frank h. koch, jr

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Frank H. Koch, Jr. – Page 1 of 24 Frank H. Koch, Jr. 3041 Cornwallis Road Research Triangle Park, NC 27709 Ph: (919) 549-4006 [email protected] EDUCATION Ph.D. in Forestry, Minor in Environmental Remote Sensing and Image Analysis, December 2005, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC M.S. in Natural Resources, Technical Concentration in Spatial Information Systems, May 2001, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC B.A. in Visual Art and Philosophy, May 1993, Duke University, Durham, NC RESEARCH EXPERIENCE U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station (Research Triangle Park, NC) Research Ecologist, Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center (RWU-4854), July 2011-present North Carolina State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources (Raleigh, NC) Adjunct Associate Professor, March 2012-present Research Assistant Professor, December 2007-July 2011 Research Associate, January 2005-December 2007 Graduate Research Assistant, August 1999-December 2004 PUBLICATIONS Journal Articles: Prestemon, J.P.; Abt, K.L.; Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H. In press. An economic assessment of mountain pine beetle timber salvage in the West. Western Journal of Applied Forestry. Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; Downing, M.; Sapio, F.; Siltanen, M. In press. A new multicriteria risk mapping approach based on a multiattribute frontier concept. Risk Analysis.

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Page 1: Frank H. Koch, Jr

Frank H. Koch, Jr. – Page 1 of 24

Frank H. Koch, Jr. 3041 Cornwallis Road

Research Triangle Park, NC 27709 Ph: (919) 549-4006

[email protected]

EDUCATION

• Ph.D. in Forestry, Minor in Environmental Remote Sensing and Image Analysis, December 2005, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

• M.S. in Natural Resources, Technical Concentration in Spatial Information Systems, May 2001, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

• B.A. in Visual Art and Philosophy, May 1993, Duke University, Durham, NC

RESEARCH EXPERIENCE

• U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station (Research Triangle Park, NC)

Research Ecologist, Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center (RWU-4854), July 2011-present

• North Carolina State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources (Raleigh, NC)

Adjunct Associate Professor, March 2012-present

Research Assistant Professor, December 2007-July 2011

Research Associate, January 2005-December 2007

Graduate Research Assistant, August 1999-December 2004

PUBLICATIONS

Journal Articles:

Prestemon, J.P.; Abt, K.L.; Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H. In press. An economic assessment of mountain pine beetle timber salvage in the West. Western Journal of Applied Forestry.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; Downing, M.; Sapio, F.; Siltanen, M. In press. A new multicriteria risk mapping approach based on a multiattribute frontier concept. Risk Analysis.

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Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Haack, R.A. 2013. Representing uncertainty in a spatial invasion model that incorporates human-mediated dispersal. NeoBiota 18: 173-191.

Kriticos, D.J.; Venette, R.C.; Koch, F.H.; Rafoss, T.; van der Werf, W.; Worner, S.P. 2013. Invasive alien species in the food chain: Advancing risk assessment models to address climate change, economics and uncertainty. NeoBiota 18: 1-7.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.J.; Haack, R.A.; Siltanen, M.; Wilson, K. 2013. Quantifying uncertainty in pest risk maps and assessments: adopting a risk-averse decision maker’s perspective. NeoBiota 18: 193-218.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2013. Mapping ecological risks with a portfolio-based technique: incorporating uncertainty and decision-making preferences. Diversity and Distributions 19: 567-579.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.J.; Siltanen, M.; Wilson, K.; Koehler, K. 2013. Exploring critical uncertainties in pathway assessments of human-assisted introductions of alien forest species in Canada. Journal of Environmental Management 129: 173-182.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Smith, W.D. 2012. Dispersal of invasive forest insects via recreational firewood: a quantitative analysis. Journal of Economic Entomology 105(2): 438-450.

Costanza, J.K.; Hulcr, J.; Koch, F.H.; Earnhardt, T.; McKerrow, A.J.; Dunn, R.R.; Collazo, J.A. 2012. Simulating the effects of the southern pine beetle on regional forest dynamics 60 years into the future. Ecological Modelling 244: 93-103.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2012. Trade-associated pathways of alien forest insect entries in Canada. Biological Invasions 14: 797-812.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Lyons, D.B.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2012. A dominance-based approach to map risks of ecological invasions in the presence of severe uncertainty. Diversity and Distributions 18: 33-46.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Magarey, R.D.; Smith, W.D. 2011. Potential establishment of alien-invasive forest insect species in the United States: where and how many? Biological Invasions 13: 969-985.

Duehl, A.J.; Koch, F.H.; Hain, F.P. 2011. Southern pine beetle regional outbreaks modeled on landscape, climate, and infestation history. Forest Ecology and Management 261: 473-479.

Magarey, R.D.; Borchert, D.M.; Engle, J.S.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2011. Risk maps for targeting exotic plant pest detection programs in the United States. Bulletin OEPP / EPPO Bulletin 41: 46-56.

Venette, R.C.; Kriticos, D.J.; Magarey, R.; Koch, F.H.; Baker, R.H.A.; Worner, S.; Gómez, N.N.; McKenney, D.; Dobesberger, E.J.; Yemshanov, D.; De Barro, P.; Hutchison, W.D.; Fowler, G.; Kalaris, T.; Pedlar, J. 2010. Pest risk maps for invasive alien species: a roadmap for improvement. BioScience 60(5): 349-362.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; Smith, W.D. 2010. Detection capacity, information

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gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive forest pests. Journal of Environmental Management 91: 2535-2546.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; Smith, W.D. 2010. Robustness of risk maps and survey networks to knowledge gaps about a new invasive pest. Risk Analysis 30(2): 261-276.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; McKenney, D.W; Smith, W.D. 2009. Evaluating critical uncertainty thresholds in a spatial model of forest pest invasion risk. Risk Analysis 29(9): 1227-1241.

Yemshanov, D.; McKenney, D.W.; Pedlar, J.H.; Koch, F.H.; Cook, D. 2009. Towards an integrated approach to modelling the risks and impacts of invasive forest species. Environmental Reviews 17: 163-178.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. 2009. Mapping invasive species risks with stochastic models: a cross-border US-Canada application for Sirex noctilio Fabricius. Risk Analysis 29(6): 868-884.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2008. Spatio-temporal analysis of Xyleborus glabratus (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Scolytinae) invasion in eastern U.S. forests. Environmental Entomology 37(2): 442-452.

Coulston, J.W.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Sapio, F.J. 2008. Invasive forest pest surveillance: survey development and reliability. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 38: 2422-2433.

McShea, W.J.; Healy, W.M.; Devers, P.; Fearer, T.; Koch, F.H.; Stauffer, D.; Waldon, J. 2007. Forestry matters: the current decline of oaks will impact wildlife in hardwood forests. Journal of Wildlife Management 71(5): 1717-1728.

