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© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 2
FREE Redistribution Rights!
This Baseball Betting Guide may be distributed freely on your website, as long as this entire e-book, including links and the resource box below are unchanged. You may distribute this special report as a gift to your friends, co-workers, business associates or anyone you desire. Or post it to the wall on your Facebook or other social media home pages.
Copyright 2010 Robert Bies All Rights Reserved. Guide to Baseball Betting http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com
Many of my friends think I’m absolutely nuts to give this report away. While that may be true, what I’m NOT doing is giving away the rights to sell this report. Although I expect that you will make thousands of dollars from this report if you follow this system exactly as it’s written, it’s a FREE report and I want to keep it that way.
Best of luck!
Robert Bies www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com
DISCLAIMER:
All information in this book is meant for gamblers betting in jurisdictions where it is legal to do so. The author does not condone illegal gambling, strongly urges readers to determine the legality of gambling in their locale or via the Internet before betting, and accepts no liability for those who break local, state, federal or international laws by gambling illegally.
As is stressed throughout this book, all gamblers are encouraged to bet legally, smartly and conservatively, with only a small portion of their disposable income, risking only what they can afford to lose. Those who feel that they may have a gambling problem are urged to cease betting immediately and contact their local chapter of Gambler’s Anonymous as the first step in seeking help.
This Legal Document was produced using AutoWebLaw. See bottom of page at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/terms.html for more information about this Website Legal Document Generator.
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Table of Contents
Free Redistribution Rights ....................................................................................................................... 2
Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 5
How to Read Lines ................................................................................................................................... 6
Money Management Strategies ............................................................................................................... 9
Flat Betting .................................................................................................................................... 9
Martingale System ....................................................................................................................... 10
Labouchere System ..................................................................................................................... 11
Run Line Strategy ......................................................................................................................... 12
Bankroll – How to Determine the Size of Each Wager .......................................................................... 13
System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better Now (2-Game Chase) ......................................................... 14
Eligibility Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 14
How the System Works ................................................................................................................ 15
July 2011 Results ......................................................................................................................... 16
System #2 – Avoid the Series Sweep (1 Game) ....................................................................................... 25
Eligibility Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 25
How the System Works ................................................................................................................ 26
Aug 2011 Results ......................................................................................................................... 26
System #3 – Dominant Home Team Loses Game #1 (2-Game Chase) ..................................................... 35
Eligibility Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 35
How the System Works ................................................................................................................ 36
June 2011 Results ........................................................................................................................ 36
System #4 – Dominant Team Over Last 3 Years (2-Game Chase) ............................................................ 44
Eligibility Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 44
How the System Works ................................................................................................................ 45
June 2011 Results ........................................................................................................................ 46
System #5 – Revenge Series Sweep (3-Game Chase) .............................................................................. 53
Eligibility Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 53
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 4
How the System Works ................................................................................................................ 54
June 2011 Results ........................................................................................................................ 55
Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 62
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1. INTRODUCTION This Guide contains Five Powerful Systems with step-by-step instructions on how to use each, and is the result of hundreds of hours of research and analysis. We could not be any more pleased with the end product and are extremely confident that you will feel the same way. We are certain that you will make Thousands of Dollars betting on baseball as long as you apply the rules in the Guide “exactly” as they are written.
The Sub-Title “How to Turn $5,000 into $18,811 in Only Five Months Betting on Baseball” sounds pretty crazy! However, if you would have followed each system in 2011 and placed bets accordingly, that is exactly how much money you would have made based on a starting bankroll of $5,000. You can view the Final Results at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/Final2011Results.html. Projected over a full 12 months, that’s an incredible 663% return on your investment!!
Can I guarantee the same result in 2012? No I can’t. But there is absolutely no reason why you cannot achieve similar results in 2012. Each system uses a common sense approach to betting that should make you lots of money for many years to come.
Now you will have to spend 30 to 45 minutes every night to follow the instructions laid out for every system. Not a lot of time to invest for this type of return. However, if you just don’t have the time to do your homework every night or would prefer to spend quality time with your family instead, for the cost of a cup of coffee every morning, I’ll make the picks for you. More about that in the Conclusion!
You may wonder how these five systems did in previous years. Unfortunately, I cannot answer that question. It’s virtually impossible to back test these systems if you’re not collecting the necessary information on a daily basis − which is exactly what I did from May through September for the 2011 baseball season.
For each series I recorded the following information into a spreadsheet:
• Score and odds for each game; • Relative Power Index (RPI); • Win/Loss record for each team; • Home/Road Record for each team over the last 7 games; • Record (Home & Road games combined) over the last 10 games; and
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• Record against each other in the same city over the last 3 years.
Then, at the end of the season, I spent hundreds of hours analyzing the data…
This Guide contains five (5) powerful systems:
1. Dominant Team Playing Better Now (2-Game Chase); 2. Avoid the Series Sweep (1 Game); 3. Dominant Home Team (2-Game Chase); 4. Dominant Team Over Last 3 Years (2-Game Chase); and 5. Revenge Series Sweep (3-Game Chase).
However, before we get into how each system works, let’s first look at how to read baseball lines.
2. How to Read Lines Reading baseball betting lines is easier than it looks at first glance. The first thing you need to understand is how the money line works.
Money Line (ML) The margin of victory is so small in many baseball games that it’s impossible to have a point spread. Thus, you must understand odds represented as money lines. While the point spread is concerned with who wins and by how much, the money line is solely interested in who wins.
The best way to learn how to read MLB money lines is to see an example of it in action, so let’s look at the ML for two famous rivals:
Boston Red Sox +135 New York Yankees -145
In this example, the Yankees are the favoured team, as signified by the minus sign in front of the 145. The Red Sox are the underdogs, as designated by the plus sign in front of the 135.
The above lines indicate that those wishing to bet on the Yankees (favourite) will have to risk $145 to win $100, while those wanting to wager on the Red Sox (underdog) will risk $100 to win $135.
Please note that even though baseball betting lines are expressed in units of $100, you can bet as little as $5 or $10.
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Run Line (RL)
In point spread betting such as in football and basketball, the bookmakers hope to have an equal amount of money wagered on each team so that they can make a guaranteed profit on the vigorish (bookmaker’s commission).
In baseball, however, the majority of people wager on the favourites, which means that the bookmakers typically only make money when the underdog wins. Thus, the bookmakers can only hope to have enough wagered on the underdog to cover their potential losses on the favourite.
Baseball run lines are essentially a combination of the point spread and the money line. Don't worry though − reading run lines are not nearly as confusing as it seems.
The run line normally uses a constant spread of 1.5 runs. The team that is favoured on the money line will also be the favoured team on the run line.
Let’s look at an example:
Kansas City Royals +160 Texas Rangers -170
The example above indicates that Ranger bettors are risking $170 to win $100, while Royals bettors will risk $100 to win $160.
But with baseball run lines, we would expect to see the same game looking closer to:
Kansas City Royals +1.5 -130 Texas Rangers -1.5 +120
Now, those people betting on the Royals are risking more money than they will win, in this case $130 to win $100, but they are receiving 1.5 runs. Even if the Royals lose by one run, those betting Kansas City on the run line will win their bet because of the 1.5 runs.
Looking at another game, this time where the road team is favoured, we'll choose the Phillies at the Mets. For our purposes, let's say the money line odds on the game were:
Philadelphia Phillies -135 New York Mets +125
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On the money line, Phillies bettors will risk $135 to win $100, while Mets bettors will risk $100 to win $125. Using baseball run lines, however, we would see odds resembling:
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 San Francisco Giants +1.5 -135
The reason the odds didn't change as much for the Phillies (-135 to +125) as they did for the Rangers (-170 to +130) is because the Rangers are the home team and will not bat in the bottom of the ninth inning if they lead by one run. And if the Rangers happen to be losing going into the ninth inning, the Rangers will stop batting if they go ahead by a run, even if the bases are loaded and there are no outs (unless they score by home run). The Phillies, as the road team, will continue to bat all the way through the ninth inning even if they're already ahead to try to add to their lead.
The home team wins by one run about 17% of the time, and road teams win by one run a little over 10% of the time. As explained above, in the bottom of the ninth or later innings the game is immediately over when the home team is ahead by one run, turning a lot of games into one-run wins, which in turn makes that one run extremely valuable. That run gains even more value when the total is low, which makes it much harder to win by more than one run. Conversely, that run is less valuable for high totals. The value of the run also varies slightly depending on the money line for the game.
Now that we know how to read lines, it’s time to look at various money management strategies.
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3. Money Management Strategies
Sports betting strategies, for the purpose of managing your sports betting bankroll, not only reduce the risk associated with gambling, they also allow you to maximize profits. Done properly, you can achieve profits between 10% and 25% per month. Even Warren Buffet doesn’t earn profits like this in the stock market.
The first question you must ask yourself is how much can you afford to invest in sports betting? This investment, which we will call your bankroll, cannot consist of money required for food, shelter, clothing and other necessities. Although the intention of sports betting is not to lose, you also do not want to be burdened with worry when you face your first inevitable losing streak.
Since your bankroll is the lifeblood of your business, you must learn to protect it. You do this by dividing your bankroll into fifty (50) units. For example, if your bankroll is $5,000, you divide it by fifty units to get $100 (2% of your overall bankroll). For your starting bet, you “risk $100” or one unit.
Three popular betting methods are:
• Flat betting; • Martingale and other double-up strategies; and • Labouchere (aka Labby).
You will hear these approaches bandied about so I think it’s important that you are familiar with all three approaches.
Flat Betting
The most popular betting method is flat betting. This is where you bet a constant percentage of your bankroll on each bet. For example, if your bankroll is $2,000, divide $2,000 by 50 to come up with $40, which is the amount to risk each game.
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Martingale System
The Martingale system has been around for years. The idea behind it is to keep doubling your bets until you win and get back your original bet. If used for more than 2 games with high odds, it will eventually destroy your bankroll.
Let’s look at an example.
For simplification, let’s say the odds are constant at -150 and you are risking $15 to win $10.
• You bet $150 and you lose. • Your next bet is $300. If you lose: • Your next bet is $600. If you lose: • Your next bet is $1,200. If you lose: • Your next bet is $2,400 and so on.
It doesn't matter how many times you double up your bet. You will only win 100 dollars if you eventually hit. This takes into account all your progressions up to that point. Can you imagine risking $2,400 to win $100? Many bettors, if they don’t lose their bankroll first, will simply give up when the wagers get too big.
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Labouchere System
Another method that can be effective is the Labouchere system (often called Labby for short). The principle behind the Labby is that you can create winning sessions even if you win less than 50% of the time. The system achieves this by changing the bet sizes to cover prior betting losses.
While the Labouchere System looks complicated at first, it is rather easy to use once you try it once or twice. It uses a series of numbers in a line to decide the amount of your bet. You can choose any series of numbers and they can vary in length, e.g., 1-1-1-1, 1-2-3-4-5, etc.
These numbers represent betting units. The sum of the two outside numbers is the amount you risk on the next bet. If you win you cross out the two outside numbers and proceed to use the shorter line. If you lose, you add the amount just wagered to the end of the line and continue to use the longer line. The value of the first bet placed is calculated by adding together the sum of the first and last numbers in the line (the outside numbers).
For baseball we find that the ideal unit size to be 1. If you use larger unit sizes, the bet sizes will become quite large after a few losses and possibly go outside your comfort zone. In addition, to allow you the ability to clear the line as quickly as possible, we find the right length of line to be 4 units.
The first step is to decide the dollar value of each unit. A good rule of thumb is to start your wager at 1% of your total bankroll. For example, if your total bankroll is $2,000, your first wager would be $20. Since we use the outside two numbers for your bet, each unit would be $10. Thus the line would look like this:
Game 1: 10-10-10-10
If you win Game 1, you would cancel the 1st and 4th unit of $10. Your next wager would also be $20. The line would be: Game 2: x-10-10-x
If you win Game 2, you cancel the line and start a new one.
If you would have lost Game 1, you add the amount that you lost to the end of the line. The Game 2 wager would be $30 (the total of the 1st and 5th unit) making the line:
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Game 2: 10-10-10-10-20
If you lose Game 2, you add $30 to the end of the line, which makes the wager for Game 3 $40. Game 3 line looks like:
Game 3: 10-10-10-10-20-30
If you win Game 3, you cancel the 1st and 6th unit making the line for Game 4:
Game 4: x-10-10-10-20
You continue this process until the line is cancelled and you are showing a profit for the line.
The Labouchere System is very popular with casino players but the truth is no system can help you win casino games such as roulette. A computer cannot consistently and accurately predict the outcome of a roulette spin because it is not a game with a reoccurring pattern. It is a random game of chance. However this is not the case in baseball.
Baseball is not played with dice or spinning wheels; it is played by human beings who hate to lose. Thus, if the NY Yankees lose today, they are even more motivated to win tomorrow.
Run Line Strategy
A good strategy when the odds get pricy (e.g., -150 or worse), especially when you are using a Progressive Betting System, is to split your wager between the run line and the money line. That way if your team wins by only 1 run you break even on your wager. However, if your team covers the 1.5 run spread you increase the profitability of the wager.
Let's look at an example:
Let's say the ML/RL odds are BOSTON -185/+109 VS. SAN DIEGO +175
Instead of risking $100 to win $54.05 on the money line, you risk $65.00 to win $35.14 on the money line and $35.00 to win $38.15 on the run line. That way if Boston only wins by 1 run you make a profit of $0.14 (break even) but if Boston covers the 1.5 run spread, you make $73.29, which is the equivalent of -136 odds.
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4. Bankroll Although determining the size of your bankroll is just as important as making wise sports picks, it is the number one reason why novice sports bettors fail.
To determine how much to wager for all five baseball betting systems in this report, I suggest that you first divide your bankroll by 50. For example, if your bankroll is $1,000, the size of each betting unit is $20.00.
$20.00 is the amount that “you risk” for each wager. For instance, if the money line odds are -120 for the Toronto Blue Jays to beat the KC Royals and the system calls for you to bet 1 unit on Toronto, you would wager $24 to win $20. If the system calls for you to bet 2 units on Toronto, you would wager $48 to win $40.
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5. Dominant Team Playing Better Now (System #1)
Although most novice bettors believe that putting money on favourites is a solid baseball betting strategy, a seven year study of baseball demonstrated that without a filtering system, this just isn’t true over the long run.
The study produced the following winning percentages and betting results:
• Underdogs: 6,917 - 9,644 (-153 units) • Favourites: 9,619 – 6,891 (-641 units)
Even though the favourites won 58.3% of the games, bettors who backed only the favourites would lose four times as much as a bettor who backed only underdogs.
Based on above, it’s obvious that if you’re going to bet favourites, you need some sort of criteria to filter out those teams that just aren’t playing well enough for you to back them with your hard earned money.
System #1 is based on a common sense approach that a “stronger” MLB team “playing better” right now, whether playing at home or on the road, will win at least one game of the first two games of a three or four-game series.
This system works because dominant teams playing better than their opponent will more often than not win the series. In order to win a series, a team must first win at least one game out of the first two games.
The eligibility criteria use a combination of ranking tools (to determine the dominant team) and simple statistics (to measure how well a team is playing) to find the favourites who offer the best value for your betting dollar.
2011 record for 2-game chase was 128 – 10 (92.8%); All games 128 – 61 (67.7%). Number of 2011 units: +69.95 (unit value = bankroll ÷ 50). Average odds: -163.
See final 2011 results at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System1.html
A. Find Daily Matchups
At the start of each new baseball series, find all of the matchups for that particular day. You can find a list of the daily matchups at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/mlb-games.html.
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To confirm that the game is the first game of a series, go to http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams and click on the corresponding team name.
B. Eligibility Criteria
Select for consideration any team that meets ALL of the following criteria at the beginning of each series: 1. Higher Relative Power Index (RPI). RPI is a ranking system developed by
ESPN for MLB teams. Find the RPI for all teams at http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi.
a. If Road Team, RPI must be higher than home team by 21 points or more
(Note: Road RPI is higher since it is more difficult to win on the road). b. If Home Team, RPI must be higher than road team by 16 points or more.
2. Higher Win-Loss Percentage. Compare the “road” team’s W/L record (# of
road wins divided by total # of road games) to the “home” teams W/L record.
Find the home and road win/loss records at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/mlb-games.html. Click on the blue highlighted and underlined “Report” button beside the home team line in the “INFO” column.
a. If Road Team, road W/L% must be higher than home W/L% by 0.051
(5.1%). b. If Home Team, home W/L% must be greater than road W/L% by 0.026
(2.6%).
3. Record over the last seven games (L-7). Compare the “road” team’s record over the last 7 games on the road against the “home” team’s L-7 record at home.
a. If Road Team, record over last seven (7) “road” games must be four (4)
or more and its opponent’s L-7 must be four (4) or less. b. If Home Team, record over last seven (7) “home” games must be three
(3) or more and its opponent’s L-7 must be four (4) or less.
4. Record over the last ten games (L-10). Note: L-10 includes both home and road games.
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a. If Road Team, record over last ten (10) games must be five (5) or more
and its opponent’s L-10 must be four (4) or less. b. If Home Team, record over last ten (10) games must be four (4) or more
and its opponent’s L-10 must be five (5) or less.
C. How the System Works
Objective of the system is to win one (1) game out of the first two games of a three or four-game series. We always bet using the money line for this system.
For game #1, you wager enough to win 1 unit (calculate dollar value of one unit by dividing total bankroll by 50). If we win game #1, we move on to the next qualifying series. If we lose game #1, we place a wager on game #2.
The wager to win game #2 is equal to in 1 unit plus the amount that we lost on game #1. For example, on May 3rd, Colorado (eligible team) loses game #1 against Arizona. Since the money line for Colorado winning game #1 was -126, you would have bet $126 to win $100. Since you lost game #1, you wager to win $226 ($100 + $126) on game #2. Colorado won game #2 6-4 so you net a profit of $100 for the two games ($226 - $126).
Note: There is limited information on which to select the best performing team in each series in the first month of the season. Thus, I strongly suggest that you wait till the first qualifying series in May to start placing bets according to the system contained in this report.
D. Real Life Examples System #1 (July 2011)
To illustrate how to apply the eligibility criteria, let’s look at all of the games in July 2011.
