Gartner: Top 10 Technology Trends 2015

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  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 David Cearley

  • Technology Adoption and Market Disruption

    Strategic Technology Trends

    Time

    Gro

    wth

    Emerging Growth Mainstream

    Disruption Clarified and Starting Disruption

    Uncertain

    Disruption Happening or Happened

  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

    The New IT Reality Emerges

    Intelligence Everywhere

    Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

    1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things

    4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

    6 Smart Machines 7 Cloud/Client Computing

    3 3D Printing

    5 Context-Rich Systems

    8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

    The New IT Reality Emerges

    Intelligence Everywhere

    Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

    1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things

    4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

    6 Smart Machines 7 Cloud/Client Computing

    3 3D Printing

    5 Context-Rich Systems

    8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

  • Computing Everywhere Look Beyond Mobile Form Factors

    Inside everything All around

    Pocketable Portable Shared areas Desk

    Touch, voice, etc. Keyboard, mouse

    Gesture

    Portable screen Wearable Convertible

    Many form factors, screen sizes, interaction styles, platforms, architectures

    Technology advances accelerate: Sensors, displays, wireless and more

    Embrace heterogeneity and loss of complete control

    Use containment and isolation as a foundational security strategy

  • The User Experience in a Hyper Connected World

    Richer I/O Models

    Emotionally Impactful

    Consumer- Driven

    People- Centric

  • Think "Outside in" and Focus on Solution Architecture, Design Thinking and Development

    Exploit the natural affinity between agile development methodologies and UX Pilot and iterate

    Create UX pattern libraries that guide application development teams Personas and use cases

    Tool software, so usage data can be extracted and analyzed Continuous feedback

    1

    2

    3

  • The Internet of Things Links to Everything

    Internet of Things 25B Things by 2020

    Internet of Information 30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013

    Internet of Places 6 Foursquare Check-Ins,

    January 2015

    Manage

    Monetize

    Operate

    Extend

    Internet of People 1.35 billion monthly active users

    July 2014

  • Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical Architectures for the Internet of Things

    Enterprise/ Thing Gateway Cloud/"Internet" On-Premises

    Analytics Data Application Logic and Rules

    User Interface

    10101001010100 11010101010010 10110101011

  • Experiment! A $75 Proof of Concept

    Can Save $75,000 "Customer down, magnet down, $75,000 magnet recovery problem to recool the magnet.

    These have really worked well monitoring our magnets at our office in Ohio."

    and embrace the "maker culture."

    Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an- internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the

  • "3d printing is not new but is newly strategic"

    2014

    Enterprise

    2015

    Consumer

    3 2 1 0

    4

    5

    6

    2012 2013 2016 2017

    Billions of Dollars

    7

    81.9% CAGR

  • Consumer Shipments Point to More Pervasive Use

    400,000 200,000

    0

    600,000

    800,000

    1,000,000

    Shipments 1,200,000

    2012 2013 2014

    Enterprise

    2015

    Consumer

    2016 2017

    95.4% CAGR

  • Look for Innovation Opportunities From the Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical

    Airbus A320 Redesigned Nacelle

    Hinge Bracket

    Injection Molds Cut Tooling Costs

    by Up to 97%

    M1 Abrams Tank Engine Material Added to Worn Components

    Not Impossible Labs "Project Daniel" Prosthetic Limbs

    Courtesy of EOS

    Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs

  • Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our customers' needs and less on our manufacturing processes?

    Knowledge Do we need to develop our staff's additive manufacturing skills?

    Agile Will we make our product development and production processes more nimble?

    Cost How much can we reduce product development, operating and support costs?

    Will we be able to create items that were difficult or impossible to produce before? Innovation

  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

    The New IT Reality Emerges

    Intelligence Everywhere

    Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

    1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things

    4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

    6 Smart Machines 7 Cloud/Client Computing

    3 3D Printing

    5 Context-Rich Systems

    8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

  • Big Data Security Analytics at the Heart of Next-Generation Security Platforms

    Information Collect, Correlate

    Big Data

    Knowledge Analyze

    Data Data Data Data

    Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches

    Community

    Patterns, Meaningful Anomalies

    Dependencies, Relationships

    Context Continuous Monitoring

    and Analytics

    Context-Aware Intelligence Model, Simulate, Act, Protect

  • Context-Rich Systems Understand Who, What, When, Where, How and Why

    User-Facing Context Content Sources Process Models

    Environment

    Community

    Identity and Pref.

