from good to better by william connelly | ing investor day 31 march 2014
TRANSCRIPT
Amsterdam - 31 March 2014 www.ing.com
William Connelly
Member Management Board Banking, CEO Commercial Banking
From Good to Better ING Investor Day
Solid performance from a client
focused Commercial Bank
2
A strong global client base, with almost 80% of the revenues coming from Europe
Income by country / region FY2013
Income by Product FY2013
28%
12% 2%
14%22%
22%
Netherlands*Belgium/LuxembourgGermany
Central & Eastern EuropeWestern EuropeOutside Europe
Solid results from a consistent strategy and strong client franchises
3
Client Focused Commercial Bank
• ING Commercial Banking contributed 46% of total Bank pre-tax profit and RWA in 2013
• Solid results through the cycle and a successful 2013
• Risk costs beginning to decline
• A strong, Europe-focused Commercial Bank
• Comprehensive network throughout Europe
• Extensive international client base crossing all regions
• Global franchises
• Industry Lending and Financial Markets
• Trade Banking and Cash-Pooling (BMG)
• Consistent client focus
• European service offering for clients globally
• A focus on international business
• Strong industry expertise in selected sectors providing superior returns
* Including international business booked in the Netherlands
25%
27%
11%
37%Industry Lending
GL&TS
FM
BT, RE & Other
Resilient performance through the cycle
4
Return on Equity (based on CET 1 ratio of 10%) increased to 12.8%*
Expenses and cost/income ratio continued its downward trend*
Revenues and result before tax* (in EUR mln)
Risk costs still elevated but expected to have reached its peak
5,350 5,071 5,200 5,412
2,218 2,071 1,7842,160
2010 2011 2012 2013
Revenues Result before tax
2,643 2,524 2,461 2,386
49.4% 49.8%47.3%
44.1%
2010 2011 2012 2013
Expenses (in EUR mln) Cost/income ratio (%)
9.7%
12.8%11.5%11.6%
2010 2011 2012 2013
490 477
955 86733 35
72 68
2010 2011 2012 2013
Risk costs (in EUR mln) Risk costs (bps avg RWA)
* Excluding Legacy FTP book transferred to Corporate Line; Including allocation of the Dutch Bank Levies in 2012 and 2013 from Corporate Line
Clear focus and cost discipline - supports redeployment of resources
5
138185
260315 315
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
A robust business model combined with disciplined, effective execution
• Strict cost discipline
• Cost-reduction programme on track
• Allows for selected strategic initiatives
• Continue to review our cost base
• Client relationships managed (and measured) on cross-border, cross-product global basis
• Disciplined client selection and allocation of capital / resources
• Strict profitability measurement per transaction and per client relationship
• Robust and flexible model with broad reach
• (Re)-allocation of resources, in line with changing clients needs
• Exploiting opportunities as they arise
• New technologies and further standardisation – the foundation for further growth
Cumulative gross cost savings (in EUR mln)
Cost /income ratio – Commercial Banking businesses in 2013*
52%44%
34% 34%
69%71%73% 69% 68%76%
DB UBS CS SG BNPP Bar HSBC ING Nor San
* Source: ING Internal benchmarking data based on analysis of published annual reports
However, we have been growing our Structured Finance assets (in EUR bln)
Balance sheet actively managed…
6
General Lending assets decreased, reflecting weak economic growth, but undrawn commitments remained high
General Lending assets - Committed Revolving Loans
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 201410%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Outstanding amt Available amt Utilisation
Real Estate Finance has been reduced and non-core Lease has been put in run-off (in EUR bln)
• In recent years, ING’s Real Estate Finance portfolio has been reduced. The planned de-risking of our Real Estate Finance portfolio has been finalised
• ING Real Estate Finance remains an integral part of the strategy of the Commercial Bank
34
24
117
2010 2013
Real Estate Finance Lease run-off
4347
2010 2013
...while the RWA impact of Basel 2.5 and 3 has been mitigated
7
913
135
145
127
135
-14-5
-4
3Q11 Basel 2 Impact Basel 2.5 4Q11 Basel 2.5 Management
actions
Other 4Q13 Impact Basel 3 Future
management
actions
Pro-forma Basel 3
RWA Commercial Banking (in EUR bln)