Series RECORD L-7 L-10 GAME #1 GAME #2
Date RPI W L % W L W L #1 SCORE ML SCORE ML
01-Jul-11 PIT @ 501 22 19 0.537 3 4 6 4 FALSE 1 125 5 140
01-Jul-11 WAS 507 22 13 0.629 6 1 5 5 FALSE 2 -135 3 -150
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01-Jul-11 PHI @ 533 19 17 0.528 4 3 6 4 TRUE 7 140 5 -145
01-Jul-11 TOR 503 18 20 0.474 3 4 4 6 FALSE 6 -150 3 135
01-Jul-11 CWS @ 496 21 22 0.488 4 3 6 4 FALSE 6 -120 1 104
01-Jul-11 CHC 477 19 24 0.442 3 4 4 6 FALSE 4 110 0 -114
01-Jul-11 SFG @ 512 22 23 0.489 2 5 7 3 FALSE 4 115 15 150
01-Jul-11 DET 511 26 17 0.605 4 3 5 5 FALSE 3 -125 3 -160
01-Jul-11 CLE @ 510 18 23 0.439 2 5 4 6 FALSE 8 115 3 145
01-Jul-11 CIN 501 22 19 0.537 2 5 5 5 FALSE 2 -125 1 -155
01-Jul-11 STL @ 500 23 20 0.535 3 4 5 5 FALSE 5 125 1 120
01-Jul-11 TAM 511 19 20 0.487 4 3 7 3 FALSE 3 -135 5 -130
01-Jul-11 NYY @ 532 20 13 0.606 5 2 8 2 FALSE 5 -115 5 -125
01-Jul-11 NYM 508 18 20 0.474 4 3 6 4 FALSE 1 105 2 115
01-Jul-11 FLA @ 492 20 21 0.488 2 5 4 6 FALSE 5 155 9 146
01-Jul-11 TEX 505 23 16 0.590 4 3 5 5 FALSE 15 -165 5 -156
01-Jul-11 BAL @ 490 13 21 0.382 3 4 4 6 FALSE 0 160 4 160
01-Jul-11 ATL 521 22 17 0.564 5 2 8 2 TRUE 4 -170 5 -170
01-Jul-11 MIL @ 508 15 27 0.357 1 6 4 6 FALSE 2 -120 8 -115
01-Jul-11 MIN 480 16 17 0.485 6 1 4 6 FALSE 5 110 7 105
01-Jul-11 BOS @ 531 24 18 0.571 3 4 4 6 FALSE 7 -130 10 -140
01-Jul-11 HOU 460 14 30 0.318 1 6 2 8 FALSE 5 120 4 130
01-Jul-11 LAD @ 478 17 22 0.436 3 4 5 5 FALSE 5 110 1 115
01-Jul-11 LAA 499 18 20 0.474 4 3 8 2 TRUE 0 -120 7 -125
01-Jul-11 KC @ 470 10 24 0.294 1 6 2 8 FALSE 0 145 6 190
01-Jul-11 COL 496 20 21 0.488 4 3 4 6 TRUE 9 -155 9 -200
01-Jul-11 ARZ @ 503 21 19 0.525 5 2 5 5 FALSE 4 -105 4 115
01-Jul-11 OAK 485 20 18 0.526 5 2 4 6 FALSE 5 -105 2 -125
01-Jul-11 SDP @ 484 18 18 0.500 2 5 7 3 FALSE 0 120 1 115
01-Jul-11 SEA 496 23 22 0.511 3 4 3 7 FALSE 6 -130 0 -125
04-Jul-11 TOR @ 502 22 22 0.500 3 4 5 5 FALSE 9 120 2 200
04-Jul-11 BOS 531 22 16 0.579 4 3 5 5 TRUE 7 -130 3 -210
04-Jul-11 TAM @ 510 26 16 0.619 5 2 7 3 FALSE 0 -155 2 -115
04-Jul-11 MIN 480 18 18 0.500 5 2 4 6 FALSE 7 145 3 105
04-Jul-11 SEA @ 496 16 20 0.444 3 4 4 6 FALSE 2 -120 4 -103
04-Jul-11 OAK 486 22 19 0.537 4 3 4 6 FALSE 1 110 2 -103
04-Jul-11 NYY @ 533 22 14 0.611 5 2 7 3 FALSE 3 -130 9 -150
04-Jul-11 CLE 513 24 14 0.632 4 3 5 5 FALSE 6 120 2 140
04-Jul-11 KCR @ 467 11 26 0.297 1 6 3 7 FALSE 4 140 5 145
04-Jul-11 CWS 498 19 20 0.487 4 3 6 4 TRUE 5 -150 3 -155
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04-Jul-11 BAL @ 488 14 23 0.378 3 4 3 7 FALSE 4 175 2 190
04-Jul-11 TEX 504 27 18 0.600 3 4 5 5 TRUE 13 -185 4 -200
04-Jul-11 DET @ 509 18 21 0.462 2 5 5 5 FALSE 1 110 0 -120
04-Jul-11 LAA 500 19 21 0.475 5 2 8 2 FALSE 5 -120 1 110
04-Jul-11 CHC @ 474 15 24 0.385 2 5 4 6 FALSE 4 130 2 125
04-Jul-11 WAS 509 24 15 0.615 5 2 4 6 TRUE 5 -140 3 -135
04-Jul-11 HOU @ 458 15 23 0.395 3 4 2 8 FALSE 3 120 1 110
04-Jul-11 PIT 498 19 20 0.487 5 2 6 4 TRUE 5 -130 5 -120
04-Jul-11 ARZ @ 503 22 21 0.512 3 4 4 6 FALSE 8 125 7 160
04-Jul-11 MIL 507 29 11 0.725 5 2 4 6 FALSE 6 -135 3 -170
04-Jul-11 SDP @ 485 19 20 0.487 3 4 7 3 FALSE 5 190 5 145
04-Jul-11 SFG 516 24 13 0.649 6 1 7 3 FALSE 3 -200 3 -155
04-Jul-11 PHI @ 535 21 18 0.538 4 3 6 4 FALSE 1 -110 14 -155
04-Jul-11 FLA 494 16 24 0.400 2 5 5 5 FALSE 0 100 2 145
04-Jul-11 CIN @ 497 20 21 0.488 4 3 5 5 FALSE 0 105 1 140
04-Jul-11 STL 499 21 18 0.538 2 5 5 5 FALSE 1 -115 8 -150
04-Jul-11 COL @ 499 19 21 0.475 3 4 4 6 FALSE 1 115 3 115
04-Jul-11 ATL 522 24 18 0.571 6 1 7 3 TRUE 4 -125 5 -125
04-Jul-11 NYM @ 507 23 20 0.535 4 3 6 4 FALSE 5 105 6 115
04-Jul-11 LAD 479 19 24 0.442 4 3 6 4 FALSE 2 -115 0 -125
07-Jul-11 TOR @ 506 23 24 0.489 4 3 3 7 FALSE 4 -110 11 105
07-Jul-11 CLE 514 26 15 0.634 4 3 6 4 FALSE 5 100 7 -115
07-Jul-11 TAM @ 509 27 18 0.600 5 2 5 5 FALSE 5 150 130
07-Jul-11 NYY 532 28 19 0.596 3 4 7 3 FALSE 1 -160 PPD -140
07-Jul-11 BAL @ 489 14 26 0.350 1 6 2 8 FALSE 4 140 3 190
07-Jul-11 BOS 532 23 17 0.575 4 3 7 3 TRUE 10 -150 10 -200
07-Jul-11 OAK @ 487 16 28 0.364 2 5 4 6 FALSE 0 125 5 135
07-Jul-11 TEX 506 27 18 0.600 4 3 6 4 TRUE 6 -135 8 -145
07-Jul-11 MIN @ 486 18 28 0.391 2 5 6 4 FALSE 6 135 8 150
07-Jul-11 CWS 495 20 22 0.476 3 4 5 5 FALSE 2 -145 5 -160
07-Jul-11 DET @ 509 19 23 0.452 3 4 4 6 FALSE 3 -130 6 -125
07-Jul-11 KCR 472 23 24 0.489 3 4 4 6 FALSE 1 120 4 115
07-Jul-11 SEA @ 501 18 21 0.462 4 3 5 5 FALSE 1 160 3 145
07-Jul-11 LAA 505 22 22 0.500 5 2 7 3 FALSE 5 -170 4 -155
07-Jul-11 COL @ 493 19 25 0.432 0 7 3 7 FALSE 3 115 2 -115
07-Jul-11 WAS 510 27 16 0.628 4 3 5 5 TRUE 2 -125 1 105
07-Jul-11 CHC @ 471 16 27 0.372 2 5 4 6 FALSE 4 115 6 105
07-Jul-11 PIT 500 21 21 0.500 5 2 6 4 TRUE 7 -125 3 -115
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 19
07-Jul-11 HOU @ 455 15 25 0.375 2 5 2 8 FALSE 0 125 3 130
07-Jul-11 FLA 493 17 26 0.395 2 5 5 5 FALSE 5 -135 6 -140
07-Jul-11 CIN @ 494 21 23 0.477 3 4 4 6 FALSE 4 110 7 115
07-Jul-11 MIL 502 30 13 0.698 4 3 3 7 FALSE 5 -120 8 -125
07-Jul-11 ARZ @ 502 24 22 0.522 3 4 4 6 FALSE 4 135 7 110
07-Jul-11 STL 499 23 19 0.548 3 4 6 4 FALSE 1 -145 6 -120
07-Jul-11 NYM @ 510 26 20 0.565 5 2 6 4 FALSE 5 125 1 160
07-Jul-11 SFG 508 25 15 0.625 5 2 5 5 FALSE 2 -135 3 -170
07-Jul-11 SDP @ 486 21 22 0.488 3 4 6 4 FALSE 0 110 0 115
07-Jul-11 LAD 473 19 27 0.413 2 5 3 7 FALSE 1 -120 1 -125
07-Jul-11 ATL @ 523 25 18 0.581 4 3 9 1 FALSE 2 160 4 145
07-Jul-11 PHI 537 32 14 0.696 5 2 7 3 FALSE 3 -170 1 -155
14-Jul-11 CLE @ 513 20 24 0.455 4 3 5 5 FALSE 8 -115 6 100
14-Jul-11 BAL 484 22 22 0.500 2 5 1 9 FALSE 4 105 5 -110
14-Jul-11 NYY @ 533 23 16 0.590 4 3 6 4 FALSE 7 -140 1 100
14-Jul-11 TOR 508 19 22 0.463 2 5 5 5 FALSE 16 130 7 -110
14-Jul-11 KC @ 472 13 27 0.325 3 4 4 6 FALSE 4 135 2 113
14-Jul-11 MIN 489 20 19 0.513 5 2 7 3 TRUE 8 -145 1 -123
14-Jul-11 TEX @ 510 20 23 0.465 4 3 8 2 FALSE 5 -120 4 -105
14-Jul-11 SEA 494 25 23 0.521 3 4 4 6 FALSE 0 110 0 115
14-Jul-11 FLA @ 498 22 22 0.500 4 3 7 3 TRUE 6 109 1 110
14-Jul-11 CHC 471 20 26 0.435 3 4 3 7 FALSE 3 -119 2 -120
14-Jul-11 MIL @ 506 16 29 0.356 1 6 5 5 FALSE 3 125 0 120
14-Jul-11 COL 493 22 22 0.500 3 4 4 6 FALSE 12 -135 4 -130
14-Jul-11 SFG @ 512 24 24 0.500 4 3 6 4 FALSE 6 -105 6 -140
14-Jul-11 SDP 478 19 27 0.413 5 2 3 7 FALSE 2 -105 1 130
14-Jul-11 CWS @ 488 23 23 0.500 5 2 4 6 FALSE 8 180 5 150
14-Jul-11 DET 511 27 19 0.587 3 4 5 5 FALSE 2 -190 0 -160
14-Jul-11 BOS @ 536 27 18 0.600 5 2 9 1 TRUE 6 135 9 130
14-Jul-11 TAM 511 21 21 0.500 4 3 4 6 FALSE 9 -145 5 -140
14-Jul-11 LAA @ 510 24 20 0.545 5 2 8 2 FALSE 3 -118 4 -120
14-Jul-11 OAK 484 23 21 0.523 3 4 3 7 FALSE 5 108 2 110
14-Jul-11 LAD @ 479 18 24 0.429 3 4 5 5 FALSE 6 -125 2 120
14-Jul-11 ARZ 501 23 19 0.548 3 4 5 5 TRUE 4 115 3 -130
14-Jul-11 STL @ 498 24 22 0.522 4 3 5 5 FALSE 5 145 4 -120
14-Jul-11 CIN 494 23 21 0.523 3 4 3 7 FALSE 6 -155 1 110
14-Jul-11 PHI @ 538 23 19 0.548 4 3 6 4 FALSE 7 -110 2 -140
14-Jul-11 NYM 510 19 22 0.463 3 4 5 5 FALSE 2 100 11 130
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 20
14-Jul-11 WAS @ 506 18 28 0.391 3 4 5 5 FALSE 1 160 5 155
14-Jul-11 ATL 525 28 18 0.609 5 2 7 3 TRUE 11 -170 2 -165
14-Jul-11 PIT @ 497 24 21 0.533 4 3 6 4 TRUE 4 -105 4 105
14-Jul-11 HOU 453 14 33 0.298 1 6 1 9 FALSE 0 -105 6 -115
18-Jul-11 CLE @ 512 22 26 0.458 4 3 4 6 FALSE 5 105 6 115
18-Jul-11 MIN 489 23 20 0.535 5 2 7 3 FALSE 2 -115 3 -125
18-Jul-11 NYY @ 531 25 18 0.581 3 4 5 5 FALSE 5 -120 2 -120
18-Jul-11 TAM 512 22 22 0.500 5 2 5 5 FALSE 4 110 3 110
18-Jul-11 BOS @ 535 28 19 0.596 5 2 7 3 TRUE 15 -135 2 -125
18-Jul-11 BAL 483 24 24 0.500 2 5 2 8 FALSE 10 125 6 115
18-Jul-11 CWS @ 492 25 24 0.510 5 2 4 6 FALSE 5 -120 2 -120
18-Jul-11 KC 471 24 27 0.471 3 4 4 6 FALSE 2 110 4 110
18-Jul-11 CIN @ 494 22 26 0.458 2 5 4 6 FALSE 0 -105 0 -125
18-Jul-11 PIT 495 23 22 0.511 4 3 7 3 FALSE 2 -105 1 115
18-Jul-11 SDP @ 477 21 25 0.457 2 5 2 8 FALSE 4 135 14 130
18-Jul-11 FLA 499 21 26 0.447 5 2 9 1 FALSE 0 -145 3 -140
18-Jul-11 PHI @ 537 25 20 0.556 4 3 6 4 TRUE 1 -195 4 -155
18-Jul-11 CHC 471 21 28 0.429 2 5 3 7 FALSE 6 185 2 145
18-Jul-11 WAS @ 506 19 29 0.396 2 5 5 5 FALSE 5 -115 6 -145
18-Jul-11 HOU 454 15 34 0.306 2 5 2 8 FALSE 2 105 7 135
18-Jul-11 ATL @ 524 26 20 0.565 4 3 7 3 TRUE 7 -105 3 130
18-Jul-11 COL 495 24 23 0.511 4 3 4 6 FALSE 4 -105 12 -140
18-Jul-11 MIL @ 504 17 31 0.354 3 4 6 4 FALSE 0 105 11 -125
18-Jul-11 ARZ 501 24 20 0.545 3 4 6 4 FALSE 3 -115 3 115
18-Jul-11 LAD @ 480 19 25 0.432 2 5 5 5 FALSE 0 115 3 140
18-Jul-11 SFG 512 28 16 0.636 4 3 7 3 TRUE 5 -125 5 -150
18-Jul-11 OAK @ 489 16 32 0.333 1 6 4 6 FALSE 3 135 7 115
18-Jul-11 DET 508 28 21 0.571 3 4 5 5 FALSE 8 -145 5 -125
18-Jul-11 SEA @ 490 18 25 0.419 2 5 1 9 FALSE 5 -110 6 140
18-Jul-11 TOR 511 21 24 0.467 3 4 5 5 TRUE 6 100 11 -150
18-Jul-11 TEX @ 515 24 23 0.511 6 1 10 0 FALSE 7 -140 8 125
18-Jul-11 LAA 505 26 22 0.542 6 1 6 4 FALSE 0 130 9 -135
18-Jul-11 STL @ 497 25 24 0.510 3 4 5 5 FALSE 2 115 5 105
18-Jul-11 NYM 511 20 25 0.444 2 5 4 6 FALSE 4 -125 6 -115
21-Jul-11 DET @ 508 22 24 0.478 4 3 6 4 FALSE 6 -150 8 -115
21-Jul-11 MIN 491 25 22 0.532 4 3 6 4 FALSE 2 140 2 105
21-Jul-11 LAA @ 505 25 23 0.521 3 4 6 4 FALSE 6 -120 2 -107
21-Jul-11 BAL 485 25 26 0.490 3 4 3 7 FALSE 1 110 3 -103
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 21
21-Jul-11 CWS @ 487 26 26 0.500 3 4 4 6 FALSE 3 -105 4 110
21-Jul-11 CLE 509 27 18 0.600 3 4 4 6 TRUE 0 -105 2 -120
21-Jul-11 OAK @ 489 17 33 0.340 1 6 4 6 FALSE 7 150 4 160
21-Jul-11 NYY 534 30 19 0.612 6 1 6 4 TRUE 17 -160 3 -170
21-Jul-11 SEA @ 487 18 28 0.391 0 7 0 10 FALSE 4 120 1 255
21-Jul-11 BOS 536 28 17 0.622 6 1 8 2 TRUE 7 -130 3 -265
21-Jul-11 TOR @ 512 26 25 0.510 4 3 8 2 FALSE 2 160 4 150
21-Jul-11 TEX 515 31 18 0.633 7 0 8 2 FALSE 12 -170 5 -160
21-Jul-11 TAM @ 511 28 20 0.583 3 4 4 6 FALSE 4 -110 4 -105
21-Jul-11 KC 471 26 28 0.481 3 4 4 6 FALSE 10 100 5 -105
21-Jul-11 HOU @ 456 16 29 0.356 1 6 3 7 FALSE 2 130 1 105
21-Jul-11 CHC 472 22 31 0.415 2 5 3 7 FALSE 4 -140 5 -115
21-Jul-11 SDP @ 480 24 25 0.490 3 4 4 6 FALSE 1 175 6 130
21-Jul-11 PHI 536 34 15 0.694 5 2 6 4 TRUE 3 -185 8 -140
21-Jul-11 STL @ 495 28 22 0.560 2 5 4 6 FALSE 6 -130 9 -130
21-Jul-11 PIT 498 25 23 0.521 4 3 6 4 FALSE 4 120 1 120
21-Jul-11 ATL @ 523 28 22 0.560 3 4 5 5 FALSE 6 -115 2 110
21-Jul-11 CIN 495 25 22 0.532 4 3 4 6 FALSE 4 105 11 -120
21-Jul-11 NYM @ 512 27 23 0.540 4 3 4 6 FALSE 7 135 5 120
21-Jul-11 FLA 496 21 29 0.420 4 3 6 4 FALSE 6 -125 8 -130
21-Jul-11 COL @ 497 21 26 0.447 2 5 5 5 FALSE 8 150 3 130
21-Jul-11 ARZ 501 26 22 0.542 4 3 5 5 FALSE 4 -160 12 -140
21-Jul-11 WAS @ 501 20 32 0.385 2 5 3 7 FALSE 7 120 6 125
21-Jul-11 LAD 480 23 27 0.460 4 3 6 4 FALSE 2 -130 7 -135
21-Jul-11 MIL @ 507 20 32 0.385 4 3 5 5 FALSE 4 110 2 115
21-Jul-11 SFG 512 30 17 0.638 5 2 7 3 FALSE 2 -120 4 -125
25-Jul-11 LAA @ 506 27 24 0.529 3 4 5 5 FALSE 2 -130 2 -130
25-Jul-11 CLE 507 27 20 0.574 2 5 4 6 FALSE 3 120 1 120
25-Jul-11 SEA @ 485 18 31 0.367 0 7 0 10 FALSE 3 180 1 300
25-Jul-11 NYY 531 32 20 0.615 5 2 6 4 TRUE 10 -190 4 -310
25-Jul-11 KC @ 475 14 30 0.318 3 4 5 5 FALSE 3 260 9 170
25-Jul-11 BOS 536 31 17 0.646 7 0 8 2 TRUE 1 -270 13 -180
25-Jul-11 MIN @ 491 21 29 0.420 3 4 5 5 FALSE 6 160 9 195
25-Jul-11 TEX 515 33 18 0.647 6 1 7 3 TRUE 20 -170 8 -205
25-Jul-11 DET @ 508 25 25 0.500 5 2 6 4 FALSE 3 135 5 -125
25-Jul-11 CWS 489 21 25 0.457 2 5 6 4 FALSE 6 -145 4 135
25-Jul-11 TAM @ 509 29 22 0.569 3 4 4 6 FALSE 5 -115 1 -135
25-Jul-11 OAK 491 26 22 0.542 4 3 5 5 FALSE 7 105 6 125
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 22
25-Jul-11 BAL @ 484 14 30 0.318 0 7 4 6 FALSE 12 160 0 155
25-Jul-11 TOR 512 24 24 0.500 5 2 6 4 TRUE 4 -170 3 -165
25-Jul-11 FLA @ 496 26 23 0.531 6 1 5 5 FALSE 11 130 7 105
25-Jul-11 WAS 499 28 18 0.609 4 3 4 6 FALSE 2 -140 5 -115
25-Jul-11 PIT @ 495 26 22 0.542 4 3 6 4 FALSE 3 180 3 165
25-Jul-11 ATL 523 30 19 0.612 6 1 5 5 FALSE 1 -190 4 -175
25-Jul-11 NYM @ 510 28 25 0.528 2 5 4 6 FALSE 4 130 8 150
25-Jul-11 CIN 496 27 23 0.540 5 2 5 5 FALSE 2 -140 6 -160
25-Jul-11 HOU @ 453 16 32 0.333 0 7 3 7 FALSE 5 175 1 155
25-Jul-11 STL 499 25 21 0.543 4 3 5 5 TRUE 10 -185 3 -165
25-Jul-11 COL @ 496 22 28 0.440 3 4 4 6 FALSE 5 105 2 135
25-Jul-11 LAD 480 25 28 0.472 6 1 5 5 FALSE 8 -115 3 -145
25-Jul-11 SFG @ 514 27 25 0.519 5 2 7 3 FALSE 2 100 2 150
25-Jul-11 PHI 538 37 16 0.698 5 2 7 3 FALSE 7 -110 1 -160
25-Jul-11 CHC @ 474 17 29 0.370 2 5 5 5 FALSE 2 125 0 135
25-Jul-11 MIL 506 33 14 0.702 4 3 5 5 TRUE 3 -135 2 -145
25-Jul-11 ARZ @ 505 26 24 0.520 4 3 6 4 FALSE 6 100 4 110
25-Jul-11 SDP 479 20 30 0.400 4 3 5 5 FALSE 1 -110 3 -120
28-Jul-11 LAA @ 507 29 25 0.537 4 3 6 4 FALSE 12 120 2 120
28-Jul-11 DET 509 29 22 0.569 3 4 6 4 FALSE 7 -130 12 -130
28-Jul-11 KC @ 476 16 32 0.333 3 4 6 4 FALSE 12 120 2 150
28-Jul-11 CLE 505 28 22 0.560 1 6 3 7 FALSE 0 -130 5 -160