Koch, F.H.; Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2006. Landscape-scale prediction of hemlock woolly adelgid, Adelges tsugae (Homoptera: Adelgidae), infestation in the southern Appalachian Mountains. Environmental Entomology 35(5): 1313-1323.

Favreau, J.M.; Drew, C.A.; Hess, G.R.; Eschelbach, K.A.; Koch, F.H.; Rubino, M.J. 2006. Recommendations for assessing the effectiveness of surrogate species approaches. Biodiversity and Conservation 15: 3949-3969.

Hess, G.R.; Koch, F.H.; Rubino, M.J.; Eschelbach, K.A.; Drew, C.A.; Favreau, J.M. 2006. Comparing potential effectiveness of conservation planning approaches in central North Carolina, USA. Biological Conservation 128(3): 358-368.

Books, Book Chapters, Reports, Proceedings, and Other Documents:

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Coulston, J.W.; Smith, W.D. In press. Mapping risks and impacts of invasive species with simulation models. Chapter in Walshe, T.; Burgman, M. (Eds.) Methods for Invasive Species Risk Analysis and Management. Columbia University Press, New York, NY.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Coulston, J.W. In press. Drought patterns in the conterminous United States and Hawaii. Chapter 4 in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring

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2012 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-xxx. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Coulston, J.W. In press. Recent drought conditions in the conterminous United States. Chapter 4 in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2011 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-xxx. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Coulston, J.W. 2013. An improved method for standardized mapping of drought conditions. Chapter 6 (pp. 67-83) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2010 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-176. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Khorram, S.; Koch, F.H.; van der Wiele, C.F.; Nelson, S.A.C. 2012. Remote Sensing. Pelton, J.N. (Series Ed.) SpringerBriefs in Space Development. Springer US, Boston, MA.

Koch, F.H.; Coulston, J.W.; Smith, W.D. 2012. Mapping drought conditions using multi-year windows. Chapter 10 (pp. 163-179) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2009 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-167. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2012. A revised sudden oak death risk map to facilitate national surveys. Chapter 7 (pp. 109-136) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2009 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-167. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Coulston, J.W.; Smith, W.D. 2012. High-resolution mapping of drought conditions. Chapter 4 (pp. 45-62) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2008 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-158. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Hennon, P.E. 2012. Drought and climate. Chapter 16 (pp. 101-107) in Bechtold, W.A.; Bohne, M.; Conkling, B.L.; Freidman, D.L.; Tkacz, B. (eds.) A Synthesis of Evaluation Monitoring Projects Sponsored by the Forest Health Monitoring Program (1998-2007). Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-159. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Magarey, R.D.; Fowler, G.A.; Smith, W.D. 2012. Risk mapping of Phythophthora kernoviae, a potential new forest health threat. Chapter 8 (pp. 97-118) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2008 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-158. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2012. Emerging forest pest threat: redbay ambrosia beetle and laurel wilt. Chapter 7 (pp. 117-142) in Conkling, B.L. (ed.) Forest Health Monitoring 2007 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-147. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Smith, W.D. 2012. Evaluating the forest pest invasion potential of trade-related and recreational transportation pathways.

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pp. 387-403 in Proceedings of the 2011 International Conference on Ecology and Transportation, August 21-25, 2011, Seattle, WA. Raleigh, NC: Center for Transportation Research and the Environment, NC State University. Available from: http://www.icoet.net/ICOET_2011/proceedings.asp

McKelvey, S.C.; Smith, W.D.; Koch, F.H. 2012. Probabilistic commodity-flow-based focusing of monitoring activities to facilitate early detection of Phytophthora ramorum outbreaks. Chapter 7 (pp. 225-231) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2009 national technical report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-167. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H. 2012. Hot spots of insect and disease activity in the conterminous United States and Alaska, 2006. Chapter 5 (pp. 63-72) in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2008 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-158. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koehler, K. 2012. Invasive alien species introductions with international trade and domestic transportation: identifying primary vectors and cross-border pathways in North America. pp. 367-375 in Proceedings of the 2011 International Conference on Ecology and Transportation, August 21-25, 2011, Seattle, WA. Raleigh, NC: Center for Transportation Research and the Environment, NC State University. Available from: http://www.icoet.net/ICOET_2011/proceedings.asp

Downing, M.C.; Borchert, D.M.; Koch, F.H.; Sapio, F.J.; Smith, W.D.; Haack, R.A.; Magarey, R.D. 2011. National risk map products and documentation for European oak borer (Agrilus sulcicollis). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilussulcicollis_riskmaps.shtml

Koch, F.H.; Coulston, J.W. 2010. Modeling current climate conditions for forest pest risk assessment. pp. 609-620 in Pye, J.M.; Rauscher, H.M.; Sands, Y.; Lee, D.C.; Beatty, J.S. (eds.) Advances in Threat Assessment and their Application to Forest and Rangeland Management. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-802. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest & Southern Research Stations. Also in the Encyclopedia of Forest Threats: http://www.forestencyclopedia.net/p/p3402

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2010. Representing human-mediated pathways in forest pest risk mapping. pp. 421-443 in Pye, J.M.; Rauscher, H.M.; Sands, Y.; Lee, D.C.; Beatty, J.S. (eds.) Advances in Threat Assessment and their Application to Forest and Rangeland Management. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-802. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest & Southern Research Stations. Also in the Encyclopedia of Forest Threats: http://www.forestencyclopedia.net/p/p3021

Downing, M.C.; Borchert, D.M.; Koch, F.H.; Krist, F.J.; Sapio, F.J.; Smith, W.D.; Haack, R.A.; Magarey, R.D. 2010. National risk map products and documentation for oak splendor beetle (Agrilus bigutattus). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilusbiguttatus_riskmaps.shtml

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Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2010. Predicting climate change extirpation risk for central and southern Appalachian forest tree species. pp. 179-189 in Rentch, J. ; Schuler, T.M. (eds.) Proceedings from the Conference on Ecology and Management of High-Elevation Forests of the Central and Southern Appalachian Mountains, Snowshoe, West Virginia, May 14-15, 2009. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-64. Morgantown, West Virginia: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station.

Koch, F.H. 2009. Relating lightning data to fire occurrence data. Chapter 3 (pp. 15-25) in Ambrose, M.J.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2006 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-117. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Koch, F.H. 2009. Marine cargo imports and forest pest introductions. Chapter 7 (pp. 53-64) in Ambrose, M.J.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2006 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-117. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station.

Coulston, J.W.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Sapio, F.J. 2009. Developing survey grids to substantiate freedom from exotic pests. pp. 91-97 in McRoberts, R.E.; Reams, G.A.; Van Deusen, P.C.; McWilliams, W.H. (eds.) Proceedings of the Eighth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium, October 16-19, 2006, Monterey, CA. Gen. Tech. Report WO-79. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service.

