graduation rate process (grade 9 students) anthony tran department of research & evaluation...
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Graduation Rate Process(Grade 9 Students)
Anthony TranDepartment of Research & Evaluation
12/01/2011
Demographics
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• 53,104 enrolled in K-12– 36 Elementary, 9 Intermediate, 10 High
School– 95.4% Hispanic– 58.3% English Learner– 77.3% Socio-Eco Disadv.– 9.1% Special Education– 95.0% API School Mobility– 99.0% API District Mobility
Different Graduation Rate Formulas
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• Number of graduates/number enrolled
• Greene Method (Manhattan Institute)
• Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR)
• Cumulative Promotion Index (CPI)
• Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Ohio, Virginia,…
• National Center for Education Statistics definition (NCES)
• Cohort Outcome (CDE)
What’s Missing?
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• In-depth view of student movement, within and in-and-out of district, throughout their high school career and its effect on who graduates.
• Critical Questions– How much movement is there really?– Where do students go when they leave?– How many students leave & do they come back?– What is our procedure for students leaving school?
Necessary Clarifications
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Non-graduates are not the same as dropouts
Graduate Non-Graduate DropoutDefinition:
Students who completed all graduation requirements and earned a high school diploma
Example:Student earned 220 credits,
passed CAHSEE and completed all other
graduation requirements
Definition: Students who earned a
special education certificate; earned a GED or passed the
CHSPE; etc.
Example:Student who passed away, exited school for medical issues, or transferred to
another school
Definition:Students who left prior to
completing the year AND is not enrolled in another
program leading toward a diploma OR grade 12 and did
not complete Grad requirements (w/ exceptions)
Example:Student who did not pass CAHSEE, transferred, but
never enrolled, expelled and not enrolled at another school
Important CALPADS Codes
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High School Graduates and Completers
Exit Reason
Completion Status Description Graduate Completer
E230 100 Graduated and received a standard high school diploma
Yes Yes
E230 250 Left school and obtained high school diploma through Adult Ed
Yes Yes
E230 106 Graduated with CAHSEE waiver No Yes
E230 108 Graduated with CAHSEE exemption
No Yes
E230 330 Left after passing the California High School Proficiency Exam
No Yes
E230 320 Left school and completed GED No Yes
E230 120 Student with an IEP left with a certificate of completion
No Yes
Important CALPADS Codes
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Exits counted as dropoutsfor grades 7-12 and Ungraded Secondary (US)
Exit Reason Completion Status Description
E140 No known enrollment, identified as truant
E300 Expelled with no known enrollment
E400 Other or unknown
N420 Student completed prior school year but did not return next year
T270 Transfer to Adult Ed and then dropped out
T380 Transfer to a non-academic institution and not in a program to get a HS diploma
T460 Transfer to a home school program not affiliated with a private school or independent study program at a public school
E230 104 Completed HS graduation requirements, but did not pass CAHSEE
E230 360 Completed, but did not complete grad requirements
T160* Transfer to another California school
T165* Disciplinary transfer within California
T167* Non-disciplinary referral to adult alternative or independent study
* Counts as a dropout if not subsequently enrolled at another school as of Census DaySee CALPADS Code Sets for more detailed exit code and completion status descriptions
See CALPADS Data Guide (Section 3.7, pp. 143-151) for detailed dropout definition
Our Cheat Sheet
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Attendance Exit Code
Grad Code
Name Definition
Accountability: GRAD/NON-
GRAD/ DROPOUT
Transfers (sending
school must follow-up )
Acceptable Evidence
230 110 Graduated, standard HS diploma
The student left school after meeting all state and local high school graduation requirements and received a standard high school diploma.
Graduate •Transcript • Graduation Date on SIS
230 104 Completed all local and state graduation requirements, failed CAHSEE
Has all requirements for graduation, but failed CAHSEE
Dropout • Documentation of Parent/Guardian contact attempts on SIS •date •staff name • who they spoke to • type of contact
230 106 Grad,CAHSEE mods & waiver
Special Education student who passes CAHSEE with 350 or higher using a modification and receives a board waiver.