28-Jul-11 BAL @ 483 15 31 0.326 1 6 4 6 FALSE 4 190 3 250
28-Jul-11 NYY 530 34 21 0.618 5 2 6 4 TRUE 2 -200 8 -260
28-Jul-11 TEX @ 512 25 25 0.500 5 2 5 5 FALSE 2 -130 3 -120
28-Jul-11 TOR 510 25 25 0.500 5 2 6 4 FALSE 3 120 0 110
28-Jul-11 BOS @ 535 31 20 0.608 5 2 7 3 FALSE 1 -105 10 -145
28-Jul-11 CWS 493 23 26 0.469 3 4 6 4 FALSE 3 -105 2 135
28-Jul-11 MIN @ 492 22 30 0.423 4 3 5 5 FALSE 9 125 3 130
28-Jul-11 OAK 495 29 23 0.558 5 2 6 4 FALSE 5 -135 8 -140
28-Jul-11 TAM @ 505 30 25 0.545 2 5 4 6 FALSE 8 -105 2 120
28-Jul-11 SEA 486 25 27 0.481 2 5 1 9 FALSE 0 -105 3 -110
28-Jul-11 NYM @ 511 32 25 0.561 5 2 7 3 FALSE 8 -100 0 -110
28-Jul-11 WAS 497 28 21 0.571 1 6 2 8 FALSE 5 110 3 100
28-Jul-11 PIT @ 496 27 24 0.529 4 3 5 5 FALSE 3 240 4 240
28-Jul-11 PHI 537 38 17 0.691 4 3 6 4 TRUE 10 -250 7 -250
28-Jul-11 SF @ 516 28 26 0.519 5 2 7 3 FALSE 3 100 2 115
28-Jul-11 CIN 494 27 27 0.500 2 5 3 7 FALSE 4 -110 3 -125
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 23
28-Jul-11 FLA @ 499 29 23 0.558 6 1 6 4 FALSE 0 150 1 150
28-Jul-11 ATL 522 32 20 0.615 4 3 4 6 FALSE 5 -160 5 -160
28-Jul-11 HOU @ 452 17 34 0.333 2 5 4 6 FALSE 0 160 2 240
28-Jul-11 MIL 506 36 14 0.720 6 1 6 4 TRUE 4 -170 6 -250
28-Jul-11 CHC @ 473 17 32 0.347 2 5 4 6 FALSE 2 120 5 170
28-Jul-11 STL 496 27 22 0.551 4 3 5 5 TRUE 9 -130 13 -180
28-Jul-11 COL @ 494 23 30 0.434 2 5 4 6 FALSE 3 110 10 -120
28-Jul-11 SD 480 21 32 0.396 2 5 5 5 FALSE 2 -120 6 110
28-Jul-11 ARZ @ 506 28 25 0.528 4 3 6 4 FALSE 5 -100 6 130
28-Jul-11 LAD 484 27 29 0.482 5 2 5 5 FALSE 9 100 4 -140
The following table shows the July 2011 profit results for System #1. To see System #1 results for the full 2011 season, visit http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System1.html
Date Pick GM # Opp ML Score Bet
To Win Result $ 5,000 Units
7/1/11 ATL 1 BAL -170 4 0 $ 170 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,100 1.00
7/1/11 COL 1 KC -155 9 0 $ 155 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,200 1.00
7/1/11 LAA 1 LAD -120 0 5 $ 120 $ 100 -$ 120 $ 5,080 -1.20
7/1/11 PHI 1 TOR 140 7 6 $ 71 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,180 1.00
7/2/11 LAA 2 LAD -125 7 1 $ 275 $ 220 $ 220 $ 5,400 2.20
7/4/11 ATL 1 COL -125 4 1 $ 125 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,500 1.00
7/4/11 BOS 1 TOR -130 7 9 $ 130 $ 100 -$ 130 $ 5,370 -1.30
7/4/11 CWS 1 KCR -150 5 4 $ 150 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,470 1.00
7/4/11 PIT 1 HOU -130 5 3 $ 130 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,570 1.00
7/4/11 TEX 1 BAL -185 13 4 $ 185 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,670 1.00
7/4/11 WAS 1 CHC -140 5 4 $ 140 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,770 1.00
7/5/11 BOS 2 TOR -210 3 2 $ 483 $ 230 $ 230 $ 6,000 2.30
7/7/11 BOS 1 BAL -150 10 4 $ 150 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,100 1.00
7/7/11 PIT 1 CHC -125 7 4 $ 125 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,200 1.00
7/7/11 TEX 1 OAK -135 6 0 $ 135 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,300 1.00
7/7/11 WAS 1 COL -125 2 3 $ 125 $ 100 -$ 125 $ 6,175 -1.25
7/8/11 WAS 2 COL 105 1 2 $ 214 $ 225 -$ 214 $ 5,961 -2.14
7/14/11 ARZ 1 LAD 115 4 6 $ 87 $ 100 -$ 87 $ 5,874 -0.87
7/14/11 ATL 1 WAS -170 11 1 $ 170 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,974 1.00
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 24
7/14/11 BOS 1 TAM 135 6 9 $ 74 $ 100 -$ 74 $ 5,900 -0.74
7/14/11 FLA 1 CHC 109 6 3 $ 92 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,000 1.00
7/14/11 MIN 1 KC -145 8 4 $ 145 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,100 1.00
7/14/11 PIT 1 HOU -105 4 0 $ 105 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,200 1.00
7/15/11 ARZ 2 LAD -130 3 2 $ 247 $ 190 $ 190 $ 6,390 1.90
7/15/11 BOS 2 TAM 130 9 5 $ 135 $ 175 $ 175 $ 6,565 1.75
7/18/11 ATL 1 COL -105 7 4 $ 105 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,665 1.00
7/18/11 BOS 1 BAL -135 15 10 $ 135 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,765 1.00
7/18/11 PHI 1 CHC -195 1 6 $ 195 $ 100 -$ 195 $ 6,570 -1.95
7/18/11 SFG 1 LAD -125 5 0 $ 125 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,670 1.00
7/18/11 TOR 1 SEA -100 6 5 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,770 1.00
7/19/11 PHI 2 CHC -155 4 2 $ 465 $ 300 $ 300 $ 7,070 3.00
7/21/11 BOS 1 SEA -130 7 4 $ 130 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,170 1.00
7/21/11 CLE 1 CWS -105 0 3 $ 105 $ 100 -$ 105 $ 7,065 -1.05
7/21/11 NYY 1 OAK -160 17 7 $ 160 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,165 1.00
7/21/11 PHI 1 SDP -185 3 1 $ 185 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,265 1.00
7/22/11 CLE 2 CWS -120 2 4 $ 246 $ 205 -$ 246 $ 7,019 -2.46
7/25/11 BOS 1 KC -270 1 3 $ 270 $ 100 -$ 270 $ 6,749 -2.70
7/25/11 MIL 1 CHC -135 3 2 $ 135 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,849 1.00
7/25/11 NYY 1 SEA -190 10 3 $ 190 $ 100 $ 100 $ 6,949 1.00
7/25/11 STL 1 HOU -185 10 5 $ 185 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,049 1.00
7/25/11 TEX 1 MIN -170 20 6 $ 170 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,149 1.00
7/25/11 TOR 1 BAL -170 4 12 $ 170 $ 100 -$ 170 $ 6,979 -1.70
7/26/11 BOS 2 KC -180 13 9 $ 666 $ 370 $ 370 $ 7,349 3.70
7/26/11 TOR 2 BAL -165 3 0 $ 446 $ 270 $ 270 $ 7,619 2.70
7/28/11 MIL 1 HOU -170 4 0 $ 170 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,719 1.00
7/28/11 NYY 1 BAL -200 2 4 $ 200 $ 100 -$ 200 $ 7,519 -2.00
7/28/11 PHI 1 PIT -250 10 3 $ 250 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,619 1.00
7/28/11 STL 1 CHC -130 9 2 $ 130 $ 100 $ 100 $ 7,719 1.00
7/29/11 NYY 2 BAL -260 8 3 $ 780 $ 300 $ 300 $ 8,019 3.00
$ 3,019 30.19
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 25
6. Avoid the Series Sweep (System #2) A very solid baseball betting strategy is taking the third game of a 3 or 4-game series after the same team loses the first two games of the series.
Only 20% of series that go three games or more are won by the same team. Although the 80% of series not won by the same team are not all decided on the last game, with a good filtering system, you can achieve a 65% or better win percentage with very low odds betting the third game.
Baseball is unique to other sports since it is the only game in America where teams play the majority of games in series of 3 or more games at a time. As such, this betting system focuses on teams who are trying to avoid being swept by the same team. The system works because no team likes the embarrassment of their opponent sweeping them in front of the home town fans.
As long as the team avoiding the sweep is playing decent ball going into the series, they have a very good chance of winning the third game of the series. Note: the system plays the third game of four game series even though it’s not the final game of the series.
2011 record for game #3 was 37 – 18 (65.4%). Number of 2011 units: +14.74 (unit value = bankroll ÷ 50). Average odds = -115.
See final 2011 results at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System2.html
A. Find Daily Matchups
At the start of each new baseball series, find all of the matchups for that particular day. You can find a list of the daily matchups at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/mlb-games.html.
To confirm that the game is the third game of a series, go to http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams and click on the corresponding team name.
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 26
B. Eligibility Criteria
Even though this is a system where we are avoiding the sweep, we want to take game #3 in a 3 or 4-game series. This is a very simple system. If a team has lost the first two games of a three or four-game series, consider them if the team:
1. Has a record of five wins or more in the last ten games (home and road games combined).
2. Is playing an opponent with a record of less than five wins in the last ten
games (home and road games combined).
3. Is not eligible under System #1.
C. How the System Works
Objective of the system is to play the third game of a three or four-game series after an eligible team loses the first two games of the series.
You wager enough to win 1 unit (calculate dollar value of one unit by dividing total bankroll by 50).
D. Real Life Examples System #2 (August 2011)
To illustrate how to apply the eligibility criteria, let’s look at all of the games in August 2011.
L-10 GAME #1 GAME #2 GAME #3
Date W L Sys #2 SCORE ML SCORE ML SCORE ML
02-Aug-11 CLE @ 2 8 FALSE 9 150 2 235 3 165
02-Aug-11 BOS 7 3 FALSE 6 -160 3 -245 4 -175
02-Aug-11 NYY @ 7 3 FALSE 3 -160 6 -105 18 -110
02-Aug-11 CWS 5 5 FALSE 2 150 0 -105 7 100
02-Aug-11 OAK @ 6 4 TRUE 4 -115 2 150 4 -130
02-Aug-11 SEA 2 8 FALSE 8 105 4 -160 7 120
02-Aug-11 TEX @ 5 5 FALSE 5 100 4 -120 5 -150
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 27
02-Aug-11 DET 5 5 FALSE 6 -110 5 110 2 140
02-Aug-11 TOR @ 6 4 FALSE 3 130 1 145 6 105
02-Aug-11 TAM 4 6 FALSE 1 -140 9 -155 7 -115
02-Aug-11 BAL @ 3 7 FALSE 8 115 2 110 4 125
02-Aug-11 KC 6 4 FALSE 2 -125 6 -120 9 -135
02-Aug-11 MIN @ 4 6 FALSE 1 150 11 -105 1 155
02-Aug-11 LAA 6 4 FALSE 5 -160 4 -105 7 -165
02-Aug-11 ATL @ 5 5 TRUE 3 -140 3 -115 6 -155
02-Aug-11 WAS 3 7 FALSE 5 130 9 105 4 145
02-Aug-11 CHC @ 4 6 FALSE 5 125 11 135 1 -110
02-Aug-11 PIT 3 7 FALSE 3 -135 6 -145 0 100
02-Aug-11 FLA @ 6 4 FALSE 7 100 4 115 PPD 115
02-Aug-11 NYM 6 4 FALSE 3 -110 3 -125 -125
02-Aug-11 CIN @ 5 5 FALSE 3 -125 5 -115 4 -125
02-Aug-11 HOU 2 8 FALSE 4 115 1 105 5 115
02-Aug-11 STL @ 6 4 FALSE 2 105 8 120 5 110
02-Aug-11 MIL 7 3 FALSE 6 -115 7 -130 10 -120
02-Aug-11 PHI @ 7 3 FALSE 4 -110 5 -115 8 -190
02-Aug-11 COL 4 6 FALSE 3 120 0 105 6 180
02-Aug-11 LAD @ 6 4 FALSE 6 -125 1 -105 0 110
02-Aug-11 SD 3 7 FALSE 2 115 0 -105 3 -120
02-Aug-11 ARZ @ 7 3 FALSE 5 120 6 145 1 130
02-Aug-11 SFG 4 6 FALSE 2 -130 1 -155 8 -140
04-Aug-11 TOR @ 6 4 FALSE 5 -115 2 -140 7 -135
04-Aug-11 BAL 3 7 FALSE 4 105 6 130 2 125
04-Aug-11 NYY @ 8 2 FALSE 3 140 4 -145 2 150
04-Aug-11 BOS 6 4 FALSE 2 -150 10 135 3 -160
04-Aug-11 OAK @ 5 5 FALSE 4 140 8 140 5 155
04-Aug-11 TAM 5 5 FALSE 8 -150 0 -150 4 -165
04-Aug-11 CLE @ 4 6 FALSE 7 115 7 190 3 160
04-Aug-11 TEX 4 6 FALSE 8 -125 5 -200 5 -170
04-Aug-11 DET @ 5 5 FALSE 4 -115 4 -190 3 -125
04-Aug-11 KC 6 4 FALSE 3 105 3 180 4 115
04-Aug-11 CWS @ 3 7 FALSE 5 -115 6 104 7 -115
04-Aug-11 MIN 4 6 FALSE 3 105 1 -114 0 105
04-Aug-11 SEA @ 5 5 FALSE 0 225 5 135 1 115
04-Aug-11 LAA 6 4 FALSE 1 -235 1 -145 2 -125
04-Aug-11 STL @ 5 5 FALSE 7 -110 3 115 2 -130
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 28
04-Aug-11 FLA 8 2 FALSE 4 100 2 -125 1 120
04-Aug-11 WAS @ 4 6 FALSE 5 130 7 155 3 110
04-Aug-11 COL 3 7 FALSE 3 -120 15 -165 2 -120
04-Aug-11 PHI @ 7 3 FALSE 3 -130 9 -120 2 -130
04-Aug-11 SFG 4 6 FALSE 0 120 2 110 1 120
04-Aug-11 CIN @ 5 5 FALSE 3 -115 4 -135 8 -105
04-Aug-11 CHC 5 5 FALSE 4 105 11 125 7 -105
04-Aug-11 SDP @ 4 6 FALSE 15 135 13 105 7 -115
04-Aug-11 PIT 1 9 FALSE 5 -145 2 -115 3 105
04-Aug-11 ATL @ 5 5 FALSE 4 -120 7 -125 6 115
04-Aug-11 NYM 5 5 FALSE 1 110 11 115 5 -125
04-Aug-11 MIL @ 8 2 FALSE 8 -170 7 -145 7 -165
04-Aug-11 HOU 4 6 FALSE 1 180 5 135 3 155
04-Aug-11 LAD @ 6 4 FALSE 7 125 5 130 3 -105
04-Aug-11 ARZ 7 3 FALSE 4 -135 3 -140 4 -105
08-Aug-11 BOS @ 6 4 FALSE 8 -125 4 -130 2 -185
08-Aug-11 MIN 2 8 FALSE 6 115 3 120 5 175
08-Aug-11 CWS @ 4 6 FALSE 7 -120 4 -135 4 -130
08-Aug-11 BAL 3 7 FALSE 6 110 3 125 6 120
08-Aug-11 KC @ 6 4 FALSE 1 155 0 180 7 125
08-Aug-11 TAM 6 4 FALSE 2 -165 4 -190 8 -135
08-Aug-11 SEA @ 6 4 FALSE 2 210 6 175 4 190
08-Aug-11 TEX 4 6 FALSE 9 -220 7 -185 3 -200
08-Aug-11 DET @ 6 4 TRUE 2 115 3 135 4 -170
08-Aug-11 CLE 4 6 FALSE 3 -125 10 -145 3 160
08-Aug-11 LAA @ 6 4 FALSE 6 100 3 180 5 180
08-Aug-11 NYY 8 2 FALSE 4 -110 9 -190 6 -190
08-Aug-11 OAK @ 4 6 FALSE 4 130 4 -115 10 125
08-Aug-11 TOR 6 4 FALSE 1 -140 8 105 3 -135
08-Aug-11 COL @ 4 6 FALSE 10 145 3 125 2 160
08-Aug-11 CIN 5 5 FALSE 7 -155 2 -135 3 -170
08-Aug-11 SDP @ 6 4 TRUE 8 -110 4 120 9 125
08-Aug-11 NYM 4 6 FALSE 9 100 5 -130 5 -135
08-Aug-11 ATL @ 5 5 FALSE 8 -110 4 -120 6 -125
08-Aug-11 FLA 4 6 FALSE 5 100 3 110 2 115
08-Aug-11 WAS @ 6 4 FALSE 3 110 2 110 3 105
08-Aug-11 CHC 7 3 FALSE 1 -120 4 -120 4 -115
08-Aug-11 HOU @ 3 7 FALSE 9 160 9 165 3 195
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 29
08-Aug-11 ARZ 5 5 FALSE 1 -170 11 -175 6 -205
08-Aug-11 PHI @ 9 1 FALSE 5 -160 2 -170 9 -130
08-Aug-11 LAD 5 5 FALSE 3 150 1 160 8 120
08-Aug-11 PIT @ 0 10 FALSE 5 160 0 165 9 135
08-Aug-11 SFG 2 8 FALSE 0 -170 6 -175 2 -145
08-Aug-11 MIL @ 9 1 FALSE 5 110 5 110 2 115
08-Aug-11 STL 7 3 FALSE 3 -120 1 -120 5 -125
12-Aug-11 DET @ 6 4 FALSE 5 -110 6 -125 5 -135
12-Aug-11 BAL 3 7 FALSE 4 100 5 115 8 125
