,180131,930135,542 Subtotal

26,69017,8678,32312,41415,54514,699 United States

195,856164,013121,069127,594147,475150,241 World Total


February 2010

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

5,915 North America 6,135 7,325 6,535 7,188 6,750

1,510 Central America 1,506 1,582 1,460 1,482 1,550

10,526 South America 12,304 13,979 13,143 12,746 12,890

7,061 European Union 6,758 5,137 6,942 7,740 6,500

1,464 Other Europe 1,457 1,480 1,923 1,690 1,675

4,910 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,487 5,958 6,021 6,544 5,500

10,209 Middle East 13,447 12,143 11,726 28,296 20,800

18,347 North Africa 18,650 16,402 21,734 23,467 19,050

12,086 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,174 11,735 10,371 13,363 13,395

18,357 East Asia 12,852 11,886 11,278 11,322 11,950

5,655 South Asia 4,812 10,944 8,270 10,713 6,215

11,429 Southeast Asia 11,923 12,437 11,405 12,328 12,500

2,779 Others 2,640 2,636 2,777 2,637 2,865

110,248 Total 111,145 113,644 113,585 139,516 121,640

Production none

85,914 North America 86,011 77,722 79,468 100,627 91,114

25,336 South America 22,572 21,022 24,835 18,523 17,928

146,886 European Union 132,356 124,870 120,133 151,080 138,218

5,435 Other Europe 4,196 4,313 4,405 4,693 4,465


42,771 Middle East 42,975 41,758 39,912 32,196 36,825

17,166 North Africa 15,178 18,576 13,948 14,588 19,395


93,221 East Asia 98,652 109,669 110,590 113,706 115,711

96,326 South Asia 96,034 95,881 105,075 103,870 111,100

22,161 Oceania 25,466 11,099 13,846 21,216 22,777

131 Others 151 141 156 161 181

625,724 Total 619,933 595,702 610,456 682,694 677,441

Domestic Consumption none

46,023 North America 45,662 46,126 40,901 48,318 46,418

23,094 South America 24,151 23,901 23,951 24,254 25,175

123,220 European Union 127,525 125,500 116,536 127,500 127,000

6,018 Other Europe 5,917 5,495 5,600 5,544 5,830


49,690 Middle East 50,423 51,308 50,519 53,260 53,665

32,538 North Africa 33,847 34,205 36,042 37,352 38,325


114,117 East Asia 114,116 113,938 117,556 114,118 114,170

100,951 South Asia 100,310 105,160 109,487 104,405 111,280

10,900 Southeast Asia 11,515 11,693 10,990 12,111 12,340

6,916 Oceania 7,484 8,545 7,394 7,699 8,025

3,437 Others 3,344 3,313 3,377 3,372 3,495

605,525 Total 617,117 618,563 613,225 633,376 644,366

Ending Stocks none

22,997 North America 25,555 19,693 13,111 24,740 33,913

4,062 South America 4,752 5,132 5,801 3,293 3,616

27,496 European Union 23,384 14,075 12,343 18,345 17,063

1,770 Other Europe 1,333 1,067 1,037 1,442 1,237


12,600 Middle East 13,520 12,041 10,648 12,221 13,919

9,492 North Africa 9,233 9,749 9,127 9,600 9,485


41,220 East Asia 36,606 40,838 41,781 51,519 63,395

7,393 South Asia 6,285 7,057 8,487 16,363 21,698

2,152 Southeast Asia 2,251 2,605 2,549 2,432 2,347

6,848 Oceania 9,544 4,159 3,841 3,301 3,818

222 Others 216 184 172 173 177

150,241 Total 147,475 127,594 121,069 164,013 195,856

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.


February 2010

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Recent Price Spreads Becoming

Less Volatile

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

Feb-00Feb-01

Feb-02Feb-03

Feb-04Feb-05

Feb-06Feb-07

Feb-08Feb-09

Feb-10

US-Thai Price Spread Thai-Viet Price Spread

$/MTFor most of this decade, the spread between U.S. #2/4 quotes and Thai 100B quotes was positive and moved rather slowly. Likewise, the difference between Thai 100B quotes and Vietnamese 5% quotes was mostly positive and fairly small. This pattern changed in 2008 when Thai quotes fell below U.S. quotes, and the gap between Thai and Vietnamese quotes ballooned. At the same time, prices at all origins were changing quickly and not always in the same direction, creating volatility in the spread. In the past few months, however, it seems that this volatility has diminished as quotes have tended to move in the same direction. In addition, the U.S.-Thai spread has been shrinking and is near zero. With the completion of the Philippine tenders, there may be more stability in the Thai-Viet spread, as well. TRADE CHANGES

Selected Exporters:

• Burma is down 200,000 tons to 800,000 in 2010 due to depleted stocks after 2009

exports reached the highest level in over 40 years. • Egypt is up 150,000 tons to 600,000 in 2010 on the government announcement that

additional export licenses will be granted due to sufficient domestic supplies. • Uruguay is raised 126,000 tons to a record 926,000 for 2009 and raised 108,000 tons to

742,000 for 2008 based on new trade data. Selected Importers:

• South Africa is boosted 150,000 tons to 800,000 for 2009 on near-final trade data.

• Venezuela is doubled to 300,000 tons for 2010 on weather-related crop shortages.


8


February 2010

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

550600408436487348 Argentina

300650511201291272 Brazil

8001,0525413147190 Burma

800800500450350200 Cambodia

1,5007609691,3401,216656 China

6005007501,2099581,095 Egypt

135140157139144201 EU-27

220250210210250182 Guyana

2,0002,0003,3836,3014,5374,687 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,8003,0003,0002,6963,5793,032 Pakistan

90901720105 Peru

10,0008,57010,0119,5577,3767,274 Thailand

750926742734812762 Uruguay

5,5005,9504,6494,5224,7055,174 Vietnam

450441430809876815 Others

27,69525,92926,47828,85525,83825,093 Subtotal

3,1503,1003,2733,0293,3073,863 United States

30,84529,02929,75131,88429,14528,956 World Total

none

TY Imports

5001501,6581,570531785 Bangladesh

750630417684691548 Brazil

340345365341333321 Canada

350330295472654609 China

860800800980750850 Cote d'Ivoire

575425558574594736 Cuba

1,3501,3501,5201,3421,2211,089 EU-27

350350300340440450 Ghana

330150150240200221 Guinea

325300320292399328 Haiti

400395399348309347 Hong Kong

1,7001,7001,5001,5001,5001,200 Iran

1,1001,0009756131,306786 Iraq

700700546642681787 Japan

8508301,020799886751 Malaysia

600610578609586553 Mexico

350350300410330350 Mozambique

1,6001,9001,6001,5501,6001,777 Nigeria

2,6002,0002,5001,9001,7911,890 Philippines

1,4001,3701,3609619581,357 Saudi Arabia

700715860700600850 Senegal

350300320393350375 Singapore

800800665960800764 South Africa

500500300450350320 Vietnam

325325325338250250 Yemen

8,4197,7907,9589,6497,6808,195 Others

28,12426,11527,58928,65725,79026,489 Subtotal

1,9862,2141,5112,5322,7222,048 Unaccounted

735700651695633419 United States

30,84529,02929,75131,88429,14528,956 World Total


Note about dates: 2009/10 is calendar year 2010, 2008/09 is calendar year 2009, and so on.


February 2010

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Milled Production

30,00031,00028,80029,00028,75825,600 Bangladesh

7,8208,5698,1997,6957,8748,996 Brazil

10,73010,15010,73010,60010,4409,570 Burma

4,6304,5204,2383,9463,7712,627 Cambodia

137,000134,330130,224127,200126,414125,363 China

4,3744,3874,3854,3834,1354,128 Egypt

84,50099,15096,69093,35091,79083,130 India

38,80038,30037,00035,30034,95934,830 Indonesia

7,6208,0297,9307,7868,2577,944 Japan

4,9104,8434,4084,6804,7685,000 Korea, South

3,4003,2003,0002,9002,7002,300 Nigeria

6,2006,7005,7005,4505,5475,025 Pakistan

10,20010,75310,4799,7759,8219,425 Philippines

20,40019,85019,80018,25018,20017,360 Thailand

24,30024,38824,37522,92222,77222,716 Vietnam

34,36432,62532,08331,27531,25730,347 Others

429,248440,794428,041414,512411,463394,361 Subtotal

7,0306,5156,3446,2677,1057,462 United States

436,278447,309434,385420,779418,568401,823 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

31,10031,00030,74729,76429,00026,900 Bangladesh

8,6008,5298,2547,9258,4609,074 Brazil

9,8509,55010,24910,67010,40010,300 Burma

3,8803,7703,7883,6463,5712,777 Cambodia

133,500129,000127,450127,200128,000130,300 China

4,0004,0003,3403,2763,3203,250 Egypt

86,70093,15090,46686,70085,08880,861 India

37,60037,09036,35035,90035,73935,850 Indonesia

3,6003,5503,5753,5503,2742,986 Iran

8,2008,3708,1778,2508,2508,300 Japan

4,9784,9724,6704,8874,7664,951 Korea, South

5,1005,1004,5004,4004,3004,250 Nigeria

13,78513,65013,49912,00010,72210,400 Philippines

9,6009,5009,6009,7809,5449,480 Thailand

19,15019,00019,40018,77518,39217,595 Vietnam

50,72749,37548,32747,54546,03246,043 Others

432,954430,840424,432417,567412,140405,558 Subtotal

4,1714,1004,0784,1023,8283,934 United States

437,125434,940428,510421,669415,968409,492 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,26542,91538,01535,91536,78338,931 China

