globalism versus nationalism · in the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and...
TRANSCRIPT
Globalism versus Nationalism
Rawi Abdelal
April 2019
The past is never dead. It’s not even past.
—William Faulkner, Requiem for a Nun
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Three themes, three cycles:
A great power transition, still unfolding
Borders and the Other
Inequality and the Center
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Rise and fall
A great power transition
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Re-bordering the borderless world
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Some lingering, festering debates
About inequality
The Other
And how the elites let down “the people”
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Debates leading to populism on the Right
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Dutch parliamentary elections, March 2017
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French presidential and parliamentary elections, April-June 2017
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German parliamentary elections, September 2017
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Italian general election, March 2018
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Brazilian presidential election, October 2018
And on the Left
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Italian general election, March 2018
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Mexican general election, July 2018
And Left-Right
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France November 2018 – April 2019
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Belgium December 2018
The weakening middle
Between the angry extremes
With pressures for fragmentation
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Such as the BRexit
As a matter of consequence
And as metaphor
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50%50%
80Immigration
51Capitalism
71Internet
69Globalization
78The Green movement
74Feminism
80Social liberalism
81Multiculturalism
79
49
51
62
62
60
68
71
Share of survey participants who supported both leaving
the European Union and felt negative about a number of
concepts
Share of survey participants who supported both remaining in
the European Union and felt positive about a number of
concepts
LeaveRemain
BREXIT:FAULT L INES
OF
GLOB AL IZAT ION
Such as the 2016 U.S. election
As a revolution (of sorts)
And as allegory
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In the souls of the people, the grapes of wrath are filling and growing heavy, growing heavy for the vintage.
—John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath
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Reflections on the Revolution in France
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Inquiries into the Italian “Tsunami”
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The future enters into us, in order to transform itself in us, long before it happens.
—Rainer Maria Rilke
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