12-Aug-11 MIN @ 2 8 FALSE 2 155 1 145 PPD 150
12-Aug-11 CLE 5 5 FALSE 3 -165 3 -155 -160
12-Aug-11 TAM @ 7 3 FALSE 5 160 2 140 PPD 115
12-Aug-11 NYY 7 3 FALSE 1 -170 9 -150 -125
12-Aug-11 LAA @ 5 5 FALSE 5 115 2 -115 4 -120
12-Aug-11 TOR 5 5 FALSE 1 -125 11 105 5 110
12-Aug-11 KC @ 3 7 FALSE 5 125 4 155 2 150
12-Aug-11 CWS 6 4 FALSE 1 -135 5 -165 6 -160
12-Aug-11 TEX @ 5 5 FALSE 9 -130 7 -115 7 -125
12-Aug-11 OAK 5 5 FALSE 1 120 1 105 6 115
12-Aug-11 BOS @ 6 4 FALSE 6 -145 4 -135 3 -165
12-Aug-11 SEA 5 5 FALSE 4 135 5 125 5 155
12-Aug-11 WAS @ 5 5 FALSE 4 270 3 205 PPD 280
12-Aug-11 PHI 9 1 FALSE 2 -280 11 -215 -290
12-Aug-11 SD @ 6 4 TRUE 3 -105 1 120 7 155
12-Aug-11 CIN 4 6 FALSE 5 -105 13 -130 3 -165
12-Aug-11 SFG @ 3 7 FALSE 1 -120 3 -160 5 -140
12-Aug-11 FLA 3 7 FALSE 2 110 0 150 2 130
12-Aug-11 CHC @ 8 2 FALSE 4 125 8 160 6 160
12-Aug-11 ATL 6 4 FALSE 10 -135 4 -170 5 -170
12-Aug-11 PIT @ 2 8 FALSE 2 190 0 150 1 180
12-Aug-11 MIL 8 2 FALSE 7 -200 1 -160 2 -190
12-Aug-11 COL @ 4 6 FALSE 1 135 6 160 2 155
12-Aug-11 STL 6 4 FALSE 6 -145 1 -170 6 -165
12-Aug-11 NYM @ 3 7 FALSE 3 140 4 165 3 135
12-Aug-11 ARZ 6 4 FALSE 4 -150 6 -175 5 -145
12-Aug-11 HOU @ 3 7 FALSE 0 130 1 205 0 200
12-Aug-11 LAD 4 6 FALSE 1 -140 6 -215 7 -210
15-Aug-11 MIN @ 2 8 FALSE 9 130 1 245 6 130
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 30
15-Aug-11 DET 5 5 FALSE 6 -140 7 -255 5 -140
15-Aug-11 NYY @ 6 4 FALSE 7 -150 9 -155 4 -140
15-Aug-11 KC 2 8 FALSE 4 140 7 145 5 150
15-Aug-11 TEX @ 8 2 FALSE 8 -145 7 -125 4 -105
15-Aug-11 LAA 5 5 FALSE 4 135 3 115 3 -105
15-Aug-11 BAL @ 3 7 FALSE 6 155 4 135 5 145
15-Aug-11 OAK 4 6 FALSE 2 -165 8 -145 6 -155
15-Aug-11 TOR @ 5 5 FALSE 5 130 13 -110 5 -130
15-Aug-11 SEA 5 5 FALSE 6 -140 7 100 1 120
15-Aug-11 TAM @ 7 3 FALSE 1 145 6 155 4 105
15-Aug-11 BOS 5 5 FALSE 3 -155 2 -165 0 -115
15-Aug-11 CLE @ 6 4 FALSE 7 110 4 135 4 -115
15-Aug-11 CWS 8 2 FALSE 8 -120 1 -145 2 105
15-Aug-11 SFG @ 4 6 FALSE 4 145 1 120 7 125
15-Aug-11 ATL 7 3 FALSE 5 -155 2 -130 5 -135
15-Aug-11 STL @ 7 3 TRUE 2 -130 4 -150 7 -125
15-Aug-11 PIT 2 8 FALSE 6 120 5 140 2 115
15-Aug-11 CHC @ 7 3 FALSE 4 -120 5 -130 3 110
15-Aug-11 HOU 1 9 FALSE 3 110 6 120 4 -120
15-Aug-11 LAD @ 5 5 FALSE 0 145 1 160 1 175
15-Aug-11 MIL 9 1 FALSE 3 -155 2 -170 3 -185
15-Aug-11 FLA @ 2 8 FALSE 4 135 6 140 5 100
15-Aug-11 COL 4 6 FALSE 7 -145 5 -150 12 -110
15-Aug-11 NYM @ 3 7 FALSE 5 -110 1 115 7 125
15-Aug-11 SDP 6 4 FALSE 4 100 6 -125 3 -135
15-Aug-11 CIN @ 5 5 FALSE 4 -135 2 -135 1 125
15-Aug-11 WAS 4 6 FALSE 6 125 1 125 3 -135
15-Aug-11 ARZ @ 7 3 FALSE 3 215 2 230 1 125
15-Aug-11 PHI 8 2 FALSE 2 -225 9 -240 4 -135
18-Aug-11 BOS @ 5 5 FALSE 4 -185 7 -135 4 -130
18-Aug-11 KC 2 8 FALSE 3 175 1 125 9 120
18-Aug-11 NYY @ 5 5 FALSE 8 -195 8 -165 4 -140
18-Aug-11 MIN 3 7 FALSE 4 185 1 155 9 130
18-Aug-11 TOR @ 6 4 FALSE 7 -120 0 -105 1 130
18-Aug-11 OAK 5 5 FALSE 0 110 2 -105 5 -140
18-Aug-11 CLE @ 7 3 TRUE 1 125 1 135 7 100
18-Aug-11 DET 4 6 FALSE 4 -135 10 -145 8 -110
18-Aug-11 SEA @ 4 6 FALSE 2 -125 0 180 7 185
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 31
18-Aug-11 TAM 7 3 FALSE 3 115 8 -190 8 -195
18-Aug-11 TEX @ 8 2 FALSE 7 -115 2 -130 0 -125
18-Aug-11 CWS 6 4 FALSE 4 105 3 120 10 115
18-Aug-11 BAL @ 3 7 FALSE 3 220 8 130 1 135
18-Aug-11 LAA 3 7 FALSE 8 -230 9 -140 7 -145
18-Aug-11 FLA @ 2 8 FALSE 1 135 3 125 1 110
18-Aug-11 SDP 4 6 FALSE 3 -145 4 -135 14 -120
18-Aug-11 STL @ 5 5 FALSE 4 -145 0 -105 6 -130
18-Aug-11 CHC 5 5 FALSE 5 135 3 -105 2 120
18-Aug-11 PHI @ 7 3 FALSE 4 -140 5 -130 4 -200
18-Aug-11 WAS 5 5 FALSE 8 130 0 120 5 190
18-Aug-11 CIN @ 5 5 FALSE 11 -135 3 -110 5 -120
18-Aug-11 PIT 4 6 FALSE 8 125 5 100 4 110
18-Aug-11 MIL @ 8 2 FALSE 6 -145 11 -125 6 -135
18-Aug-11 NYM 4 6 FALSE 1 135 9 115 2 125
18-Aug-11 ARZ @ 7 3 FALSE 2 105 1 170 0 150
18-Aug-11 ATL 7 3 FALSE 4 -115 8 -180 1 -160
18-Aug-11 SFG @ 4 6 FALSE 0 -135 5 -160 6 -120
18-Aug-11 HOU 3 7 FALSE 6 125 7 150 4 110
18-Aug-11 LAD @ 4 6 FALSE 8 -105 6 110 3 105
18-Aug-11 COL 5 5 FALSE 2 -105 7 -120 5 -115
22-Aug-11 SEA @ 4 6 FALSE 3 145 5 200 12 140
22-Aug-11 CLE 5 5 FALSE 2 -155 7 -210 7 -150
22-Aug-11 DET @ 7 3 FALSE 5 -140 2 180 2 -110
22-Aug-11 TAM 8 2 FALSE 2 130 1 -190 3 100
22-Aug-11 BOS @ 5 5 FALSE 0 125 11 140 13 -110
22-Aug-11 TEX 7 3 FALSE 4 -135 5 -150 2 100
22-Aug-11 BAL @ 2 8 FALSE 4 125 8 130 6 110
22-Aug-11 MIN 4 6 FALSE 1 -135 1 -140 1 -120
22-Aug-11 OAK @ 4 6 FALSE 6 180 6 230 9 195
22-Aug-11 NYY 7 3 TRUE 5 -190 4 -240 22 -205
22-Aug-11 KC @ 3 7 FALSE 6 170 3 180 9 155
22-Aug-11 TOR 6 4 FALSE 4 -180 4 -190 6 -165
22-Aug-11 CWS @ 6 4 FALSE 4 135 0 205
22-Aug-11 LAA 5 5 FALSE 5 -145 8 -215
22-Aug-11 MIL @ 9 1 FALSE 8 -115 2 -185 11 -140
22-Aug-11 PIT 4 6 FALSE 1 105 9 175 4 130
22-Aug-11 ARZ @ 5 5 FALSE 1 -115 2 -105 4 -130
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 32
22-Aug-11 WAS 5 5 FALSE 4 105 0 -105 2 120
22-Aug-11 NYM @ 2 8 FALSE 0 210 4 180 7 175
22-Aug-11 PHI 6 4 FALSE 10 -220 9 -190 4 -185
22-Aug-11 ATL @ 7 3 FALSE 3 -125 5 -135 2 -130
22-Aug-11 CHC 6 4 FALSE 0 115 4 125 3 120
22-Aug-11 LAD @ 5 5 FALSE 2 175 12 -120 9 125
22-Aug-11 STL 5 5 FALSE 1 -185 2 110 4 -135
22-Aug-11 HOU @ 4 6 FALSE 5 200 6 135 6 145
22-Aug-11 COL 5 5 FALSE 9 -210 8 -145 7 -155
22-Aug-11 CIN @ 6 4 FALSE 8 -135 5 -110 3 -113
22-Aug-11 FLA 2 8 FALSE 6 125 6 100 2 103
22-Aug-11 SD @ 6 4 FALSE 7 130 1 170
22-Aug-11 SFG 4 6 FALSE 5 -140 2 -180
25-Aug-11 NYY @ 6 4 FALSE 5 -155 0 -166 8 -190
25-Aug-11 BAL 5 5 FALSE 12 145 2 156 3 180
25-Aug-11 KCR @ 4 6 FALSE 1 140 7 150 2 170
25-Aug-11 CLE 3 7 FALSE 2 -150 8 -160 1 -180
25-Aug-11 TAM @ 6 4 FALSE 6 -140 6 -120 12 -120
25-Aug-11 TOR 5 5 FALSE 1 130 5 110 0 110
25-Aug-11 OAK @ 6 4 FALSE 15 135 3 255 0 250
25-Aug-11 BOS 6 4 FALSE 5 -145 9 -265 4 -260
25-Aug-11 LAA @ 6 4 FALSE 7 -110 8 150 5 105
25-Aug-11 TEX 4 6 FALSE 11 100 4 -160 9 -115
25-Aug-11 DET @ 7 3 FALSE 8 105 6 -195 4 -115
25-Aug-11 MIN 2 8 FALSE 1 -115 4 185 11 105
25-Aug-11 CWS @ 5 5 FALSE 4 -140 3 -105 9 -125
25-Aug-11 SEA 5 5 FALSE 2 130 0 -105 3 115
25-Aug-11 PIT @ 5 5 TRUE 4 155 4 155 7 215
25-Aug-11 STL 3 7 FALSE 8 -165 5 -165 0 -225
25-Aug-11 HOU @ 4 6 FALSE 3 225 1 225 1 177
25-Aug-11 SFG 4 6 FALSE 1 -235 2 -235 2 -187
25-Aug-11 FLA @ 2 8 FALSE 6 205 PPD PPD
25-Aug-11 PHI 6 4 FALSE 5 -215
25-Aug-11 WAS @ 5 5 FALSE 3 140 3 135 4 140
25-Aug-11 CIN 5 5 FALSE 4 -150 6 -145 5 -150
25-Aug-11 CHC @ 4 6 FALSE 2 170 4 180 2 260
25-Aug-11 MIL 7 3 FALSE 5 -185 6 -190 3 -270
25-Aug-11 SD @ 7 3 TRUE 0 170 1 135 1 140
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 33
25-Aug-11 ARZ 4 6 FALSE 5 -180 3 -145 6 -150
25-Aug-11 COL @ 7 3 FALSE 1 140 6 125 7 105
25-Aug-11 LAD 5 5 FALSE 6 -150 7 -135 6 -115
25-Aug-11 ATL @ 8 2 FALSE 0 -145 PPD PPD
25-Aug-11 NYM 3 7 FALSE 6 135
29-Aug-11 OAK @ 5 5 TRUE 1 115 2 -120 3 120
29-Aug-11 CLE 4 6 FALSE 2 -125 6 110 4 -130
29-Aug-11 KC @ 4 6 FALSE 9 155 1 160 4 142
29-Aug-11 DET 8 2 FALSE 5 -165 2 -170 5 -152
29-Aug-11 LAA @ 7 3 FALSE 3 -115 13 -125 1 -115
29-Aug-11 SEA 3 7 FALSE 5 105 6 115 2 105
29-Aug-11 MIN @ 2 8 FALSE 0 195 6 140 7 175
29-Aug-11 CWS 5 5 FALSE 3 -205 8 -150 6 -185
29-Aug-11 TOR @ 3 7 FALSE 5 -115 13 -115 8 -108
29-Aug-11 BAL 6 4 FALSE 6 105 0 105 6 -102
29-Aug-11 NYY @ 5 5 FALSE 5 -150 5 150 4 190
29-Aug-11 BOS 7 3 FALSE 2 140 9 -160 2 -200
29-Aug-11 TAM @ 6 4 FALSE 0 115 4 120 2 146
29-Aug-11 TEX 4 6 FALSE 2 -125 1 -130 7 -156
29-Aug-11 FLA @ 3 7 FALSE 1 115 1 110 2 105
29-Aug-11 NYM 4 6 FALSE 2 -125 5 -120 3 -115
29-Aug-11 PHI @ 5 5 FALSE 3 -145 9 -185 3 -170
29-Aug-11 CIN 7 3 FALSE 2 135 0 175 0 160
29-Aug-11 PIT @ 4 6 FALSE 4 120 2 -125 0 -120
29-Aug-11 HOU 4 6 FALSE 7 -130 8 115 2 110
29-Aug-11 COL @ 7 3 FALSE 1 155 4 130 2 150
29-Aug-11 ARZ 6 4 FALSE 5 -165 9 -140 4 -160
29-Aug-11 SD @ 5 5 FALSE 1 150 5 135 2 130
29-Aug-11 LAD 7 3 FALSE 4 -160 8 -145 4 -140
29-Aug-11 STL @ 4 6 FALSE 2 140 8 130 8 190
29-Aug-11 MIL 8 2 TRUE 1 -150 3 -140 4 -200
29-Aug-11 WAS @ 3 7 FALSE 9 180 1 150 2 210
29-Aug-11 ATL 7 3 FALSE 2 -190 3 -160 5 -220
29-Aug-11 CHC @ 3 7 FALSE 7 225 5 135 0 170
29-Aug-11 SFG 4 6 FALSE 0 -235 2 -145 4 -180
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 34
The following table shows the profit results of the system for August 2011 (not a great month for System #2 but still profitable). To see the results for the full season, visit http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System2.html
Sys Date Pick Opp ML Bet To Win Result W L
Units
2 8/2/11 ATL WAS -155 6 4 $ 155.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/2/11 OAK SEA -130 4 7 $ 130.00 $ 100.00 -$ 130.00 0 1 -1.30
2 8/8/11 DET CLE -170 4 3 $ 170.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/8/11 SD NYM 125 9 5 $ 80.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/12/11 SD CIN 155 7 3 $ 64.52 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/15/11 STL PIT -125 7 2 $ 125.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/18/11 CLE DET 100 7 8 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 -$ 100.00 0 1 -1.00
2 8/24/11 NYY OAK -205 22 9 $ 205.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/25/11 PIT STL 215 7 0 $ 46.51 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
2 8/25/11 SD ARZ 140 1 6 $ 71.43 $ 100.00 -$ 71.43 0 1 -0.71
2 8/29/11 OAK CLE 120 3 4 $ 83.33 $ 100.00 -$ 83.33 0 1 -0.83
2 8/31/11 MIL STL -200 4 8 $ 200.00 $ 100.00 -$ 200.00 0 1 -2.00
7 5 1.15
58.3% 12
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 35
7. Dominant Team Playing at Home (System #3) Some novice bettors think that a smart baseball betting strategy is to take the money line on the home team. However, this just is not the case. In 2011, only 10 out of 30 teams ended the year making money against the money line at home (NYY, BAL, DET, CLE, TEX, LAA, PHI, WAS, MIL and ARZ). And overall, home teams lost $13,091 at home.
Does that mean that you never should put money on a home favourite? No, not at all. In fact, with a couple filters to weed out low value teams, it can be a very effective strategy.
The simple premise of this system is that dominant teams rarely get swept at home. Thus, we want to win 1 of 2 games at home AFTER the home team loses the first game of a 3 or 4-game series. If the series is 4 games long, and you lose game #2 and #3, skip the final game of the series. We find that the home team usually wins the 2nd or 3rd game and we don’t want to take on the risk of making it a 3-game chase.
2011 record for 2-game chase was 22 – 4 (84.6%); All games 22 – 15 (59.5%). Number of 2011 units: +10.45 (unit value = bankroll ÷ 50). Average odds: -136.
See final 2011 results at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System3.html
A. Find Daily Matchups
At the start of each new baseball series, find all of the matchups for that particular day. You can find a list of the daily matchups at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/mlb-games.html.
To confirm that the game is the first game of a series, go to http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams and click on the corresponding team name.
B. Eligibility Criteria
Select for consideration any team that meets ALL of the following criteria at the beginning of each series:
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 36
1. Home team's record at home must be better than 0.500, i.e., more wins than losses.
2. Road team’s record on the road must be worse than 0.500. 3. Road team's RPI must be less than 520. 4. Home team’s record over the last ten games must be greater than 4 wins
(home and road games combined). 5. Road team record over the last ten games must be less than 7 wins (home
and road games combined). 6. Series must be 3 or 4 games long. 7. Home team must lose game #1. 8. Neither team eligible under System #1.
C. How The System Works
Objective of the system is to wait for the eligible team to lose game #1 before placing a bet on game #2. If the home team loses game #2, you place a second and final bet on the third game of a three or four-game series. We always bet using the money line for this system.
For game #2, you wager enough to win 1 unit (calculate dollar value of one unit by dividing total bankroll by 50). If we win game #2, we move on to the next qualifying series. If we lose game #2, we place a wager on game #3.
The wager to win game #3 is equal to in 1 unit plus the amount that we lost on game #2. For example, on Aug 4th, Arizona (eligible team) loses game #2 5 - 3, against the LA Dodgers. Since the money line for the Dbacks winning game #2 was -140, we would have bet $140 to win $100. Since we lost game #2, we wager to win $240 ($100 + $140) on game #3 with odds of -105. Arizona won game #3 4-3 so we would net a profit of $100 for the two games ($240 - $140).
D. Real Life Examples
To illustrate how to apply the eligibility criteria, let’s look at all of the games in June 2011.