13,00017,00013,00011,43010,5208,500 India

8,4877,0575,6074,6073,2073,448 Indonesia

2,6352,7152,5562,4062,3951,919 Japan

3,1364,1214,4184,8685,2934,572 Philippines

5,8874,7872,7072,5103,5942,312 Thailand

2,1061,9562,0181,3921,3171,292 Vietnam

10,71011,81911,71210,70611,51011,205 Others

91,22692,37080,03373,83474,61972,179 Subtotal

1,2719749421,2661,3711,211 United States

92,49793,34480,97575,10075,99073,390 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


February 2010

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

1,293 North America 1,552 1,645 1,594 1,655 1,675

1,213 Caribbean 1,111 965 1,028 820 1,005

964 South America 1,095 1,080 1,119 1,188 1,355

114 Other Europe 138 137 98 125 120

526 Former Soviet Union - 12 504 361 335 355 325

4,879 Middle East 5,204 4,778 5,728 5,785 5,910

261 North Africa 233 355 280 160 145


2,119 East Asia 2,017 2,318 1,646 1,825 1,926

1,202 South Asia 925 1,962 2,063 490 1,110

4,236 Southeast Asia 4,122 5,742 4,637 4,300 4,935

1,876 Others 2,010 2,205 2,428 2,215 2,308

26,908 Total 26,423 29,352 28,240 26,815 28,859

Production none

7,657 North America 7,286 6,445 6,522 6,690 7,220

760 Caribbean 685 798 796 882 932

16,217 South America 14,557 14,292 15,649 16,014 15,072

1,880 European Union 1,731 1,676 1,757 1,680 1,988

770 Former Soviet Union - 12 871 1,000 1,005 915 1,095

2,145 Middle East 2,372 2,538 2,738 2,085 2,496

4,148 North Africa 4,170 4,413 4,406 4,408 4,409


141,118 East Asia 142,492 142,661 145,044 150,104 152,250

119,009 South Asia 131,367 133,111 136,535 142,095 126,598

99,462 Southeast Asia 102,944 103,778 109,823 111,292 112,536

765 Others 1,289 691 553 676 666

401,823 Total 418,568 420,779 434,385 447,309 436,278


5,005 North America 4,936 5,231 5,143 5,225 5,291

1,079 Central America 1,064 1,102 1,116 1,108 1,073

1,990 Caribbean 1,732 1,829 1,863 1,737 1,930

14,930 South America 14,002 13,418 14,053 14,697 14,699

2,636 European Union 2,651 2,911 3,185 2,970 3,108


6,756 Middle East 7,629 7,586 7,809 7,976 8,235

3,531 North Africa 3,575 3,546 3,636 4,146 4,170


147,014 East Asia 144,371 144,289 143,315 145,800 149,920

115,884 South Asia 121,673 124,366 129,650 133,215 126,645

90,387 Southeast Asia 92,459 94,986 97,250 97,048 98,596

607 Others 667 714 664 600 624

407,251 Total 412,686 418,370 426,470 433,706 434,541

Ending Stocks none

1,385 North America 1,530 1,409 1,135 1,140 1,442

297 Central America 271 299 255 207 213

159 Caribbean 225 178 134 109 106

2,472 South America 2,199 2,230 2,488 2,518 2,078

1,138 European Union 1,181 1,138 1,126 1,020 1,115

1,728 Middle East 2,079 1,697 1,977 1,826 1,902

502 North Africa 366 370 685 792 576


41,916 East Asia 40,329 39,317 41,537 46,657 49,157

9,038 South Asia 11,317 12,636 14,306 19,193 14,286

12,648 Southeast Asia 14,469 14,426 15,780 18,732 20,465

431 Oceania 515 230 52 26 22

182 Others 179 149 159 124 134

73,390 Total 75,990 75,100 80,975 93,344 92,497




February 2010

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES:

Corn Weekly Export Bids

150

160

170

180

190

200

30-O

ct6-

Nov

13-N

ov20

-Nov

27-N

ov4-

Dec

11-D

ec18

-Dec

25-D

ec1-

Jan

8-Ja

n15

-Jan

22-J

an29

-Jan

5-Fe

b

$/M

TU.S. Gulf Argentina Up River

Brazil Paranagua

Throughout January, U.S. corn export quotes continued a nearly $30 per ton slide to about $165 following USDA data indicating a record crop. Argentine and Brazilian quotes largely moved with U.S., but the normal pre-harvest discount ($20) has narrowed because of strong sales and shipments. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is cut 2.0 million tons to 50.0 million based on the pace of shipments, despite

some improved sales in recent weeks. • Argentine corn is raised 2.0 million tons to 9.5 million because of strong shipments in

recent months and improved prospects for new crop corn.

• EU barley is lowered 500,000 tons to 1.5 million, the lowest in 6 years, on the continued slow pace of export licenses and large early-season intervention offers.

• Turkey barley is raised 450,000 tons to 500,000 on large feed-barley export tenders by

the Turkish Grain Board.

• U.S. sorghum is boosted 200,000 tons to 3.8 million with commitments running well ahead of last year. (Japanese and Mexican sorghum imports are each boosted 100,000 tons.)

Selected Importers

• Vietnamese corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 900,000 based on strong trade with Thailand.

• Iran barley is lowered 200,000 tons based on a slow early-season import pace.



February 2010

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

11,40510,24117,78617,19111,24314,371 Argentina

5,0604,8743,8951,9935,6144,996 Australia

9,1007,1838,0328,1882,8261,457 Brazil

3,6253,8486,3793,7874,0103,217 Canada

3,2804,3384,6795,4633,6525,952 EU-27

1,0252,4005,539721501505 India

2,4504,9431,4191,8361,4521,534 Russia

2,0051,478132863nrnr Serbia

2,5402,1591,1454621,4291,553 South Africa

11,01511,3805,9093,9427,4396,465 Ukraine

5,2705,3495,57410,9768,88810,457 Others

56,77558,19360,48955,42247,05450,507 Subtotal

53,95051,71868,28959,15761,44350,692 United States

110,725109,911128,778114,579108,497101,199 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1052,0802,4332,5882,1392,273 Algeria

9501,4941,2581,4721,107745 Brazil

2,0701,9003,1872,2852,0292,339 Canada

1,6251,2611,9691,7661,6781,189 Chile

1,6351,6511,1571,1562,3062,073 China

3,7753,6523,6033,7143,3802,516 Colombia

1,0009001,0741,2121,0681,031 Dominican Republic

4,2255,0664,1744,8454,4185,405 Egypt

2,8302,99619,8928,7382,8832,906 EU-27

3,7005,0003,9003,6003,0003,858 Iran

1,4251,4611,7761,6841,5881,700 Israel

19,46019,61119,21019,66819,76519,709 Japan

8508258891,1861,234938 Jordan

1,0601,3042106115269 Kenya

7,5707,2549,3588,7978,5458,710 Korea, South

2,6002,4003,1812,3632,5172,406 Malaysia

12,45010,46711,01111,0409,9288,977 Mexico

1,7351,7842,1852,1501,9751,989 Morocco

1,6201,3991,5921,6461,5481,366 Peru

9,3059,1859,9687,5788,5757,724 Saudi Arabia

2,9002,8502,5112,0792,0062,281 Syria

4,7254,6724,6844,4034,7434,757 Taiwan

1,1009001,1831,5191,2301,228 Tunisia

1,3001,3411,103534152107 Venezuela

9001,100700650475291 Vietnam

12,06012,24314,36713,89914,19311,444 Others

104,975104,796126,575110,578102,59798,231 Subtotal

3,1252,308-1,4071,3963,605726 Unaccounted

2,6252,8073,6102,6052,2952,242 United States

110,725109,911128,778114,579108,497101,199 World Total



February 2010

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production

22,67316,22326,97427,03419,35124,899 Argentina

11,81711,97012,8956,58313,52711,409 Australia

53,61453,62461,34453,18444,16737,874 Brazil

22,37327,16727,84123,14524,93925,602 Canada

162,000172,700159,105159,098147,696138,252 China

8,8259,2368,3027,9287,1795,763 Ethiopia

152,580161,579136,123137,421146,267166,579 EU-27

33,60039,17040,63033,81034,04033,560 India

9,0008,7008,5007,8506,8007,200 Indonesia

29,32931,48530,57729,18125,88728,975 Mexico

27,50026,60024,00026,00024,70023,200 Nigeria

31,80040,70029,32530,20027,60029,600 Russia

12,00313,08413,6907,7607,31112,209 South Africa

10,39510,3159,48010,89611,95511,055 Turkey

24,12026,22014,58519,17518,14023,000 Ukraine

133,597126,938124,632126,891120,485116,221 Others

745,226775,711728,003706,156680,044695,398 Subtotal

350,258325,867349,861279,998298,710319,378 United States

1,095,4841,101,5781,077,864986,154978,7541,014,776 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

