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URBIS RESIDENTIAL MARKET REGIONAL
OVERVIEW
GOLD COAST NORTH
The Gold Coast is one of Australia’s fastest growing regions, with population growth of 2.3 per cent per annum forecast, compared to 1.6 per cent across Australia. In recent times there has been a notable shift within the residential market towards the Northern Corridor of Gold Coast City with its proximity to Logan and Brisbane. The much anticipated Coomera Town Centre will drive the market within the Northern Corridor, cementing the area as a major growth area of the Gold Coast LGA.
© URBIS.COM.AU2 URBIS MARKET REGIONAL OVERVIEW - GOLD COAST NORTH
GOLD COAST UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL
GOLD COAST PRIVATE UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL (Under Construction)
WESTFIELD HELENSVALE
THEME PARKS Dreamworld, Warner Bros Movie World,Wet & Wild
COOMERA RIVER
GRIFFITH UNIVERSITY
BOND UNIVERSITY
SOUTHERN CROSS UNIVERSITY
GOLD COAST INSTITUTE OF TAFE
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Population estimates from the Queensland Government identified that the population within the Gold Coast North Catchment increased by 78,456 persons between 2001 and 2014, equating to approximately 6,035 additional persons per annum. It is expected this level of population growth will continue for the catchment, given the proximity to Brisbane and Gold Coast employment nodes, educational institutions and high transport accessibility.
POPULATION & DEMOGRAPHICS
GOLD COAST NORTH
GOLD COAST LGA
Detatched Dwellings 80.1% 60.4%
Average Household Size
2.9 persons
2.5 persons
Employed as Professionals 15.2% 17.4%
Median Age of Residents 33 37
Residents Aged 0-14 24.7% 18.5%
Residents Aged 30-55 37.4% 27.5%
Average Household
Income$1,732 $1,174
Owners Occupied Dwelling
64.2% 60.9%Occupied Dwelling Renting
34.9% 35.8%
HISTORICAL AND PROJECTED POPULATIONGold Coast North Catchment – 2001-2036
WHO LIVES IN GOLD COAST NORTH?
COMMUNITY & LIFESTYLE AMENITY EDUCATION
POPULATION GROWTH PER ANNUM(2014-2036)
4.0%
51,096
87,570
129,552
192,690
253,921
308,182
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2001
20
02
2003
20
04
2005
20
06
2007
20
08
2009
20
10
2011
20
12
2013
20
14
2015
20
16
2017
20
18
2019
20
20
2021
20
22
2023
20
24
2025
20
26
2027
20
28
2029
20
30
2031
20
32
2033
20
34
2035
20
36
ESTI
MA
TED
AN
D P
ROJE
CTE
D P
OPU
LATI
ON
PERIOD (ANNUAL)
Prepared by Urbis; Source: ABS, OESR
Prepared by Urbis; Source: OESRNote: The Catchment includes the suburbs of Pacific Pines, Gaven, Coomera, Helensvale, Hope Island, Jacobs Well, Alberton, Ormeau, Yatala, Oxenford, Maudsland, Pimpama, Upper Coomera and Willow Vale.
750 16,500
284 5,600
2,000
17,000
239
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© URBIS.COM.AUURBIS MARKET REGIONAL OVERVIEW - GOLD COAST NORTH 3
COMMONWEALTH GAMES $768 MILLION
In preparation for the 2018 Commonwealth Games, Gold Coast City, Queensland State Government and Federal Government will invest over $768 million in new infrastructure and upgrading of existing facilities between now and 2018.
GOLD COAST LIGHT RAIL $1.8 BILLION
Commencing construction in
January 2012, the Gold Coast Light Rail project was one of the largest public transport projects in Australia.
GOLD COAST UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL $1.76 BILLION
The Gold Coast University Hospital was completed in late 2013 at a cost of $1.76 billion. It provides a floor space of 170,000 square metres for clinical teaching and research facilities combined with specialised health services. Made up of seven main buildings, the facility provides a final capacity of 750 beds.
COOMERA TOWN CENTRE $500 MILLION
The Coomera Town Centre MasterPlan is intended to create a transit oriented activity centre which focuses on an active street life with a network of public streets and open space areas. The Town Centre itself will be the main retail, commercial and employment centre for the Pimpama-Coomera area, with large amounts of residential land expected to be developed around these core areas. The Coomera town centre will service a catchment of approximately 130,000 people by 2026, with population within the area forecast to reach 50,000.
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The Gold Coast LGA has registered nearly 4,000 new construction jobs
between 2010 and 2015
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
EMPLOYMENT
$9+ billion OF INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS PLANNED OR UNDER
CONSTRUCTION ACROSS THE GOLD COAST LGA
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3
1 2
9
6
7 8
11
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Prepared by Urbis; Source: NIEIRNote: The above figures are based on SLA Boundaries *Helensvale figures - sourced from ABS
GOLD COAST LGA
223,725 328,199
104,474 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
GOLD COAST REMAINDER
195,372 284,612
89,240 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
OXENFORD
3,311 5,190
1,879 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
HOPE ISLAND
3,712 5,234
1,522 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
HELENSVALE*
8,400 12,522
4,122 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
COOMERA-CEDAR
17,491 29,227
11,736 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
GOLD COAST NORTH
36,753 51,109
19,356 NEW JOBS
2011 2031 FORECAST
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A
B
B
C
C
DD
RENTAL ANALYSISAccording to the RTA, houses in the Gold Coast North Catchment have registered median rental growth of 3.9 and 3.0 per cent per annum for three and four-bedroom houses in the ten year period to March 2015. This has resulted in median rent prices of $430 for three-bedroom houses, $513 for four-bedroom houses as at March 2015. The demand for rental properties has also increased over the previous 5 years, with an overall increase of 12 per cent of rental contracts for houses.
