global environment outlook -4: environment for development brown bag discussion unep, nairobi
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GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK -4: Environment for Development Brown Bag Discussion UNEP, Nairobi 4 October 2006 Munyaradzi Chenje Head, GEO Section, DEWA. Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October 2006. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK-4: Environment for Development
Brown Bag DiscussionUNEP, Nairobi4 October 2006
Munyaradzi ChenjeHead, GEO Section, DEWA
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK-4: Environment for Development
Brown Bag DiscussionUNEP, Nairobi4 October 2006
Munyaradzi ChenjeHead, GEO Section, DEWA
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Image Courtesy of NASA: SeaWiFs
Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October 2006
Keep under review the state of the global environment ...
UNGA Res. 2997 (XXVII)
1972
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Provide leadership and encourage partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring, informing, and enabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations
UNEP Mission
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Provide the world community with improved access to meaningful environmental data and information, and increase the capacity of governments to use such information for decision-making and action for sustainable human development
DEWA Mission
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Science Interface Policy
Assessments
Indicators
Early Warning
Monitoring
3 May 2001
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Global Environment OutlookGlobal Environment Outlook GEO is the UNEP flagship assessment which bridges science-
policy processes
Has two main components – overall process and main Consultative and participatory process, including capacity building
Main report and complementary products
Involves collaborating centres, UN agencies and other partners
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Global Environment OutlookGlobal Environment Outlook
Analyses environmental change, causes and impacts, and policy responses
Communicates, raises awareness, provides policy options
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO answers the following questionsGEO answers the following questions
What is happening to the environment and why?
What are the consequences for the environment and humanity?
What is being done and how effective is it?
Where are we heading?
What actions could be taken for a more sustainable future?
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO assessmentGEO assessment
IEA: links environmental state-and-trends with
policy responses integrates environmental analysis with social
and economic trends and policies incorporates global and sub-global
perspectives incorporates historical and future
perspectives involves diverse environment-socio-economic
expertise
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Support for multi-scale assessment and reporting
Con
tent
Context/Scale
Local
Sub-national
National
Sub-regional
Regional
Global
GEO assessmentGEO assessment
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Target audiences
• UNEP Governing Bodies
• Policy advisors in relevant government ministries
• UN
•IGOs, NGOs, civil society
• Scientific/Academic community
•Private sector
• General public, media
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
SUB-GLOBAL PRODUCTS
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO Targeted Products
GEO for Youth
Pachamama(Arabic, Chinese, Danish,
English, French, Italian,
Japanese, Korean, Spanish
and Thai)
Training Manual Capacity Building
for Integrated Environmental
Assessment and Reporting (Chinese, English, French and Spanish)
Technical reports
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GC.22/1IB (2003) - keep under review the world environmental situation by ... preparing the comprehensive Global Environment Outlook report series, following the full participatory and consultative GEO approach, every five years, with the next report for 2007
GC.23/6 (2005) calls for a GEO-4 process which involves governments and builds upon national, subregional and regional information, assessments and experiences ... and strengthens subregional and regional capacities
GEO-4 mandatesGEO-4 mandates
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO-4 assessment objectivesGEO-4 assessment objectives
Show how the environment is key to sustainable development, human well-being, conflict prevention, prosperity and poverty alleviation
Identify the direct and indirect drivers of environmental change and their impacts on the environment, and human well-being
Show the impacts of policy responses since the Brundtland Commission report – Our Common Future – in 1987 in terms of addressing the environmental challenges of today
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Analyse progress and barriers towards meeting commitments under MEAs; and effectiveness of policy responses
Identify emerging issues at global and regional levels that may impact human well-being
Use global and regional scenarios to show the impact of different policy interventions
Highlight the need for immediate action at different levels to mitigate and adapt to negative environmental change from human actions and enhance well-being
GEO-4 assessment objectivesGEO-4 assessment objectives
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
SECTION A: OVERVIEWSECTION A: OVERVIEW
• Introduction : GEO process, scope etcIntroduction : GEO process, scope etc • Chapter 1: Environment for DevelopmentChapter 1: Environment for Development
SECTION B: STATE AND TRENDS OF THE SECTION B: STATE AND TRENDS OF THE ENVIRONMENT: 1987-2007ENVIRONMENT: 1987-2007
• Chapter 2: AtmosphereChapter 2: Atmosphere• Chapter 3: LandChapter 3: Land• Chapter 4: WaterChapter 4: Water• Chapter 5: BiodiversityChapter 5: Biodiversity• Chapter 6: Regional PerspectivesChapter 6: Regional Perspectives