10,0736,6739,8979,5199,4719,055 Argentina

48,27947,50445,27943,30442,19741,558 Brazil

22,17322,85024,02124,50522,85922,944 Canada

167,575160,425157,015153,465147,105141,072 China

11,98011,86311,47711,80011,16312,364 Egypt

153,205152,105154,155147,877147,538152,573 EU-27

32,85036,40035,50032,52033,80033,240 India

19,60519,71019,46019,82320,08919,881 Japan

42,55042,13540,31039,97037,60038,335 Mexico

27,55026,45024,00025,75024,45022,950 Nigeria

31,45032,65028,87528,60027,70029,400 Russia

10,0809,5809,6808,7608,2357,160 Saudi Arabia

10,80310,57310,1589,1538,76810,283 South Africa

10,31010,57510,60911,60211,46211,536 Turkey

13,59013,72011,83513,15012,41515,175 Ukraine

194,417191,614188,797184,822181,547168,703 Others

808,842796,776781,499769,337747,731737,569 Subtotal

296,675275,748274,533242,798245,022240,177 United States

1,105,5171,072,5241,056,0321,012,135992,753977,746 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,4003,3302,6661,2052,8042,153 Australia

10,56713,58212,8653,7723,1874,380 Brazil

5,0006,3554,0103,5016,3476,356 Canada

49,62154,13140,42638,03236,70537,564 China

18,97720,10212,76815,13822,27525,128 EU-27

3,4014,2224,5653,4263,3765,400 Mexico

3,1723,3823,2511,7762,4433,435 South Africa

36,70637,39734,89735,65132,75235,439 Others

130,844142,501115,448102,501109,889119,855 Subtotal

48,68447,06045,05936,17454,76758,800 United States

179,528189,561160,507138,675164,656178,655 World Total


February 2010

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

13,558 North America 14,252 15,930 17,808 15,174 17,145

2,405 Central America 2,803 2,906 2,681 2,440 2,825

1,913 Caribbean 1,969 2,227 2,239 2,000 2,150

6,462 South America 8,791 10,181 10,672 10,149 10,150

2,906 European Union 2,883 8,738 19,892 2,996 2,830

1,129 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,052 949 1,027 564 545

17,940 Middle East 17,835 18,674 21,819 21,261 19,880

11,603 North Africa 10,481 11,671 10,755 10,730 10,015


35,661 East Asia 35,613 34,135 34,662 33,438 33,640

3,499 Southeast Asia 4,897 4,394 4,746 4,739 4,550

659 Others 776 991 1,205 868 1,025

100,473 Total 104,892 113,183 130,185 107,603 107,600

Production none

373,955 North America 349,536 332,324 408,279 384,519 401,960

73,026 South America 73,858 92,137 100,084 81,449 88,329

166,579 European Union 146,267 137,421 136,123 161,579 152,580

12,781 Other Europe 12,659 11,568 9,370 12,292 11,718


18,876 Middle East 19,998 19,060 17,381 15,933 16,977

11,786 North Africa 9,371 11,211 9,894 9,871 13,932


140,518 East Asia 149,899 161,399 161,295 174,874 164,141

39,291 South Asia 40,395 40,020 46,925 45,128 39,908

21,583 Southeast Asia 22,000 23,838 26,062 26,153 26,840

12,034 Oceania 14,174 7,230 13,542 12,617 12,464

3,838 Others 3,865 3,985 4,410 4,320 4,159

1,014,776 Total 978,754 986,154 1,077,864 1,101,578 1,095,484


301,456 North America 305,481 307,273 338,864 340,733 361,398

65,791 South America 68,213 70,951 74,697 73,222 78,324

152,573 European Union 147,538 147,877 154,155 152,105 153,205

12,174 Other Europe 12,044 11,533 10,456 10,604 10,775


35,041 Middle East 37,188 37,607 37,827 37,890 37,516

21,816 North Africa 20,820 22,029 21,161 20,748 22,710


177,081 East Asia 182,819 188,963 191,868 194,920 201,809

38,890 South Asia 40,067 38,801 42,052 42,416 39,233

23,814 Southeast Asia 26,093 26,834 28,740 29,598 30,315

7,478 Oceania 7,940 6,885 7,666 7,347 7,437

8,205 Others 8,467 9,014 9,312 8,991 9,151

976,406 Total 991,421 1,007,418 1,055,601 1,070,575 1,103,165

Ending Stocks none

70,556 North America 64,490 43,101 53,634 57,637 57,085

9,670 South America 7,676 9,060 18,476 16,789 15,027

25,128 European Union 22,275 15,138 12,768 20,102 18,977

1,607 Other Europe 1,491 1,520 1,291 1,821 1,589


7,442 Middle East 7,951 8,167 7,498 7,882 6,973

3,640 North Africa 2,675 3,166 2,419 2,528 3,765


41,705 East Asia 40,586 41,793 44,954 58,125 53,527

1,543 South Asia 1,401 1,455 1,580 1,795 1,535

1,743 Southeast Asia 2,100 2,644 3,282 3,302 3,142

2,234 Oceania 2,883 1,293 2,729 3,390 3,457

814 Others 903 1,005 1,039 798 771

178,655 Total 164,656 138,675 160,507 189,561 179,528




February 2010

World Corn Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

9,5008,45815,67615,69310,70713,752 Argentina

9,0007,1787,8838,0712,8261,431 Brazil

5001725495,2693,7277,589 China

1,5001,743591664449678 EU-27

1,0002,3005,077582497481 India

1,0001,8621,4611,9811,314386 Paraguay

2,0001,467128854nrnr Serbia

2,5002,1111,1244311,4061,517 South Africa

750786646442121396 Thailand

5,0005,4972,0741,0272,4642,334 Ukraine

2,1353,7472,3482,1483,0132,050 Others

34,88535,32137,55737,16226,52430,614 Subtotal

50,00047,90760,66354,21456,08445,347 United States

84,88583,22898,22091,37682,60875,961 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1001,9002,1662,4632,0612,145 Algeria

7001,0929611,204931481 Brazil

2,0001,8443,1172,2261,9622,237 Canada

1,2007791,6281,5081,5991,081 Chile

3,3003,2003,2673,3863,1512,256 Colombia

800750811646501546 Cuba

1,0009001,0741,2121,0681,031 Dominican Republic

4,2005,0004,1514,8264,3975,398 Egypt

2,5002,74314,0167,0562,6342,469 EU-27

750650617764751641 Guatemala

2,9003,6002,9003,3002,3002,558 Iran

1,0001,0001,3741,3111,1281,242 Israel

16,30016,53316,61416,71316,61716,485 Japan

1,0001,266202294231 Kenya

7,5007,1949,3118,7318,4838,633 Korea, South

2,6002,4003,1812,3632,5172,406 Malaysia

9,5007,7649,5568,9446,7875,945 Mexico

1,6001,5001,8581,6831,4911,423 Morocco

1,5001,3071,4691,5281,4671,301 Peru

1,8001,4821,9611,5771,4721,224 Saudi Arabia

1,9001,8001,6111,7291,2561,781 Syria

4,6004,5504,5274,2834,5334,562 Taiwan

800600805653624714 Tunisia

1,3001,3361,103534152106 Venezuela

9001,100700650475291 Vietnam

8,5958,87010,42410,74711,0968,427 Others

82,34581,16099,40490,03979,54775,614 Subtotal

2,2401,731-1,6851,0182,85166 Unaccounted

300337501319210281 United States

84,88583,22898,22091,37682,60875,961 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.


