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1 Fuel and technology alternatives for commercial vehicles European Biofuels Technology Platform 6th Stakeholder Plenary Meeting Dr. Nils-Olof Nylund VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland 2 07/10/2014 2 Outline Energy use in transport Vehicle categories Current state of the art (heavy-duty diesel) Evaluation of alternatives Finland goes drop-in! Alternative technology vehicles Summary

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Page 1: Fuel and technology alternatives for commercial · PDF fileFuel and technology alternatives for commercial vehicles ... i c a t i o n i n c r e a s e s. 6 11 ... Dual-fuel CNG Spark-ignition

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Fuel and technologyalternatives for commercialvehiclesEuropean Biofuels Technology Platform6th Stakeholder Plenary MeetingDr. Nils-Olof NylundVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

207/10/2014 2

Outline

Energy use in transportVehicle categoriesCurrent state of the art (heavy-duty diesel)Evaluation of alternativesFinland goes drop-in!Alternative technology vehiclesSummary

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Transport energy

• Transport is some 25 % of total final energy consumption• Road is some 75 % of total transport• Trucks and buses are some 30 % within road transport

37 % passenger cars15 % vans and SUVs

Source: WEF Repowering Transport 2011

407/10/2014 4

Commercial vehicle categories

Light commercial vehicles (vans)

Heavy-duty vehicles

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507/10/2014 5

New HD vehicles (Euro VI) are extremely clean

00,020,040,060,08

0,10,120,140,16

€/km

External costs for NOx and PM

PM

NOx

The argument that one fuel is cleaner(for regulated emissions) than anotheris fading away.

Ultimately the solutionproviding lowest CO2 emissions will win!

Low emissions require high-quality fuels(zero sulphur, zero contaminants…)!

607/10/2014 6

Euro VI technology (example from MAN)

A lot of sensors missing in the picture!

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Gasoline(otto enginesincl. FFV)

Diesel(diesel enginesincl. E95-modifications)

LPG

E10+ (EN xxxxx) Quick

2013 2015 2020 2025

E5 (EN 228), in Finland decision: at least till 2018

Note! Schedules based on estimations or planned CEN schedules and FQD review

E10 (EN 228), at least till 2025

or slow implementation (TR 16514)

E85 (TS 15293) E85 (EN 15293) for FFV cars

B7 (EN 590), at least till 2020

B10 (EN xxxxx, 0-10% FAME)

B20 (EN yyyyy, 15-20% FAME) for dedicated fleets

B30 (EN yyyyy, 25-30% FAME) for dedicated fleets

ED95 (CWA xxxxx) for dedicated fleets proposed but not proceeding

XTL/HVO (TS) XTL/HVO (EN 15940) for dedicated fleets

LPG (EN 589) automotive use

CEN = European Committee for Standardization, CWA = CEN Workshop Agreement, E10+ = 20-25% ethanol or corresponding biocontent, EN = EuropeanStandard, LPG = Liquefied Petroleum Gas, TS = Technical Specification, TR = Technical Report , XTL/HVO = paraffinic diesel

Small-engine gasoline (CWA xxxxx) discussed but not decided

Estimated schedules for standardisationin Europe

Source: Seppo Mikkonen /Neste Oil 2014

807/10/2014 8

Reducing CO2 remains a challenge

To reach the climate goals of 2050, the fuel consumption of a semi-trailer truckshould be clearly less than 10 l/100 km, an annual improvement of some 3 %!

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As for technology options:Remember: In reality, one size doesn’t fit all!

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Hierarchy of fuels

Aviation

Marine

Heavy-duty road vehicles

Rail

Light-duty road vehicles &urban services

Nee

dfo

rliq

uid

fuel

s

Possibilityforelectrification

increases

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Electric timber truck

12 2014-10-07

Substitution of fossil diesel oil is crucial!

• Already shortage of Diesel oil inEurope

• Higher share of diesel cars due toregulations of fuel consumption.

• Aviation fuels and diesel oil arecompetitors

• Environmental marine regulationswill raise demand for diesel oil?

– Biofuels ought to be usedin heavy vehicles

– Biomethane– Synthetic diesel oil– Dimethyleter (DME)

– Electrification of roads….

Threats Solutions

Source: Olof Hådell 2012

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Source: Staffan Lundgren/Volvo 2014

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Liquid hydrocarbons

The superiority of liquid hydrocarbons is due to:excellent energy densityeasy handlingeasy productiona 100 year plus tradition

Comparison to electricity:diesel refuelling >10 MWsuperfast charging 300 kWslow charging 3,5 kW10 kWh= 1 l of diesel fuel

cost of a 10 kWh battery5000 – 10000 €weight 100 kg

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1507/10/2014 15

Evaluation of alternative fuels/energies

CostsCost of fuelCost of new vehiclesCost of new infrastructure

Vehicle performanceRangeWeight of energy storageVolume of energy storageSafetyEnergy efficiency(Exhaust emissions, must meet Euro VI= close to zero!)

1607/10/2014 16

Evaluation of alternative fuels/energies, cont.

How is the vehicle operated?Urban serviceLong-haulScheduled operationRandom operation

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Diesel prevails inheavy services

BEVs forurban services

Source: GM

1807/10/2014 18

Number of technology alternatives

Coaches

Long-haul trucks

Urban vehicles:• vans

• trucks (delivery, refuse..)• city buses

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1907/10/2014 19

No fuss alternative for diesel vehicles:Paraffinic diesel

Many alternative feedstocks

Alternative processing routes

A true drop-in alternative, up to 100 %

No modifications to infrastructure or vehicles

No storage issues

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2107/10/2014 21

Alternatives for light commercial vehicles

Mercedes Sprinter NGT (CNG)

Nissan e-NV200

2207/10/2014 22

Alternatives for single-unit trucks

Dual-fuel CNG

Spark-ignition CNGParallel hybrid

Ethanol

Spark-ignition CNG

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2307/10/2014

Final report now available

http://www.vtt.fi/inf/pdf/technology/2012/T46.pdfhttp://www.iea-amf.vtt.fi/8annexreports.html

Some 400 pages including a 20-pageExecutive Summary

• 21 buses• Combinations of vehicle, fuel &

driving cycle: 180!

SAE 2012-01-1981

2407/10/2014

Energy consumption of European vehiclesBraunschweig cycle

18.815.8 16.4

14.9 15.212.6 12.7

11.3 10.9 10.7

21.1 20.0

16.4 15.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

MJ/

km

Energy Consumption - Braunschweig

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2507/10/2014 25

Volvo flags for electrification of buses

Source: Edward Jobson/Volvo 2014

26

Alternatives for long-haul trucks

Dual-fuel LNGDME

Spark-ignited CNG/LNG

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Alternative fuels infrastructure decided upon

2807/10/2014 28

Summary

The current HD diesel (Euro VI) is extremely clean for regulatedemissionsReducing CO2 remains a challengeOne size doesn’t fit all, meaning that one single alternativetechnology will not cater for the needs of all vehicle categoriesWhen calculating costs, take into account need for new infrastructure,new vehicles, fuel price and vehicle efficiency“Drop-in” type renewable diesel is really a good optionNumber of available options vary by vehicle category (long-haulhighway vs. urban services)With the directive on infrastructure, the Commission has focused onelectricity and natural gas, not really on biofuels!

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TECHNOLOGY FOR BUSINESS