Downing, M.C.; Borchert, D.M.; Koch, F.H.; Krist, F.J.; Sapio, F.J.; Seybold, S.J.; Smith, W.D.; Tkacz, B.M.; Venette, R.C. 2009. National risk map products and documentation for Mediterranean pine engraver (Orthotomicus erosus). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_orthotomicuserosus_riskmaps.shtml

Downing, M.C.; Koch, F.H.; Krist, F.J.; Sapio, F.J.; Smith, W.D. 2009. National and regional risk map products and documentation for Asian longhorned beetle (Anoplophora glabripennis). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_anoplophoraglabripennis_riskmaps.shtml

Downing, M.C.; Coleman, T.C.; Koch, F.H.; Seybold, S.J.; Smith, S.; Smith, W.D.; Venette, R.C. 2009. Wildland oak resources at risk map for gold-spotted oak borer (Agrilus coxalis). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agriluscoxalis_riskmaps.shtml

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2008. Mapping sudden oak death risk nationally using host, climate, and pathways data. pp. 279-287 in Frankel, S.J.; Kliejunas, J.T.; Palmieri, K.M. (tech. coords.) Proceedings of the Sudden Oak Death Third Science Symposium, March 5-9, 2007, Santa Rosa, CA. Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-214.

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Benson, M.; Ivors, K.; Koch, F.; Fichtner, E.; Garbelotto, M.; Rizzo, D.; Tjosvold, S.; Hansen, E.; Parke, J.; Hong, C.; Chastagner, G.; Jeffers, S.; Woodward-Williams, J.; Kim, S.H.; Britton, K.; DeNitto, G.; Frankel, S.; Micales, J.; Grunwald, N.; Martin, F.; Shishkoff, N.; Smith, K.; Tooley, P.; Widmer, T.; Bulluck, R.; Burnett, G.; Ferguson, L.; Fowler, G.; Garrett, L.; Jones, J.; Magarey, R.; Randall-Schadel, B.; Cardwell, K.; Draper, M.; Chand-Goyal, T. 2008. Recovery plan for Phytophthora kernoviae, cause of bleeding trunk cankers, leaf blight and stem dieback in trees and shrubs. U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Plant Disease Recovery Plan (NPDRS) disease-specific document. (Final version published Nov. 2008.)

McKelvey, S.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2008. Predicting movement of nursery hosts using a linear network model. pp. 249-256 in Frankel, S.J.; Kliejunas, J.T.; Palmieri, K.M. (tech. coords.) Frankel, S.J.; Kliejunas, J.T.; Palmieri, K.M. (tech. coords.) Proceedings of the Sudden Oak Death Third Science Symposium, March 5-9, 2007, Santa Rosa, CA. Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-214.

Downing, M.C.; Borchert, D.M.; Britton, K.; Koch, F.H.; Krist, F.J.; Sapio, F.J.; Smith, W.D.; Tkacz, B.M.; Venette, R.C. 2007. National risk map products and documentation for Phytophthora disease of alders (Phytophthora alni). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_phytophthoraalni_riskmaps.shtml

Magarey, R.; Baker, R; Fowler, G.; Kalaris, T.; Koch, F.; Kriticos, D.; Pitt, J. 2007. Report from the APHIS-PPQ-CPHST Workshop on Pest Risk Mapping, June 5-7, 2007, Ft. Collins, CO. Raleigh, NC: US Department of Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, Plant Protection and Quarantine, Center for Plant Health Science and Technology.

Downing, M.C., Berisford, C.W.; Borchert, D.M.; Duerr, D.A.; Eager, T.; Haack, R.A.; Koch, F.H.; Krist, F.J.; Sapio, F.J.; Smith, W.D.; Tkacz, B.M. 2006. National risk map products and documentation for the European spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus). Ft. Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_ipstypographus_riskmaps.shtml

Downing, M.C., D.M. Borchert, D.A. Duerr, D.A. Haugen, F.H. Koch, F.J. Krist Jr., F.J. Sapio, W.D. Smith, and B.M. Tkacz. 2005. National risk map products and documentation for the sirex woodwasp (Sirex noctilio). USDA-FS Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_sirexnoctilio_riskmaps.shtml

Koch, F.H.; Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2005. Mapping hemlocks via tree-based classification of satellite imagery and environmental data. pp. 104-114 in Onken, B.; Reardon, R. (comp.) Proceedings of the Third Symposium on Hemlock Woolly Adelgid in the Eastern United States, February 1-3, 2005, Asheville, NC. FHTET-2005-01. Morgantown, WV: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team.

Koch, F.H.; Cheshire, H.M. 2004. An early warning system for hemlock woolly adelgid in the southern Appalachians. Proceedings of the American Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing Conference, May 2004, Denver, CO.

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Lundgren, J.; Podneisinski, G.; Sneddon, L.; Kalbach, S.; Drake, J.; Devine, H.; Koch, F.; Slocumb, B.; Gawler, S. 2002. Development of vegetation and digital image databases for Valley Forge National Historical Park. Final Technical Report, National Park Service, Northeast Region.

Koch, F.H. 2001. Digital vegetation mapping and image orthorectification methods for Valley Forge National Historical Park. Proceedings of the University Consortium for Geographic Information Science Summer Assembly, June 2001, Buffalo, NY.

PRESENTATIONS

Oral Presentations as Lead Author / Presenter:

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2013. Modeling alien forest insect invasions: Can we adequately account for humans? 55th Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, New Orleans, LA, July 2013.

Koch, F.H.; Ambrose, M.J.; Yemshanov, D.; Wiseman, P.E. 2012. Modeling urban distributions of host trees for invasive forest pests. Entomological Society of America 60th Annual Meeting, Knoxville, TN, November 2012. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H.: Yemshanov, D. 2012. An analysis of invasive forest insect spread via recreational firewood. 18th Ornamental Workshop on Pests and Diseases, NC State University Department of Plant Pathology, Hendersonville, NC, September 2012. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2012. Recreational firewood transport and the spread of forest pests. USDA Forest Service Interface South, Changing Roles Webinar Series, August 2012. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Haack, R.A. 2012. Representing uncertainty in a spatial model incorporating human-mediated dispersal. 6th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Tromsø, Norway, July 2012. (Invited talk; travel sponsored by OECD Co-operative Research Programme on Biological Resource Management for Sustainable Agricultural Systems)

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Haack, R.A.; Smith, W.D. 2012. Quantitative analysis of forest insect spread via recreational firewood transport. NC State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources Seminar Series, Raleigh, NC, March 2012. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Smith, W.D. 2011. A probabilistic pathway model of forest insect dispersal via recreational firewood transport. 59th Annual Meeting of the Entomological Society of America, Reno, NV, November 2011.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Smith, W.D. 2011. Evaluating the forest pest invasion potential of trade-related and recreational transportation pathways. 2011 International Conference on Ecology and Transportation: Sustainability in Motion, Seattle, WA, August 2011.

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Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D. 2011. Probabilistic pathway modeling of forest pest dispersal via recreational firewood transport. 5th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Ft. Collins, CO, August 2011.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Smith, W.D. 2010. Assessing risk of human-assisted spread of invasive forest insects with firewood transport. 58th Annual Meeting of the Entomological Society of America, San Diego, CA, December 2010.