February 2010

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production

17,20012,60022,00022,50015,80020,500 Argentina

51,00051,00058,60051,00041,70035,000 Brazil

9,56010,59211,6498,9909,3328,837 Canada

155,000165,900152,300151,600139,365130,290 China

6,3006,2176,1746,1495,9325,840 Egypt

55,76662,72147,55553,82960,66866,471 EU-27

18,50019,29018,96015,10014,71014,180 India

9,0008,7008,5007,8506,8007,200 Indonesia

22,00024,22623,60022,35019,50022,050 Mexico

8,3007,9006,5007,8007,0006,500 Nigeria

6,8506,8467,2776,2315,8845,050 Philippines

6,4006,1304,0546,415nrnr Serbia

11,50012,56713,1647,3006,93511,716 South Africa

10,50011,4007,4006,4007,1508,800 Ukraine

4,8004,5304,6004,2513,8183,757 Vietnam

71,10373,73868,36167,11271,92768,852 Others

463,779484,357460,694444,877416,521415,043 Subtotal

334,052307,142331,177267,503282,263299,876 United States

797,831791,499791,871712,380698,784714,919 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,1005,0007,0006,7006,2005,200 Argentina

45,50044,50042,50041,00039,50038,500 Brazil

11,80011,66313,76911,44210,80810,311 Canada

159,000152,000149,000145,000137,000131,000 China

10,90010,80010,40010,70010,10011,300 Egypt

60,00062,00064,00062,30061,50063,200 EU-27

17,50016,90014,20013,90014,20013,900 India

9,1008,8008,5008,1008,3007,800 Indonesia

16,30016,40016,60016,50016,70016,500 Japan

7,7007,8768,6388,8338,5798,666 Korea, South

32,20032,40032,00030,70027,90027,900 Mexico

8,4007,8006,5507,6006,8006,300 Nigeria

7,4007,3007,1506,5505,8005,150 Philippines

10,20010,0009,6008,6008,2009,700 South Africa

5,6505,6505,7505,2505,1006,000 Ukraine

116,349115,601113,579110,286106,695100,313 Others

527,337516,170509,500497,121473,922463,688 Subtotal

282,334259,053261,632230,674232,015224,610 United States

809,671775,223771,132727,795705,937688,298 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,27913,27912,5793,5923,0154,192 Brazil

48,76953,16939,39436,60235,25536,555 China

2,8496,0834,3627,3829,4618,108 EU-27

1,3751,4902,0791,3221,3591,382 Korea, South

1,3988189334285853 Malawi

2,8093,5594,1313,0842,7074,529 Mexico

3,0073,1823,0901,6612,3083,190 South Africa

19,88121,79721,78221,68120,15019,728 Others

90,367103,37788,35075,75274,31377,737 Subtotal

43,67442,50441,25533,11449,96853,697 United States

134,041145,881129,605108,866124,281131,434 World Total


February 2010

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

8,463 North America 8,959 11,489 13,174 9,945 11,800

2,401 Central America 2,803 2,906 2,678 2,440 2,825

5,738 South America 8,158 9,141 9,459 8,620 8,765

2,469 European Union 2,634 7,056 14,016 2,743 2,500


8,039 Middle East 7,381 10,225 10,056 9,457 8,875

10,112 North Africa 9,044 10,136 9,594 9,600 9,350


30,094 East Asia 29,949 29,854 30,746 28,574 28,750

3,492 Southeast Asia 4,890 4,385 4,715 4,725 4,525

1,913 Caribbean 1,969 2,227 2,239 2,000 2,150

465 Others 466 632 736 580 640

75,895 Total 79,757 90,358 99,905 81,497 82,645

Production none

330,763 North America 311,095 298,843 366,426 341,960 365,612

63,565 South America 65,826 83,335 90,357 72,954 77,960

66,471 European Union 60,668 53,829 47,555 62,721 55,766

10,199 Other Europe 10,333 9,350 7,239 9,965 9,585


5,656 Middle East 6,439 5,183 5,083 6,309 5,984

6,042 North Africa 6,134 6,351 6,376 6,419 6,502


132,081 East Asia 141,106 153,453 154,009 167,571 156,665

18,871 South Asia 19,920 20,115 23,980 24,160 23,520

2,633 Central America 2,757 2,885 3,244 3,243 3,053

21,330 Southeast Asia 21,745 23,605 25,825 25,913 26,600

1,223 Others 1,208 1,055 1,216 1,197 1,179

714,919 Total 698,784 712,380 791,871 791,499 797,831


262,821 North America 270,723 272,816 307,401 303,116 326,334

56,283 South America 59,799 63,172 66,112 65,205 69,205

63,200 European Union 61,500 62,300 64,000 62,000 60,000

9,474 Other Europe 9,426 8,995 7,817 8,102 8,255


13,202 Middle East 13,526 14,658 15,429 15,278 15,528

15,702 North Africa 14,871 16,061 15,664 15,800 16,200


163,073 East Asia 168,788 176,719 180,503 182,716 189,450

18,508 South Asia 19,319 18,982 19,474 21,795 22,545

23,576 Southeast Asia 25,837 26,597 28,499 29,350 30,075

5,125 Central America 5,350 5,800 5,900 5,800 5,950

3,107 Others 3,201 3,198 3,410 3,280 3,255

686,350 Total 705,397 724,135 770,868 773,743 807,433

Ending Stocks none

60,028 North America 54,676 37,535 46,843 47,920 47,800

8,634 South America 6,988 8,256 17,621 16,059 13,754

8,108 European Union 9,461 7,382 4,362 6,083 2,849

1,254 Other Europe 1,167 1,156 976 1,450 1,275


2,625 Middle East 2,735 3,244 3,018 3,427 2,508

1,061 North Africa 1,303 1,567 1,656 1,875 1,527


39,844 East Asia 38,328 39,745 43,373 56,630 52,095

833 South Asia 946 919 1,116 1,201 1,216

1,720 Southeast Asia 2,085 2,642 3,282 3,301 3,141

615 Central America 740 729 769 643 561

210 Others 184 300 304 196 260

131,434 Total 124,281 108,866 129,605 145,881 134,041




February 2010

World Barley Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

900871937537309338 Argentina

3,8003,2783,3771,9275,2314,481 Australia

1,5001,6182,9471,3371,8761,476 Canada

2017814933 China

5667100 Egypt

1,5002,3743,8884,3662,5874,240 EU-27

50031480660623976 Kazakhstan

2,2003,5981,2771,6911,3971,488 Russia

51149nrnr Serbia

5003034554626 Turkey

6,0005,8713,8142,9114,9263,992 Ukraine

50026112410 Uruguay

055452186554 Others

16,98018,01617,67614,07717,16016,174 Subtotal

100158901528357771 United States

17,08018,17418,57714,60517,51716,945 World Total

none

TY Imports

250400285267164182 Brazil

1,5001,5511,0911,1272,2172,049 China

250225256243198234 Colombia

150175519167168212 EU-27

8001,4001,0003007001,300 Iran

325375251224314313 Israel

1,4001,3461,3611,3591,4171,522 Japan

500525528804811607 Jordan

200255254217203188 Kuwait

20030016658248276 Libya

150125168813148 Mexico

7,5007,7008,0006,0007,1006,500 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,050900350750500 Syria

300300378866606514 Tunisia

250125252294326148 United Arab Emirates

1,2601,6562,0831,7461,6151,831 Others

16,03517,50817,49214,10316,86816,424 Subtotal

44594373148525364 Unaccounted

600572712354124157 United States

17,08018,17418,57714,60517,51716,945 World Total



February 2010

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production

2,0005609507004001,314 Algeria

1,6001,6001,4751,265800886 Argentina

8,3007,6697,1604,2579,4837,740 Australia

1,6502,0001,7001,3501,8002,000 Belarus

9,52011,78110,9849,57311,67812,557 Canada

3,1002,9002,7853,1153,4003,222 China

1,3001,4841,3551,3521,2711,320 Ethiopia

61,98765,45957,54556,22054,75264,085 EU-27

1,5001,2301,3301,2201,2001,300 India

2,6002,0003,0003,0002,8572,940 Iran

2,6001,8002,5001,9001,5001,500 Kazakhstan

3,7001,2727632,5351,1022,760 Morocco

17,90023,10015,65018,10015,80017,200 Russia

6,0005,6006,0007,5007,6007,400 Turkey

11,80012,6006,00011,3509,00011,100 Ukraine

8,3997,6758,9539,0529,0159,016 Others

143,956148,730128,150132,489131,658146,340 Subtotal

4,9495,2304,5753,9234,6136,091 United States

148,905153,960132,725136,412136,271152,431 World Total

none

Total Consumption

4,1003,6003,1004,0003,5003,500 Australia

1,7002,0001,7501,6001,9501,900 Belarus

8,4509,0657,91610,1909,61110,138 Canada

4,5004,3003,9004,2005,4005,350 China

59,00057,50054,20055,70054,05054,580 EU-27

1,4501,0001,0001,2201,2001,300 India

3,3003,9003,6003,4004,2003,800 Iran

1,5501,6001,6001,6501,6501,650 Japan

1,8001,6001,7001,3501,4001,550 Kazakhstan

2,8001,5751,9002,5002,5252,625 Morocco

17,10017,10015,05016,40015,50016,500 Russia

7,9307,7307,4306,8106,5105,610 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,7501,0001,1501,5501,250 Syria

5,7005,7006,1007,3007,3007,300 Turkey

6,1006,0004,9006,3005,3006,400 Ukraine

14,34414,00714,72814,47314,30814,146 Others

141,430138,682129,596138,606136,677136,759 Subtotal

4,7895,1274,3244,5964,5705,672 United States

146,219143,809133,920143,202141,247142,431 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

