global dependency to local resilience. intro via rob hopkins
TRANSCRIPT
Global Dependency to Local ResilienceGlobal Dependency to Local Resilience
intro via rob hopkins.intro via rob hopkins.
transition story.transition story.
2005 2006
3000 people 8000 people
“Inherent within the challenges of peak oil and climate change is an extraordinary opportunity to reinvent, rethink and rebuild the world around us.”
Rob HopkinsRob Hopkins
transition handbook.transition handbook.
Peak OilClimate ChangeRelocalizationPsychological EffectsPermaculture12 StepsCollective WisdomReskilling
2008
“Look at the world around you. It may seem like an immovable implacable place. It is not. With the slightest push – in just the right place – it can be tipped.”
Malcolm GladwellMalcolm Gladwell
The Tipping Point
climate change.climate change.
Union of Concerned Scientists : Citizens
& Scientists for Environmental
Solutions
climate change.climate change.
“We have at most 10 years – not ten years to decide upon action, but ten years to alter fundamentally the trajectory of global greenhouse gas emissions.”Director Goddard
Institute for Space Studies at NASA
James HansenJames Hansen
peak oil.peak oil.
“It is quite likely that the time interval before the global peak occurs will be briefer than the period required for societies to adapt themselves painlessly to a different energy regime.”
Richard Heinberg
Richard Heinberg
oil dependence.oil dependence.
“It’s always going to be difficult to come up with sustainable ways to support our unsustainable lifestyle.”
University of California on
biofuels.
New Scientist
Charles WymanCharles Wyman
r.o.i. vs. emissions.r.o.i. vs. emissions.
“To save the planet, we do not need miraculous technical breakthroughs, or vast amounts of capital. Essentially we need a radical change in our thinking and behavior.”
Ted TrainerTed Ted TrainerTrainer
prioritization. prioritization.
“Economic development, powered by cheap oil, has chewed up farmlands, devastated forests, made dead zones out of oceans, dried up aquifers, and has spewed vast quantities of toxins into our atmosphere, into our precious water supplies, fouling our biosphere – not to mention our own bodies.”
Great Unleashing
Sandpoint, ID
Michael Brownlee
Michael Brownlee
energy descent.energy descent.
“The Long Emergency is the end of childhood for us. And as humanity passes through this threshold to adulthood will be determined by us, and by other who are gathering in meetings like this all over the country and all over the planet.”
Michael Brownlee
Michael Brownlee
The challenge of global climate change makes a shift away from fossil fuels necessary for planetary survival.
Peak energy production means that the transition is inevitable.
Our only choice is whether to proactively undertake the transition now—or react to events later.
energy descent scenarios.energy descent scenarios.
BURN-OUTClimate Chaos
Business As Usual
COLLAPSEMad Max
Easter Island90s Cuba/Russia
TECHNO MARKETSSustainable Development
LEAN ECONOMYPowerdown
Slo
w D
ep
letio
n
Reactive Response
Proactive Response
Rap
id D
ep
leti
on
“The real issue of our age is how we make a graceful and ethical descent.”
Permaculture: Principles and
PathwaysBeyond
Sustainability
David Holmgren
David Holmgren
creative energy descent.creative energy descent.
“All things are possible once enough people realize that everything is at stake.”
Norman CousinsNorman Cousins
Positive Community Visioning
Inclusion/Reskilling
Awareness Raising
Relocalization & Resilience
Psychological Insights
relocalization.relocalization.
Local production of food, energy and goods.
Local development of currency, government and culture.
Reducing consumption while improving social and environmental conditions.
“The most radical thing you can do is stay home.”
Gary SnyderGary Snyder
inevitability.inevitability.
Practices that DO NOT Practices that DO NOT increaseincrease ResilienceResilience
centralized recycling
ornamental tree plantings
international organic food
carbon offsetting
ethical investments
imported ‘green’ building materials
SMALL +
Practices that DO Practices that DO increase Resilienceincrease Resilience
local composting
productive tree plantings
local organic food
locally produced energy
local currencies
local reused building materials
LOCAL =
SELF-RELIANTRESILIEN
T“The future with less oil [and less energy] could be preferable to the present, if we are able to engage with enough imagination and creativity sufficient in abundance of the peak…”
Rob HopkinsRob Hopkins
resilience indicators.resilience indicators.