Series RECORD L-10 GAME #1 GAME #2 GAME #3
Date RPI W L % W L #3 Score Odds Score Odds Score Odds
02-Jun-11 TEX @ 512 11 15 0.423 7 3 7 110 11 -125 4 103
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 37
02-Jun-11 CLE 529 19 6 0.760 5 5 FALSE 4 -120 2 115 0 -113
02-Jun-11 MIN @ 451 11 22 0.333 2 8 8 105 5 135 7 136
02-Jun-11 KC 487 19 14 0.576 3 7 FALSE 2 -115 2 -145 2 -146
02-Jun-11 TAM @ 505 15 10 0.600 4 6 2 110 0 110 3 -136
02-Jun-11 SEA 498 15 14 0.517 7 3 FALSE 8 -120 7 -120 2 126
02-Jun-11 WAS @ 496 10 19 0.345 3 7 6 115 0 165 0 140
02-Jun-11 ARZ 502 18 11 0.621 8 2 TRUE 1 -125 4 -175 2 -150
02-Jun-11 HOU @ 470 11 17 0.393 6 4 7 115 1 115 3 138
02-Jun-11 SD 486 9 20 0.310 5 5 FALSE 4 -125 3 -125 6 -148
02-Jun-11 TOR @ 500 13 14 0.481 5 5 8 115 3 -115 7 135
02-Jun-11 BAL 490 15 14 0.517 5 5 FALSE 4 -125 5 105 4 -145
02-Jun-11 OAK @ 491 13 15 0.464 5 5 6 170 8 169 3 115
02-Jun-11 BOS 517 16 13 0.552 5 5 FALSE 8 -180 9 -179 6 -125
02-Jun-11 DET @ 505 12 15 0.444 7 3 4 125 4 -121 7 135
02-Jun-11 CWS 496 10 13 0.435 5 5 FALSE 6 -135 2 111 3 -145
02-Jun-11 NYY @ 518 14 10 0.583 7 3 2 150 3 -136 5 -125
02-Jun-11 LAA 501 13 13 0.500 5 5 FALSE 3 -160 2 126 3 115
02-Jun-11 PHI @ 532 15 12 0.556 6 4 1 -155 3 101 7 -180
02-Jun-11 PIT 488 9 14 0.391 4 6 FALSE 2 145 6 -111 3 170
02-Jun-11 LAD @ 486 11 15 0.423 5 5 1 110 11 107 9 110
02-Jun-11 CIN 510 17 12 0.586 5 5 FALSE 2 -120 8 -117 6 -120
02-Jun-11 ATL @ 520 14 13 0.519 6 4 6 -115 0 -117 4 -125
02-Jun-11 NYM 488 13 16 0.448 4 6 FALSE 3 105 5 107 6 115
02-Jun-11 MIL @ 502 9 19 0.321 7 3 6 110 3 -134 6 120
02-Jun-11 FLA 519 14 12 0.538 5 5 FALSE 5 -120 2 124 5 -130
02-Jun-11 CHC @ 472 11 12 0.478 3 7 1 160 4 170 2 150
02-Jun-11 STL 516 15 12 0.556 6 4 FALSE 6 -170 5 -180 3 -160
02-Jun-11 COL @ 494 13 14 0.481 3 7 1 125 2 -111 1 -105
02-Jun-11 SFG 513 13 8 0.619 4 6 FALSE 3 -135 1 101 2 -105
06-Jun-11 OAK @ 490 13 18 0.419 4 6 2 -105 0 -115 2 125
06-Jun-11 BAL 490 16 16 0.500 3 7 FALSE 4 -105 4 105 3 -135
06-Jun-11 MIN @ 455 15 22 0.405 5 5 6 145 0 125 3 145
06-Jun-11 CLE 522 19 10 0.655 3 7 FALSE 4 -155 1 -135 2 -155
06-Jun-11 DET @ 506 14 16 0.467 6 4 13 130 8 130 3 160
06-Jun-11 TEX 520 19 11 0.633 8 2 TRUE 7 -140 1 -140 7 -170
06-Jun-11 SEA @ 499 13 13 0.500 7 3 1 -105 1 -120 7 130
06-Jun-11 CWS 495 11 15 0.423 5 5 FALSE 3 -105 5 110 4 -140
06-Jun-11 TOR @ 501 15 15 0.500 6 4 2 -125 8 -120 9 -110
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 38
06-Jun-11 KC 479 19 18 0.514 3 7 FALSE 3 115 5 110 8 100
06-Jun-11 TAM @ 502 16 13 0.552 4 6 5 -135 4 155 4 140
06-Jun-11 LAA 501 14 15 0.483 4 6 FALSE 1 125 1 -165 3 -150
06-Jun-11 BOS @ 519 14 13 0.519 6 4 6 -120 11 115 8 105
06-Jun-11 NYY 519 17 13 0.567 7 3 FALSE 4 110 6 -125 3 -115
06-Jun-11 LAD @ 488 13 16 0.448 6 4 1 175 6 165 0 175
06-Jun-11 PHI 526 19 10 0.655 5 5 FALSE 3 -185 2 -175 2 -185
06-Jun-11 CHC @ 472 11 15 0.423 2 8 2 120 2 145 4 130
06-Jun-11 CIN 508 18 14 0.563 4 6 FALSE 8 -130 8 -155 1 -140
06-Jun-11 COL @ 497 14 16 0.467 3 7 3 -105 0 -140 5 -115
06-Jun-11 SD 485 12 21 0.364 7 3 FALSE 0 -105 2 130 3 105
06-Jun-11 WAS @ 496 12 21 0.364 5 5 4 185 2 125 1 175
06-Jun-11 SF 517 15 9 0.625 6 4 FALSE 5 -195 1 -135 3 -185
06-Jun-11 ARZ @ 506 13 14 0.481 7 3 5 -115 2 105 2 -120
06-Jun-11 PIT 493 11 15 0.423 6 4 FALSE 8 105 3 -115 0 110
06-Jun-11 ATL @ 519 15 15 0.500 5 5 1 -140 3 105 3 -135
06-Jun-11 FLA 514 14 16 0.467 2 8 FALSE 0 130 2 -115 2 125
06-Jun-11 STL @ 516 18 13 0.581 6 4 7 -130 1 -150 9 -110
06-Jun-11 HOU 468 11 17 0.393 4 6 FALSE 4 120 4 140 2 100
06-Jun-11 NYM @ 489 13 14 0.481 5 5 2 175 6 155 4 160
06-Jun-11 MIL 507 21 7 0.750 7 3 FALSE 1 -185 7 -165 1 -170
09-Jun-11 SEA @ 499 14 15 0.483 6 4 1 190 3 115 1 110
09-Jun-11 DET 514 17 11 0.607 8 2 FALSE 4 -200 2 -125 8 -120
09-Jun-11 OAK @ 481 13 21 0.382 1 9 4 -110 7 130 2 100
09-Jun-11 CWS 495 13 16 0.448 6 4 FALSE 9 100 5 -140 3 -110
09-Jun-11 TEX @ 517 15 15 0.500 7 3 4 -135 9 -160 1 -140
09-Jun-11 MIN 464 6 15 0.286 6 4 FALSE 5 125 3 150 8 130
09-Jun-11 CHC @ 469 12 17 0.414 2 8 4 140 5 195 1 190
09-Jun-11 PHI 528 21 11 0.656 4 6 FALSE 3 -150 7 -205 7 -200
09-Jun-11 LAD @ 490 14 18 0.438 6 4 7 115 5 135 11 140
09-Jun-11 COL 495 13 15 0.464 4 6 FALSE 9 -125 6 -145 7 -150
09-Jun-11 WAS @ 499 13 23 0.361 5 5 3 110 2 140 2 102
09-Jun-11 SD 485 13 23 0.361 6 4 FALSE 7 -120 1 -150 1 -112
09-Jun-11 CIN @ 504 12 16 0.429 5 5 3 -115 2 115 10 140
09-Jun-11 SF 517 17 10 0.630 7 3 TRUE 0 105 3 -125 2 -150
09-Jun-11 KC @ 474 6 16 0.273 4 6 4 140 5 130 9 135
09-Jun-11 LAA 492 14 18 0.438 3 7 FALSE 2 -150 7 -140 0 -145
09-Jun-11 BOS @ 525 17 13 0.567 6 4 5 -140 16 135 14 -168
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 39
09-Jun-11 TOR 505 15 14 0.517 5 5 FALSE 1 130 4 -125 1 158
09-Jun-11 CLE @ 511 14 14 0.500 3 7 7 140 0 195 1 143
09-Jun-11 NYY 520 17 16 0.515 6 4 FALSE 11 -150 4 -205 9 -153
09-Jun-11 TAM @ 507 19 13 0.594 5 5 0 -135 7 -135 9 113
09-Jun-11 BAL 494 19 16 0.543 5 5 FALSE 7 125 5 125 6 -123
09-Jun-11 NYM @ 493 15 15 0.500 6 4 8 105 2 -105 7 -103
09-Jun-11 PIT 498 13 16 0.448 6 4 FALSE 1 -115 3 -105 0 -107
09-Jun-11 ARZ @ 499 14 16 0.467 5 5 4 140 9 -125 5 -123
09-Jun-11 FLA 507 14 19 0.424 1 9 FALSE 6 -150 5 115 1 113
09-Jun-11 ATL @ 521 18 15 0.545 6 4 11 -170 6 -120 4 -155
09-Jun-11 HOU 468 12 19 0.387 5 5 FALSE 4 160 3 110 1 145
09-Jun-11 STL @ 514 20 14 0.588 6 4 0 -105 3 115 3 140
09-Jun-11 MIL 512 22 9 0.710 6 4 FALSE 8 -105 5 -125 4 -150
13-Jun-11 LAA @ 491 16 16 0.500 2 8 6 -135 4 -135 1 110
13-Jun-11 SEA 498 18 15 0.545 5 5 FALSE 3 125 0 125 3 -120
13-Jun-11 MIL @ 515 13 19 0.406 8 2 0 -110 4 -140 9 105
13-Jun-11 CHC 470 12 19 0.387 2 8 FALSE 1 100 5 130 5 -115
13-Jun-11 SD @ 483 15 12 0.556 5 5 3 155 3 155 3 140
13-Jun-11 COL 496 15 17 0.469 5 5 FALSE 1 -165 6 -165 6 -150
13-Jun-11 CIN @ 505 14 18 0.438 5 5 6 110 3 115 7 115
13-Jun-11 LAD 487 15 16 0.484 4 6 FALSE 4 -120 2 -125 2 -125
13-Jun-11 CLE @ 509 15 17 0.469 2 8 0 165 6 120 2 160
13-Jun-11 DET 513 20 13 0.606 7 3 FALSE 4 -175 4 -130 6 -170
13-Jun-11 TEX @ 509 16 18 0.471 5 5 4 140 4 120 2 -115
13-Jun-11 NYY 524 20 17 0.541 5 5 FALSE 12 -150 12 -130 3 105
13-Jun-11 BAL @ 495 10 15 0.400 6 4 5 140 1 145 4 -105
13-Jun-11 TOR 500 15 17 0.469 4 6 FALSE 6 -150 4 -155 3 -105
13-Jun-11 BOS @ 532 20 13 0.606 9 1 0 110 3 -130 4 115
13-Jun-11 TAM 507 14 16 0.467 6 4 FALSE 4 -120 0 120 2 -125
13-Jun-11 CWS @ 495 17 18 0.486 6 4 PPD -125 1 -120 0 -105
13-Jun-11 MIN 472 9 16 0.360 8 2 FALSE PPD 115 4 110 1 -105
13-Jun-11 KC @ 477 8 17 0.320 4 6 7 155 1 125 4 130
13-Jun-11 OAK 477 14 15 0.483 1 9 FALSE 4 -165 2 -135 8 -140
13-Jun-11 STL @ 508 20 17 0.541 5 5 6 -145 0 -130 4 -105
13-Jun-11 WAS 503 14 12 0.538 5 5 FALSE 8 135 10 120 7 -105
13-Jun-11 FLA @ 506 17 11 0.607 1 9 1 195 1 175 4 145
13-Jun-11 PHI 529 24 12 0.667 6 4 FALSE 9 -205 8 -185 5 -155
13-Jun-11 NYM @ 500 17 17 0.500 6 4 4 140 4 145 8 110
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 40
13-Jun-11 ATL 527 17 13 0.567 7 3 FALSE 3 -150 0 -155 9 -120
13-Jun-11 PIT @ 494 17 15 0.531 6 4 1 105 7 105 5 -105
13-Jun-11 HOU 462 13 22 0.371 2 8 FALSE 0 -115 3 -115 4 -105
13-Jun-11 SFG @ 517 18 17 0.514 6 4 6 105 5 -105 2 130
13-Jun-11 ARZ 503 20 13 0.606 6 4 FALSE 5 -115 2 -105 3 -140
17-Jun-11 HOU @ 462 12 20 0.375 2 8 7 145 7 110 0 130
17-Jun-11 LAD 484 15 19 0.441 3 7 FALSE 3 -155 0 -120 1 -140
17-Jun-11 PIT @ 500 20 15 0.571 7 3 1 125 1 125 2 135
17-Jun-11 CLE 512 20 12 0.625 3 7 FALSE 5 -135 5 -135 5 -145
17-Jun-11 NYY @ 527 16 11 0.593 6 4 1 -135 4 -135 -165
17-Jun-11 CHC 475 15 20 0.429 5 5 FALSE 3 125 3 125 155
17-Jun-11 MIL @ 512 14 22 0.389 5 5 4 105 4 165 3 -105
17-Jun-11 BOS 533 19 13 0.594 9 1 FALSE 10 -115 2 -175 12 -105
17-Jun-11 BAL @ 491 11 17 0.393 5 5 4 105 2 135 7 125
17-Jun-11 WAS 506 17 12 0.586 7 3 FALSE 8 -115 4 -145 4 -135
17-Jun-11 FLA @ 500 17 15 0.531 1 9 1 125 4 110 1 175
17-Jun-11 TAM 505 15 18 0.455 6 4 FALSE 5 -135 7 -120 2 -185
17-Jun-11 TOR @ 503 17 17 0.500 4 6 3 135 4 105 1 115
17-Jun-11 CIN 506 20 15 0.571 7 3 FALSE 2 -145 0 -115 2 -125
17-Jun-11 SD @ 478 16 14 0.533 3 7 5 115 0 125 4 140
17-Jun-11 MIN 475 11 16 0.407 8 2 FALSE 6 -125 1 -135 5 -150
17-Jun-11 LAA @ 491 18 17 0.514 3 7 4 120 1 -125 7 125
17-Jun-11 NYM 505 15 17 0.469 7 3 FALSE 3 -130 6 115 3 -135
17-Jun-11 SFG @ 521 20 17 0.541 6 4 2 -150 2 -115 1 -105
17-Jun-11 OAK 477 16 16 0.500 3 7 FALSE 5 140 4 105 2 -105
17-Jun-11 TEX @ 506 16 21 0.432 2 8 6 130 5 110 2 -106
17-Jun-11 ATL 518 18 15 0.545 7 3 TRUE 2 -140 4 -120 4 -104
17-Jun-11 PHI @ 533 16 14 0.533 8 2 2 -105 5 130 0 -150
17-Jun-11 SEA 497 19 17 0.528 4 6 FALSE 4 -105 1 -140 2 140
17-Jun-11 KC @ 476 9 19 0.321 5 5 5 150 4 150 4 185
17-Jun-11 STL 504 18 12 0.600 3 7 FALSE 4 -160 5 -160 5 -195
17-Jun-11 DET @ 515 16 17 0.485 6 4 6 110 4 145 9 -135
17-Jun-11 COL 495 17 18 0.486 6 4 FALSE 13 -120 5 -155 1 125
17-Jun-11 CHW @ 492 17 20 0.459 5 5 1 125 6 -110 8 110
17-Jun-11 ARZ 503 20 15 0.571 5 5 FALSE 4 -135 2 100 2 -120
20-Jun-11 COL @ 494 16 17 0.485 6 4 8 100 4 -130 3 110
20-Jun-11 CLE 516 23 12 0.657 5 5 FALSE 7 -110 3 120 4 -120
20-Jun-11 BAL @ 493 12 19 0.387 4 6 8 105 3 -110 4 -110
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 41
20-Jun-11 PIT 496 15 18 0.455 5 5 FALSE 3 -115 9 100 5 100
20-Jun-11 SD @ 474 16 17 0.485 2 8 5 180 5 175 5 195
20-Jun-11 BOS 537 21 14 0.600 8 2 FALSE 14 -190 4 -185 1 -205
20-Jun-11 NYY @ 529 18 12 0.600 8 2 5 115 4 -105 2 -105
20-Jun-11 CIN 500 21 17 0.553 6 4 FALSE 3 -125 2 -105 10 -105
20-Jun-11 HOU @ 460 14 21 0.400 3 7 3 150 4 210 5 190
20-Jun-11 TEX 511 20 13 0.606 3 7 FALSE 8 -160 5 -220 3 -200
20-Jun-11 TOR @ 508 19 18 0.514 4 6 0 105 1 115 1 130
20-Jun-11 ATL 513 19 17 0.528 5 5 FALSE 2 -115 5 -125 5 -140
20-Jun-11 CHC @ 477 13 20 0.394 4 6 6 125 2 115 3 175
20-Jun-11 CWS 494 16 17 0.485 5 5 FALSE 3 -135 3 -125 4 -185
20-Jun-11 LAA @ 494 20 18 0.526 5 5 2 -120 2 -130 6 -105
20-Jun-11 FLA 494 15 22 0.405 0 10 FALSE 1 110 5 120 5 -105
20-Jun-11 TAM @ 509 21 15 0.583 6 4 8 125 1 120 6 -113
20-Jun-11 MIL 508 25 9 0.735 5 5 FALSE 4 -135 5 -130 3 103
20-Jun-11 DET @ 516 17 19 0.472 5 5 0 135 1 -120 7 100
20-Jun-11 LAD 475 16 21 0.432 3 7 FALSE 4 -145 6 110 5 -110
20-Jun-11 PHI @ 527 17 16 0.515 8 2 10 -155 4 -150 2 103
20-Jun-11 STL 497 20 13 0.606 3 7 FALSE 2 145 0 140 12 -113
20-Jun-11 SEA @ 507 16 17 0.485 5 5 5 105 1 -105 0 -115
20-Jun-11 WAS 501 19 13 0.594 8 2 FALSE 6 -115 2 -105 1 105
20-Jun-11 ARZ @ 498 17 17 0.500 5 5 7 110 3 -120 5 -115
20-Jun-11 KC 481 21 20 0.512 5 5 FALSE 2 -120 2 110 3 105
20-Jun-11 OAK @ 490 14 24 0.368 6 4 7 125 2 100 1 125
20-Jun-11 NYM 498 16 19 0.457 5 5 FALSE 3 -135 3 -110 4 -135
20-Jun-11 MIN @ 486 17 23 0.425 9 1 8 140 1 130 1 155
20-Jun-11 SFG 508 19 12 0.613 4 6 FALSE 0 -150 5 -140 2 -165
24-Jun-11 ATL @ 515 21 16 0.568 5 5 2 -115 10 -130 1 -115
24-Jun-11 SDP 474 14 26 0.350 3 7 FALSE 11 105 1 120 4 105
24-Jun-11 CIN @ 498 17 18 0.486 5 5 4 -125 10 -110 5 -105
24-Jun-11 BAL 497 20 18 0.526 3 7 FALSE 5 115 5 100 7 -105
24-Jun-11 ARZ @ 501 20 17 0.541 6 4 7 140 0 160 3 130
24-Jun-11 DET 514 22 14 0.611 5 5 FALSE 6 -150 6 -170 8 -140
24-Jun-11 COL @ 496 18 18 0.500 6 4 4 120 3 200 4 150
24-Jun-11 NYY 531 23 17 0.575 7 3 FALSE 2 -130 8 -210 6 -160
24-Jun-11 NYM @ 499 19 18 0.514 5 5 1 135 14 155 8 125
24-Jun-11 TEX 513 22 14 0.611 4 6 FALSE 8 -145 5 -165 5 -135
24-Jun-11 WAS @ 503 16 24 0.400 9 1 9 110 0 140 2 140
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 42
24-Jun-11 CWS 497 17 18 0.486 6 4 FALSE 5 -120 3 -150 1 -150
24-Jun-11 CHC @ 475 14 21 0.400 5 5 6 105 2 -105 3 120
24-Jun-11 KCR 479 21 23 0.477 3 7 FALSE 4 -115 3 -105 6 -130
24-Jun-11 OAK @ 490 15 26 0.366 6 4 0 145 4 175 1 200
24-Jun-11 PHI 530 28 12 0.700 7 3 FALSE 1 -155 1 -185 3 -210
24-Jun-11 BOS @ 538 22 14 0.611 6 4 1 -160 4 -135 4 -125
24-Jun-11 PIT 492 17 19 0.472 6 4 FALSE 3 150 6 125 2 115
24-Jun-11 TAM @ 512 23 16 0.590 6 4 5 -135 7 105 14 -130
24-Jun-11 HOU 456 13 25 0.342 4 6 FALSE 1 125 2 -115 10 120
24-Jun-11 TOR @ 505 19 21 0.475 4 6 5 -105 6 135 5 -120
24-Jun-11 STL 497 21 15 0.583 3 7 FALSE 4 -105 3 -145 0 110
24-Jun-11 LAA @ 497 22 19 0.537 6 4 8 -135 6 125 2 100
24-Jun-11 LAD 479 18 22 0.450 4 6 FALSE 3 125 1 -135 3 -110
24-Jun-11 SEA @ 504 16 20 0.444 4 6 5 -155 2 -135 2 100
24-Jun-11 FLA 492 16 24 0.400 1 9 FALSE 1 145 4 125 1 -110
24-Jun-11 CLE @ 514 16 19 0.457 6 4 3 115 0 125 1 125
24-Jun-11 SFG 510 21 13 0.618 5 5 FALSE 4 -125 1 -135 3 -135
24-Jun-11 MIN @ 487 18 25 0.419 8 2 3 135 1 130 2 140
24-Jun-11 MIL 506 26 11 0.703 3 7 FALSE 4 -145 11 -140 6 -150
27-Jun-11 NYM @ 504 21 19 0.525 5 5 14 130 16 112 2 210
27-Jun-11 DET 511 25 15 0.625 5 5 FALSE 3 -132 9 -122 5 -220
27-Jun-11 CIN @ 500 18 20 0.474 4 6 5 -105 3 120 4 162
27-Jun-11 TAM 513 18 18 0.500 8 2 FALSE 0 -105 4 -130 3 -172
27-Jun-11 LAD @ 477 16 20 0.444 4 6 15 105 4 100 0 137
27-Jun-11 MIN 481 14 16 0.467 5 5 FALSE 0 -115 6 -110 1 -147
27-Jun-11 WAS @ 509 18 25 0.419 8 2 3 120 5 115 0 125
27-Jun-11 LAA 498 15 20 0.429 6 4 FALSE 4 -130 11 -125 1 -135
27-Jun-11 ATL @ 518 22 18 0.550 6 4 3 100 5 100 5 138
27-Jun-11 SEA 499 23 19 0.548 5 5 FALSE 1 -110 4 -110 3 -148
27-Jun-11 SFG @ 515 20 21 0.488 5 5 13 -125 6 -108 1 -135
27-Jun-11 CHC 474 17 22 0.436 4 6 FALSE 7 115 3 -102 2 125
27-Jun-11 CLE @ 511 16 22 0.421 4 6 5 160 4 130 6 102
27-Jun-11 ARZ 505 22 17 0.564 6 4 TRUE 4 -170 6 -140 2 -112
27-Jun-11 KCR @ 473 10 21 0.323 3 7 3 125 2 105 1 130
27-Jun-11 SDP 479 16 27 0.372 4 6 FALSE 4 -135 4 -115 4 -140
27-Jun-11 STL @ 497 20 20 0.500 3 7 6 125 5 -125 9 -131
27-Jun-11 BAL 494 22 19 0.537 5 5 FALSE 2 -135 1 115 6 121
27-Jun-11 MIL @ 509 15 24 0.385 5 5 2 120 2 135 0 170
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 43
27-Jun-11 NYY 527 25 18 0.581 7 3 FALSE 12 -130 5 -145 5 -180
27-Jun-11 PIT @ 500 20 18 0.526 5 5 7 115 1 175 6 140
27-Jun-11 TOR 504 17 18 0.486 5 5 FALSE 6 -125 2 -185 2 -150
27-Jun-11 FLA @ 494 18 20 0.474 2 8 0 160 3 105 5 145
27-Jun-11 OAK 488 19 16 0.543 6 4 FALSE 1 -170 0 -115 4 -155
27-Jun-11 BOS @ 530 23 16 0.590 5 5 0 115 1 -102 5 115
27-Jun-11 PHI 530 30 13 0.698 6 4 FALSE 5 -125 2 -108 2 -125
27-Jun-11 TEX @ 507 18 22 0.450 5 5 7 -150 3 -132 0 -108
27-Jun-11 HOU 458 13 28 0.317 3 7 FALSE 3 140 2 122 7 -102
27-Jun-11 CWS @ 497 19 21 0.475 5 5 2 115 3 140 6 -105
27-Jun-11 COL 499 19 19 0.500 5 5 FALSE 3 -125 2 -150 4 -105
The following table shows the profit results of the system for June 2011. To see the results for the full season, visit http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System3.html
Date Pick Opp ML Bet To Win Result W L
Units
6/2/11 ARZ A WAS -175 4 0 $ 175.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
6/6/11 TEX A DET -140 1 8 $ 140.00 $ 100.00 -$ 140.00 0 1 -1.40
6/7/11 TEX B DET -170 7 3 $ 408.00 $ 240.00 $ 240.00 1 0 2.40
6/9/11 SF A CIN -125 3 2 $ 125.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
6/17/11 ATL A TEX -120 4 5 $ 120.00 $ 100.00 -$ 120.00 0 1 -1.20
6/18/11 ATL B TEX -104 4 2 $ 228.80 $ 220.00 $ 220.00 1 0 2.20
6/27/11 ARZ A CLE -140 6 4 $ 140.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
5 2 5.00
71% 7
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 44
8. Dominant Team Over Last 3 Years (System #4) A very profitable baseball betting strategy, often overlooked by sports bettors, is the win-loss record between major league baseball teams. Visit http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/grid/_/year/2011 to see how each team performed against the rest of the league.