884234333462554876 Algeria

2,8972,4971,6629882,5821,866 Australia

2,4632,8431,5681,4913,2893,435 Canada

12,00310,3665,7055,8248,53511,063 EU-27

1,1391391149034811,403 Morocco

2,2873,6371,0251,2728732,110 Russia

2,3682,2982,4282,4582,5681,978 Saudi Arabia

5,8385,7745,2495,8666,3227,003 Others

29,87927,78818,08419,26425,20429,734 Subtotal

2,5271,9321,4851,5002,3502,796 United States

32,40629,72019,56920,76427,55432,530 World Total


February 2010

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

291 North America 201 476 933 739 800

538 South America 517 723 751 830 700

212 European Union 168 167 519 175 150

104 Other Europe 156 220 207 148 180


9,682 Middle East 10,303 8,278 11,572 11,699 10,885

1,488 North Africa 1,392 1,521 1,144 1,075 625

104 Sub-Saharan Africa 81 51 154 129 85

3,768 East Asia 3,816 2,595 2,550 2,996 3,000

3 South Asia 21 0 0 45 50

15 Oceania 5 0 0 0 0

16,581 Total 16,992 14,457 18,204 18,080 16,635

Production none

19,580 North America 17,051 14,365 16,212 17,822 15,250

2,065 South America 1,827 2,287 2,601 2,644 2,693

64,085 European Union 54,752 56,220 57,545 65,459 61,987

1,781 Other Europe 1,611 1,548 1,412 1,548 1,458


11,926 Middle East 12,335 12,520 10,927 8,291 9,630

4,719 North Africa 2,212 3,835 2,493 2,427 6,345


3,678 East Asia 3,848 3,549 3,240 3,377 3,550

1,655 South Asia 1,664 1,742 1,935 1,637 2,107

8,120 Oceania 9,883 4,657 7,560 8,069 8,700

152,431 Total 136,271 136,412 132,725 153,960 148,905


16,760 North America 15,106 15,711 13,115 15,117 14,139

2,317 South America 2,120 2,227 2,423 2,489 2,477

54,580 European Union 54,050 55,700 54,200 57,500 59,000

1,830 Other Europe 1,776 1,738 1,640 1,650 1,685


20,345 Middle East 22,265 21,434 20,831 21,175 20,510

5,089 North Africa 4,880 4,930 4,452 3,863 5,380


7,457 East Asia 7,492 6,219 5,858 6,259 6,410

1,656 South Asia 1,667 1,743 1,606 1,436 2,107

3,900 Oceania 3,900 4,400 3,500 4,000 4,500

143,271 Total 140,524 142,839 134,198 143,554 146,213

Ending Stocks none

6,472 North America 5,746 3,108 3,106 4,862 5,108

351 South America 191 292 237 223 189

11,063 European Union 8,535 5,824 5,705 10,366 12,003

307 Other Europe 283 319 277 320 268


4,779 Middle East 5,196 4,904 4,466 4,439 4,444

2,539 North Africa 1,332 1,559 721 623 2,208


836 East Asia 1,005 881 732 829 949

30 South Asia 49 49 31 61 111

1,921 Oceania 2,637 1,046 1,698 2,533 2,933

32,530 Total 27,554 20,764 19,569 29,720 32,406




February 2010

World Sorghum Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

1,0009071,172959226279 Argentina

1,1001,36034025190370 Australia

1000116115024 Brazil

50322231442628 China

505050505050 Nigeria

404821312336 South Africa

10051005025 Sudan

7090153301831 Others

2,5102,4922,1751,404535823 Subtotal

3,8003,6096,6644,3804,9614,541 United States

6,3106,1018,8395,7845,4965,364 World Total

none

TY Imports

3754042681894671 Chile

200202666750 Colombia

50844000 Ecuador

10014030000 Ethiopia

150665,2671,47477218 EU-27

7571144784434 Israel

1,6001,6291,0841,2761,3931,374 Japan

2,7002,4961,1561,9543,0292,931 Mexico

300300300300211160 Sudan

757283646961 Taiwan

400299617267472399 Others

6,0255,6879,0595,6695,3465,248 Subtotal

285411-221113150115 Unaccounted

031201 United States

6,3106,1018,8395,7845,4965,364 World Total



February 2010

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production

3,3001,6602,9372,8002,3302,900 Argentina

1,8502,6713,7901,2831,9292,011 Australia

1,9001,9102,0001,5001,5432,051 Brazil

1,8001,8001,5071,5161,5531,134 Burkina

1,7001,8001,9202,1832,5462,328 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6002,6192,6592,3162,1741,716 Ethiopia

623515525542489499 EU-27

6,0007,3107,9307,1507,6307,240 India

925900901770629664 Mali

6,4006,3006,2005,8105,5005,890 Mexico

9001,000930800750500 Niger

11,50011,00010,00010,50010,50010,000 Nigeria

4,7004,7004,5005,2004,2752,700 Sudan

900900900850890820 Tanzania

6,6236,5606,0546,3175,9685,935 Others

52,62152,54553,65350,43749,60647,288 Subtotal

9,72811,99812,6367,0329,97611,522 United States

62,34964,54366,28957,46959,58258,810 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,7007001,7001,7002,3002,600 Argentina

1,2051,6052,2051,2051,8951,755 Australia

1,8001,9001,8001,3751,5752,100 Brazil

1,8001,8001,5071,5161,5531,134 Burkina

1,8502,0002,0002,0502,3002,300 China

900950900900900900 Egypt

2,8002,7002,6002,3002,1001,716 Ethiopia

6,1007,2007,9007,1007,5007,200 India

1,6001,6001,1001,3501,4001,400 Japan

925900901770629669 Mali

9,2008,6007,2008,1008,6009,300 Mexico

9501,0501,025825750550 Niger

11,45010,9509,95010,45010,4509,950 Nigeria

5,0005,0005,0005,0004,2503,500 Sudan

900895900850890820 Tanzania

8,3418,35613,4868,1507,3016,756 Others

56,51256,36060,22554,26554,43652,791 Subtotal

6,0968,3085,0814,0124,8186,254 United States

62,60864,66865,30658,27759,25459,045 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

65656195180161328 Argentina

3026577911623114 Australia

232232220124113133 Brazil

234419637928935706 China

469569373217553624 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

592692697997547313 Sudan

8101,005892886970978 Others

3,4953,8304,0053,5483,5023,396 Subtotal

1,4661,3901,3408141,6681,446 United States

4,9615,2205,3454,3625,1704,842 World Total


February 2010

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

2,932 North America 3,029 1,956 1,157 2,499 2,700

158 South America 76 284 432 666 655

218 European Union 77 1,474 5,267 66 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 142 0 25

34 Middle East 47 79 156 80 80

0 North Africa 39 0 11 45 30


1,450 East Asia 1,485 1,349 1,196 1,719 1,705

7 Southeast Asia 7 9 31 14 25

8 Others 0 3 5 4 0

5,249 Total 5,346 5,671 9,060 5,690 6,025

Production none

17,412 North America 15,476 12,842 18,836 18,298 16,128

336 Central America 324 329 381 292 321

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,874 South America 4,794 5,122 5,661 4,625 6,256

499 European Union 489 542 525 515 623

568 Middle East 494 671 695 675 675

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,341 East Asia 2,554 2,191 1,940 1,820 1,720

7,426 South Asia 7,783 7,305 8,081 7,455 6,145


2,011 Oceania 1,929 1,283 3,790 2,671 1,850

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

58,810 Total 59,582 57,469 66,289 64,543 62,349


15,554 North America 13,418 12,112 12,281 16,908 15,296

355 Central America 333 328 369 308 318

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,684 South America 4,866 4,159 4,719 4,291 5,217

505 European Union 680 1,280 6,305 905 705

576 Middle East 558 752 855 754 750

915 North Africa 954 915 924 965 950


3,786 East Asia 3,784 3,475 3,222 3,699 3,560

7,387 South Asia 7,653 7,258 8,053 7,349 6,245


1,755 Oceania 1,895 1,205 2,205 1,605 1,205

0 Others 0 0 142 0 25

58,904 Total 59,211 57,653 65,255 64,514 62,617

Ending Stocks none

2,070 North America 2,221 1,031 1,713 1,959 1,935

22 Central America 17 18 31 14 17

565 South America 378 393 491 397 976

241 European Union 100 14 71 32 45

38 Middle East 20 19 14 16 21

39 North Africa 39 39 41 29 29

758 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,030 1,541 1,277 1,331 1,161

892 East Asia 1,121 1,042 733 541 356

80 South Asia 206 247 183 243 118

114 Oceania 23 16 791 657 302

23 Others 15 2 0 1 1

4,842 Total 5,170 4,362 5,345 5,220 4,961




February 2010

World Oats Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

551212 Argentina

15016117441191137 Australia

1,7001,7892,3211,9211,7541,374 Canada

253117412729 Chile

150103133119234356 EU-27

5510955 Kazakhstan

56214017 Ukraine

0514824 Others

2,0402,1052,6912,1452,2141,924 Subtotal


2,0802,1432,7442,1782,2541,955 World Total

none

TY Imports

551952 Algeria

553476 Bosnia and Herzegovina

151417182116 Canada

20391391813 China

252514182626 Colombia

551514130 Ecuador

542521 EU-27

604668625967 Japan

10082131618153 Mexico

555511 Morocco

50104759512 Norway

252518131842 South Africa

505256515643 Switzerland

55123013 Turkey

038719 Others

375325410338359294 Subtotal

1053190466432 Unaccounted

1,6001,7872,2441,7941,8311,629 United States

2,0802,1432,7442,1782,2541,955 World Total



February 2010

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production

1408080808080 Algeria

500290470400350508 Argentina

1,2601,2051,5027481,6901,283 Australia

800900600550600770 Belarus

475475475475517433 Brazil

2,8004,2734,6963,8523,2833,467 Canada

310344384380420425 Chile

600600600600600600 China

8,6078,8658,6347,7687,9689,146 EU-27

160160160140140140 Kazakhstan

148148124152127103 Mexico

245328276248279367 Norway

5,4005,8005,4004,9004,5504,950 Russia

210200200210270270 Turkey

7309505507008001,000 Ukraine

475457457483466462 Others

22,86025,07524,60821,68622,14024,004 Subtotal

1,3511,2941,3131,3571,6671,679 United States

24,21126,36925,92123,04323,80725,683 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1458586888480 Algeria