    Location

    Calendar

    Etc.

    History

    Connectivity

    Patterns

    System-Facing Context

  • Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-Aware and Active: Adaptive Access Control

    Risk engine.

    Trust elevation.

    Step-up authentication.

    Transaction verification.

    Contextual information.

    Get more information!

    Allow access.

    STOP Deny access.

    Allow access with fine-grained audit.

    Other obligation.

  • Emerging Trend: The Contextual User Experience

    Personal Assistants as Intermediaries Contextual Information: Location Information Available Endpoints Human Request for Action Relevant Services and Content

    User Experience Platform: Intermediary Between Users and

    Content/Capabilities Acts for or Interacts With the User to

    Accomplish Goals: - The Invisible User Interface Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms

    Image Apple

    Siri Image Microsoft

    Cortana Image Google

    Google Now

    Just the Beginning!

  • Information-Based Helpers

    Machine-Focused Helpers

    Sages

    Doers

    Autonomous Vehicles

    Smart Machine Categories Based on What They Do

    Movers

    (Related market terms - Artificial Intelligence, Robots, Cognitive Computing, Anticipatory Computing)

  • Rio Tinto Reinventing Mining and More

  • Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013. Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation

    Cornell's Observant, Predictive Servant

  • Virtual Private Assistants You Will Not Have Just One

    Image Microsoft Image Google

  • Memorial Sloan Kettering and IBM Watson

    Source: IBM

  • Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion

    Segment Smart Advisor

    Virtual Personal Assistant1

    Early Emerging Use Cases

    Adoption Accelerates

    90% Adoption for Addressable

    Market

    Autonomous Personal Transport

    Semiautonomous Robotic Assistants

    1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes in 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth in its first 2 years.

    2014 2017 Segments Merge (and Fragment) 2020 to 2022 2013 2017

    2020 (2)

    2030 (5)

    2044 (10)

    2025 (2020 to 2030)

    2032 (2025 to 2040)

    ?

  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

    The New IT Reality Emerges

    Intelligence Everywhere

    Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

    1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things

    4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

    6 Smart Machines 7 Cloud/Client Computing

    3 3D Printing

    5 Context-Rich Systems

    8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

  • Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies: Cloud/Client Computing

    The application is in the cloud. Cloud is the coordination point and system of record. Clients can be anything with varying levels of data

    and logic. Applications can span multiple clients. Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions. The experience flows to the user in context. Mobile is not about devices it is about people.

    UX logic

    Business logic

    UX logic

    Business logic

    Data

    Data

  • Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure: The Future Is Software-Defined

    Networking Cloud Services

    Real-Time Infrastructure

    Fabric-Based Computing

    Service-Oriented Architecture

    Model-Driven Architecture

    Storage

    Security

    Data Centers

    OpenStack Open Compute

    Everything Is Programmable

    The API Economy

  • Software-Defined Architecture for Application Services

    Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)

    Outer View Resource Virtualization

    Inner View Managed Resources

    Inner APIs

    Outer APIs

    Inner View

    Outer View

  • Web-Scale IT: The Foundation for the Digital Future

    Web-scale IT is a pattern of global class computing that delivers the capabilities of large cloud services providers to the enterprise

    Web-Scale IT

    Infrastructure as Code

    Web-Oriented Architecture

    Collaborative Aligned

    Organization

    Velocity- F o c u s e d Processes

    Risk- Embracing

    Culture

    Open

    Industrially Designed Data

    Centers

    Source

  • Create Your Blueprint and Road Map for Web-Scale IT

    DevOps API-Based Management Velocity-Focused Processes Collaboratively-Aligned Organization Risk-Embracing Culture

    Web-Oriented Architecture

    Industrially Designed

    Infrastructure

    1 2 3

  • All Roads to the Digital Future Lead Through Security

  • Security Myth: Perimeter Defense Will Protect My Applications

    Mobile Internet of Things

    Insider Attacks

  • Enable Applications to Protect Themselves Application Runtime

    Dynamic Interaction Application

    Source Code Output:

    High-Assurance Security

    Vulnerabilities Runtime

    Application Self-Protection

    Security-Aware Application

    Design

  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

    Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and create a vision of the future technology landscape

    Link trend analysis to the impact on people (employees and customers), the business and IT

    Establish strategic decision models to take action on disruptive impacts

    Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT and the business

    The New IT Reality Emerges

    Intelligence Everywhere

    Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

  • Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 David Cearley

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