Koch, F.H. 2010. Spatial risk modelling for invasive forest pests. Presentation to Duke University Master of Environmental Management and Master of Forestry students, Research Triangle Park, NC, November 2010.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Smith, W.D. 2010. Assessing risk of human-assisted spread of invasive forest pests with firewood transport. 4th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Port Douglas, Australia, August 2010.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2010. Modeling alien forest pest invasion risk at broad scales: concepts and research challenges. 53rd Annual Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, Wilmington, NC, July 2010. (Invited plenary talk)

Koch, F.H.; Krist, F.; Sapio, F.; Yemshanov, D. 2010. Strategies for characterizing uncertainty in the National Insect and Disease Risk Map. 53rd Annual Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, Wilmington, NC, July 2010.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Magarey, R. 2010. Pathways-based risk mapping and quantitative modeling for alien invasive plant pests in the US. NAPPO Pathway Risk Analysis Symposium and Workshop, Raleigh, NC, May 2010. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H. 2010. Risk mapping science and technology: new developments. USDA-FS Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team Technical Committee Meeting, Loveland, CO, May 2010.

Koch, F.H. 2009. Research challenges and opportunities in forest pest risk analysis. NC State University, Department of Forest and Environmental Resources Graduate Research Symposium, Raleigh, NC, August 2009. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Magarey, R.D. 2009. Assessing local introduction potential for alien-invasive forest insects based on International trade patterns. Third Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Pescadero, CA, August 2009.

Koch, F.H; Borchert, D.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Engle, J.; Fowler, G.; Magarey, R.; Margosian, M.; Takeuchi, Y.; Yemshanov, D. 2009. Pathways mapping: freight transport / commodity allocation for invasive pests. Third Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Pescadero, CA, August 2009.

Koch, F.H; Yemshanov, D. 2009. Research to improve risk mapping of forest pests and diseases. Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center (EFETAC) Review Panel, Atlanta, GA, July 2009. (Invited talk – presented from Raleigh, NC via video conference)

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Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; McKenney, D.W. 2009. Evaluating critical uncertainty thresholds in a spatial model of forest pest invasion risk. IUFRO International Forest Biosecurity Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand, March 2009.

Koch, F.H.; Coulston, J.W.; Smith, W.D.; Sapio, F.J. 2009. Developing surveys with known reliability for recently discovered forest pests. IUFRO International Forest Biosecurity Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand, March 2009.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; McKenney, D.W. 2008. An integrated framework for mapping forest pest invasion risk and associated uncertainties. NC State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources Seminar Series, Raleigh, NC, November 2008. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; McKenney, D.W. 2008. Evaluating critical uncertainty thresholds in a spatial model of pest invasion risk. Second Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Bloomington, MN, September 2008.

Koch, F.H.; Tuffly, M.; Krist, F.; Downing, M.; Sapio, F.; Borchert, D.; Venette, R.; Seybold, S.; Smith, B.; Tkacz, B. ; Smith, S. 2008. Orthotomicus erosus potential susceptibility mapping. Second Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workshop, Bloomington, MN, September 2008.

Koch, F.H. 2008. Forest pest risk modeling from a US Forest Service perspective. Invited seminar for the Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada, February 2008.

Koch, F.H. 2007. National-scale risk mapping and modeling for invasive forest pests. Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center (EFETAC)/Western Wildlands Environmental Threat Assessment Center (WWETAC) Joint Retreat, Pawley’s Island, SC, September 2007.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2007. Revision of the USDA Forest Service national sudden oak death risk map: improved procedures for data mining, risk mapping, and modeling. Third Sudden Oak Death Science Symposium, Santa Rosa, CA, March 2007.

Koch, F.H. 2006. Potential impacts of nonindigenous insects and pathogens on eastern oak forests. Special Session: Sustainability of Eastern Oak Forest Ecosystems, 60th Annual Southeastern Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies Conference, Norfolk, VA, November 2006.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2006. Representing human-mediated pathways in forest pest risk mapping. Conference on Advances in Threat Assessment and Their Application to Forest and Rangeland Management, Boulder, CO, July 2006.

Koch, F.H.; Coulston, J.W. 2006. Modeling current climate conditions for forest pest risk assessment. Conference on Advances in Threat Assessment and Their Application to Forest and Rangeland Management, Boulder, CO, July 2006.

Koch, F.H. 2006. Exotic pests threatening the forests of the eastern U.S. Seminar for the Triangle Chapter of the Society of American Foresters, Carrboro, NC, May 2006. (Invited talk)

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Koch, F.H.; Devine, H.A. 2005. Spatial approaches to forest pest management using geographic information science. NC State University Department of Entomology Seminar, Raleigh, NC, November 2005. (Joint presentation; invited talk)

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2005. A refined approach for examining Phytophthora ramorum risk in the eastern U.S. Sudden Oak Death Modelers Meeting, Asheville, NC, November 2005.

Koch, F.H., Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2005. Landscape factors affecting dispersal of hemlock woolly adelgid. 49th Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, Austin, TX, July 2005. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H., Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2005. Combating the hemlock woolly adelgid (HWA) in the southern Appalachians. Presentation to Dr. Norman Borlaug, Nobel laureate, on behalf of the Department of Forestry & Environmental Resources, Raleigh, NC, April 2005. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H., Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2004. Confronting the hemlock woolly adelgid problem in the southern Appalachians. North Carolina State University Graduate School Board of Advisors Meeting, Raleigh, NC, November 2004. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H., Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A.; Hain, F.P.; Hess, G.R. 2004. An early warning system for hemlock woolly adelgid in the southern Appalachians. Earth Science Information Partners Federation Summer Conference, Asheville, NC, August 2004. (Invited talk)

Koch, F.H., Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A.; Hain, F.P.; Hess, G.R. 2004. An early warning system for hemlock woolly adelgid in the southern Appalachians. American Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing Conference, Denver, CO, May 2004.

Millinor, W.D; Koch, F.H. 2003. Vegetation mapping for national parks using softcopy photogrammetry. North Carolina GIS Conference, Winston-Salem, NC, February 2003. (Joint presentation)

Koch, F.H. 2002. Digital elevation technologies: LIDAR, IFSAR, and other acronyms explained. NC State University Center for Earth Observation Seminar, Raleigh, NC.

Cheshire, H.M.; Koch, F.H.; Rosenfeld, B.J.; Smith, M. 2002. Use of softcopy photogrammetry to determine forest fire fuel loads. NC State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources Seminar, Raleigh, NC. (Joint presentation)

Co-Authored Oral Presentations:

(Talk given by first author unless otherwise specified)

Coyle, D.R.; Nowak, J.T.; Klepzig, K.D.; Otrosina, W.J.; Smith, W.D.; Koch, F.H.; Morris, L.M.; Gandhi, K.J.K. 2013. Dieback of southern pines: etiology and management recommendations. 55th Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, New Orleans, LA, July 2013.