500300455400350500 Argentina

1,1001,0851,3357101,4801,175 Australia

800900575550625700 Belarus

475475475475515425 Brazil

1,5501,7701,9332,2831,9661,978 Canada

285315350350400400 Chile

625625615615620610 China

8,4008,5008,6507,6477,8688,719 EU-27

150155150135135135 Kazakhstan

250210235245175185 Mexico

300328336303334368 Norway

5,6005,4005,4004,9004,6004,900 Russia

215205213211270292 Turkey

750900550675825975 Ukraine

648615630651649641 Others

21,86221,87422,31220,16420,93622,102 Subtotal

3,1612,9683,1613,1793,2873,297 United States

25,02324,84225,47323,34324,22325,399 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

798499848585 Argentina

155145175189185166 Australia

757575505075 Belarus

1,0921,527950556872974 Canada

10811399101107109 China

964902625795769906 EU-27

384584184186190242 Russia

187209157190164203 Others

3,0443,6392,3642,1512,4222,760 Subtotal

1,0041,221969734763841 United States

4,0484,8603,3332,8853,1853,601 World Total


February 2010

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

1,698 North America 1,933 1,873 2,392 1,883 1,715

28 South America 40 33 30 33 30

1 European Union 2 5 2 4 5

51 Other Europe 114 114 108 67 105


13 Middle East 0 3 12 5 5

3 North Africa 6 14 6 10 10


80 East Asia 77 71 81 85 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,923 Total 2,190 2,132 2,654 2,112 1,975

Production none

5,249 North America 5,077 5,361 6,133 5,715 4,299

1,397 South America 1,316 1,303 1,352 1,132 1,326

9,146 European Union 7,968 7,768 8,634 8,865 8,607

636 Other Europe 556 525 553 605 522


270 Middle East 270 210 200 200 210

110 North Africa 110 110 110 110 170


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

1,358 Oceania 1,765 823 1,577 1,280 1,335

25,683 Total 23,807 23,043 25,921 26,369 24,211


5,460 North America 5,428 5,707 5,329 4,948 4,961

1,382 South America 1,333 1,303 1,330 1,143 1,331

8,719 European Union 7,868 7,647 8,650 8,500 8,400

687 Other Europe 666 635 676 655 632


292 Middle East 270 211 213 205 215

110 North Africa 115 123 121 120 180


680 East Asia 680 680 685 675 685

1,250 Oceania 1,555 785 1,410 1,160 1,175

25,380 Total 24,183 23,417 25,149 24,836 24,954

Ending Stocks none

1,821 North America 1,644 1,298 1,927 2,755 2,101

120 South America 119 119 127 110 108

906 European Union 769 795 625 902 964

45 Other Europe 40 45 38 51 46



1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


113 East Asia 112 105 103 115 112

166 Oceania 185 189 175 145 155

3,601 Total 3,185 2,885 3,333 4,860 4,048




February 2010

World Rye Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

TY Exports

505075505050 Belarus

12575167207141123 Canada

12511459313381677 EU-27

5014866400 Russia

1060049122 Ukraine

003000 Others

360259390634621972 Subtotal


370265398636622974 World Total

none

TY Imports

500000 Canada

258883626 EU-27

2515771102111 Israel

1005783258279261 Japan

576878 Korea, South

2020416413 Norway

544492 Switzerland

1051618261 Turkey

0021872189 Others

195116210429477651 Subtotal

5041367115149 Unaccounted

125108152136130174 United States

370265398636622974 World Total



February 2010

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Feb

none

Production


1,7001,6001,3001,2001,1501,400 Belarus

280316252383330398 Canada

9,5039,2347,6796,5417,68810,031 EU-27

4,3004,5003,9003,0003,6002,850 Russia

270250265271270270 Turkey

9501,0505506001,0501,600 Ukraine

177198190169186188 Others

17,23517,20314,21312,21914,32916,826 Subtotal

178203160183191210 United States

17,41317,40614,37312,40214,52017,036 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,6001,5001,2001,2001,1001,250 Belarus

160147143243158174 Canada

9,4008,7007,3007,4008,62010,135 EU-27

956090258279261 Japan

505047505050 Kazakhstan

476847423955 Norway

4,3004,2503,7503,1003,6003,300 Russia

280255281276277329 Turkey

9509505508001,0501,300 Ukraine

135125121176238230 Others

17,12016,21413,67613,74415,45217,245 Subtotal

295292335337332344 United States

17,41516,50614,01114,08115,78417,589 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

314264214189239239 Belarus

12812835117185145 Canada

1,4451,4421,0136161,8743,156 EU-27

151013202020 Japan

247297633212677 Russia

1491596565267336 Ukraine

000011 Others

2,2982,3001,4031,0392,7123,974 Subtotal


2,3112,3131,4131,0512,7303,994 World Total


February 2010

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Feb

2009/10

TY Imports none

174 North America 130 136 152 108 130

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

6 European Union 2 36 88 8 25

17 Other Europe 14 22 10 24 25


172 Middle East 104 89 23 20 35


269 East Asia 286 266 89 64 105

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

825 Total 607 565 362 224 320

Production none

608 North America 521 566 412 519 458

94 South America 64 61 83 61 61

10,031 European Union 7,688 6,541 7,679 9,234 9,503

110 Other Europe 104 90 111 119 98


270 Middle East 270 271 265 250 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,036 Total 14,520 12,402 14,373 17,406 17,413


518 North America 490 580 478 439 455

94 South America 64 61 83 61 61

10,135 European Union 8,620 7,400 7,300 8,700 9,400

128 Other Europe 121 110 126 142 123


440 Middle East 379 347 288 270 305


269 East Asia 286 266 96 67 100

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,517 Total 15,798 13,937 13,941 16,452 17,367

Ending Stocks none

165 North America 203 129 45 141 141

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

3,156 European Union 1,874 616 1,013 1,442 1,445

1 Other Europe 1 0 0 0 0




20 East Asia 20 20 13 10 15

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

3,994 Total 2,730 1,051 1,413 2,313 2,311




February 2010


31

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 32 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 33 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 34 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 35 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 39 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 41 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 44

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 45 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 46 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 47 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 48 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 49

DG F/SA &F

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.15.124.5 2006/07 14.1

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.3

151.1 127.561.025.37.75.726.7 2008/09 18.3

138.2 127.059.019.06.55.425.5 2009/10 17.1

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.9

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.3

150.2 143.6107.86.73.94.533.6 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.0

166.6 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.1

146.3 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.3

137.4 147.9110.34.78.04.331.8 2006/07 15.1

136.1 154.2118.94.620.34.232.0 2007/08 12.8

161.6 152.1113.95.63.44.833.5 2008/09 20.1

152.6 153.2114.13.32.84.732.5 2009/10 19.0

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.4 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.2

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.8

273.6 262.0164.319.412.74.659.5 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.3 260.3162.114.015.64.357.0 2003/04 24.5

313.5 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.6

278.6 275.1172.420.19.54.858.4 2005/06 45.7

262.3 273.4170.518.513.14.756.3 2006/07 29.2

256.3 270.7171.316.927.24.556.7 2007/08 25.1

312.7 279.6174.930.911.25.260.1 2008/09 38.4

290.8 280.2173.122.39.35.058.0 2009/10 36.0


February 2010

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.4

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.5

109.3 106.08.02.80.14.623.7 2007/08 39.0

112.5 102.55.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 48.7

114.5 102.05.01.00.64.824.0 2009/10 60.8

Coarse Grains

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.398.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.6

147.7 147.1103.23.82.35.129.1 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5105.05.51.25.131.4 2006/07 38.0

159.1 157.0105.80.91.24.932.2 2007/08 40.4

172.7 160.4110.80.21.75.332.5 2008/09 54.1

162.0 167.6116.70.61.65.032.6 2009/10 49.6


253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.5104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.8

210.4 242.8105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.8 2004/05 76.4

245.1 248.6106.75.23.34.751.9 2005/06 71.1

267.6 255.5109.08.21.54.955.0 2006/07 76.5

268.4 263.0113.83.71.24.855.9 2007/08 79.4

285.2 262.9115.80.92.15.156.2 2008/09 102.8

276.5 269.6121.71.62.24.956.6 2009/10 110.4


February 2010

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

6.0 6.60.60.11.03.91.6 1998/99 1.5

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.70.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.4