For instance, for the last three years, the Texas Rangers’ record against the Cleveland Indians is 21-4. Tampa Bay always seems to play the Toronto Blue Jays tough and their record proves it with 36 wins and only 18 losses over the last three years. It gets even more interesting when you break down the team records further to see how each team performs in ball parks across North America.
The simple premise of this system is to find matchups where one team has a dominant win-loss record over the last three years in the same ballpark. The system works because it seems that every team has one ballpark where they just play better.
2011 record for 2-game chase was 38 – 4 (90.5%); All games 38 – 21 (61.1%). Number of 2011 units: +22.23 (unit value = bankroll ÷ 50). Average odds: -133.
See final 2011 results at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System4.html
A. Find Daily Matchups
At the start of each new baseball series, find all of the matchups for that particular day and check the record of each matchup in the same ballpark over the last three years. You can find a list of the daily matchups at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/mlb-games.html.
To confirm that the game is the first game of a series, go to http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams and click on the corresponding team name.
B. Eligibility Criteria
Select for consideration any team that meets ALL of the following criteria at the beginning of each series:
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 45
1. Win percentage over the last three years against the same team in the same
city must be greater than 60%. 2. The team with the better record above must have four (4) or more wins
against its opponent. 3. Neither team must be eligible under System #1. 4. Eligible team’s record over the last ten games (L-10) must be greater than
three (3) wins. 5. Opponent’s L-10 record must be less than six (6) wins. 6. Opponent’s Win/Loss percentage is less than 0.600. 7. Series must be at least three (3) or four (4) games.
Click on the blue highlighted and underlined “Report” button beside the home team line in the “INFO” column. Scroll down near the bottom where it reads, for example: All games at PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons.
Note: If there is no 3-year history, as is the case in many instances with interleague games, use CAUTION. In these cases I will look at other information such as their record in interleague games. Or I will skip the series altogether.
C. How the System Works
This system works because every team has an opponent who they consistently play well against.
Objective of the system is to win one (1) game out of the first two games of a three or four-game series. We always bet using the money line for this system.
For game #1, you wager enough to win 1 unit (calculate dollar value of one unit by dividing total bankroll by 50). If we win game #1, we move on to the next qualifying series. If we lose game #1, we place a wager on game #2.
The wager to win game #2 is equal to in 1 unit plus the amount that we lost on game #1. For example, on May 26th, Texas (eligible team) loses game #1 against KC Royals. Since the money line for Colorado winning game #1 is -190, we bet $190 to win $100. Since we lost game #1, we wager to win $290 ($100 + $190) on game #2. Texas won game #2 10-1 so you net a profit of $100 for the two games ($290 - $190).
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 46
D. Real Life Examples System #4 (June 2011)
To illustrate how to apply the eligibility criteria, let’s look at all of the games in June 2011.
Series RECORD L-10 L-3 YRS GAME #1 GAME #2
Date W L % W L W L % #4 Score Odds Score Odds
02-Jun-11 TEX @ 11 15 0.423 7 3 5 2 71% FALSE 7 110 11 -125
02-Jun-11 CLE 19 6 0.760 5 5 2 5 29% FALSE 4 -120 2 115
02-Jun-11 MIN @ 11 22 0.333 2 8 13 8 62% FALSE 8 105 5 135
02-Jun-11 KC 19 14 0.576 3 7 8 13 38% FALSE 2 -115 2 -145
02-Jun-11 TAM @ 15 10 0.600 4 6 5 4 56% FALSE 2 110 0 110
02-Jun-11 SEA 15 14 0.517 7 3 4 5 44% FALSE 8 -120 7 -120
02-Jun-11 WAS @ 10 19 0.345 3 7 4 3 57% FALSE 6 115 0 165
02-Jun-11 ARZ 18 11 0.621 8 2 3 4 43% FALSE 1 -125 4 -175
02-Jun-11 HOU @ 11 17 0.393 6 4 4 4 50% FALSE 7 115 1 115
02-Jun-11 SD 9 20 0.310 5 5 4 4 50% FALSE 4 -125 3 -125
02-Jun-11 TOR @ 13 14 0.481 5 5 7 11 39% FALSE 8 115 3 -115
02-Jun-11 BAL 15 14 0.517 5 5 11 7 61% TRUE 4 -125 5 105
02-Jun-11 OAK @ 13 15 0.464 5 5 4 6 40% FALSE 6 170 8 169
02-Jun-11 BOS 16 13 0.552 5 5 6 4 60% FALSE 8 -180 9 -179
02-Jun-11 DET @ 12 15 0.444 7 3 10 8 56% FALSE 4 125 4 -121
02-Jun-11 CWS 10 13 0.435 5 5 8 10 44% FALSE 6 -135 2 111
02-Jun-11 NYY @ 14 10 0.583 7 3 4 8 33% FALSE 2 150 3 -136
02-Jun-11 LAA 13 13 0.500 5 5 8 4 67% FALSE 3 -160 2 126
02-Jun-11 PHI @ 15 12 0.556 6 4 2 5 29% FALSE 1 -155 3 101
02-Jun-11 PIT 9 14 0.391 4 6 5 2 71% FALSE 2 145 6 -111
02-Jun-11 LAD @ 11 15 0.423 5 5 5 4 56% FALSE 1 110 11 107
02-Jun-11 CIN 17 12 0.586 5 5 4 5 44% FALSE 2 -120 8 -117
02-Jun-11 ATL @ 14 13 0.519 6 4 12 6 67% TRUE 6 -115 0 -117
02-Jun-11 NYM 13 16 0.448 4 6 6 12 33% FALSE 3 105 5 107
02-Jun-11 MIL @ 9 19 0.321 7 3 2 6 25% FALSE 6 110 3 -134
02-Jun-11 FLA 14 12 0.538 5 5 6 2 75% FALSE 5 -120 2 124
02-Jun-11 CHC @ 11 12 0.478 3 7 7 8 47% FALSE 1 160 4 170
02-Jun-11 STL 15 12 0.556 6 4 8 7 53% FALSE 6 -170 5 -180
02-Jun-11 COL @ 13 14 0.481 3 7 6 15 29% FALSE 1 125 2 -111
02-Jun-11 SFG 13 8 0.619 4 6 15 6 71% FALSE 3 -135 1 101
06-Jun-11 OAK @ 13 18 0.419 4 6 6 3 67% FALSE 2 -105 0 -115
06-Jun-11 BAL 16 16 0.500 3 7 3 6 33% FALSE 4 -105 4 105
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 47
06-Jun-11 MIN @ 15 22 0.405 5 5 10 8 56% FALSE 6 145 0 125
06-Jun-11 CLE 19 10 0.655 3 7 8 10 44% FALSE 4 -155 1 -135
06-Jun-11 DET @ 14 16 0.467 6 4 3 6 33% FALSE 13 130 8 130
06-Jun-11 TEX 19 11 0.633 8 2 6 3 67% FALSE 7 -140 1 -140
06-Jun-11 SEA @ 13 13 0.500 7 3 1 9 10% FALSE 1 -105 1 -120
06-Jun-11 CWS 11 15 0.423 5 5 9 1 90% FALSE 3 -105 5 110
06-Jun-11 TOR @ 15 15 0.500 6 4 2 5 29% FALSE 2 -125 8 -120
06-Jun-11 KC 19 18 0.514 3 7 5 2 71% FALSE 3 115 5 110
06-Jun-11 TAM @ 16 13 0.552 4 6 4 5 44% FALSE 5 -135 4 155
06-Jun-11 LAA 14 15 0.483 4 6 5 4 56% FALSE 1 125 1 -165
06-Jun-11 BOS @ 14 13 0.519 6 4 10 11 48% FALSE 6 -120 11 115
06-Jun-11 NYY 17 13 0.567 7 3 11 10 52% FALSE 4 110 6 -125
06-Jun-11 LAD @ 13 16 0.448 6 4 3 6 33% FALSE 1 175 6 165
06-Jun-11 PHI 19 10 0.655 5 5 6 3 67% FALSE 3 -185 2 -175
06-Jun-11 CHC @ 11 15 0.423 2 8 7 10 41% FALSE 2 120 2 145
06-Jun-11 CIN 18 14 0.563 4 6 10 7 59% FALSE 8 -130 8 -155
06-Jun-11 COL @ 14 16 0.467 3 7 12 6 67% FALSE 3 -105 0 -140
06-Jun-11 SD 12 21 0.364 7 3 6 12 33% FALSE 0 -105 2 130
06-Jun-11 WAS @ 12 21 0.364 5 5 2 4 33% FALSE 4 185 2 125
06-Jun-11 SF 15 9 0.625 6 4 4 2 67% FALSE 5 -195 1 -135
06-Jun-11 ARZ @ 13 14 0.481 7 3 3 3 50% FALSE 5 -115 2 105
06-Jun-11 PIT 11 15 0.423 6 4 3 3 50% FALSE 8 105 3 -115
06-Jun-11 ATL @ 15 15 0.500 5 5 9 9 50% FALSE 1 -140 3 105
06-Jun-11 FLA 14 16 0.467 2 8 9 9 50% FALSE 0 130 2 -115
06-Jun-11 STL @ 18 13 0.581 6 4 6 9 40% FALSE 7 -130 1 -150
06-Jun-11 HOU 11 17 0.393 4 6 9 6 60% FALSE 4 120 4 140
06-Jun-11 NYM @ 13 14 0.481 5 5 2 4 33% FALSE 2 175 6 155
06-Jun-11 MIL 21 7 0.750 7 3 4 2 67% FALSE 1 -185 7 -165
09-Jun-11 SEA @ 14 15 0.483 6 4 7 5 58% FALSE 1 190 3 115
09-Jun-11 DET 17 11 0.607 8 2 5 7 42% FALSE 4 -200 2 -125
09-Jun-11 OAK @ 13 21 0.382 1 9 7 5 58% FALSE 4 -110 7 130
09-Jun-11 CWS 13 16 0.448 6 4 5 7 42% FALSE 9 100 5 -140
09-Jun-11 TEX @ 15 15 0.500 7 3 1 8 11% FALSE 4 -135 9 -160
09-Jun-11 MIN 6 15 0.286 6 4 8 1 89% FALSE 5 125 3 150
09-Jun-11 CHC @ 12 17 0.414 2 8 2 3 40% FALSE 4 140 5 195
09-Jun-11 PHI 21 11 0.656 4 6 3 2 60% FALSE 3 -150 7 -205
09-Jun-11 LAD @ 14 18 0.438 6 4 13 7 65% TRUE 7 115 5 135
09-Jun-11 COL 13 15 0.464 4 6 7 13 35% FALSE 9 -125 6 -145
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 48
09-Jun-11 WAS @ 13 23 0.361 5 5 1 5 17% FALSE 3 110 2 140
09-Jun-11 SD 13 23 0.361 6 4 5 1 83% FALSE 7 -120 1 -150
09-Jun-11 CIN @ 12 16 0.429 5 5 3 3 50% FALSE 3 -115 2 115
09-Jun-11 SF 17 10 0.630 7 3 3 3 50% FALSE 0 105 3 -125
09-Jun-11 KC @ 6 16 0.273 4 6 2 7 22% FALSE 4 140 5 130
09-Jun-11 LAA 14 18 0.438 3 7 7 2 78% FALSE 2 -150 7 -140
09-Jun-11 BOS @ 17 13 0.567 6 4 12 8 60% FALSE 5 -140 16 135
09-Jun-11 TOR 15 14 0.517 5 5 8 12 40% FALSE 1 130 4 -125
09-Jun-11 CLE @ 14 14 0.500 3 7 3 5 38% FALSE 7 140 0 195
09-Jun-11 NYY 17 16 0.515 6 4 5 3 63% FALSE 11 -150 4 -205
09-Jun-11 TAM @ 19 13 0.594 5 5 13 8 62% TRUE 0 -135 7 -135
09-Jun-11 BAL 19 16 0.543 5 5 8 13 38% FALSE 7 125 5 125
09-Jun-11 NYM @ 15 15 0.500 6 4 3 4 43% FALSE 8 105 2 -105
09-Jun-11 PIT 13 16 0.448 6 4 4 3 57% FALSE 1 -115 3 -105
09-Jun-11 ARZ @ 14 16 0.467 5 5 4 2 67% FALSE 4 140 9 -125
09-Jun-11 FLA 14 19 0.424 1 9 2 4 33% FALSE 6 -150 5 115
09-Jun-11 ATL @ 18 15 0.545 6 4 4 2 67% FALSE 11 -170 6 -120
09-Jun-11 HOU 12 19 0.387 5 5 2 4 33% FALSE 4 160 3 110
09-Jun-11 STL @ 20 14 0.588 6 4 10 5 67% FALSE 0 -105 3 115
09-Jun-11 MIL 22 9 0.710 6 4 5 10 33% FALSE 8 -105 5 -125
13-Jun-11 LAA @ 16 16 0.500 2 8 12 9 57% FALSE 6 -135 4 -135
13-Jun-11 SEA 18 15 0.545 5 5 9 12 43% FALSE 3 125 0 125
13-Jun-11 MIL @ 13 19 0.406 8 2 6 8 43% FALSE 0 -110 4 -140
13-Jun-11 CHC 12 19 0.387 2 8 8 6 57% FALSE 1 100 5 130
13-Jun-11 SD @ 15 12 0.556 5 5 10 11 48% FALSE 3 155 3 155
13-Jun-11 COL 15 17 0.469 5 5 11 10 52% FALSE 1 -165 6 -165
13-Jun-11 CIN @ 14 18 0.438 5 5 2 4 33% FALSE 6 110 3 115
13-Jun-11 LAD 15 16 0.484 4 6 4 2 67% FALSE 4 -120 2 -125
13-Jun-11 CLE @ 15 17 0.469 2 8 3 15 17% FALSE 0 165 6 120
13-Jun-11 DET 20 13 0.606 7 3 15 3 83% FALSE 4 -175 4 -130
13-Jun-11 TEX @ 16 18 0.471 5 5 6 9 40% FALSE 4 140 4 120
13-Jun-11 NYY 20 17 0.541 5 5 9 6 60% FALSE 12 -150 12 -130
13-Jun-11 BAL @ 10 15 0.400 6 4 1 17 6% FALSE 5 140 1 145
13-Jun-11 TOR 15 17 0.469 4 6 17 1 94% FALSE 6 -150 4 -155
13-Jun-11 BOS @ 20 13 0.606 9 1 7 11 39% FALSE 0 110 3 -130
13-Jun-11 TAM 14 16 0.467 6 4 11 7 61% FALSE 4 -120 0 120
13-Jun-11 CWS @ 17 18 0.486 6 4 5 13 28% FALSE PPD -125 1 -120
13-Jun-11 MIN 9 16 0.360 8 2 13 5 72% FALSE PPD 115 4 110
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 49
13-Jun-11 KC @ 8 17 0.320 4 6 2 6 25% FALSE 7 155 1 125
13-Jun-11 OAK 14 15 0.483 1 9 6 2 75% FALSE 4 -165 2 -135
13-Jun-11 STL @ 20 17 0.541 5 5 4 4 50% FALSE 6 -145 0 -130
13-Jun-11 WAS 14 12 0.538 5 5 4 4 50% FALSE 8 135 10 120
13-Jun-11 FLA @ 17 11 0.607 1 9 12 8 60% FALSE 1 195 1 175
13-Jun-11 PHI 24 12 0.667 6 4 8 12 40% FALSE 9 -205 8 -185
13-Jun-11 NYM @ 17 17 0.500 6 4 7 14 33% FALSE 4 140 4 145
13-Jun-11 ATL 17 13 0.567 7 3 14 7 67% FALSE 3 -150 0 -155
13-Jun-11 PIT @ 17 15 0.531 6 4 3 15 17% FALSE 1 105 7 105
13-Jun-11 HOU 13 22 0.371 2 8 15 3 83% FALSE 0 -115 3 -115
13-Jun-11 SFG @ 18 17 0.514 6 4 14 7 67% FALSE 6 105 5 -105
13-Jun-11 ARZ 20 13 0.606 6 4 7 14 33% FALSE 5 -115 2 -105
17-Jun-11 HOU @ 12 20 0.375 2 8 2 4 33% FALSE 7 145 7 110
17-Jun-11 LAD 15 19 0.441 3 7 4 2 67% FALSE 3 -155 0 -120
17-Jun-11 PIT @ 20 15 0.571 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 1 125 1 125
17-Jun-11 CLE 20 12 0.625 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 5 -135 5 -135
17-Jun-11 NYY @ 16 11 0.593 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 1 -135 4 -135
17-Jun-11 CHC 15 20 0.429 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 3 125 3 125
17-Jun-11 MIL @ 14 22 0.389 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 4 105 4 165
17-Jun-11 BOS 19 13 0.594 9 1 1 1 50% FALSE 10 -115 2 -175
17-Jun-11 BAL @ 11 17 0.393 5 5 3 3 50% FALSE 4 105 2 135
17-Jun-11 WAS 17 12 0.586 7 3 3 3 50% FALSE 8 -115 4 -145
17-Jun-11 FLA @ 17 15 0.531 1 9 2 4 33% FALSE 1 125 4 110
17-Jun-11 TAM 15 18 0.455 6 4 4 2 67% FALSE 5 -135 7 -120
17-Jun-11 TOR @ 17 17 0.500 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 3 135 4 105
17-Jun-11 CIN 20 15 0.571 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 2 -145 0 -115
17-Jun-11 SD @ 16 14 0.533 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 5 115 0 125
17-Jun-11 MIN 11 16 0.407 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 6 -125 1 -135
17-Jun-11 LAA @ 18 17 0.514 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 4 120 1 -125