• Risk weighted assets for Commercial banking were EUR 127 bln in 4Q13, down by EUR 18 bln versus 4Q11, largely driven by Financial Markets (EUR -12 bln) including the wind down of ING’s Strategic Trading Platform and the restructuring of the Mexico branch and New York platform
• Basel 3 RWA impact is estimated at around EUR 13 bln of which EUR 10 bln relates to Financial Markets, partly offset by future management actions, of which EUR 2 bln for Financial Markets, EUR 2 bln for Lease run-off and EUR 1 bln for Real Estate Development/Investments
Leading commercial bank in the Benelux (2013)
Netherlands Belgium
We will translate our success in the Benelux to the rest of Europe
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#1 #2
Leading Commercial Bank in the Benelux for the 5th consecutive year
• ING is the leading Commercial Bank in the Netherlands for the 5th consecutive year. ING is the nr 2 Commercial Bank in Belgium
• Strong client proposition differentiates us from the competition:
• Full-service domestic product offering
• Extensive international network
Source: Greenwich
71
79
94
87
6961
3134
51
ING Rabo ABN
Total Relationships Core Relationships Lead Relationships
Recognition
• Best Bank in the Netherlands 2013 (Euro Money, The Banker) and 2014 (Global Finance)
• Best Trade Finance Bank in the Netherlands 2014 (Global Finance)
• Best Foreign Exchange Provider in the Netherlands 2014 (Global Finance)
• Recognised as the leading bank servicing our Benelux clients in CEE 2013 (Global Finance)
• Best Bank in Belgium 2013 (The Banker) and 2014 (Global Finance)
94
88
68
58
74
86
60
46
20
BNP
Paribas
ING KBC
Europe
Asia Americas
27%
10%63%
Focus on servicing clients in Europe and beyond
9
24%
16%
60%
50%
29%
21%
47%
14%
39%
26%
26%
48%
23%
23%
54%
40%
8%
52%
15%
67%
18%
‘Local’ revenue**
‘Incoming’ revenue**
‘Outgoing’ revenue**
Netherlands
Germany
CWE
Belux
CEE
UK
A strong global client base, with almost 80% of the revenues coming from Europe*
* Above geographical split of revenues is based on internal servicing of Clients. Excluding Group items and excluding Run-off businesses
** Local revenue are revenues from local companies/institutions, booked locally; Incoming revenues are revenues from non-local companies/institutions, serviced locally and booked locally; Outgoing
revenues are revenues from local companies, serviced non-locally and booked non-locally
Financial Markets has adapted and remained profitable despite the changing regulatory environment
10
1,2541,439
871
1,336
1,179 1,266
1,328
1,124
2010 2011 2012 2013
Financial markets (reported) Financial markets (excl. CVA/DVA)
312 292250
412
314316
472
217
127
357423
226
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13
Income Financial Markets impacted by CVA/DVA and… (in EUR mln)
10.0%
16.8%
>13%
0.2%
11.8%
8.0%
11.3%11.9%
6.7%
2010 2011 2012 2013 Indicative 2017
Financial markets (reported) Financial markets (excl. CVA/DVA)
Ambition 2017 target of a RoE of > 13% (in %)
...seasonality income excluding CVA/DVA (in EUR mln)
• Financial Markets results can be volatile due to
• CVA/DVA
• Seasonality
• Ambition 2017 target of a RoE of > 13%
Strong industry knowledge supporting our clients, year after year
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18.3% 18.3% 19.2%22.3%
2010 2011 2012 2013
Industry Lending
• Lending portfolio of EUR 72 bln, dominated by Structured Finance
• Mature franchise built over 20 years
• Expertise through experienced, long-serving teams
• Deep-rooted relationships, with over 90% repeat business in
2013
• Selected industries Structured Finance
• Oil & Gas, Metals & Mining, Power & Infra, Transportation,
Commodities, Telecom & Media
• Strong risk management and structuring capabilities - focused on
solutions to clients needs
• Risk costs Structured Finance 40-45 bps of RWA over the cycle
• Structured Finance important for liability deployment into high
margin own originated assets
• Currently building local expertise centres in Germany and Belgium,
e.g. through transfer of knowledge
Structured Finance – RoE (based on CET1 of 10%)
Source: Thomson Reuters
Leading global player Industry Lending excl. REF 2013: MLA by number of deals
No. Deals
1 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 281
2 Deutsche Bank 198
3 JP Morgan 185
4 Mitsubishi UFJ 181
5 Credit Suisse 179
6 General Electric 175
7 ING 163
8 Sumitomo Mitsui 162
9 BNP Paribas 161
10 Barclays 158
Video
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Executive Summary
