global seafood trade the role of aquaculture and consumer needs

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GLOBAL GLOBAL SEAFOOD TRADE SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs Jochen Nierentz Senior Officer

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GLOBAL SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs. Jochen Nierentz Senior Officer. World Capture and Aquaculture Production. World fish utilization and supply (excl. China). Comparison of discard estimates and retained catches. Capture Fisheries. Aquaculture. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

GLOBAL GLOBAL SEAFOOD TRADESEAFOOD TRADE

The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Jochen Nierentz

Senior Officer

Page 2: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

World Capture and World Capture and Aquaculture ProductionAquaculture Production

Page 3: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

World fish utilization and World fish utilization and supply supply (excl. China)(excl. China)

Page 4: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Comparison of discard estimates Comparison of discard estimates and retained catchesand retained catches

Page 5: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Capture Capture FisheriesFisheries

AquacultureAquaculture

World capture production in marine areas in 1000 tonnes

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

China

Developing countries (excl. China)

Developed countries

World aquaculture production (excl. aquatic plants) in 1000 tonnes

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

China

Developing countries (excl. China)

Developed countries

Page 6: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

2004 World 2004 World Aquaculture Aquaculture production production

Top 15 Top 15 Producing Producing

NationsNations

  Production

  2004 (1000 t)

China 30615

India 2472

Viet Nam 1199

Thailand 1173

Indonesia 1045

Bangladesh 915

Japan 776

Chile 675

Norway 638

USA 607

Philippines 512

Egypt 472

Korea, Rep. of 406

Myanmar 400

Spain 363

Page 7: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Developing Countries with Highest Increase Developing Countries with Highest Increase in Aquaculture Production 1999-2004 in Aquaculture Production 1999-2004 (excl. China)(excl. China)

0200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Mya

nmar

Iran

Vie

t N

am

Chi

leLa

oP

eopl

e's

Egy

pt

Bra

zil

Mex

ico

Tha

iland

Indo

nesi

a

Phi

lippi

nes

Ban

glad

esh

Rus

sia

Tur

key

1,00

0 to

nn

es

050100150200250300350400

% i

ncr

ease

199

9-20

042004

%

Source: FAO Fishstat

(with production in 2004 > 50,000 tonnes)

Page 8: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Trend of world aquaculture production Trend of world aquaculture production by major species groups, 1970-2004by major species groups, 1970-2004

Page 9: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

FAO ProjectionsFAO ProjectionsProjected world supply and demand for food

and feed fish at constant relative prices

1999/2001 2010 2015

Million tonnes – live weight

Capture Fisheries Production 93.8 101.1 105.1

Aquaculture Production 35.6 57.8 66.8

Total Production: 129.4 158.9 171.9

Page 10: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Factors Influencing Factors Influencing Capture FisheriesCapture FisheriesCost of Capture Fisheries Increases

Oil price More efforts to catch same volume Average size decreases Subsidies are under review More sophisticated equipment and ships More regulations

Environmental Food Safety

Handling at sea more costly than when aquacultured

Page 11: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Opportunities for AquacultureOpportunities for Aquaculture

Globalization Planning Security Creation of Regular Supply Consistency of Quality Lower cost in Value Chain Promotion Activities based on Available

Supplies Demand for Fresh Fish Technical Innovations

Page 12: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

AquacultureAquaculture

Problems for:

Environmental requirements Trade disputes (dumping, labeling) Fast technological productivity growth

leads to overproduction and lower prices Limiting factor: wild seed and feed

(fishmeal trap)? Price of feed?

Page 13: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Trade in SeafoodTrade in Seafood

Page 14: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Fish exportsFish exports

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

19

76

19

77

19

78

19

79

19

80

19

81

19

82

19

83

19

84

19

85

19

86

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

bil

lio

n o

f U

S$

Developed Developing

Page 15: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Top Exporters in 2004Top Exporters in 2004

Exports (US$ million)

  1994 2004 Change

China 2320 6637 186

Norway 2718 4132 52

Thailand 4190 4034 -4

USA 3230 3851 19

Denmark 2359 3566 51

Canada 2182 3487 60

Spain 1021 2565 151

Chile 1304 2484 90

Netherlands 1436 2452 71

Viet Nam 484 2403 397

UK 1180 1812 54

Taiwan PC 1804 1801 0

Page 16: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Top Importers in 2004Top Importers in 2004

  1994 2004 Change

Japan 16140 14560 -10

USA 7043 11967 70

Spain 2639 5222 98

France 2797 4176 49

Italy 2257 3904 73

China 856 3126 265

UK 1880 2812 50

Germany 2316 2805 21

Denmark 1415 2286 62

Korea Rep. 718 2233 211

Imports (US$ million)

Page 17: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Imports in Developing Imports in Developing CountriesCountries (US$ million)(US$ million)

  1994 2004 Change

China 856 3126 265%

Korea Rep. 718 2233 211%

China, Hong Kong SAR 1647 1908 16%

Thailand 816 1231 51%

Singapore 620 623 1%

Malaysia 304 528 73%

Taiwan PC 561 485 -14%

Nigeria 160 397 148%

Mexico 159 305 92%

Brazil 261 279 7%

Page 18: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Fish trade balanceFish trade balance

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

2

4

6

8

1976

1980

1990

2000

Latin America and the CaribbeanChinaAfricaOceaniaCanada and United StatesEuropeAsia excluding China

Su

rplu

sD

efi

cit

Page 19: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Price DevelopmentPrice Development

Page 20: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Price Indicators : FishPrice Indicators : Fish

Page 21: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Price Indicators : FishPrice Indicators : Fish

Page 22: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Price Indicators : Meat Price Indicators : Meat

Page 23: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

World: per capita consumption World: per capita consumption of fish and meatof fish and meat

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1961

1963

1965

1967

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

Total fishPigmeatPoultry MeatBovine MeatMutton & Goat MeatMeat, Other

Kg. (live weight and carcass weight)

Page 24: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

Price for Capture FishPrice for Capture Fish

Competition from aquaculture

Competition from alternative food products

(chicken, turkey, beef, pork)

Value addition as a cost factor reduces

share for raw material

Price pressure form retail and food service

sector

Page 25: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

1988 – 6.90 kg Edible Wt

Canned Tuna – 1.59 kg

Shrimp – 1.09

Cod – 0.78

Alaska Pollock – 0.54

Flatfish – 0.28

Clams – 0.28

Catfish – 0.27

Salmon – 0.20

Crab – 0.15

Scallops – 0.14

2004 – 7.53 kg Edible Wt % Change

Shrimp – 1.91 kg +74.8%

Canned Tuna – 1.50 -5.9%

Salmon – 0.98 +338.5%

Alaska Pollock – 0.58 +7.3%

Catfish – 0.49 +83.3%

Cod – 0.27 -64.9%

Clams – 0.21 -23.7%

Crab – 0.28 +89.3%

Tilapia – 0.32 NA

Flatfish – 0.15 -46.2%

Source: National Fisheries Institutefrom NMFS data

Top 10 Seafoods ConsumedTop 10 Seafoods ConsumedAquaculture now driving consumptionAquaculture now driving consumption

Page 26: GLOBAL  SEAFOOD TRADE The Role of Aquaculture and Consumer Needs

THANK THANK YOU!YOU!