17-Jun-11 NYM 15 17 0.469 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 3 -130 6 115
17-Jun-11 SFG @ 20 17 0.541 6 4 2 4 33% FALSE 2 -150 2 -115
17-Jun-11 OAK 16 16 0.500 3 7 4 2 67% FALSE 5 140 4 105
17-Jun-11 TEX @ 16 21 0.432 2 8 1 1 50% FALSE 6 130 5 110
17-Jun-11 ATL 18 15 0.545 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 2 -140 4 -120
17-Jun-11 PHI @ 16 14 0.533 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 2 -105 5 130
17-Jun-11 SEA 19 17 0.528 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -105 1 -140
17-Jun-11 KC @ 9 19 0.321 5 5 1 2 33% FALSE 5 150 4 150
17-Jun-11 STL 18 12 0.600 3 7 2 1 67% FALSE 4 -160 5 -160
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 50
17-Jun-11 DET @ 16 17 0.485 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 6 110 4 145
17-Jun-11 COL 17 18 0.486 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 13 -120 5 -155
17-Jun-11 CHW @ 17 20 0.459 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 1 125 6 -110
17-Jun-11 ARZ 20 15 0.571 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -135 2 100
20-Jun-11 COL @ 16 17 0.485 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 8 100 4 -130
20-Jun-11 CLE 23 12 0.657 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 7 -110 3 120
20-Jun-11 BAL @ 12 19 0.387 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 8 105 3 -110
20-Jun-11 PIT 15 18 0.455 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 3 -115 9 100
20-Jun-11 SD @ 16 17 0.485 2 8 1 1 50% FALSE 5 180 5 175
20-Jun-11 BOS 21 14 0.600 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 14 -190 4 -185
20-Jun-11 NYY @ 18 12 0.600 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 5 115 4 -105
20-Jun-11 CIN 21 17 0.553 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 3 -125 2 -105
20-Jun-11 HOU @ 14 21 0.400 3 7 2 4 33% FALSE 3 150 4 210
20-Jun-11 TEX 20 13 0.606 3 7 4 2 67% FALSE 8 -160 5 -220
20-Jun-11 TOR @ 19 18 0.514 4 6 0 3 0% FALSE 0 105 1 115
20-Jun-11 ATL 19 17 0.528 5 5 3 0 100% FALSE 2 -115 5 -125
20-Jun-11 CHC @ 13 20 0.394 4 6 2 4 33% FALSE 6 125 2 115
20-Jun-11 CWS 16 17 0.485 5 5 4 2 67% FALSE 3 -135 3 -125
20-Jun-11 LAA @ 20 18 0.526 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 2 -120 2 -130
20-Jun-11 FLA 15 22 0.405 0 10 1 1 50% FALSE 1 110 5 120
20-Jun-11 TAM @ 21 15 0.583 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 8 125 1 120
20-Jun-11 MIL 25 9 0.735 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -135 5 -130
20-Jun-11 DET @ 17 19 0.472 5 5 1 2 33% FALSE 0 135 1 -120
20-Jun-11 LAD 16 21 0.432 3 7 2 1 67% FALSE 4 -145 6 110
20-Jun-11 PHI @ 17 16 0.515 8 2 3 5 38% FALSE 10 -155 4 -150
20-Jun-11 STL 20 13 0.606 3 7 5 3 63% FALSE 2 145 0 140
20-Jun-11 SEA @ 16 17 0.485 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 5 105 1 -105
20-Jun-11 WAS 19 13 0.594 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 6 -115 2 -105
20-Jun-11 ARZ @ 17 17 0.500 5 5 2 1 67% FALSE 7 110 3 -120
20-Jun-11 KC 21 20 0.512 5 5 1 2 33% FALSE 2 -120 2 110
20-Jun-11 OAK @ 14 24 0.368 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 7 125 2 100
20-Jun-11 NYM 16 19 0.457 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 3 -135 3 -110
20-Jun-11 MIN @ 17 23 0.425 9 1 1 1 50% FALSE 8 140 1 130
20-Jun-11 SFG 19 12 0.613 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 0 -150 5 -140
24-Jun-11 ATL @ 21 16 0.568 5 5 6 3 67% FALSE 2 -115 10 -130
24-Jun-11 SDP 14 26 0.350 3 7 3 6 33% FALSE 11 105 1 120
24-Jun-11 CIN @ 17 18 0.486 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -125 10 -110
24-Jun-11 BAL 20 18 0.526 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 5 115 5 100
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 51
24-Jun-11 ARZ @ 20 17 0.541 6 4 1 2 33% FALSE 7 140 0 160
24-Jun-11 DET 22 14 0.611 5 5 2 1 67% FALSE 6 -150 6 -170
24-Jun-11 COL @ 18 18 0.500 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 4 120 3 200
24-Jun-11 NYY 23 17 0.575 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 2 -130 8 -210
24-Jun-11 NYM @ 19 18 0.514 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 1 135 14 155
24-Jun-11 TEX 22 14 0.611 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 8 -145 5 -165
24-Jun-11 WAS @ 16 24 0.400 9 1 1 1 50% FALSE 9 110 0 140
24-Jun-11 CWS 17 18 0.486 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 5 -120 3 -150
24-Jun-11 CHC @ 14 21 0.400 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 6 105 2 -105
24-Jun-11 KCR 21 23 0.477 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -115 3 -105
24-Jun-11 OAK @ 15 26 0.366 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 0 145 4 175
24-Jun-11 PHI 28 12 0.700 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 1 -155 1 -185
24-Jun-11 BOS @ 22 14 0.611 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 1 -160 4 -135
24-Jun-11 PIT 17 19 0.472 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 3 150 6 125
24-Jun-11 TAM @ 23 16 0.590 6 4 2 1 67% FALSE 5 -135 7 105
24-Jun-11 HOU 13 25 0.342 4 6 1 2 33% FALSE 1 125 2 -115
24-Jun-11 TOR @ 19 21 0.475 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 5 -105 6 135
24-Jun-11 STL 21 15 0.583 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -105 3 -145
24-Jun-11 LAA @ 22 19 0.537 6 4 5 1 83% TRUE 8 -135 6 125
24-Jun-11 LAD 18 22 0.450 4 6 1 5 17% FALSE 3 125 1 -135
24-Jun-11 SEA @ 16 20 0.444 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 5 -155 2 -135
24-Jun-11 FLA 16 24 0.400 1 9 1 1 50% FALSE 1 145 4 125
24-Jun-11 CLE @ 16 19 0.457 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 3 115 0 125
24-Jun-11 SFG 21 13 0.618 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -125 1 -135
24-Jun-11 MIN @ 18 25 0.419 8 2 2 4 33% FALSE 3 135 1 130
24-Jun-11 MIL 26 11 0.703 3 7 4 2 67% FALSE 4 -145 11 -140
27-Jun-11 NYM @ 21 19 0.525 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 14 130 16 112
27-Jun-11 DET 25 15 0.625 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 3 -132 9 -122
27-Jun-11 CIN @ 18 20 0.474 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 5 -105 3 120
27-Jun-11 TAM 18 18 0.500 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 0 -105 4 -130
27-Jun-11 LAD @ 16 20 0.444 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 15 105 4 100
27-Jun-11 MIN 14 16 0.467 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 0 -115 6 -110
27-Jun-11 WAS @ 18 25 0.419 8 2 1 1 50% FALSE 3 120 5 115
27-Jun-11 LAA 15 20 0.429 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -130 11 -125
27-Jun-11 ATL @ 22 18 0.550 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 3 100 5 100
27-Jun-11 SEA 23 19 0.548 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 1 -110 4 -110
27-Jun-11 SFG @ 20 21 0.488 5 5 4 3 57% FALSE 13 -125 6 -108
27-Jun-11 CHC 17 22 0.436 4 6 3 4 43% FALSE 7 115 3 -102
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 52
27-Jun-11 CLE @ 16 22 0.421 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 5 160 4 130
27-Jun-11 ARZ 22 17 0.564 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -170 6 -140
27-Jun-11 KCR @ 10 21 0.323 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 3 125 2 105
27-Jun-11 SDP 16 27 0.372 4 6 1 1 50% FALSE 4 -135 4 -115
27-Jun-11 STL @ 20 20 0.500 3 7 1 1 50% FALSE 6 125 5 -125
27-Jun-11 BAL 22 19 0.537 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 2 -135 1 115
27-Jun-11 MIL @ 15 24 0.385 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 2 120 2 135
27-Jun-11 NYY 25 18 0.581 7 3 1 1 50% FALSE 12 -130 5 -145
27-Jun-11 PIT @ 20 18 0.526 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 7 115 1 175
27-Jun-11 TOR 17 18 0.486 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 6 -125 2 -185
27-Jun-11 FLA @ 18 20 0.474 2 8 1 1 50% FALSE 0 160 3 105
27-Jun-11 OAK 19 16 0.543 6 4 1 1 50% FALSE 1 -170 0 -115
27-Jun-11 BOS @ 23 16 0.590 5 5 4 2 67% FALSE 0 115 1 -102
27-Jun-11 PHI 30 13 0.698 6 4 2 4 33% FALSE 5 -125 2 -108
27-Jun-11 TEX @ 18 22 0.450 5 5 6 0 100% TRUE 7 -150 3 -132
27-Jun-11 HOU 13 28 0.317 3 7 0 6 0% FALSE 3 140 2 122
27-Jun-11 CWS @ 19 21 0.475 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 2 115 3 140
27-Jun-11 COL 19 19 0.500 5 5 1 1 50% FALSE 3 -125 2 -150
The following table shows the profit results of system #4 for June 2011. To see the results for the full season, visit http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System4.html
Date Pick Opp ML Bet To Win Result W L
Units
6/2/11 ATL A NYM -115 6 3 $ 115.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
6/2/11 BAL A TOR -125 4 8 $ 125.00 $ 100.00 -$ 125.00 0 1 -1.25
6/3/11 BAL B TOR 105 5 3 $ 214.29 $ 225.00 $ 225.00 1 0 2.25
6/9/11 LAD A COL 140 11 7 $ 71.43 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
6/9/11 TAM A BAL -135 0 7 $ 135.00 $ 100.00 -$ 135.00 0 1 -1.35
6/10/11 TAM B BAL -135 7 5 $ 317.25 $ 235.00 $ 235.00 1 0 2.35
6/24/11 LAA A LAD -135 8 3 $ 135.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
6/27/11 TEX A HOU -150 7 3 $ 150.00 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 1 0 1.00
6 2 6.00
75% 8
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 53
9. Revenge Series Sweep 3-Game Chase (System #5) Any baseball betting system that helps to predict when teams will be “up” for games can be extremely profitable. The Major League Baseball season is seven months long − twice as long as any other sport. With so many games on the schedule, it's both physically and mentally impossible for a team to be motivated for every single game.
The Revenge System involves teams that were swept (lost all of the games) in a three or four game series. We expect these teams to bounce back with at least one win the next time the two teams meet.
2011 record for 3-game chase was 23 – 0 (100%); All games 23 – 14 (62.2%). Number of 2011 units: +20.88 (unit value = bankroll ÷ 50). Average odds: -115.
See final 2011 results at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System5.html
A. Find Daily Matchups
At the start of each new baseball series, find all of the matchups for that particular day and check the record of each matchup in the same ballpark over the last three years. You can find a list of the daily matchups at http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/mlb-games.html.
To confirm that the series involves a team swept the last time these two same teams met, go to http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/teams and click on the corresponding team name.
B. Eligibility Criteria
Select for consideration a team that was swept in a 3 or 4-game series the last time these two same teams met and meets ALL of the following criteria at the beginning of the series: 1. Better RPI or one that is within 15 points of its opponent’s RPI. 2. Opponent’s RPI must be less than 511. 3. Win/Loss percentage must satisfy one of the following: Greater than 0.469
OR a W/L% that is no worse than 0.03 lower than its opponent. 4. Neither team must be eligible under System #1.
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 54
C. How the System Works
This system works as long as the team seeking revenge is close enough in ability to the team that swept them in the previous series.
Objective of the system is to win one (1) game out of the first three games of a three or four-game series. Since this system uses a 3-game chase, we will split the wager between money line and run line when the odds are higher than -150 (see run line strategy on page 12).
For game #1, you wager enough to win 1 unit (calculate dollar value of one unit by dividing total bankroll by 50). If we win game #1, we move on to the next qualifying series. If we lose game #1, we place a wager on game #2.
The wager to win game #2 is equal to in 1 unit plus the amount that we lost on game #1. If we win game #2, we move on to the next qualifying series. If we lose game #3, we place a bet on game #3 that covers what we lost on the first two games plus 1 unit. If we are unlucky enough to lose game #3, we move on to the next qualifying series.
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 55
D. Real Life Examples System #2 (June 2011)
To illustrate how to apply the eligibility criteria, let’s look at all of the games in June 2011.