Ambrose, M.J.; Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Wiseman, P.E. 2013. Modeling urban distributions of key host tree species for invasive forest pests. 2013 World Conference on Natural Resource Modeling, Ithaca, NY, June 2013.

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Potter, K.M.; Woodall, C.W.; Koch, F.H. 2013. Phylogenetic community structure of forests across the conterminous United States: patterns and forest health implications. 9th North American Forest Ecology Workshop, Bloomington, IN, June 2013.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Haack, R.A.; Lyons, D.B.; Wilson, K.; Koehler, K. 2013. Preliminary assessment of EAB arrival risks with camper travel and movement of firewood to state and provincial campground facilities. Webinar presentation facilitated by Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, May 2013.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Haack, B.; Lyons, B.; Wilson, K.; Koehler, K. 2013. Making tough decisions when little is known about an invasive threat: How to incorporate uncertainty and decision-making preferences into pest risk maps. 24th USDA Interagency Invasive Species Forum, Annapolis, MD, January 2013.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2012. Mapping ecological risks with a portfolio-based technique: incorporating uncertainty and decision-making preferences. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 2012.

Coyle, D.; Dean, J.; Morris, L.; Gandhi, K.; Nowak, J.; Koch, F.; Klepzig, K.; Otrosina, B.; Smith, B.; Bates, C.; Cameron, S. 2012. Abiotic and biotic factors influencing pine health in Georgia and Alabama. 54th Annual Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, Charlottesville, VA, July 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Haack, R.A.; Siltanen, M.; Wilson, K. 2012. Techniques for quantifying uncertainty in pest risk maps: adopting a risk-averse decision maker’s perspective. 6th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Tromsø, Norway, July 2012.

Hargrove, W.W.; Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H.; Hoffman, F.H. 2012. What are the margins that we should monitor? Dark (and bright!) corners of the environmental envelope. USDA Forest Service 2012 Forest Health Monitoring Workgroup Meeting, Tucson, AZ, April 2012.

Hargrove, W.W.; Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H.; Hoffman, F.H. 2012. Forest tree species range shifts under two alternative GCM/scenario climate change forecasts. Climate Adaptation in the Northwoods: Information, Tools, and Collaboration Workshop, Otsego, MN, March 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M. 2012. Assessing risks of invasive forest pests under severe uncertainty: novel modelling tools and approaches. NC State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources Seminar Series, Raleigh, NC, January 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M. 2012. Pathway analysis for invasive species and vector-borne organisms: novel modelling tools for better assessments of plant health risks. CFIA-CCS Vector Borne Pest and Diseases Science Symposium, Ottawa, Ontario, January 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Lyons, B.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2011. Assessing risk of invasive species under severe uncertainty: a dominance-based approach. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Charleston, SC, December 2011.

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Hargrove, W.W.; Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H.; Hoffman, F.H. 2011. Forest tree species range shifts under two alternative climate change forecasts. 21st Annual Southern Appalachian Man and the Biosphere Conference, Gatlinburg, TN, November 2011.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koehler, K. 2011. Invasive alien species introduction with international trade and domestic transportation: identifying primary vectors and cross-border pathways in North America. 2011 International Conference on Ecology and Transportation: Sustainability in Motion, Seattle, WA, August 2011.

Leinwand, I.; Withrow, J.; Downing, M.; Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2011. Modeling emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) detection from trap observation using MAXENT. 5th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Ft. Collins, CO, August 2011.

Withrow, J.; Leinwand, I.; Downing, M.; Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2011. Differing biases and detection likelihoods in the sampling of emerald ash borer. 5th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Ft. Collins, CO, August 2011.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Lyons, B.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2011. A dominance-based approach to assess risk of an invasive pest under severe uncertainty. 5th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Ft. Collins, CO, August 2011.

Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koch, F.H.; Haack, R.A.; Magarey, R.D. 2011. U.S. imports, trade regulations, and the emerald ash borer. 96th Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, Austin, TX, August 2011.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Lyons, B.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2011. Pathways and vectors of human-mediated spread of emerald ash borer in Canada. 96th Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, Austin, TX, August 2011.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Lyons, B. 2011. Playing roulette with ecological risk models: an overview of modelling approaches in plant health risk assessments. Canadian Food Inspection Agency Science Symposium, Ottawa, Ontario, February 2011.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Lyons, B.; Wilson, K.; Koehler, K. 2011. Playing roulette with ecological risk models: understanding risk and uncertainty in environmental decision making. Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre Seminar Series, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, February 2011.

Hargrove, W.W.; Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H.; Hoffmann, F.M. 2010. Global tree range shifts under forecasts from two alternative global climate models using two future scenarios. First Friday All Climate Change Talks (FFACTs) video conference, USDA Forest Service Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, December 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koehler, K. 2010. Modelling trade-associated pathways of alien forest insects establishments in Canada. Forest Pest Management Forum, Chateau Cartier, Gatineau, QC, Canada, December 2010.

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Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H.; Hipkins, V.D. 2010. Climate change, forest trees and genetic peril. Presentation to Duke University Master of Environmental Management and Master of Forestry students, Research Triangle Park, NC, November 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koehler, K. 2010. Modelling pathways of human-assisted introductions of forest invasive pests for plant health risk assessments: Approaches and data needs. Great Lakes Forestry Centre Emerald Ash Borer Science Workshop, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada, November 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koehler, K. 2010. Modelling pathways of human-assisted introductions of forest invasive pests for plant health risk assessments: Approaches and data needs. Great Lakes Forestry Centre E-Lecture Series, October 2010.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H.; Hipkins, V.D. 2010. Population-level assessment of climate change genetic risk in North American forest trees. Botany 2010 Conference, Providence, RI, August 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Colunga-Garcia, M.; Koehler, K. 2010. Modelling pathways of human-assisted introductions of forest invasive pests for plant health risk assessments: Approaches and data needs. Great Lakes Forestry Centre Seminar Series, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada, August 2010. ("Dry run" for E-Lecture Series)

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; Downing, M.; Sapio, F. 2010. A multi-criteria risk mapping approach based on the Pareto frontier principle– A simpler alternative to the multi-criteria weighted averaging technique? 4th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Port Douglas, Australia, August 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Kohler, K. 2010. Modelling trade-associated pathways of alien forest insects establishments in Canada. 4th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Port Douglas, Australia, August 2010.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H.; Crane, B.S. 2010. Climate change, forest trees, and genetic peril. Presentation to USDA Forest Service Washington Office policy analysis interns, Raleigh, NC, July 2010.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H.; Crane, B.S. 2010. Forest trees, climate change and genetic peril: range modeling for North Carolina and beyond. North Carolina Climate Change Coordination Meeting, Raleigh, NC, June 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; SmIth, W.D. 2010. Robustness of risk maps and surveillance networks to the knowledge gaps about a new invasive threat. 41st Annual Symposium on Computational Statistics - Interface 2010, Seattle, WA, June 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Kohler, K. 2010. Modelling pathways of human-assisted pest introductions for plant health risk assessments: approaches and data needs. NAPPO Pathway Risk Analysis Symposium and Workshop, Raleigh, NC, May 2010. (Invited talk)