FOOD PARKING PARKING
VS. LANDVS. LAND
BUSINESSES BUSINESSES & &
PRODUCTSPRODUCTSLOCALLY LOCALLY EMPLOYEDEMPLOYED
LOCALLY LOCALLY MANUFACTUREMANUFACTURED ESSENTIALSD ESSENTIALS
LOCALLY LOCALLY USED USED
MATERIALSMATERIALS
mkmkee
psychology of change.psychology of change.
● Physical● Bewilderment & unreality● Irrational grasping at unfeasible solutions● Fear● Nihilism or Survivalism● Denial● Exuberant optimism● “I told you so”
“Creating the world we want is a much more subtle but more powerful mode of operation than destroying the one we don’t want.”
Marianne Williamson
Marianne Williamson
inclusion & reskilling.inclusion & reskilling.
“Only a culture awash with cheap oil could become de-skilled on the monumental scale we have.”
Rob HopkinsRob Hopkins
positive vision.positive vision.
“Today as we are besieged by planetary problems, the wish is that we will deal with them in a pessimistic and unproductive style …A positive vision of the future ‘challenges the culture to dare, to be open to change and to accept a spirit of creativity that could alter it’s very structure.”
Graham BellGraham Bell
transition assumptions.transition assumptions.
By unleashing the collective genius of the community we can design ways of living that are more enriching, satisfying and connected.
Many skills for self-sufficiency have been forgotten and must be relearned.We need to act collectively and we need to act now.
Life with less energy is inevitable, and it is better to plan for it than be taken by surprise.
“In the face of almost certain uncertainty, our job is to rise to the occasion, to evolve…we will probably become some new kind of human at the end of it all-it is that big and that important.”
John L. Petersen
John L. Petersen
permaculture principles.permaculture principles.
Observe & Interact
Catch & Store Energy
Obtain a Yield
Apply Self-regulation & Accept Feedback
Use and Value Renewable Resources & Services
Produce No Waste
Design from Patterns to Details
Integrate Rather Than Segregate
Use Small and Slow Solutions
Use and Value Diversity
Use Edges and Value the Marginal
Creatively Use and Respond to Change
perma-essentials.perma-essentials.
“Permaculture is the conscious design and maintenance of agriculturally productive systems which have the diversity, stability, and resilience of natural ecosystems. It is the harmonious integration of the landscape with people…”
Graham BellGraham Bell
the 12 steps of transition.the 12 steps of transition.
Set up a steering group and design its demise from the onsetRaise awarenessLay the foundationsOrganize a Great UnleashingForm groupsUse open space
Develop visible, practical manifestationsFacilitate the “Great Reskilling”Build a bridge to local governmentLet it go where it wants toCreate an Energy Descent Action Plan
(Not chronological)
“[Transition] is not a process that comes along with all the answers. It is a process which is about getting people to thinking about the right questions.”
Rob HopkinsRob Hopkins
practical manifestations.practical manifestations.
TOTNES : NUT TREE CAPITAL OF BRITIN
LOCAL FOOD DIRECTORY
LOCAL CURRENCY
SEED SWAPING
VICTORY GARDENS
COBB PLAYGROUND STRUCTURES IN MADISON
CREATIVE REPURPOSING
VGI MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND BLIZ, 2009MILWAUKEE’S MAYORAL PROCLAMATION 2009
cheerful disclaimer.cheerful disclaimer.
If we wait for the governments, it'll be too little, too late.
If we act as individuals, it'll be too little.
But if we act as communities, it might just be enough, just in time.
“We truly don't know if this will work. Transition is a social experiment on a massive scale. What we are convinced of is this”:
“Let ours be a time remembered for the awakening of a new reverence for life, the firm resolve to achieve sustainability, the quickening of the struggle for justice and peace, and the joyful celebration of life.”
The Earth Charter 2001
The Earth Charter 2001
transition milwaukee.transition milwaukee.
“Would you want it any other way? Would you want someone to come I with the answer and work it all our for you? It’s such an adventure working all these things out!”
Rob HopkinsRob Hopkins
Active Members
Hub Members
Steering Group
transition milwaukee.transition milwaukee.
“Would you want it any other way? Would you want someone to come I with the answer and work it all our for you? It’s such an adventure working all these things out!”
Rob HopkinsRob Hopkins
Let’s review the website for more details:
www.transitionmilwaukee.org