This publication is prepared on the instruction of Advisory and is not suitable for use other than by the party to whom it is addressed. As the publication involves projections and assumptions it can be affected by a number of unforeseen variables. The forecasts and assumptions are a prediction and whilst Urbis has made every effort to ensure that the forecasts and assumptions are based on reasonable information, they may be affected by assumptions that do not necessarily eventuate or by know, or unknown, risks and uncertainties. It should be noted that past performance is not necessarily a reliable indication of future performance. The information in the publication does not represent financial advice and should not be regarded as such. It has been prepared without taking into account your financial situation or investment objectives. You should consider the appropriateness of the information in regards to your current financial situation or needs. Urbis accepts no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any such material. The information is subject to change without notice and Urbis is under no obligation to update the information or correct any assumptions which may change over time. This study has been prepared for the sole use of Tessa Advisory and is not to be relied upon by any third party without specific approval from Urbis. This publication is subject to copyright. Except as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part of it may, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) be reproduced, stored in a retrievals system or transmitted without prior written permission. Enquires should be addressed to the publishers. / EMR0136
URBIS MARKET REGIONAL OVERVIEW - GOLD COAST NORTH © URBIS.COM.AU
RESIDENTIAL & RENTAL MARKET REVIEW
The median sale price for houses within the Gold Coast North Catchment has risen 4.7 per
cent over the previous 12 months.
DEMAND VERSUS SUPPLYGold Coast North Catchment
AVERAGE REQUIRED
DWELLINGS PER ANNUM
2,9682,595
2016-2021
2021-2026
Prepared by Urbis; Source: ABS, OESR
CAPITAL GROWTH – HOUSESGold Coast North Catchment
4.7% 2.1%GROWTH PER
ANNUM
6.5%
1 YEAR 5 YEARS 15 YEARS
Prepared by Urbis; Source: CoreLogic
GOLD COAST NORTH HOUSE SALES CYCLEMarch 1985 – March 2015
Prepared by Urbis; Source: CoreLogicNote: The Catchment includes the suburbs of Pacific Pines, Gaven, Coomera, Helensvale, Hope Island, Jacobs Well, Alberton, Ormeau, Yatala, Oxenford, Maudsland, Pimpama, Upper Coomera and Willow Vale.
NUMBER OF HOUSE SALES MEDIAN HOUSE SALE PRICE
$450,000
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1985
MA
R 19
86 M
AR
1987
MA
R 19
88 M
AR
1989
MA
R 19
90 M
AR
1991
MA
R 19
92 M
AR
1993
MA
R 19
94 M
AR
1995
MA
R 19
96 M
AR
1997
MA
R 19
98 M
AR
1999
MA
R 20
00 M
AR
2001
MA
R 20
02 M
AR
2003
MA
R 20
04 M
AR
2005
MA
R 20
06 M
AR
2007
MA
R 20
08 M
AR
2009
MA
R 20
10 M
AR
2011
MA
R 20
12 M
AR
2013
MA
R 20
14 M
AR
2015
MA
R
MED
IAN
SA
LE P
RIC
E
NU
MBE
R O
F SA
LES
HALF YEAR PERIOD
250 sqm $169,000
$495,0003,414 sqm$490.80
MINIMUM
MAXIMUM
AV. PRICE PER SQMAREA PRICE
ACTIVE GREENFIELD MARKET SUMMARYGold Coast North Catchment – H2 2014
Prepared by Urbis; Source: Primary research
RENTAL YIELD COMPARISON - HOUSESGold Coast North Catchment – March 2015
$365 - $540 3.6% - 5.7%MEDIAN ASKING PRICE INDICATIVE RENTAL
YIELD
Prepared by Urbis; Souce: Suburb Scorecard March 2015
ACTIVE HOUSE MARKET SUMMARYGold Coast North Catchment – March Quarter 2015
1,788 $445,000NUMBER OF
HOUSE SALESMEDIAN HOUSE
SALE PRICE
Prepared by Urbis; Souce: Suburb Scorecard March 2015
TOTAL VALUE OF NEW HOUSESGold Coast North Catchment - June 2012 - Jun 2015
Prepared by Urbis; Source: ABS
2
3
1.8%
3.9%
1.5%
3.0%
3
4
TOW
NH
OU
SEH
OU
SE
WEEKLY RENTAL GROWTH Gold Coast North Catchment – March 2012-March 2015
Prepared by Urbis; Source: RTA
GROWTH 47.2%