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Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2010. A spatially explicit assessment of climate change genetic risk to 200 forest tree species. USDA Forest Service Forest Genetic Research Management Climate Change Workshop, Corvallis, OR, March 2010.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2010. Do Southern hardwood forests have a future? 57th Annual Southern Hardwood Forest Research Group Meeting, Stoneville, MS, March 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; SmIth, W.D. 2010. Assessing the robustness of risk maps and survey networks to knowledge gaps about new invasive pests. Global Biosecurity 2010. Brisbane, Australia, February 28 - March 3 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; SmIth, W.D. 2010. Early detection, information gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive species. Global Biosecurity 2010. Brisbane, Australia, February 28 - March 3 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Early detection, information gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive species. International Pest Forum, Ottawa, ON, Canada, December 2009.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2009. North American Forest Trees, Climate Change and Genetic Peril: Range Modeling in Action. 19th Annual Southern Appalachian Man and the Biosphere Conference, Asheville, NC, November 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Invasive species, risk maps and tough decisions. Presentation deck prepared for the Canadian Forest Service / Canadian Food Inspection Agency Science-Policy Workshop, Marconi Centre, Ottawa, ON, Canada, November 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D.; McKenney, D.W. 2009. Human-assisted spread, information gaps and the design of robust regulatory policies for invasive species. Emerald Ash Borer Workshop, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada, November 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Early detection, information gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive species. Great Lakes Forestry Center Seminar Series, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada, October 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Early detection, information gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive species. Atlantic Forestry Centre Seminar Series, Fredericton, NB, Canada, October 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Assessing the robustness of risk maps and survey networks to knowledge gaps about new invasive pests. Third Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workshop, Pescadero, CA, August 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Early detection, information gaps and the design of surveillance programs for invasive species. Third Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Pescadero, CA, August 2009.

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Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2009. Assessing the potential genetic impacts of climate change to North American forest tree species. 30th Southern Tree Improvement Conference, Blacksburg, VA, May 31 - June 3 2009.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2009. Predicting climate change extirpation risk for central and southern Appalachian forest tree species. Conference on Ecology and Management of High-Elevation Forests of the Central and Southern Appalachian Mountains, Snowshoe, WV, May 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W. 2009. Robustness of pest risk maps and survey networks to knowledge gaps about a new invasive pest. IUFRO International Forest Biosecurity Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand, March 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W. 2009. Mapping risks of invasive species with stochastic models: a cross-border US-Canada application for Sirex noctilio Fabricius. IUFRO International Forest Biosecurity Conference, Rotorua, New Zealand, March 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. 2009. Mapping risks and uncertainties of invasive species with stochastic models: concepts and data needs. Seminar series presentation for the Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, NC, March 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Assessing the robustness of pest risk maps and survey networks to knowledge gaps: recent approaches and policy needs. Invited presentation at USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, Plant Protection and Quarantine Section. Raleigh, NC, March 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Evaluating critical uncertainty thresholds in pest risk maps: Recent approaches and policy needs. Seminar presentation for the Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Ottawa, ON, Canada, February 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. 2008. Knowns and unknowns about alien species invasions: How can maps and models deal with uncertainty? Great Lakes Forestry Centre Seminar Series, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, Canada, December 2008.

Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H. 2008. From genes to ecosystems: measuring evolutionary diversity and community structure with FIA data. 9th USDA-FS Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium, Park City, UT, October 2008.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. 2008. Mapping invasive species risks with stochastic models: concepts and data needs. Second Annual Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Bloomington, MN, September 2008.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. 2008. Spatial stochastic modeling to map introduction and spread risks for invasive species: Concepts and data needs. “Alien Invasive Species and International Trade”, Second Meeting of IUFRO Working Unit 7.03.12, Shepherdstown, WV, May 2008.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. 2008. Spatial stochastic modeling to map introduction and spread risks for invasive species: Concepts and data

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needs. Invited presentation to Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Ottawa, ON, Canada, May 2008.

McKelvey, S.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2007. Predicting movement of nursery hosts using a linear network model. Third Sudden Oak Death Science Symposium, Santa Rosa, CA, March 2007.

Coulston, J.W.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Sapio, F.J. 2006. Developing national-scale surveys for exotic pests: survey design, implementation, and future research. 8th USDA-FS Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium, Monterey, CA, October 2006.

Coulston, J.W.; Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2005. Spatial interpolation of high-frequency forest attributes. 7th USDA-FS Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium, Portland, ME, October 2005.

Hess, G.R.; Drew, C.A.; Eschelbach, K.A.; Favreau, J.M.; Koch, F.H.; Rubino, M.J. 2004. Crayons, Focal Species, & Inventories: Evaluating Conservation Planning Tools in North Carolina, USA. World Wildlife Fund, Conservation Sciences Program, Washington, DC, June 2004.

Hess, G.R.; Drew, C.A.; Eschelbach, K.A.; Favreau, J.M.; Koch, F.H.; Rubino, M.J. 2004. Crayons, Focal Species, & Inventories: Evaluating Conservation Planning Tools in North Carolina, USA. University of North Carolina Ecology Series Seminar, Chapel Hill, NC, April 2004.

Hess, G.R.; Drew, C.A.; Eschelbach, K.A.; Favreau, J.M.; Koch, F.H.; Rubino, M.J. 2003. Crayons, Focal Species, & Inventories: Evaluating Conservation Planning Tools in North Carolina, USA.

1) International Association for Landscape Ecology World Congress, Darwin, NT, Australia. 2) CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems Seminar Series, Canberra, ACT, Australia. 3) Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia. 4) CSIRO, Perth, WA, Australia.

Hess, G.R.; Drew, C.A.; Eschelbach, K.A.; Favreau, J.M.; Koch, F.H.; Rubino, M.J. 2003. Crayons, Focal Species, & Inventories: Evaluating Conservation Planning Tools in North Carolina, USA. Wildlife Society Meeting, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC. (Presentation by Drew)

Poster Presentations:

Koch, F.H.; Ambrose, M.J.; Yemshanov, D.; Wiseman, P.E. 2013. Estimating urban distributions of key host trees for invasive forest pests. 24th USDA Interagency Invasive Species Forum, Loews Annapolis Hotel, Annapolis, MD, January 2013.

Withrow, J.R.; Smith, E.L.; Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D. 2013. Preemptive quarantine: Where it is warranted? 24th USDA Interagency Invasive Species Forum, Loews Annapolis Hotel, Annapolis, MD, January 2013.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch F.H.; Ducey, M.J.; Haack, R.A.; Wilson, K.; Koehler, K. 2013. Assessing risks of invasive pest arrivals with recreational travel: Adopting a risk-averse decision-maker's perspective. 24th USDA Interagency Invasive Species Forum, Loews Annapolis Hotel, Annapolis, MD, January 2013.