Non-Graduate •IEP•Waiver Paperwork
sample.....
Grade 9 Cohort, pt 1
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2007 Grade 9 Cohort
Newly enrolled
Enrollment124 Re-enrolled in 2008:
4,837 -- 4,837 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate
0 Graduated -- --
605 School transfer 116 School transfer
88 Out of state 10 Out of state
76 Out of country 31 Out of country
0 GED/CHSPE/military 0 GED/CHSPE/military
0 Illness/deceased 0 Illness/deceased
11 Dropout 0 Dropout
4,057 Expected to enroll in 2008 -33 No Shows
2007 Grade 9 Cohort
Newly enrolled
Enrollment189 Re-enrolled in 2009:
4,181 266 4,447 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate
0 Graduated +43 Re-enrolled from 2007
328 School transfer 85 School transfer
70 Out of state 22 Out of state
127 Out of country 26 Out of country
0 GED/CHSPE/military 0 GED/CHSPE/military
4 Illness/deceased 2 Illness/deceased
49 Dropout 20 Dropout
3,603 Expected to enroll in 2009 -9 No Shows
(124 re-enrolled) 4,057 + 124 =
4,181
2007 thru 2010 Enrollments 2007 Grade 9 Cohort Status (End of Year)
2007 Grade 9
4,837
2008 Grade
10
4,181
Grade 9 Cohort, pt 2
10
2007 Grade 9 Cohort
Newly enrolled
Enrollment3 No Shows in 2010:
3,789 369 4,158 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate 0 Spec Ed w/ certificate
26 Graduated +19 Re-enrolled from 2007
484 School transfer 23 School transfer
52 Out of state 10 Out of state
99 Out of country 3 Out of country
12 GED/CHSPE/military 1 GED/CHSPE/military
34 Adult Ed/ISUS 0 Adult Ed/ISUS
8 Illness/deceased 2 Illness/deceased
108 Dropout 30 Dropout
2,966 Expected to enroll in 2010 -91 No Shows
2007 Grade 9 Cohort
Newly enrolled
Enrollment
2,963 430 3,393 40 Spec Ed w/ certificate 29 Not Pass CAHSEE
2,522 Graduated 92 Did not meet Grad Req's
183 School transfer 1 Adult Ed dropout
2 Out of state 1 No show
2 Out of country 62 No known enroll
0 GED/CHSPE/military4 Home schooled
24 Adult Ed, non-dropout 260 Graduates
1 Illness/deceased 3 Spec Ed w/ certificates
185 Dropout 136 Dropouts
1 home school
10 adult ed
2 school transfers
18 incorrectly coded as exits
Dropout Reasons
(3 No Show s) 2,966 - 3 = 2,963
2009 Grade
11
3,789
(189 re-enrolled) 3,603 + 189 =
3,789
2010 Grade
12
2,963
Grad rate for grade 9 students in 2007 is 52% (2,522/4,837)
Grad rate for students that stay until grade 12 is 85% (2,522/2,963)
Cumulative
Graduates: 2,782/3,393 = 82%
So what do the different rates mean?but our dropout rate was not 48%
What We Learned
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• We didn’t have as many dropouts as people perceived
• Roughly 38% (1,874) of grade 9 students from 2007 didn’t make it to senior year as a result of transfers to another CA school, move out of state, move out of US, etc.
• 52% of grade 9 students from 2007 graduated, but it doesn’t mean we have a 48% dropout rate
• Passing CAHSEE is not the biggest obstacle to graduating, credit completion is
• There is a lot of confusion on appropriate use of exit codes & their definitions
What We Did & Continue to Do
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• Hired district-level registrar• Monthly meetings/trainings for Registrars and
Assistant Principals of Guidance• Continuing to assist with correct use of CALPADS exit
codes• Reemphasis and training on credit completion• Monitoring credit completion at all grade levels• Credit recovery beginning in grade 9
Contact Information
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Department of Research and Evaluation
Anthony Tran
714-558-5793