Series RECORD GAME #1 GAME #2 GAME #3
Date RPI W L % #5 SCORE ODDS SCORE ODDS SCORE ODDS
02-Jun-11 TEX @ 512 11 15 0.423 FALSE 7 110 11 -125 4 103
02-Jun-11 CLE 529 19 6 0.760 FALSE 4 -120 2 115 0 -113
02-Jun-11 MIN @ 451 11 22 0.333 FALSE 8 105 5 135 7 136
02-Jun-11 KC 487 19 14 0.576 FALSE 2 -115 2 -145 2 -146
02-Jun-11 TAM @ 505 15 10 0.600 FALSE 2 110 0 110 3 -136
02-Jun-11 SEA 498 15 14 0.517 FALSE 8 -120 7 -120 2 126
02-Jun-11 WAS @ 496 10 19 0.345 FALSE 6 115 0 165 0 140
02-Jun-11 ARZ 502 18 11 0.621 FALSE 1 -125 4 -175 2 -150
02-Jun-11 HOU @ 470 11 17 0.393 FALSE 7 115 1 115 3 138
02-Jun-11 SD 486 9 20 0.310 FALSE 4 -125 3 -125 6 -148
02-Jun-11 TOR @ 500 13 14 0.481 FALSE 8 115 3 -115 7 135
02-Jun-11 BAL 490 15 14 0.517 FALSE 4 -125 5 105 4 -145
02-Jun-11 OAK @ 491 13 15 0.464 FALSE 6 170 8 169 3 115
02-Jun-11 BOS 517 16 13 0.552 FALSE 8 -180 9 -179 6 -125
02-Jun-11 DET @ 505 12 15 0.444 FALSE 4 125 4 -121 7 135
02-Jun-11 CWS 496 10 13 0.435 TRUE 6 -135 2 111 3 -145
02-Jun-11 NYY @ 518 14 10 0.583 FALSE 2 150 3 -136 5 -125
02-Jun-11 LAA 501 13 13 0.500 FALSE 3 -160 2 126 3 115
02-Jun-11 PHI @ 532 15 12 0.556 FALSE 1 -155 3 101 7 -180
02-Jun-11 PIT 488 9 14 0.391 FALSE 2 145 6 -111 3 170
02-Jun-11 LAD @ 486 11 15 0.423 FALSE 1 110 11 107 9 110
02-Jun-11 CIN 510 17 12 0.586 FALSE 2 -120 8 -117 6 -120
02-Jun-11 ATL @ 520 14 13 0.519 FALSE 6 -115 0 -117 4 -125
02-Jun-11 NYM 488 13 16 0.448 FALSE 3 105 5 107 6 115
02-Jun-11 MIL @ 502 9 19 0.321 FALSE 6 110 3 -134 6 120
02-Jun-11 FLA 519 14 12 0.538 FALSE 5 -120 2 124 5 -130
02-Jun-11 CHC @ 472 11 12 0.478 FALSE 1 160 4 170 2 150
02-Jun-11 STL 516 15 12 0.556 FALSE 6 -170 5 -180 3 -160
02-Jun-11 COL @ 494 13 14 0.481 FALSE 1 125 2 -111 1 -105
02-Jun-11 SFG 513 13 8 0.619 FALSE 3 -135 1 101 2 -105
06-Jun-11 OAK @ 490 13 18 0.419 FALSE 2 -105 0 -115 2 125
06-Jun-11 BAL 490 16 16 0.500 TRUE 4 -105 4 105 3 -135
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 56
06-Jun-11 MIN @ 455 15 22 0.405 FALSE 6 145 0 125 3 145
06-Jun-11 CLE 522 19 10 0.655 FALSE 4 -155 1 -135 2 -155
06-Jun-11 DET @ 506 14 16 0.467 FALSE 13 130 8 130 3 160
06-Jun-11 TEX 520 19 11 0.633 FALSE 7 -140 1 -140 7 -170
06-Jun-11 SEA @ 499 13 13 0.500 FALSE 1 -105 1 -120 7 130
06-Jun-11 CWS 495 11 15 0.423 FALSE 3 -105 5 110 4 -140
06-Jun-11 TOR @ 501 15 15 0.500 FALSE 2 -125 8 -120 9 -110
06-Jun-11 KC 479 19 18 0.514 FALSE 3 115 5 110 8 100
06-Jun-11 TAM @ 502 16 13 0.552 FALSE 5 -135 4 155 4 140
06-Jun-11 LAA 501 14 15 0.483 FALSE 1 125 1 -165 3 -150
06-Jun-11 BOS @ 519 14 13 0.519 FALSE 6 -120 11 115 8 105
06-Jun-11 NYY 519 17 13 0.567 FALSE 4 110 6 -125 3 -115
06-Jun-11 LAD @ 488 13 16 0.448 FALSE 1 175 6 165 0 175
06-Jun-11 PHI 526 19 10 0.655 FALSE 3 -185 2 -175 2 -185
06-Jun-11 CHC @ 472 11 15 0.423 FALSE 2 120 2 145 4 130
06-Jun-11 CIN 508 18 14 0.563 FALSE 8 -130 8 -155 1 -140
06-Jun-11 COL @ 497 14 16 0.467 FALSE 3 -105 0 -140 5 -115
06-Jun-11 SD 485 12 21 0.364 FALSE 0 -105 2 130 3 105
06-Jun-11 WAS @ 496 12 21 0.364 FALSE 4 185 2 125 1 175
06-Jun-11 SF 517 15 9 0.625 FALSE 5 -195 1 -135 3 -185
06-Jun-11 ARZ @ 506 13 14 0.481 FALSE 5 -115 2 105 2 -120
06-Jun-11 PIT 493 11 15 0.423 FALSE 8 105 3 -115 0 110
06-Jun-11 ATL @ 519 15 15 0.500 FALSE 1 -140 3 105 3 -135
06-Jun-11 FLA 514 14 16 0.467 FALSE 0 130 2 -115 2 125
06-Jun-11 STL @ 516 18 13 0.581 FALSE 7 -130 1 -150 9 -110
06-Jun-11 HOU 468 11 17 0.393 FALSE 4 120 4 140 2 100
06-Jun-11 NYM @ 489 13 14 0.481 FALSE 2 175 6 155 4 160
06-Jun-11 MIL 507 21 7 0.750 FALSE 1 -185 7 -165 1 -170
09-Jun-11 SEA @ 499 14 15 0.483 FALSE 1 190 3 115 1 110
09-Jun-11 DET 514 17 11 0.607 FALSE 4 -200 2 -125 8 -120
09-Jun-11 OAK @ 481 13 21 0.382 FALSE 4 -110 7 130 2 100
09-Jun-11 CWS 495 13 16 0.448 FALSE 9 100 5 -140 3 -110
09-Jun-11 TEX @ 517 15 15 0.500 FALSE 4 -135 9 -160 1 -140
09-Jun-11 MIN 464 6 15 0.286 FALSE 5 125 3 150 8 130
09-Jun-11 CHC @ 469 12 17 0.414 FALSE 4 140 5 195 1 190
09-Jun-11 PHI 528 21 11 0.656 FALSE 3 -150 7 -205 7 -200
09-Jun-11 LAD @ 490 14 18 0.438 FALSE 7 115 5 135 11 140
09-Jun-11 COL 495 13 15 0.464 FALSE 9 -125 6 -145 7 -150
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 57
09-Jun-11 WAS @ 499 13 23 0.361 FALSE 3 110 2 140 2 102
09-Jun-11 SD 485 13 23 0.361 FALSE 7 -120 1 -150 1 -112
09-Jun-11 CIN @ 504 12 16 0.429 FALSE 3 -115 2 115 10 140
09-Jun-11 SF 517 17 10 0.630 FALSE 0 105 3 -125 2 -150
09-Jun-11 KC @ 474 6 16 0.273 FALSE 4 140 5 130 9 135
09-Jun-11 LAA 492 14 18 0.438 FALSE 2 -150 7 -140 0 -145
09-Jun-11 BOS @ 525 17 13 0.567 FALSE 5 -140 16 135 14 -168
09-Jun-11 TOR 505 15 14 0.517 FALSE 1 130 4 -125 1 158
09-Jun-11 CLE @ 511 14 14 0.500 FALSE 7 140 0 195 1 143
09-Jun-11 NYY 520 17 16 0.515 FALSE 11 -150 4 -205 9 -153
09-Jun-11 TAM @ 507 19 13 0.594 FALSE 0 -135 7 -135 9 113
09-Jun-11 BAL 494 19 16 0.543 FALSE 7 125 5 125 6 -123
09-Jun-11 NYM @ 493 15 15 0.500 FALSE 8 105 2 -105 7 -103
09-Jun-11 PIT 498 13 16 0.448 FALSE 1 -115 3 -105 0 -107
09-Jun-11 ARZ @ 499 14 16 0.467 FALSE 4 140 9 -125 5 -123
09-Jun-11 FLA 507 14 19 0.424 FALSE 6 -150 5 115 1 113
09-Jun-11 ATL @ 521 18 15 0.545 FALSE 11 -170 6 -120 4 -155
09-Jun-11 HOU 468 12 19 0.387 FALSE 4 160 3 110 1 145
09-Jun-11 STL @ 514 20 14 0.588 FALSE 0 -105 3 115 3 140
09-Jun-11 MIL 512 22 9 0.710 FALSE 8 -105 5 -125 4 -150
13-Jun-11 LAA @ 491 16 16 0.500 FALSE 6 -135 4 -135 1 110
13-Jun-11 SEA 498 18 15 0.545 FALSE 3 125 0 125 3 -120
13-Jun-11 MIL @ 515 13 19 0.406 FALSE 0 -110 4 -140 9 105
13-Jun-11 CHC 470 12 19 0.387 FALSE 1 100 5 130 5 -115
13-Jun-11 SD @ 483 15 12 0.556 FALSE 3 155 3 155 3 140
13-Jun-11 COL 496 15 17 0.469 FALSE 1 -165 6 -165 6 -150
13-Jun-11 CIN @ 505 14 18 0.438 FALSE 6 110 3 115 7 115
13-Jun-11 LAD 487 15 16 0.484 FALSE 4 -120 2 -125 2 -125
13-Jun-11 CLE @ 509 15 17 0.469 FALSE 0 165 6 120 2 160
13-Jun-11 DET 513 20 13 0.606 TRUE 4 -175 4 -130 6 -170
13-Jun-11 TEX @ 509 16 18 0.471 FALSE 4 140 4 120 2 -115
13-Jun-11 NYY 524 20 17 0.541 FALSE 12 -150 12 -130 3 105
13-Jun-11 BAL @ 495 10 15 0.400 FALSE 5 140 1 145 4 -105
13-Jun-11 TOR 500 15 17 0.469 FALSE 6 -150 4 -155 3 -105
13-Jun-11 BOS @ 532 20 13 0.606 FALSE 0 110 3 -130 4 115
13-Jun-11 TAM 507 14 16 0.467 FALSE 4 -120 0 120 2 -125
13-Jun-11 CWS @ 495 17 18 0.486 FALSE PPD -125 1 -120 0 -105
13-Jun-11 MIN 472 9 16 0.360 FALSE PPD 115 4 110 1 -105
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 58
13-Jun-11 KC @ 477 8 17 0.320 FALSE 7 155 1 125 4 130
13-Jun-11 OAK 477 14 15 0.483 FALSE 4 -165 2 -135 8 -140
13-Jun-11 STL @ 508 20 17 0.541 FALSE 6 -145 0 -130 4 -105
13-Jun-11 WAS 503 14 12 0.538 FALSE 8 135 10 120 7 -105
13-Jun-11 FLA @ 506 17 11 0.607 FALSE 1 195 1 175 4 145
13-Jun-11 PHI 529 24 12 0.667 FALSE 9 -205 8 -185 5 -155
13-Jun-11 NYM @ 500 17 17 0.500 FALSE 4 140 4 145 8 110
13-Jun-11 ATL 527 17 13 0.567 FALSE 3 -150 0 -155 9 -120
13-Jun-11 PIT @ 494 17 15 0.531 FALSE 1 105 7 105 5 -105
13-Jun-11 HOU 462 13 22 0.371 FALSE 0 -115 3 -115 4 -105
13-Jun-11 SFG @ 517 18 17 0.514 FALSE 6 105 5 -105 2 130
13-Jun-11 ARZ 503 20 13 0.606 FALSE 5 -115 2 -105 3 -140
17-Jun-11 HOU @ 462 12 20 0.375 FALSE 7 145 7 110 0 130
17-Jun-11 LAD 484 15 19 0.441 FALSE 3 -155 0 -120 1 -140
17-Jun-11 PIT @ 500 20 15 0.571 FALSE 1 125 1 125 2 135
17-Jun-11 CLE 512 20 12 0.625 FALSE 5 -135 5 -135 5 -145
17-Jun-11 NYY @ 527 16 11 0.593 FALSE 1 -135 4 -135 -165
17-Jun-11 CHC 475 15 20 0.429 FALSE 3 125 3 125 155
17-Jun-11 MIL @ 512 14 22 0.389 FALSE 4 105 4 165 3 -105
17-Jun-11 BOS 533 19 13 0.594 FALSE 10 -115 2 -175 12 -105
17-Jun-11 BAL @ 491 11 17 0.393 FALSE 4 105 2 135 7 125
17-Jun-11 WAS 506 17 12 0.586 FALSE 8 -115 4 -145 4 -135
17-Jun-11 FLA @ 500 17 15 0.531 FALSE 1 125 4 110 1 175
17-Jun-11 TAM 505 15 18 0.455 FALSE 5 -135 7 -120 2 -185
17-Jun-11 TOR @ 503 17 17 0.500 FALSE 3 135 4 105 1 115
17-Jun-11 CIN 506 20 15 0.571 FALSE 2 -145 0 -115 2 -125
17-Jun-11 SD @ 478 16 14 0.533 FALSE 5 115 0 125 4 140
17-Jun-11 MIN 475 11 16 0.407 FALSE 6 -125 1 -135 5 -150
17-Jun-11 LAA @ 491 18 17 0.514 FALSE 4 120 1 -125 7 125
17-Jun-11 NYM 505 15 17 0.469 FALSE 3 -130 6 115 3 -135
17-Jun-11 SFG @ 521 20 17 0.541 FALSE 2 -150 2 -115 1 -105
17-Jun-11 OAK 477 16 16 0.500 FALSE 5 140 4 105 2 -105
17-Jun-11 TEX @ 506 16 21 0.432 FALSE 6 130 5 110 2 -106
17-Jun-11 ATL 518 18 15 0.545 FALSE 2 -140 4 -120 4 -104
17-Jun-11 PHI @ 533 16 14 0.533 FALSE 2 -105 5 130 0 -150
17-Jun-11 SEA 497 19 17 0.528 FALSE 4 -105 1 -140 2 140
17-Jun-11 KC @ 476 9 19 0.321 FALSE 5 150 4 150 4 185
17-Jun-11 STL 504 18 12 0.600 FALSE 4 -160 5 -160 5 -195
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 59
17-Jun-11 DET @ 515 16 17 0.485 FALSE 6 110 4 145 9 -135
17-Jun-11 COL 495 17 18 0.486 FALSE 13 -120 5 -155 1 125
17-Jun-11 CHW @ 492 17 20 0.459 FALSE 1 125 6 -110 8 110
17-Jun-11 ARZ 503 20 15 0.571 FALSE 4 -135 2 100 2 -120
20-Jun-11 COL @ 494 16 17 0.485 FALSE 8 100 4 -130 3 110
20-Jun-11 CLE 516 23 12 0.657 FALSE 7 -110 3 120 4 -120
20-Jun-11 BAL @ 493 12 19 0.387 FALSE 8 105 3 -110 4 -110
20-Jun-11 PIT 496 15 18 0.455 FALSE 3 -115 9 100 5 100
20-Jun-11 SD @ 474 16 17 0.485 FALSE 5 180 5 175 5 195
20-Jun-11 BOS 537 21 14 0.600 FALSE 14 -190 4 -185 1 -205
20-Jun-11 NYY @ 529 18 12 0.600 FALSE 5 115 4 -105 2 -105
20-Jun-11 CIN 500 21 17 0.553 FALSE 3 -125 2 -105 10 -105
20-Jun-11 HOU @ 460 14 21 0.400 FALSE 3 150 4 210 5 190
20-Jun-11 TEX 511 20 13 0.606 FALSE 8 -160 5 -220 3 -200
20-Jun-11 TOR @ 508 19 18 0.514 FALSE 0 105 1 115 1 130
20-Jun-11 ATL 513 19 17 0.528 FALSE 2 -115 5 -125 5 -140
20-Jun-11 CHC @ 477 13 20 0.394 FALSE 6 125 2 115 3 175
20-Jun-11 CWS 494 16 17 0.485 FALSE 3 -135 3 -125 4 -185
20-Jun-11 LAA @ 494 20 18 0.526 FALSE 2 -120 2 -130 6 -105
20-Jun-11 FLA 494 15 22 0.405 FALSE 1 110 5 120 5 -105
20-Jun-11 TAM @ 509 21 15 0.583 FALSE 8 125 1 120 6 -113
20-Jun-11 MIL 508 25 9 0.735 FALSE 4 -135 5 -130 3 103
20-Jun-11 DET @ 516 17 19 0.472 FALSE 0 135 1 -120 7 100
20-Jun-11 LAD 475 16 21 0.432 FALSE 4 -145 6 110 5 -110
20-Jun-11 PHI @ 527 17 16 0.515 FALSE 10 -155 4 -150 2 103
20-Jun-11 STL 497 20 13 0.606 FALSE 2 145 0 140 12 -113
20-Jun-11 SEA @ 507 16 17 0.485 FALSE 5 105 1 -105 0 -115
20-Jun-11 WAS 501 19 13 0.594 FALSE 6 -115 2 -105 1 105
20-Jun-11 ARZ @ 498 17 17 0.500 FALSE 7 110 3 -120 5 -115
20-Jun-11 KC 481 21 20 0.512 FALSE 2 -120 2 110 3 105
20-Jun-11 OAK @ 490 14 24 0.368 FALSE 7 125 2 100 1 125
20-Jun-11 NYM 498 16 19 0.457 FALSE 3 -135 3 -110 4 -135
20-Jun-11 MIN @ 486 17 23 0.425 FALSE 8 140 1 130 1 155
20-Jun-11 SFG 508 19 12 0.613 FALSE 0 -150 5 -140 2 -165
24-Jun-11 ATL @ 515 21 16 0.568 FALSE 2 -115 10 -130 1 -115
24-Jun-11 SDP 474 14 26 0.350 FALSE 11 105 1 120 4 105
24-Jun-11 CIN @ 498 17 18 0.486 FALSE 4 -125 10 -110 5 -105
24-Jun-11 BAL 497 20 18 0.526 FALSE 5 115 5 100 7 -105
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 60
24-Jun-11 ARZ @ 501 20 17 0.541 FALSE 7 140 0 160 3 130
24-Jun-11 DET 514 22 14 0.611 FALSE 6 -150 6 -170 8 -140
24-Jun-11 COL @ 496 18 18 0.500 FALSE 4 120 3 200 4 150
24-Jun-11 NYY 531 23 17 0.575 FALSE 2 -130 8 -210 6 -160
24-Jun-11 NYM @ 499 19 18 0.514 FALSE 1 135 14 155 8 125
24-Jun-11 TEX 513 22 14 0.611 FALSE 8 -145 5 -165 5 -135
24-Jun-11 WAS @ 503 16 24 0.400 FALSE 9 110 0 140 2 140
24-Jun-11 CWS 497 17 18 0.486 FALSE 5 -120 3 -150 1 -150
24-Jun-11 CHC @ 475 14 21 0.400 FALSE 6 105 2 -105 3 120
24-Jun-11 KCR 479 21 23 0.477 FALSE 4 -115 3 -105 6 -130
24-Jun-11 OAK @ 490 15 26 0.366 FALSE 0 145 4 175 1 200
24-Jun-11 PHI 530 28 12 0.700 FALSE 1 -155 1 -185 3 -210
24-Jun-11 BOS @ 538 22 14 0.611 FALSE 1 -160 4 -135 4 -125
24-Jun-11 PIT 492 17 19 0.472 FALSE 3 150 6 125 2 115
24-Jun-11 TAM @ 512 23 16 0.590 FALSE 5 -135 7 105 14 -130
24-Jun-11 HOU 456 13 25 0.342 FALSE 1 125 2 -115 10 120
24-Jun-11 TOR @ 505 19 21 0.475 FALSE 5 -105 6 135 5 -120
24-Jun-11 STL 497 21 15 0.583 FALSE 4 -105 3 -145 0 110
24-Jun-11 LAA @ 497 22 19 0.537 FALSE 8 -135 6 125 2 100
24-Jun-11 LAD 479 18 22 0.450 FALSE 3 125 1 -135 3 -110
24-Jun-11 SEA @ 504 16 20 0.444 FALSE 5 -155 2 -135 2 100
24-Jun-11 FLA 492 16 24 0.400 FALSE 1 145 4 125 1 -110
24-Jun-11 CLE @ 514 16 19 0.457 FALSE 3 115 0 125 1 125
24-Jun-11 SFG 510 21 13 0.618 FALSE 4 -125 1 -135 3 -135
24-Jun-11 MIN @ 487 18 25 0.419 FALSE 3 135 1 130 2 140
24-Jun-11 MIL 506 26 11 0.703 FALSE 4 -145 11 -140 6 -150
27-Jun-11 NYM @ 504 21 19 0.525 FALSE 14 130 16 112 2 210
27-Jun-11 DET 511 25 15 0.625 FALSE 3 -132 9 -122 5 -220
27-Jun-11 CIN @ 500 18 20 0.474 FALSE 5 -105 3 120 4 162
27-Jun-11 TAM 513 18 18 0.500 FALSE 0 -105 4 -130 3 -172
27-Jun-11 LAD @ 477 16 20 0.444 FALSE 15 105 4 100 0 137
27-Jun-11 MIN 481 14 16 0.467 FALSE 0 -115 6 -110 1 -147
27-Jun-11 WAS @ 509 18 25 0.419 FALSE 3 120 5 115 0 125
27-Jun-11 LAA 498 15 20 0.429 FALSE 4 -130 11 -125 1 -135
27-Jun-11 ATL @ 518 22 18 0.550 FALSE 3 100 5 100 5 138
27-Jun-11 SEA 499 23 19 0.548 FALSE 1 -110 4 -110 3 -148
27-Jun-11 SFG @ 515 20 21 0.488 FALSE 13 -125 6 -108 1 -135
27-Jun-11 CHC 474 17 22 0.436 FALSE 7 115 3 -102 2 125
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 61
27-Jun-11 CLE @ 511 16 22 0.421 FALSE 5 160 4 130 6 102
27-Jun-11 ARZ 505 22 17 0.564 FALSE 4 -170 6 -140 2 -112
27-Jun-11 KCR @ 473 10 21 0.323 FALSE 3 125 2 105 1 130
27-Jun-11 SDP 479 16 27 0.372 FALSE 4 -135 4 -115 4 -140
27-Jun-11 STL @ 497 20 20 0.500 FALSE 6 125 5 -125 9 -131
27-Jun-11 BAL 494 22 19 0.537 FALSE 2 -135 1 115 6 121
27-Jun-11 MIL @ 509 15 24 0.385 FALSE 2 120 2 135 0 170
27-Jun-11 NYY 527 25 18 0.581 FALSE 12 -130 5 -145 5 -180
27-Jun-11 PIT @ 500 20 18 0.526 FALSE 7 115 1 175 6 140
27-Jun-11 TOR 504 17 18 0.486 FALSE 6 -125 2 -185 2 -150
27-Jun-11 FLA @ 494 18 20 0.474 FALSE 0 160 3 105 5 145
27-Jun-11 OAK 488 19 16 0.543 FALSE 1 -170 0 -115 4 -155
27-Jun-11 BOS @ 530 23 16 0.590 FALSE 0 115 1 -102 5 115
27-Jun-11 PHI 530 30 13 0.698 FALSE 5 -125 2 -108 2 -125
27-Jun-11 TEX @ 507 18 22 0.450 FALSE 7 -150 3 -132 0 -108
27-Jun-11 HOU 458 13 28 0.317 FALSE 3 140 2 122 7 -102
27-Jun-11 CWS @ 497 19 21 0.475 FALSE 2 115 3 140 6 -105
27-Jun-11 COL 499 19 19 0.500 FALSE 3 -125 2 -150 4 -105
© Copyright 2010 by Robert Bies All Rights Reserved Worldwide www.Guide-to-Baseball-Betting.com Page 62
The following table shows the profit results of the system for June 2011. To see the results for the full season, visit http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/2011System5.html
Date Pick Opp Odds Bet To Win Result $ 5,000 W L Units
6/2/11 CWS A DET -135 6 4 $ 135 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,100 1 0 1.00
6/6/11 BAL A OAK -105 4 2 $ 105 $ 100 $ 100 $ 5,200 1 0 1.00
6/13/11 DET A CLE -175 4 0 $ 88 $ 50 $ 50 $ 5,250 1 0 0.50
6/13/11 DET A CLE 105 4 0 $ 48 $ 50 $ 50 $ 5,300 0 0.50
3 0 3.00
100% 3
10. CONCLUSION
The recommended wager size is only offered here as a guide. If your personal risk profile is such that you are not prepared to bet 2% to 5% of your bankroll on any one baseball game, bet a smaller amount.
I wish you good fortune in your successful implementation of the baseball betting systems.
If you don’t have 30 to 45 minutes a day to make the picks yourself, sign up for one of the three picks packages below. The picks run from May through September (five months).
For your convenience, we are offering you three packages to choose from: Best value is the “Early Bird Special.” If you purchase the Regular Season Package before the end of February, Bob will give you Two FREE Months. The Early Bird Special is US $149.85. Regular Season Package includes all FIVE powerful baseball systems found in this Guide, and runs from May through September (does not include the playoffs). If you purchase the Regular Season after February, Bob will give you One FREE Month of Picks. The Regular Season Package is Only US $199.80.
Monthly Package is 30 days of Bob’s Picks anytime after the end of April. The Monthly Package includes everything in the Regular Season Package. The only
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difference is that it runs for 30 days (not the full MLB Season). The Monthly Package is US $49.95.
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Best of luck,
Robert Bies