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 6.01.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.8

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.3

4.3 5.50.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.1

4.4 5.60.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.0

4.7 5.50.80.41.74.11.1 2008/09 1.4

4.5 5.80.90.51.73.61.2 2009/10 1.2

Coarse Grains

11.2 11.610.20.30.43.92.8 1998/99 0.9

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.4 10.59.20.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3

12.3 10.69.21.90.84.62.7 2008/09 1.8

11.7 10.89.42.10.94.72.5 2009/10 1.6


17.2 18.210.80.41.43.94.4 1998/99 2.4

16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.2

18.2 18.211.80.92.04.54.0 2004/05 3.4

16.9 18.011.61.62.14.43.8 2005/06 2.8

15.9 17.010.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 2.6

13.8 16.110.00.92.93.63.8 2007/08 2.3

17.0 16.110.02.32.44.43.8 2008/09 3.3

16.2 16.610.32.62.64.43.7 2009/10 2.8


February 2010

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

60.5 65.317.67.97.11.540.3 2003/04 10.6

85.6 72.221.116.14.91.846.5 2004/05 12.7

91.1 75.023.521.05.51.849.3 2005/06 13.3

84.9 72.621.622.36.01.945.8 2006/07 9.3

92.5 75.023.522.26.01.947.5 2007/08 10.6

115.6 76.624.937.76.52.251.6 2008/09 18.5

113.7 79.526.535.05.52.154.9 2009/10 23.2

Coarse Grains

55.4 56.839.36.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0

63.0 54.638.18.11.12.031.1 2004/05 7.4

55.3 50.134.18.61.12.028.3 2005/06 5.1

58.7 51.335.58.51.02.029.8 2006/07 5.1

53.9 50.434.85.31.01.829.2 2007/08 4.3

78.1 57.440.617.00.62.630.5 2008/09 8.5

67.4 55.839.314.10.52.329.7 2009/10 6.6


February 2010

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.5 7.52.78.10.01.112.4 2006/07 1.7

16.5 7.52.78.20.01.312.9 2007/08 2.5

12.6 7.52.75.70.10.913.5 2008/09 1.9

17.0 7.62.77.50.11.214.7 2009/10 3.9

Russia

44.9 36.414.110.60.91.923.6 2006/07 2.2

49.4 37.715.112.60.42.024.4 2007/08 1.8

63.7 38.916.218.40.22.426.7 2008/09 8.4

61.7 41.218.018.00.22.128.7 2009/10 11.1

Ukraine

14.0 11.72.13.40.12.55.5 2006/07 1.4

13.9 12.33.01.20.32.36.0 2007/08 2.1

25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1

20.9 12.12.89.00.13.16.8 2009/10 3.0

Uzbekistan

5.9 6.51.10.21.14.51.3 2006/07 1.2

6.2 6.81.20.21.04.81.3 2007/08 1.4

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.6

6.2 7.31.30.21.44.41.4 2009/10 1.7

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.7 10.51.60.13.92.23.0 2006/07 2.8

6.6 10.71.60.04.22.23.0 2007/08 2.9

7.4 11.21.80.34.72.43.1 2008/09 3.5

7.9 11.41.80.33.82.43.3 2009/10 3.4

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

84.9 72.621.622.36.01.945.8 2006/07 9.3

92.5 75.023.522.26.01.947.5 2007/08 10.6

115.6 76.624.937.76.52.251.6 2008/09 18.5

113.7 79.526.535.05.52.154.9 2009/10 23.2


February 2010


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

1.9 1.41.10.60.11.11.8 2006/07 0.2

2.5 1.71.40.80.01.41.8 2007/08 0.3

1.8 1.61.30.30.10.92.1 2008/09 0.3

2.6 1.81.50.50.01.32.0 2009/10 0.6

Russia

18.1 16.411.81.50.21.810.0 2006/07 1.3

15.7 15.110.51.00.21.69.6 2007/08 1.0

23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.6 2008/09 3.6

17.9 17.112.42.20.12.09.1 2009/10 2.3

Ukraine

11.4 6.34.65.10.02.25.2 2006/07 0.8

6.0 4.93.31.00.01.54.1 2007/08 0.8

12.6 6.04.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

11.8 6.14.46.00.02.45.0 2009/10 0.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0


2.4 2.61.80.00.12.11.1 2006/07 0.5

2.7 2.92.00.00.12.11.3 2007/08 0.4

3.1 3.22.40.00.12.71.2 2008/09 0.4

3.0 3.02.10.00.12.61.1 2009/10 0.5


34.0 26.919.57.30.51.918.1 2006/07 2.7

27.1 24.817.42.90.41.616.8 2007/08 2.5

40.9 28.120.510.10.22.417.1 2008/09 5.4

35.5 28.220.68.70.22.117.3 2009/10 4.1


February 2010


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2008/09 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2009/10 0.0

Russia

3.6 3.63.10.10.13.61.0 2006/07 0.2

4.0 4.33.70.00.33.01.3 2007/08 0.2

6.6 5.24.51.30.14.01.7 2008/09 0.3

4.0 4.23.70.20.32.91.4 2009/10 0.1

Ukraine

6.4 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.1

7.4 5.85.02.10.03.91.9 2007/08 0.7

11.4 5.74.95.50.04.82.4 2008/09 0.9

10.5 5.74.95.00.05.02.1 2009/10 0.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0


2.4 2.82.60.00.43.40.7 2006/07 0.5

2.0 2.52.20.00.22.60.8 2007/08 0.3

2.9 3.02.70.00.23.60.8 2008/09 0.4

2.5 2.72.40.10.13.60.7 2009/10 0.3


12.8 12.110.51.10.53.63.5 2006/07 1.8

13.8 12.911.22.10.63.44.1 2007/08 1.1

21.3 14.312.46.90.34.35.0 2008/09 1.7

17.4 12.911.35.30.44.14.3 2009/10 1.2


February 2010

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.1 5.00.111.70.02.66.1 2004/05 0.7

14.6 5.00.19.50.02.95.0 2005/06 0.9

16.1 4.90.110.70.03.05.3 2006/07 1.4

18.0 5.10.111.20.03.06.0 2007/08 3.1

9.0 5.00.16.70.02.04.6 2008/09 0.4

9.0 5.00.13.50.03.03.0 2009/10 1.0

Australia

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.13.49.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.2

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.64.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.0

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

20.9 6.93.814.70.11.613.2 2008/09 3.1

22.5 7.14.015.00.11.613.8 2009/10 3.6

Canada

20.6 7.73.616.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.5

16.2 8.03.79.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.80.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

26.5 8.13.218.50.42.89.5 2009/10 6.9

Total Wheat Competitors

60.4 18.16.442.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.7

38.6 19.37.225.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4

63.7 18.46.443.30.32.229.0 2003/04 12.8

62.8 19.37.141.30.32.228.9 2004/05 15.3


February 2010


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


65.5 19.87.641.50.42.426.9 2005/06 19.9

52.2 21.59.238.90.41.926.8 2006/07 12.2

51.6 18.45.734.80.51.927.2 2007/08 11.1

58.6 19.97.040.20.52.127.7 2008/09 10.1

58.0 20.27.337.00.52.226.3 2009/10 11.5

India

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.40.30.26.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.40.20.12.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.80.10.10.02.828.2 2008/09 13.5

80.6 76.10.10.10.12.927.8 2009/10 18.0

Turkey

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.4

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.21.88.6 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.08.6 2008/09 1.6

17.8 17.40.82.62.52.18.7 2009/10 1.9


February 2010


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.2

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 7.05.114.80.16.53.4 2007/08 2.0

12.6 5.03.19.50.15.62.3 2008/09 0.2

17.2 7.15.29.50.08.02.2 2009/10 0.8

China

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.9 152.0110.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 53.2

155.0 159.0116.00.50.15.230.0 2009/10 48.8

South Africa

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 10.04.42.50.04.32.9 2008/09 3.2

11.5 10.24.51.50.03.73.1 2009/10 3.0

Brazil

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6


February 2010


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 44.537.07.01.23.614.1 2008/09 13.3

51.0 45.538.59.00.53.813.3 2009/10 10.3

Total Corn Competitors

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.7

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 208.1150.425.30.94.850.9 2007/08 57.0

242.1 211.5154.519.21.44.949.1 2008/09 69.8

234.7 221.8164.220.50.74.848.6 2009/10 62.9


February 2010


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

7.7 3.62.63.20.01.64.8 2008/09 2.5

8.3 4.13.03.80.01.84.5 2009/10 2.9

Canada

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.11.50.13.32.9 2009/10 2.5

EU-27

58.8 54.939.74.21.44.214.1 2001/02 10.0

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.541.53.60.34.514.6 2008/09 10.4

62.0 59.043.01.50.24.414.1 2009/10 12.0


February 2010


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.3 2.32.10.20.05.00.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.50.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.71.51.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.2

1.7 0.70.61.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.1

3.3 1.71.51.00.04.70.7 2009/10 0.7

Australia

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.61.61.20.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.9 1.21.21.00.02.90.6 2009/10 0.3