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Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Haack, R.A.; Siltanen, M.; Wilson, K. 2012. Techniques for quantifying uncertainty in pest risk maps: adopting a risk-averse decision maker’s perspective. 6th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Tromsø, Norway, July 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Haack, R.A.; Siltanen, M.; Wilson, K. 2012. Assessing the risk of invasive pest introductions with recreational travel: adopting a risk-averse decision maker’s perspective. 6th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Tromsø, Norway, July 2012.

Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; Magarey, R.D.; Smith, W.D. 2012. A probabilistic pathway model of forest insect dispersal via recreational firewood transport. 23rd USDA Interagency Research Forum on Invasive Species, Annapolis, MD, January 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Koehler, K. 2012. Human-assisted spread of emerald ash borer via a road network: assessing pest risk with a portfolio valuation technique. 23rd USDA Interagency Research Forum on Invasive Species, Annapolis, MD, January 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Siltanen, M.; Koehler, K. 2011. Reverse pathway analysis: a new tool for rapid assessment of pest invasion risk. 23rd USDA Interagency Research Forum on Invasive Species, Annapolis, MD, January 2012.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ducey, M.; Siltanen, M.; Koehler, K. 2011. Reverse pathway analysis: a new tool for rapid assessment of pest invasion risk. 5th International Pest Risk Mapping Workgroup Meeting, Ft. Collins, CO, August 2011.

Arcaro, Z.E.; Hain, F.P.; Koch, F.H. 2010. An analysis of the influences of forest fragmentation on southern pine beetle (Dendoctronus frontalis Zimm). 58th Annual Meeting of the Entomological Society of America, San Diego, CA, December 2010.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2010. Population-level assessment of climate change genetic risk in North American forest trees. 20th Annual Southern Appalachian Man and the Biosphere Conference, Gatlinburg, TN, November 2010.

Arcaro, Z.E.; Hain, F.P.; Koch, F.H. 2010. An analysis of the influences of forest fragmentation on southern pine beetle. 53rd Annual Southern Forest Insect Work Conference, Wilmington, NC, July 2010.

Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. 2010. Assessing forest tree risk of genetic degradation from climate change. USDA-FS Forest Health Monitoring Annual Workgroup Meeting, Albuquerque, NM, January 2010.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; Ben-Haim, Y.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Pest risk maps, information gaps and the design of early warning programs for invasive species. Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD, December 2009.

Yemshanov, D.; Koch, F.H.; McKenney, D.W.; Downing, M.C.; Sapio, F.J. Mapping risks and uncertainties of alien invasive species with spatial stochastic models: concepts and case studies. NRCan Forest Pest Forum, Ottawa, ON, Canada, December 2008.

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Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2008. Spatio-temporal analysis of redbay ambrosia beetle invasion in the southeastern U.S. Forest Health Monitoring Annual Workgroup Meeting, San Antonio, TX, February 2008.

Potter, K.M.; Koch, F.H. 2008. The evolutionary history of forest tree communities: a new tool for assessing forest health. Forest Health Monitoring Annual Workgroup Meeting, San Antonio, TX, February 2008.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D. 2008. Spatio-temporal analysis of redbay ambrosia beetle invasion in the southeastern U.S. USDA Interagency Research Forum on Invasive Species, Annapolis, MD, January 2008.

Koch, F.H.; Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2007. Spatial tools for managing hemlock woolly adelgid in the southern Appalachians. Forest Health Monitoring Annual Workgroup Meeting, San Diego, CA, January 2007.

Koch, F.H.; Cheshire, H.M.; Devine, H.A. 2005. Landscape-level prediction of hemlock woolly adelgid infestation in the southern Appalachians. 20th Annual Symposium of the U.S. Regional Chapter of the International Association for Landscape Ecology, Syracuse, NY, March 2005.

Koch, F.H. 2001. Digital vegetation mapping and image orthorectification methods for Valley Forge National Historical Park. University Consortium for Geographic Information Science Summer Assembly, Buffalo, NY, June 2001.

Koch, F.H. 2001. Creating a three-dimensional NC State campus using Stereo Analyst. North Carolina GIS Conference, Winston-Salem, NC, March 2001.

Koch, F.H. 2001. Digital vegetation mapping and image orthorectification methods for Valley Forge National Historical Park. North Carolina GIS Conference, Winston-Salem, NC, March 2001.

Workshop/ Panel Presentations:

Introduction to Teaching. New Graduate Student Orientation. Faculty Center for Teaching and Learning, NC State University, Raleigh, NC, November 2004.

Integrating Spatial Information Technologies into Natural Resources Curricula. Conference on University Education in Natural Resources, NC State University, Raleigh, NC, March 2002.

Image Processing and Photo Interpretation in a Digital Environment. Three-day workshop on ERDAS Imagine OrthoBASE and Stereo Analyst, NC State University, Raleigh, NC, December 2001.

PEER REVIEWS

For the Following Refereed Journals: Arboriculture and Urban Forestry, Biological Invasions, Bulletin of Entomological Research, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, Ecological Applications, Environmental Management, Florida Entomologist, Forest Ecology and

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Management, Forest Science, Journal of Environmental Management, Madroño, Landscape Ecology, Plant Ecology, PLoS ONE, Sensors

Conference Proceedings

• Third Sudden Oak Death Third Science Symposium. May 2007. (2 manuscripts)

• Conference on Advances in Threat Assessment and Their Application to Forest and Rangeland Management. September 2006. (1 manuscript)

• 20th Annual Symposium of the U.S. Regional Chapter of the International Association of Landscape Ecologists (US-IALE). December 2004. (18 abstracts)

Government Agency Reports/Assessments

• Comparative Risk Assessment for the 50 U.S. States. Center for Plant Health Science and Technology, USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS), Plant Protection and Quarantine. January 2012.

• Comparative Risk Analysis: Counties most at risk to exotic plant pests. Center for Plant Health Science and Technology, USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS), Plant Protection and Quarantine. January 2012.

• SID5 Research Project Final Report, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs, UK. March 2008.

Research Proposals

• USDA Agricultural and Food Research Initiative (AFRI), Plant Biosecurity Program. September 2009. (1 proposal)

• USDA-FS Pacific Southwest Research Station, Sudden Oak Death/Phytophthora ramorum Request for Proposals. April 2008. (1 proposal)

• USDA-FS Pacific Southwest Research Station, Sudden Oak Death/Phytophthora ramorum Request for Proposals. March 2006. (2 proposals)

TEACHING

North Carolina State University, Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources (Raleigh, NC)

• Instructor, Digital Photogrammetry (NR 595G), Spring 2003

As part of the University’s Preparing the Professoriate Program, developed and taught a graduate-level Natural Resources Special Topics course.

