global swing states and the human rights and democracy order
TRANSCRIPT
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Global SwinG StateS workinG PaPer 2012
Global SwinG StateS and the human riGhtS
and democracy order
ted Piccone
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2012 Te German Marshall Fund o the United States. All rights reserved.
No part o this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any orm or by any means without permission in writing
rom the German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF). Please direct inquiries to:
Te German Marshall Fund o the United States
1744 R Street, NW
Washington, DC 20009
1 202 683 2650
F 1 202 265 1662
Tis publication can be downloaded or ree at www.gmus.org/publications.
G Sg Ss Pj
Tis working paper is part o an ongoing project undertaken by the German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF)
and the Center or a New American Security (CNAS). Te project, co-led by Daniel M. Kliman and Richard Fontaine,
examines how the United States and its European allies can partner more closely with Brazil, India, Indonesia, and urkey to
strengthen international order. Te views expressed here are those o the author and do not necessarily represent the views
o the project leaders or their respective institutions.
a GmF
Te German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF) strengthens transatlantic cooperation on regional, national, and
global challenges and opportunities in the spirit o the Marshall Plan. GMF does this by supporting individuals and institu-
tions working in the transatlantic sphere, by convening leaders and members o the policy and business communities,
by contributing research and analysis on transatlantic topics, and by providing exchange opportunities to oster renewed
commitment to the transatlantic relationship. In addition, GMF supports a number o initiatives to strengthen democra-
cies. Founded in 1972 as a non-partisan, non-prot organization through a gi rom Germany as a permanent memorial to
Marshall Plan assistance, GMF maintains a strong presence on both sides o the Atlantic. In addition to its headquarters in
Washington, DC, GMF has seven oces in Europe: Berlin, Paris, Brussels, Belgrade, Ankara, Bucharest, and Warsaw. GMF
also has smaller representations in Bratislava, urin, and Stockholm.
GmFs as Pg
Te German Marshall Funds Asia Program addresses the economic, oreign policy, and security implications o Asias rise
or the United States and Europe through research, publications, commentary, conerences, ellowships, study tours, and
collaborations with other GMF programs. Te Programs initiatives include the Stockholm China Forum, India rilateralForum, the Global Swing States Project, the Young Strategists Forum, rilateral Forum okyo, ransatlantic Workshop on
Pakistan, and high-level conversations at GMFs major conerences. Te program also publishes independent analysis by
more than 15 in-house experts on Asia and externally commissioned papers looking at American and European approaches
to the Asia-Pacic and on deepening cooperation between democratic Asia and the West.
a c f n a S
Te mission o the Center or a New American Security (CNAS) is to develop strong, pragmatic and principled national
security and deense policies. Building on the expertise and experience o its staf and advisors, CNAS engages policy-
makers, experts and the public with innovative, act-based research, ideas and analysis to shape and elevate the national
security debate. A key part o our mission is to inorm and prepare the national security leaders o today and tomorrow.
Cover photo: Egyptians gather in Cairos ahrir Square on February 9, 2011 to call or the resignation o President Hosni
Mubarak and the beginning o political change in Egypt. Joel Carillet
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Global Swing States and the Human Rightsand Democracy Order
Global Swing States Working Paper
November 2012
T P
T P S F D D f F P B I. H Catalysts for Change: How the U.N.s Independent Experts Promote Human Rights (B IP, ), Rising Democracies and the Arab Awakening: Implications for Global Democracy and Human Rights (BR E Aff, J ), Shifting the Balance: Obama and the Americas (. L, P W, B I P, ). F -8, M. P Ex D C-Ff D C Pj, z f ; W Off D f C f M, f 7 f . P, M. P U.S. S D-, N S C, D f Df.
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Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy Order 1
Building a democra
and human rights o
was one of the grea
accomplishments o
second half of the
century.
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The German Marshall Fund of the United States2
The Arab Spring
appears to have
been the spark to
get states to move
away from traditional
non-interventionist
posturing.
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Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy Order 3
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How Global Swing States View the Human
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Brazil
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The German Marshall Fund of the United States4
To the extent that it
becomes involved
with human rights
internationally, the
Brazilian governments
referred approach is to
emphasize economic,social, and cultural
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Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy Order 5
India is willing to
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The German Marshall Fund of the United States6
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Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy Order 7
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The German Marshall Fund of the United States8
Turkeys own gradual
evolution endows it
with credibility as an
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democracy and human
rights order.
Turkey
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Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy Order 9
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The German Marshall Fund of the United States10
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Established powers will
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xpand the voice of the
swing states in global
decision-making.
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Global Swing States and the Human Rights and Democracy Order 11
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