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• ING Commercial Banking continues to show strong results despite a challenging commercial and regulatory environment
• Clear focus and cost discipline supports redeployment of resources
• Results achieved through strong European network and global franchises
• Extensive international client base crossing all regions
• Leading global Industry Lending franchise
• New technologies and further standardisation are key to further leveraging our international platform
• A foundation for improving the client experience and supporting innovation
• As a result, we are able to grow our business, supporting our funding rich units, while delivering good returns
‘From Good to Better’
- Transformation Programme
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Integration,
cross-regional
regulation,
standardisation
• Clients demand banking services that support their commercial and regulatory requirements on an integrated basis
• Clients require a predictable, standardised and uniform approach from their banks
Global economic
connectivity
• Growing trade and investment flows between emerging markets drive global solutions
• Emerging markets clients grow their businesses in developed markets and vice versa
Fast moving technology
• Clients are looking to transact and report anytime and anywhere, which requires comprehensive mobile solutions across a wide variety of products
• Continuous innovation of service offering
Transformation programme: simplification & standardisation + best-in-class operational excellence will deliver a differentiating client experience
Based on anticipated trends we lay the foundation for further growth across the network
15
Our transformation programme will provide standardisation and an improved client experience…
16
2015
• Completion Financial Markets standardisation
• Completion operations hubs
• New products added to client portal
2013
• Programme kick-off
• Created single Front Office & Client Services organisation
• Established global operations hubs (Manila & Bratislava)
2014
• Implementation new Client Service model globally
• Introduction new integrated client portal
• New cross-border cash management platform
• New online channel for trade
• Single lending platform
2016
• Completion new Pan-European payments platform
• IT decommissioning
• Full service integrated client portal
…and also lead to efficiencies
17
• Simplification and standardisation of our product offering
International Credit Transfers
140
different types
106 payables 5 payables
• 700 client processes being completely re-engineered
• 1,050 different systems being reduced to 100
• Consolidation of operations and processing locations
34 receivables 1 receivable
SEPA / EUR regulated Credit Transfers
57
different types
38 payables 6 payables
19 receivables 1 receivable
Our clients will experience the benefits of our investments in seamless cross border solutions
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Multi Device
Platform ready for Web and App
Multi Product
Online client interactions in
an integrated Portal
Multi Country
International reach,
multiple languages and
support
Standardised products and channels
• Single standardised product catalogue, simplified documentation and uniform transacting
Harmonised client service model
• Supports integrated financial decision-making, monitoring and reporting
Improved pricing
• Faster pricing (for FX, equity derivatives and trade)
Harmonised back-office and IT
• Increased reliability and stability • Quicker implementation and
processing • Quicker time-to-market
Consistent billing and reporting
• Single invoice for all fee charges and consolidated billing across all payment products and countries
• Strongly enhanced management information across all payment products
Global on-line channel for trade
• Faster and uniform transacting, especially for higher volumes
Integrated client portal
• Supports integrated decision-making, transacting and reporting across products and geographies
• Provides secure and mobile access to information on multiple devices
Programme facilitates our payments strategy…
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• Providing Payments services to clients is key for client intimacy, both in terms of (i) supporting the clients’ primary processes; and (ii) risk management and revenue opportunities
Market
position
• Benelux market leader.
