george siemens, oslo, noviembre 2009
TRANSCRIPT
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Learning in 2020
George Siemens
November 17, 2009
Oslo, Norway
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Me
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https://tekri.athabascau.ca/
www.elearnspace.org (weekly newsletter)
http://twitter.com/gsiemens
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It’s getting crazy out there.
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Universities transitioning to an
information era
Freedman, G. (2008). Unlocking the global education imperative: Core
challenges & critical response
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But our current system has a
dim future
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India calls for 27,000 HE
institutions
http://www.sindhtoday.net/news/1/68995.htm
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Funding reductions in public
education
http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/19562
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Tremendous growth of online
education
http://www.sloan-c.org/publications/survey/staying_course
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Growth of for-profit education
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/10/28/phoenix
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What will 2020 look like?
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Population growth (extra 1 B+)
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Globalized, integrated world
(legal)
Pelton, Toward a Global Rule of Law: A Practical Step Toward World
Peace. WFS
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West to east money/power
transfer
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Climate change
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Resource scarcity
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Women as agents of
geopolitical change
DCDC, National Intelligence Council
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Technologies of transformation
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Traceable & recordable
everything
Gene Stephens, “Cybercrime in the Year 2025,” July-Aug 2008, p. 34 World
Future Society
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Cognitive augmentation
(technological, biological)
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Identity/presence tools
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(with accompanying
privacy/security/ethics
concerns)
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Physical/virtual integration
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Aggregation at point of search/use
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Prominence of indirect internet
access (i.e. apps)
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Rise of Things
Internet of things
Robot in every home
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2006/09/060906-robots.html
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Global, complex future requires
a connected, educated
populace
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Why is change so hard in
education??
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Trailing ideologies
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Ideologies of an era are
embedded into its systems
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Eras change. Systems stay.
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Anomalies of a transition period
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The Dynamo
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How will we learn in 2020?
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Institutions
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Learners
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Course design
Adaptive
Contextual
Aggregation-driven
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Learning is elimination
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Technology is about addition
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Trend of information is
abundance
Do you really need a citation? Look at your inbox.
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Abundance “will challenge decision-support
processes which are based on „ordered‟
knowledge”DCDC Global Strategic Trends
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Complexity is our problem
reality
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How do we handle it?
Technology
Social networks
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Wayfinding through social
systems
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Human/machine learning and
sensemaking
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Matching systems to society’s
needs
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Farmer
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Greeks
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Religious
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Schools & Institutions
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Networks
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https://tekri.athabascau.ca/
www.elearnspace.org (weekly newsletter)
http://twitter.com/gsiemens