February 2010

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

8,32328,61443434,32834,3633,0123,06555,821nr320,639 2007/08

17,86734,2917,02927,29527,6373,4603,45668,016nr322,541 2008/09

26,69032,1684,62722,50022,4533,2503,13060,314nr320,181 2009/10

Corn

41,255261,632150,20960,66361,913501509331,177nr935,014 2007/08

42,504259,053133,24547,90747,184337344307,142nr1031,796 2008/09

43,674282,334140,97650,00050,802300254334,052nr1032,225 2009/10

Sorghum

1,3405,0814,1886,6647,0301112,636nr52,749 2007/08

1,3908,3085,8953,6093,6433311,998nr42,942 2008/09

1,4666,0963,8103,8003,556009,728nr42,234 2009/10

Barley

1,4854,3246549019027126364,575nr31,417 2007/08

1,9325,1271,4491582885726325,230nr31,529 2008/09

2,5274,7891,0891001096005444,949nr41,260 2009/10

Oats

9693,1612,08153422,2442,1251,313nr2609 2007/08

1,2212,9681,88838491,7871,9751,294nr2567 2008/09

1,0043,1612,07340441,6001,6371,351nr2558 2009/10

Rye

103359986152179160nr2102 2007/08

132925668108100203nr2109 2008/09

13295581010125127178nr2102 2009/10

Rice, Milled

9424,078nr3,2733,3496517596,3448,99981,112 2007/08

9744,100nr3,1002,9937006106,5159,24181,204 2008/09

1,2714,171nr3,1503,2297356677,0309,97281,256 2009/10

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.


February 2010

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.3 422.61,329.7655.1202.22.4545.0 1987/88

1,218.0 338.61,302.0618.2203.32.2542.5 1988/89

1,327.4 319.91,346.2642.9208.92.4549.0 1989/90

1,417.3 368.01,369.2667.3190.12.6548.9 1990/91

1,355.5 358.81,364.7650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.3 397.61,389.7662.3205.22.6548.7 1992/93

1,355.8 364.51,388.9654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.1 360.91,395.6666.9200.12.6537.5 1994/95

1,338.0 318.51,380.4636.6187.52.5533.5 1995/96

1,490.2 365.81,442.9669.6198.42.7552.9 1996/97

1,491.4 412.31,444.8680.8190.32.8539.4 1997/98

1,481.6 445.41,448.5679.8198.72.8534.0 1998/99

1,464.7 441.91,467.7685.0214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,446.4 418.51,469.8693.7205.12.8513.9 2000/01

1,479.1 401.61,496.0709.1208.52.9516.1 2001/02

1,442.5 337.31,506.8707.8209.92.8506.5 2002/03

1,469.6 273.61,533.4711.3206.32.8515.8 2003/04

1,640.5 328.91,585.2749.9215.03.2517.4 2004/05

1,598.7 312.11,615.5748.8222.33.1520.1 2005/06

1,581.9 266.31,627.7739.5230.23.1517.3 2006/07

1,688.3 281.61,673.0751.7245.23.1536.0 2007/08

1,784.3 353.61,712.3757.0252.43.3537.5 2008/09

1,772.9 375.41,751.1772.6235.13.3534.9 2009/10

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


February 2010

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

498.4 159.1530.6113.6114.12.3220.1 1987/88

495.0 134.7519.5104.0104.32.3217.9 1988/89

533.2 136.6531.3103.7103.92.4226.5 1989/90

588.6 171.2554.1130.1101.32.5231.6 1990/91

543.3 162.9551.6113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.4 176.7548.3110.9113.22.5222.7 1992/93

558.2 182.2552.7108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

522.7 163.1541.899.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.1 155.6544.691.999.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.3 163.5573.496.7104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.0 196.3577.2100.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.2 207.8578.7103.6102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.7 209.5585.098.9112.02.7215.7 1999/00

582.9 207.3585.1104.4102.32.7217.9 2000/01

583.1 203.2587.2107.6108.02.7215.2 2001/02

567.9 166.6604.4111.9107.12.6214.5 2002/03

554.1 132.0588.796.3103.72.6209.6 2003/04

625.7 150.2607.4105.4113.82.9217.3 2004/05

619.9 147.5622.7110.9113.82.8219.3 2005/06

595.7 127.6615.6105.9115.62.8212.2 2006/07

610.5 121.1617.096.3116.42.8218.0 2007/08

682.7 164.0639.8112.7142.53.0225.0 2008/09

677.4 195.9645.6111.5124.33.0225.8 2009/10

Coarse Grains

786.9 263.5799.2541.588.12.4324.9 1987/88

722.9 203.9782.5514.299.02.2324.6 1988/89

794.2 183.3814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.7 196.8815.2537.388.92.6317.3 1990/91

812.2 195.9813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.8 220.9841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.3836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 197.9853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 162.9835.8544.788.22.5314.4 1995/96

908.9 202.3869.5573.094.42.8322.6 1996/97

881.4 216.0867.7579.885.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.3 237.6869.8576.196.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.0 232.4882.7586.0102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.5 211.2884.7589.3102.72.9296.0 2000/01

896.1 198.5908.8601.5100.53.0300.9 2001/02

874.6 170.7902.4595.9102.73.0292.0 2002/03

915.6 141.6944.7615.0102.63.0306.1 2003/04

1,014.8 178.7977.7644.5101.23.4300.1 2004/05

978.8 164.7992.8637.9108.53.3300.8 2005/06

986.2 138.71,012.1633.6114.63.2305.1 2006/07

1,077.9 160.51,056.0655.4128.83.4318.0 2007/08

1,101.6 189.61,072.5644.3109.93.5312.5 2008/09

1,095.5 179.51,105.5661.1110.73.5309.2 2009/10

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


February 2010

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

450.8 197.5458.2316.558.83.5127.0 1987/88

400.5 145.2452.8306.866.03.2126.1 1988/89

461.7 132.8474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

481.9 141.2473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 140.8493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.5512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.3509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 152.9535.6371.571.94.1135.3 1994/95

516.3 132.7536.5365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 165.6560.1387.666.74.2141.6 1996/97

574.4 166.2573.7401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.9 190.8581.4404.668.74.3139.3 1998/99

608.0 193.6605.2423.072.34.4139.0 1999/00

591.4 174.8610.2427.975.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.2 151.1624.9436.672.84.4137.7 2001/02

603.0 126.7627.3433.276.94.4137.2 2002/03

626.8 104.8648.7445.379.14.4141.7 2003/04

714.9 131.4688.3475.176.04.9145.0 2004/05

698.8 124.3705.9477.682.64.8145.4 2005/06

712.4 108.9727.8477.991.44.8149.2 2006/07

791.9 129.6771.1496.398.25.0159.9 2007/08

791.5 145.9775.2478.483.25.0157.1 2008/09

797.8 134.0809.7493.684.95.1155.3 2009/10

Barley

175.4 33.6173.5129.618.32.278.7 1987/88

164.4 31.7166.3121.919.02.276.4 1988/89

166.1 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 34.8166.5120.319.42.276.5 1991/92

166.2 34.9165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

168.9 34.8169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 29.9165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.4150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 23.9149.5106.317.92.365.6 1996/97

153.9 31.9145.9104.112.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 28.6139.499.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.5132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.2134.494.716.22.553.9 2000/01

143.3 28.9136.795.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 26.7136.695.016.32.455.7 2002/03

142.2 22.5146.4102.614.82.459.6 2003/04

152.4 32.5142.4100.016.92.657.9 2004/05

136.3 27.6141.297.417.52.456.0 2005/06

136.4 20.8143.298.314.62.457.0 2006/07

132.7 19.6133.991.718.62.357.2 2007/08

154.0 29.7143.8100.118.22.855.7 2008/09

148.9 32.4146.2101.817.12.755.2 2009/10

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


February 2010

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.7 117.6365.420.8364.03.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

565.4 120.3379.318.9381.53.8150.0 1996/97

575.0 127.7379.827.6387.33.8151.3 1997/98

586.9 134.0388.624.8394.93.8152.7 1998/99

608.9 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.3 1999/00

594.5 146.7395.924.5399.53.9151.9 2000/01

595.6 132.9414.127.9400.33.9150.9 2001/02

564.4 103.2408.827.6379.03.9146.4 2002/03

585.6 81.1414.727.3392.63.9148.9 2003/04

598.0 73.4409.529.0401.84.0151.3 2004/05

623.5 76.0416.029.1418.64.1153.3 2005/06

627.5 75.1421.731.9420.84.1154.1 2006/07

648.0 81.0428.529.8434.44.2155.1 2007/08

667.1 93.3434.929.0447.34.3156.6 2008/09

650.6 92.5437.130.8436.34.3152.5 2009/10

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


February 2010

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.



February 2010

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled



February 2010

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 01-10 January 2010. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 02-10 February 2010. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



February 2010

grains world markets and trade february 2010

Business

world total

world agricultural supply

trade prices

domestic supplies

trade changes

eu barley

ty imports united statesjun

global barley trade