fx strategy -monitoring political pressure - 15 apr 2013

9
外匯策略 外匯策略 外匯策略 外匯策略 1 20 ( ) Pg 2 Pg 3 Pg 4 Pg 5 Pg 6 Pg 7 Pg 8 Pg 9 DXY and ADXY Indices : , 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 Index Index DXY Index ADXY Index (RHS) 關注政治壓力 關注政治壓力 關注政治壓力 關注政治壓力 4 15 2013 2 – 4 外匯市場策略週報 : :

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Microsoft Word - FX Strategy -Monitoring political pressure - 15 Apr 2013.docx: , Suren Chelliah Suren Chelliah Suren Chelliah Suren Chelliah Steve Brice Steve Brice Steve Brice Steve Brice Rob Aspin, CFA Rob Aspin, CFA Rob Aspin, CFA Rob Aspin, CFA Manpreet Gill Manpreet Gill Manpreet Gill Manpreet Gill Audrey Goh Audrey Goh Audrey Goh Audrey Goh Victor Teo Victor Teo Victor Teo Victor Teo (2(2(2(2----4 4 4 4 )))) 1.21.21.21.266662222 1.21.21.21.288885555 1.1.1.1.308308308308 1.31.31.31.322227777 1.31.31.31.366660000 99992222.0.0.0.00000 99994444....55550000 99998.8.8.8.08080808 100100100100.00.00.00.00 105105105105.0.0.0.0 1.01.01.01.022224444 1.01.01.01.033335555 1.01.01.01.044444444 1.01.01.01.066665555 1.01.01.01.083838383 1.1.1.1.444492929292 1.1.1.1.518518518518 1.51.51.51.533332222 1.51.51.51.546464646 1.51.51.51.565656565 6.146.146.146.140000 6.16.16.16.170707070 6.6.6.6.111188886666 6.226.226.226.220000 6.246.246.246.240000 8.8.8.8.555580808080 8.758.758.758.750000 9.9.9.9.000008080808 9.9.9.9.200200200200 9.49.49.49.400000000 0.800.800.800.809999 0.80.80.80.833332222 0.80.80.80.850505050 0.80.80.80.879797979 0.0.0.0.902902902902
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In d
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• 100 200 • 1.280



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• 4 18~19 G20

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Q2 2013 101010105555 99996666 Q3 2013 102102102102 99998888 Q4 2013 102102102102 100100100100 Q1 2014 100100100100 100100100100
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• 4 11 4 16 •
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Q2 2013 1.01.01.01.06666 1.01.01.01.04444 Q3 2013 1.01.01.01.08888 1.01.01.01.03333 Q4 2013 1.01.01.01.08888 1.01.01.01.03333 Q1 2014 1.1.1.1.10101010 1.01.01.01.02222
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Q2 2013 1.1.1.1.44448888 1.1.1.1.55550000 Q3 2013 1.1.1.1.52525252 1.1.1.1.55550000 Q4 2013 1.1.1.1.46464646 1.51.51.51.51111 Q1 2014 1.1.1.1.48484848 1.1.1.1.55551111
: , :
: ,
U S
50 dma 100 dma 200 dma
0.8366 0.8351 0.8243
N Z
50 dma 100 dma 200 dma
9.05 8.88 8.65
Momentum Indicator–
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