Future

ForwardThinkingIT Directors

Community of PracticeJan 14, 2010 San Francisco, CATerry Bledsoe, Catawba County Government

8010“There is a force for change that’s basically invisible using old ways of seeing. It’s a force we have to let collide with and even destroy our old ideas about how the world should be before we can hope to make any sense at all”

Age of the Unthinkable, Ramo

EventsCause us to?9/11

Job Losses 15.7%

recession

OilTerrorist Chin

a technology

greed

AndConstantChange Instability

Every

Re

thinkingthing

PlanningBuilding a Base

Adapting

How?Do You Continue Providing Services With Revenue Shortfalls?

SharingPartnerships

Connections

Opportunities

Do You move an Entire County to a Higher Level?

How?

YesBUTWhat is the Future Forward Thinking?

Strategic Planning

Future Forward Thinking Vs

Mission Objectives Situational Analysis

Strategy Formulation Implementation Control

Traditional Strategic Planning

Sustainable

• Principle 1: Recruit, train, and retain World Class IT employees

• Principle 2: Build and maintain a robust IT infrastructure

• Principle 3: Field an effective Project Development and Portfolio management process

• Principle 4: Ensure partnerships within the IT department and with the business

• Principle 5: Develop a collaborative relationship with external partners

IT Excellence

World Class IT by Peter High

Future Forward Thinking Starts by Asking the Question

“What will the future look like?”

ScanningThe World?Trends

Patterns Drivers Weak

SignalsWhat’s new

Factors

Note

Not trying to predict the future.

Not looking for what everyone else is doing.

• there is no one future– The future is what I expect. – The future is better than I expect. – The future is worse than I expect. – The future is weirder than I expect.

• there are multiple factors

Mapping the Possibilities

• How do I deal with each of the futures?• How do I move toward the future I want?• How do I minimize risks?• How deal with the future that I don’t want?• Can I deal with a future that I did not envision?

Thinking it Through

• Asking the Question– “What will the future look like?”

• Scanning the World• Mapping the Possibilities– The future is what I expect. – The future is better than I expect. – The future is worse than I expect. – The future is weirder than I expect.

• Thinking it Through– Scan -> Plan -> Adapt

Future Forward Thinking

YesBUTWhat do you do?

are seeds of change that exist today and they can tell about big trends in the future.

are something odd or strange today.

Weak

signals

signals

Trends and Weak • For the first time in human history, children are

authorities on a central innovation – the new digital media. This generation gap has its implications

• Universal connectivity. What does that mean?• Jobs that do not require proximity.• Universal competition?• Ubiquitous, unprecedented access to

information. • Universal collaboration?

signals

Trends and Weak • On Christmas Day, for the first time in history,

Amazon.com sold more digital books than the old fashioned kind.

• According to a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention study, more than one in five U.S. homes (22.7%) had cellphones - and no landlines - during the first half of 2009, up from 10.5% during the same period in 2006.

• On Tuesday, Panasonic and LG Electronics, two of the top television makers, are to announce that they are integrating the free online calling service Skype into their Internet-connected high-definition televisions . Universal connectivity. What does that mean?

• Augmented Reality and it’s role in Public Safety

• What was it like when we couldn’t get an answer in 5 minutes or less?

• Could you manage your staff in 140 characters or less?

• Could a Tweet overthrow a dictator?• How did Social Media affect the elections?• What is Apple really up to?

signals

Questions

signals

Regular Basis - Practice• Scan the world– Internet– Twitter– Social Networks– Blogs– Magazines and Other Types of Media

• Scan Internally• Information Shared Multiple Ways (Transparency)• Collaboration with Collective• Creativity Encouraged/ Expected (Creative Destruction)• Change Your View – Look in as Opposed to Out• Customer Service vs Customer Experience• How Can We Improve Services?

Make Connections Step 1: Defining—Define the problem you’re trying to

solve.Step 2: Borrowing—Borrow ideas from places with a similar problem.Step 3: Combining—Connect and combine these borrowed ideas.Step 4: Incubating—Allow combinations to incubate into a solution.Step 5: Judging—Identify the strength and weakness of the solution.Step 6: Enhancing—Eliminate weak points while enhancing strong ones.

Borrowing Brilliance by David Kord Murray

Creativity is just connecting things ………..

Steve Jobs

Something I Need Contact Vendor How Much?

How Long? Wait, wait, wait… Resembles what I Need

Siloed

Issue: Public Officials are being called by the press seconds after a call is dispatched.

Issue: Paging process too slow. Press gets to officials before pages.

Solution: Page simultaneous with dispatch.

Issue: Telecommunicators need to focus on incident.

Solution: Page by incident type

Solution: Vendor is working on solution, will be ready in 9 to 16 months, with next release.

Real Problem

Issue: Public Officials are being called by the press seconds after a call is dispatched.

Issue: Paging process too slow. Press gets to officials before pages.

Solution: Page simultaneous with dispatch.

Issue: Telecommunicators need to focus on incident.

Solution: Page by incident type

Solution: Vendor is working on solution, will be ready in 9 to 16 months, with next release.

Real Problem

Traditional Thinking

Trip to Surry County

Could we get the code and adapt?

No problem, display locally.

Great! Can we adjust to small screen?

Do you know you can see it with a Blackberry?

Wait, this does exactly what the vendor charges for.

Can we key off of incident and send a page?

•Page on incident•Keep officials notified•Use current technology•Reduce workload•No additional costs

Creativity is just connecting things ………..

Steve Jobs

Future

ForwardThinking

ClosingThoughts…

If every IT organization does not come out of this recession changed, they have missed an

opportunity. Look for opportunity in everything you do.

Future

ForwardThinkingIT Directors

Community of PracticeJan 14, 2010 San Francisco, CATerry Bledsoe, Catawba County Government