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Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28- 29/1/2002 Critical Assessment of available Radar Precipitation Estimation techniques and Development of Innovative approaches for Environmental Management

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C ritical A ssessment of available R adar P recipitation E stimation techniques and D evelopment of I nnovative approaches for E nvironmental M anagement. Founded in 1995 Main Tasks Environmental monitoring Control of pollutants in : air, ground and water - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Critical Assessment of available Radar Precipitation Estimation techniques and Development of Innovative approaches for Environmental Management

Page 2: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

• Founded in 1995

Main Tasks

Environmental monitoring

Control of pollutants in : air, ground and water

Technical support to National Health Service

Weather forecasts and supporting during critical episodes

Page 3: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Emilia Romagna Region

AUSL(National Health Service)

USERS

ANPA(National Environmental Agency)

European Environmental

Agency

Local Governments

Page 4: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

ARPA - Servizio Meteorologico ARPA - Servizio Meteorologico RegionaleRegionale

• Starting its activity in 1985 as an Office of ERSA (Regional Institute for Agricultural Development), since the beginning SMR focused on:

- Local scale (mesoscale )- Short range weather forecasts- Support to agriculture

• 1989 - Start of Numerical Weather Prediction (LAMBO)

• ‘90 - Implementation of C-Band Dual Polarisation Doppler Radar

• Middle of ‘90 - Increase and development of user support activity

- Operational assistance to Civil Protection Departments

• 1996 - Moving to ARPA (Regional Agency for Protection and Environment)

Page 5: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

W P 2E xtraction of in form ationfrom Dop p ler w in d s

W P 3Data Assim ilation

W P 4Assessm en t of NW P m od el u n certain ityin clu d in g m od els errors

W P 5Assessm et ofim p rovem en ts in NW P

ARE A 1S cien tific Rap p orteu rData Assim ilation &NW P im p rovem en ts

W P 6An om alou s p rop ag ation

W P 7Ad van ced su rface rad ar-b asedrain fall estim ate ap p ly in g NW P m od el d ata

W P 8Use of p olarim etric rad ar d atafor im p rove th e rad ar rain estim ate

ARE A 2S cien tific Rap p orteu r

Im p rovin g rad ar d erived p aram eter

W P 9Assessm en t of th e b ias in th e d ifferen t sou rcesof areal p recip itation estim ates

W P 10In corp oratin g g au g es an d rad ar rain fallin NW P for im p rovin g flood forecastin gin u rb an an d ru ral catch m en ts

ARE A 3S cien tific Rap p orteu r

F lood forecastin g

W P 11E n d -Users 's level of service req u irem en ts

W P 12P roject resu lts d issem in ation

W P 1Coord in ator

P roject Man ag em en t

Page 6: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

WP 1 - Project Management

Objective: To provide the necessary management throughout the project, to safeguard the objectives of the study, and optimise the co-operation between the participants.

Activities: The coordinator shall be the intermediary between partners and the Commission. He is responsible for transmitting to the Commission all documents. The coordinator shall transfer to the partners the funds paid by the Commission. (Annex II)

Page 7: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

WP 2 - Extraction of information from Doppler winds

• Dual/Multiple Doppler

• Extraction of profile information from Clear Air data

Page 8: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Page 9: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Page 10: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

WP 5 - ASSESSMENT OF IMPROVEMENTS IN WP 5 - ASSESSMENT OF IMPROVEMENTS IN NWPNWP

• Developing and testing of a Very Short Developing and testing of a Very Short Range Forecasting system (VSRF)Range Forecasting system (VSRF)

• Severe weather case studySevere weather case study

• Use of Satellite data (Use of Satellite data (Partner 8 - CNR ISAC ))

Page 11: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Developed at FSL/NOAA - Forecasting System Laboratory

Mesoscale analysis system

Exploitation of standard data (Synop, Metar, Temp)

Surface data (local mesoscale network)

Exploitation of unconventional data (Radar Z & V, Satellite, Profiler, aircraft report)

Use of LAM products as “background”

Local Analisys and Prediction SystemLocal Analisys and Prediction System

Page 12: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Albers, S.C,. 1995: The LAPS wind analysis. Wea.Forecasting, 10, 342-352

Page 13: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

06-10-1998 00:04 UTC

1.4°

4.1° 9.6°

1.4°

Page 14: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Re-mapping of radial wind radar data onto LAPS grid

Page 15: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

•Purpose: Updating forecasts for operational use

•Solution: Developing of a continuous assimilation system. Full exploitation of different types of available data

•Technical Implementation: Use of LAPS coupled with the actual LAM used (LAMBO).

•Future: Operational test with forecast updating every 6 hours. Use of non-hydrostatic model (LM).

Page 16: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

LAMBO 32 lev. Hourly data & BC

EC

MW

F

T0-Sup32

DA

TA

IN

PU

T

BC

Sup

21P

LAPS

LAMBOHR

T1-Sup32

Sup

21P

LAPS

LAMBO HR

BC

T6-Sup32

Sup

21P

LAPS

LAMBO HR

BC

+6/+18

Operational Chain

Page 17: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Page 18: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

Severe weather case studySevere weather case study – ARPA-SMR together with CNR-ISAC –Identification of severe weather cases. Analysis of cases identified. Studies of the impact of the remote sensing data on the analysed fields.

Test on MAP dataset.

Work done - Ingest Routine

Work in progress - use of LAPS on all IOPs to test the effect of different data (Mesonet, Profilers, dropsonde …)

Page 19: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

18/09 1600 UTC

LAMBO +28 LL3 +04

IR 1530 utc

IOP 2A IOP 2B17 18 19 20

LAMBO

LL3

Scattered convection over Emilia Romagna

and Veneto

Page 20: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002

WP 10 - Optimal use of radar, NWP and WP 10 - Optimal use of radar, NWP and raingauge data in precipitation forecasts for raingauge data in precipitation forecasts for improving flood forecasts in urban and rural improving flood forecasts in urban and rural catchmentscatchments

Objectives : To develop a robust methodology for the incorporating gauges and radar rainfall estimates in NWP forecasts in order to improve flood predictions in urban catchments.

Page 21: Founded in 1995  Main Tasks Environmental monitoring

Kickoff meeting - Herrsching (DE) 28-29/1/2002