GEO-4 Outline
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
SECTION C: ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, HUMAN SECTION C: ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, HUMAN DIMENSIONSDIMENSIONS
• Chapter 7: InterlinkagesChapter 7: Interlinkages• Chapter 8: Challenges and OpportunitiesChapter 8: Challenges and Opportunities
SECTION D: THE OUTLOOK – TOWARDS 2015 AND SECTION D: THE OUTLOOK – TOWARDS 2015 AND BEYONDBEYOND
• Chapter 9: The Future TodayChapter 9: The Future Today
SECTION E: ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT: OUR SECTION E: ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT: OUR COMMON FUTURE REVISITEDCOMMON FUTURE REVISITED
• Chapter 10: Options for ActionChapter 10: Options for Action
GEO-4 Outline
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO-4 consultationsGEO-4 consultations
Intergovernmental consultation on strengthening the scientific base of UNEP - Jan 2004
GEO-4 Initial Design Meeting - June 2004
Regional Ad Hoc Expert Consultations - Sept-Oct 2004
Expert and partner consultations - Sept 2004-Feb 2005
GEO-4 Design Meeting - Nov 2004
Global Intergovernmental and Multi-stakeholder Consultation on the scope and process of the fourth Global Environment Outlook (GIMC) - Feb 2005
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO-4 1st Production and Authors’ Meeting - June 2005
Set-up of GEO Fellowship programme – August 2005
Lead Authors’ Meetings – October 2005 – Dec 2006
Internal review of Draft 0 of GEO-4 – Jan-Feb 2006
Human well-being meeting – Jan-Feb 2006
GEO-4 2nd Production and Authors’ Meeting - March 2006
Peer review of Draft 1 of GEO-4 – May-July 2006
GEO-4 Regional Consultations – June-July 2006
Revision into second draft – August-September 2006
GEO-4 chapter developmentGEO-4 chapter development
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
GEO assessmentGEO assessment
Policy insightPolicy insightGovernments – Governments – GC/GMEF, GC/GMEF, MEAs, regional MEAs, regional bodiesbodies
Methodology & Methodology & processprocess
CEGs, science, CEGs, science, data, scenariosdata, scenarios
Specialized Specialized inputsinputs
Collaborating Collaborating Centres, NGOs, Centres, NGOs, private sector, private sector, youthyouth
Specialized Specialized inputsinputs
Individual Individual experts, private experts, private sector, sector, universities, universities, networksnetworks
Data and Data and informationinformation
Databases & UN Databases & UN organizationsorganizations
UNEPUNEP
GEO ASSESSMENTGEO ASSESSMENT
HLCGHLCG
Task ForceTask Force
Chapter CoordinatorsChapter Coordinators
Divisional FPsDivisional FPs
Chapter expert groupsChapter expert groups
CLAs, CREsCLAs, CREs
GEO technical GEO technical reportsreports
GEO global and GEO global and regional dataregional data
GEO report GEO report seriesseries
GEO cities and GEO cities and national reportsnational reports
GEO regional GEO regional reportsreports
CAPACITY CAPACITY BUILDINGBUILDING
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Major advances made since 1987 in global governance regimes with the adoption of, inter alia, multilateral environmental agreements
Barriers to the realization of the vision of the Brundtland Commission persist because environmental challenges are complex and interwoven with the development challenges Environmental concerns are still not fully integrated into development policy formulation and planning
GEO-4 preliminary findingsGEO-4 preliminary findings
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Rapid growth in energy use, transport and consumption is resulting in unprecedented absolute growth in emissions causing climate change and air pollution Climate change will continue and there is an increasing concern on severity of anticipated impactsLand degradation is widespread and expanding. Land degradation in drylands (desertification) is at the centre of extreme environmental degradation and extreme poverty
GEO-4 preliminary findingsGEO-4 preliminary findings
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
All regions point to the threats of climate change, and concern about its potential impacts has grown in all regions over the past 20 years The poor are more vulnerable to natural and human disasters. Economic growth has not been accompanied by environmental sustainability
GEO-4 preliminary findingsGEO-4 preliminary findings
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Timetable for 2006Timetable for 2006
• 12 months left to GEO-4 launch in September 200712 months left to GEO-4 launch in September 2007• 3 months left to have final draft of GEO-4 report3 months left to have final draft of GEO-4 report• May - July: Peer review of 1May - July: Peer review of 1stst Draft Draft• June-July: Regional Consultations on GEO-4June-July: Regional Consultations on GEO-4• July-Sept: Revision and production of 2July-Sept: Revision and production of 2ndnd Draft Draft• 19-20 Sept: High-level Consultative Group meeting19-20 Sept: High-level Consultative Group meeting• 9 Oct-7 Nov: Second review process9 Oct-7 Nov: Second review process• 13-17 Nov: Final Production and Authors’ Meeting13-17 Nov: Final Production and Authors’ Meeting• 30 Nov: Deadline for submission Final Drafts by CEGs30 Nov: Deadline for submission Final Drafts by CEGs• December 2006: Sign-off on final GEO-4 Draft by UNEPDecember 2006: Sign-off on final GEO-4 Draft by UNEP
GEO-4 Schedule
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Eight draft chapters will be available at dewa03.unep.org/geo/review. The following details provide access to the documents:
Username: ReviewerPassword: GEO4Draft2
Comments should be sent to:
Deadline: 7 November, 2006
GEO-4 second reviewGEO-4 second review
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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006
Thank youThank you