• Europe solid top 10 player with largest European network
Strategy
• To become a top 5 pan-European competitor. Large investment program underway aimed at delivering a state-of-the-art client experience across Europe with improved cash management, product and channel capabilities
SEPA
impact
Opportunities:
• Target mass payers segment across Eurozone by leveraging our scale and efficient operations in the Benelux
• Combine our Eurozone payment volumes
Market size in volume (total)
…and solution rather than product selling
20
• Working Capital improvement is a key priority for our clients
• Clients demand comprehensive integrated solutions encompassing their entire financial
supply chain
Customers
(debtors)
Our
Clients
Physical
supply chain:
Suppliers
(creditors)
Financial
supply chain: Payables
(current liabilities)
Raw materials
Purchase-to-pay
process
Finished products
Order-to-cash
process
Supply Chain finance
Receivable based finance
Trade finance
Payments and Cash Management
Benefits for our clients
• Cash-flow improvement
• Financial ratio management
• Funding diversification
• De-risking
• Enhanced pricing
Benefits for ING
• Enrichment of our client relationships
• Cross-buy and deep-selling
Work-in-progress
Cash Receivables
(current assets)
Disciplined delivery in combination with our transformation programme – foundation for future growth of our businesses
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42% 39%
17%
20%
23%
21%
14%
12%
2%
6%
2%
3%
2013 Indicative 2017
Other
Run off business
Transaction Services
General Lending
Real Estate Finance
Structured Finance
Lending Assets growth and breakdown by product (in %)
Lending Assets EUR 122 bln in 2013
Focus areas
• Diversified asset growth, in Industry Lending, General Lending and Transaction Services
• Prospect client list targeted
• Sector “centres of expertise” being established in Germany and Belgium
• Additional front office teams hired in challenger countries
• Become a Top 5 European player in Transaction Services, most notably Payments
• Become a European market leader in client satisfaction
CAGR
5%
Executive Summary
22
• ING Commercial Banking continues to show strong results despite a challenging commercial and regulatory environment
• Clear focus and cost discipline supports redeployment of resources
• Results achieved through strong European network and global franchises
• Extensive international client base crossing all regions
• Leading global Industry Lending franchise
• New technologies and further standardisation are key to further leveraging our international platform
• A foundation for improving the client experience and supporting innovation
• As a result, we are able to grow our business, supporting our funding rich units, while delivering good returns
Appendix
23
Industry lending portfolio well diversified geographically and by sector
24
65.7%
0.5%
33.8%
Structured Finance (SF)
Real Estate Finance (REF)
Corporate Investments (CI)
EUR
72 bln
Lending assets Industry Lending (in %, 2013) Structured Finance (in %, 2013)
Structured Finance (in %, 2013)
28%
25%
47%
Energy, Transport & Infrastructure (ETIG)
International Trade & Export Finance (ITEF)
Specialised Financing Group (SFG)
EUR
47 bln
15%
19%
66% Europe
Asia
Americas
EUR
47 bln
• Energy, Transport and Infrastructure Group (ETIG) includes natural resources, utilities power, infrastructure, transportation. The assets are a mixture of medium- and long-term assets
• International Trade and Export Finance (ITEF) includes Structured Export Finance. The assets are largely short-term assets
• Specialised Financing Group (SFG) includes Telecom and Media Finance, Structured Acquisition Finance and Local Structured Finance. The assets are largely medium-term assets
40-45 bps across the cycle
147
1
129
74 667471
37 22
-66
-16-17-1
-100
0
100
200
Structured Finance - risk costs are cyclical: average asset life circa 4 years
25
‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13
Structured Finance – risk costs in bps of average RWA Structured Finance – run off net lending assets
47.4
2014 2018 2022 2026 2030
Financial Markets provides hedging and financing solutions to corporate and institutional clients
26
FM – Income by product FY13* FM – Income by Geography FY13*,** FM – Client income by Client Segment, FY13*
• Financial Markets (FM) is a well diversified business, exposed to developed markets and faster growing economies
• FM is skewed to rates and FX, rather than credit
* Excluding CVA/DVA
** Excluding Global Equity Products, DCM, CF & Other
10%
25%
18%
47%
Rates & FX
Credit Trading
Global Equity Products
DCM, CF & Other
48%52%
Developed markets
Emerging markets
45%
55%
Corporates
Financial Institutions
Disclaimer
27
ING Group’s Annual Accounts are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as adopted by the European Union (‘IFRS-EU’).
All figures in this document are based on the 2013 ING Group Annual Accounts. This document is unaudited.
Certain of the statements contained herein are not historical facts, including, without limitation, certain statements made of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation: (1) changes in general economic conditions, in particular economic conditions in ING’s core markets, (2) changes in performance of financial markets, including developing markets, (3) consequences of a potential (partial) break-up of the euro, (4) the implementation of ING’s restructuring plan to separate banking and insurance operations, (5) changes in the availability of, and costs associated with, sources of liquidity such as interbank funding, as well as conditions in the credit markets generally, including changes in borrower and counterparty creditworthiness, (6) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (7) changes affecting mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (8) changes affecting persistency levels, (9) changes affecting interest rate levels, (10) changes affecting currency exchange rates, (11) changes in investor, customer and policyholder behaviour, (12) changes in general competitive factors, (13) changes in laws and regulations, (14) changes in the policies of governments and/or regulatory authorities, (15) conclusions with regard to purchase accounting assumptions and methodologies, (16) changes in ownership that could affect the future availability to us of net operating loss, net capital and built-in loss carry forwards, (17) changes in credit ratings, (18) ING’s ability to achieve projected operational synergies and (19) the other risks and uncertainties detailed in the Risk Factors section contained in the most recent annual report of ING Groep N.V. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of ING speak only as of the date they are made, and, ING assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or for any other reason. This document does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities.
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