• Teaching Technician, Principles of Spatial Analysis (FOR 554), Fall 2002

As part of the Preparing the Professoriate Program, served as a technician in this graduate-level course that was a prerequisite for the Digital Photogrammetry course.

• Teaching Assistant, multiple courses, January 2000-2003.

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Part of faculty/student team integrating spatial information technologies into undergraduate natural resource management courses: Natural Resource Measurements (NR 300), Forest Management (FOR 405/406), Environmental Impact Assessment (NR 484).

• Guest Lecturer, multiple courses

1) Forest Entomology (ENT/FOR 402): Spring 2012; Spring 2013 2) Advanced Forest Entomology (ENT/FOR 765): Fall 2005; Spring 2008; Spring 2012 3) Principles of Spatial Analysis (FOR 554): Fall 2000; Fall 2001; Fall 2003 4) Introduction to GIS (NR 531): Fall 2006 5) Applications of GIS (NR 533): Fall 2000; Fall 2001; Fall 2003

Duke University Department of Art and Art History (Durham, NC)

• Teaching Assistant, Introduction to Sculpture (Art 056), January 1993-April 1994

GRANTS AND AGREEMENTS

Co-PI with B.L. Conkling, F.W. Cubbage, and K.M. Potter. 2010-2011. Forest Health Monitoring, Analysis, and Assessment. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #10-JV-11330146-064. $284,052.

Co-PI with B.L. Conking and F.W. Cubbage. 2010-2011. Statistical and Geospatial Analyses for Invasive Forest Pest Risk Assessment. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #10-JV-11330146-065. $60,000.

Co-PI with F.W. Cubbage and K.M. Potter. 2010-2011.Population-Level Assessment of Climate

Change Genetic Risk in North American Forest Trees. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #10-JV-11330146-049. $82,000.

Co-PI with B.L. Conkling, F.W. Cubbage, and K.M. Potter. 2009-2010. Forest Health Monitoring,

Assessment and Analysis. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #09-JV-11330146-087. $250,000.

Co-PI with B.L. Conking and F.W. Cubbage. 2009-2010. Geospatial and Statistical Analyses for Invasive Forest Pest Risk Assessment. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #09-JV-11330146-088. $50,000.

Co-PI with F.W. Cubbage and K.M. Potter. 2009-2010. Assessing Forest Tree Risk of Extinction

and Genetic Degradation from Climate Change. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Cooperative Agreement #09-CA-11330146-078. $30,000.

Co-PI with B.L. Conkling, F.W. Cubbage, and K.M. Potter. 2008-2010. Forest Health Monitoring

and Assessment. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #08-JV-11330146-078. $259,911.

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Co-PI with B.L. Conkling and F.W. Cubbage. 2008-2009. Statistical and spatial analyses for invasive forest pest risk assessment. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #08-JV-11330146-077. $40,000.

Co-PI with B.L. Conkling and F.W. Cubbage. 2007-2009. Statistical and spatial analyses for forest

pest risk assessment. USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Joint Research Venture Agreement #07-JV-11330146-135. $65,000.

HONORS/AWARDS

2010 Most Exciting Science Award, USDA-FS Forest Health Monitoring Annual Workgroup Meeting Poster Competition (for Potter, K.M.; Hargrove, W.W.; Koch, F.H. Assessing forest tree risk of genetic degradation from climate change.)

2009 Best Paper Award, Society for Risk Analysis (for Koch, F.H.; Yemshanov, D.; McKenney, D.W.; Smith, W.D. 2009. Evaluating critical uncertainty thresholds in a spatial model of forest pest invasion risk. Risk Analysis 29(9): 1227-1241.)

2006 U.S. Department of Agriculture Certificate of Appreciation (for forest health research)

2003 Forestry Faculty Fellowship for Excellence in Graduate Education (NC State University)

2002 Preparing the Professoriate Fellowship (NC State University)

2002 Phi Kappa Phi National Honor Society (NC State University)

2001 Third Place, University Consortium on Geographic Information Science (UCGIS) Summer Assembly Poster Competition (for Koch, F.H. Digital vegetation mapping and image orthorectification methods for Valley Forge National Historical Park.)

2001 Alumni Association Graduate Fellowship (NC State University)

2001 Xi Sigma Pi National Forestry Honor Society (NC State University)

1993 Graduate with Departmental Distinction in Art Design (Duke University)

1993 John R. Spencer Award in Design (outstanding senior in Art Design; Duke University)

1993 Edward H. Benenson Award in the Arts (grant for outstanding student projects; Duke University)

1993 Sudler Prize Finalist (for most outstanding student from all arts departments; Duke University)

1991 Golden Key National Honor Society (Duke University)

OTHER EDUCATION/TRAINING

2001 Graduate Certificate in Geographic Information Systems, North Carolina State University (Raleigh, NC)

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2006 Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Phase 3 Data Analysis Training, USDA Forest Service (Ogden, UT)

2009 Comparative Risk Assessment Framework and Tools (CRAFT) Workshop, USDA Forest Service (Raleigh, NC)

ADDITIONAL WORK EXPERIENCE

• Qualex, Inc. subsidiary of Eastman Kodak (Durham, NC)

Customer Support Technician, September 1996-June 1999

Provided telephone technical support for one-hour photofinishing machines in retail photo labs across U.S. Responsibilities included solving mechanical and software problems, diagnosing machine chemistry balances from computer values, and training employees in machine operations.

• Broadcast Music, Inc. (Nashville, TN)

Clearance Researcher/Specialist, June 1994-June 1996

Researched song title applications for radio and television licensing. Promoted to senior researcher specializing in major publisher accounts. Also wrote manual on editing and research procedures.

PROFESSIONAL SOCIETIES

• Entomological Society of America – 2006-present

• International Association of Landscape Ecologists (IALE) – 2004-present

Assistant Program Chair for the 20th US-IALE Symposium, March 2005, Syracuse, NY

• Society for Risk Analysis – 2010-present

ACTIVITIES

• Coordinator, NC State University Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources Weekly Seminar Series – Fall 2010-Spring 2011

• Associate Member of the Graduate Faculty, NC State University – 2008-present

Committee co-chair for one PhD student in Forestry (Yu Takeuchi)

Committee member for one MS student in Forestry (Xavier Jaime)

• Geographic Information Science (GIS) Faculty Committee, NC State University – 2008-present

• Search Committee Member for Research Assistant Professor position, NC State University Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources – 2006-2007

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• Natural Resources Organization of Graduate Students, NC State University – 1999-2005

President – 2002-2003

Vice President – 2001-2002

• Graduate Representative, College of Natural Resources Council, NC State University – 2002-2004

• College of Natural Resources Graduate Certificate in Research Administration Planning Committee – 2001

• Graduate Representative, College of Natural Resources Executive Committee – 2000-2001

• Future of Forests and Forestry Distinguished Lecture Series Organizing Committee – 2001-2004

• National Science Olympiad Event Coach, Raleigh Charter High School – 2001-2003