from high hopes to high deficit and back - euroitv2009

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From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back: Europe’s HDTV Past, Present and Future Nils Walravens & prof. dr. Caroline Pauwels IBBT-SMIT Free University Brussels

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Page 1: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back:Europe’s HDTV Past, Present and Future

From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back:Europe’s HDTV Past, Present and Future

Nils Walravens & prof. dr. Caroline PauwelsIBBT-SMIT

Free University Brussels

Nils Walravens & prof. dr. Caroline PauwelsIBBT-SMIT

Free University Brussels

Page 2: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

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Where do we come from?Where do we come from?

Page 7: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Where do we come from?Where do we come from?

Page 8: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Where do we come from?Where do we come from?

Page 9: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Where do we come from?Where do we come from?

High Deficit TelevisionHigh Deficit Television

Page 10: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Where do we come from?Where do we come from?

Page 11: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

TodayToday

HDTV take off

2001: 720p2005: 1080i & 1080p

US: +/- 35% HDTV ownersBetween 20-40% HD broadcasts

Europe: +/- 20% HDTV ownersAround 5% HD broadcasts

Growing adoption of digital television, HD channels, Blu Ray, HD gamingConsumer confusion gradually disolving?

HDTV take off

2001: 720p2005: 1080i & 1080p

US: +/- 35% HDTV ownersBetween 20-40% HD broadcasts

Europe: +/- 20% HDTV ownersAround 5% HD broadcasts

Growing adoption of digital television, HD channels, Blu Ray, HD gamingConsumer confusion gradually disolving?

Page 12: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

The near futureThe near future

Page 13: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

The near futureThe near future

Page 14: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Super Hi-Vision (SHV)Or Ultra HDTV (UHDTV)

7680x4320 pixels

NHKFirst experiments in JapanAudience reception?

Super Hi-Vision (SHV)Or Ultra HDTV (UHDTV)

7680x4320 pixels

NHKFirst experiments in JapanAudience reception?

The futureThe future

Page 15: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Technological advances depend on unpredictable external factors and are not planned in the marketing department, nor by engineersTechnological advances depend on unpredictable external factors and are not planned in the marketing department, nor by engineers

The future: Lessons from the pastThe future: Lessons from the past

Page 16: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Do not only serve the interests of large, dominant players: a broad consultation of the field is essential in successful adoption Do not only serve the interests of large, dominant players: a broad consultation of the field is essential in successful adoption

The future: Lessons from the pastThe future: Lessons from the past

Page 17: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Do not crack the egg or fry the chicken: hardware is useless without software, HDTV is not attractive (read: ugly) without HD contentDo not crack the egg or fry the chicken: hardware is useless without software, HDTV is not attractive (read: ugly) without HD content

The future: Lessons from the pastThe future: Lessons from the past

Page 18: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Take you consumer seriously: do not use consumer research as an excuse, technical solutions are not always answersTake you consumer seriously: do not use consumer research as an excuse, technical solutions are not always answers

The future: Lessons from the pastThe future: Lessons from the past

Page 19: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Technological determinism: question on transparency and control remain, in-house development, but more room for international cooperationTechnological determinism: question on transparency and control remain, in-house development, but more room for international cooperation

The future: Lessons for SHVThe future: Lessons for SHV

Top down vs bottom up: consumer demand for SHV? Again, more international cooperation, and strong industrial stimulusTop down vs bottom up: consumer demand for SHV? Again, more international cooperation, and strong industrial stimulus

Chicken and egg: current cooperation with BBC and RAI laudable, but needs to more than technical cooperation. Content and hardware and king and queenChicken and egg: current cooperation with BBC and RAI laudable, but needs to more than technical cooperation. Content and hardware and king and queen

The consumer: due to specific SHV traits, consumer research has an important role in developmentThe consumer: due to specific SHV traits, consumer research has an important role in development

Page 20: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Unexpected contextual factors are what they areUnexpected contextual factors are what they are

Remaining questionsRemaining questions

Still quite early in development, several technical hurdles remainStill quite early in development, several technical hurdles remain

Consumer response?Consumer response?

Page 21: From High Hopes to High Deficit and Back - EuroITV2009

Your questions?Your questions?

Nils Walravens & prof. dr. Caroline PauwelsInterdisciplinary Institute for Broadband Technology (IBBT)

Studies on Media, Information and Technology (SMIT)Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB)

[email protected] & [email protected]: +32 2 629 16 21 F: +32 2 629 17 00

Nils Walravens & prof. dr. Caroline PauwelsInterdisciplinary Institute for Broadband Technology (IBBT)

Studies on Media, Information and Technology (SMIT)Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB)

[email protected] & [email protected]: +32 2 629 16 21 F: +32 2 629 17 00