FORECASTING THE FUTURE

BY:Christian Sango

Jonathan BautistaArturo EnsaladaJohnny Anuego

Jeffrey John Catacutan

Forecasting the Future MITOCHONDRIA ON PIAPI: An

Investigation on community’s Discernible Features

How we gathered the data? First, we come up with a plan and we

choose a certain barangay to be the focus of our study, and we’ve decided to study the population of Barangay 21-C

Second, we choose different tasks to perform such as the Data/Research analyst, Demographer, Statistician, Mathematician and Multi-Media Designer.

History of Barangay 21-C (Piapi Boulevard) Located along Barangay 31-C Boulevard, Davao

City Started as a squatters area in the late 1940’s and

early 50’s In 1981 their was an accident happened in which

all the houses were burned out. After that accident the government awarded the land to the residents.

Majority of its population are composed of small scale businessman.

Tabular Presentation of Population According to Age Group

Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Children 931 1011 1250 1517 1917 2197

Adolescence 1504 1605 1403 2114 2773 3993

Adult 378 411 517 699 794 891

Total 2813 3027 3170 4330 5484 7081

Graphical Presentation of Population According to Age Group

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008

Children

Adolescence

Adult

Tabular Presentation of Over-all Population

Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Total 2813 3027 3170 4330 5484 7081

Graphical presentation of the Overall Population

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Population3-D Column 23-D Column 3

Computations Solution: Formula

P2 = P1 ert

Average constant rate = 0.261725Time = 1 yearYear 2009

P2 = P1 ert = (7081) e 0.261725

= (7081) (1.29917) = 9199

Population Projection from 2009-2013

Year Population

2009 9199

2010 11951

2011 15526

2012 20171

2013 26206

Projective profile of the Population of Barangay 21-C from 2003-2013

Age Group 2003 2013

Children 931 9020

Adolescence 1504 13,389

Adult 378 3,797

Total 2,813 26,206

Projective profile of the Population from 2003 to 2013

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

2003 2013

ChildrenAdolescenceAdult

Tabular Presentation of the Top 5 Diseases in year 2003

Age Group Diarrhea Skin Diseases

Dengue Malnutri-

tion

Tubercu

losis

Children 49 53 0 11 0

Adolescence 31 39 1 2 0

Adult 13 7 0 0 39

Total 93 7 0 0 39

Projective profile on the Top 5 Diseases affecting the barangay

Diseases 2003 2013

Diarrhea 93 63

Skin Disease 104 44

Dengue 1 -1

Malnutrition 13 23

Tuberculosis 39 -12

Graphical Presentation of Projective profile on the Top 5 Diseases affecting the barangay

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2003 2013

DiarrheaSkin DiseasesDengueMalnutritionTuberculosis

Analysis & Interpretation of Data After thorough investigation and gathering of data we come

up with the following analysis and interpretation:1. There is a sudden increase in population from year 2003-

20082. There is a constant change in population of adolescence from

2003-2005.3. There is a decrease in population of adolescence between

the year 2004-2005. according to the residents the misunderstanding between the adolescent are very rampant and it results to riot and encounters that sometimes causes death.

Analysis & Interpretation of Data4. The number of adults of the said barangay

is too small compared to the adolescents, this only proves that the life span of the people on that area is short.

5. The great number of adolescence only proves that the labor force of that community is strong.

6. The disease like diarrhea and skin problems are very rampant at all ages.

Analysis & Interpretation of Data7. There are cases of malnutrition in children, there

is an increase of malnutrition cases and it’s growing until 2013.

8. The case of tuberculosis are only present in adults, this shows that TB occurs during adult ages and can be totally eliminated through the help of the Department of Health.

9. There is a decrease in number of cases of all diseases.

ConclusionFrom the result of computations, graphical and tabular presentation of data and analysis of it we conclude that:

1. The population grows exponentially.2. The rate of increase in population of

barangay 21-C is 0.261725.3. Mathematics help us to understand better

on how to compute the growth of population.

Conclusion

4. The increase in population is affected by factors such as time, diseases and change.

5. The increase in population affects the health of the community.

RecommendationsWe recommend the following as initial remedy to

the problems of barangay 21-C:FOR THE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS1. Must conduct seminar on population education

and inform that it has a big impact on the economy. Focusing on responsible parenthood and natural family planning.

2. Must do something like coming up with a program to help the problem such as health program.

Recommendations

FOR THE CITIZENS

1. They should cooperate with the program of the government.

2. Need to discipline themselves to have peaceful community.

3. A regular visit to health centers.

ReflectionWith the help of this project we develop our

self-confidence, patience and mathematical abilities. We also develop our analytical abilities and skill in multimedia designing.

Through this project we also determine the importance of statistics and mathematics in our daily lives. The gathering of data and by making a survey to a Barangay, our awareness in an urban community expanded.

ReflectionTeamwork is very important to each group

and without this we cannot develop our values to adjust to different situations. We need the cooperation of each member to make our project faster, easier and well-organized.

We learned also on how to deal with other peoples such as the officials and the people in health centers.

References

Population Resource Program, resource Book in Population Education, 1983 pp 97-100

McConnell, J,W. and others (1998). Algebra (Integrated Mathematics), The University of Chicago School of Mathematics Project, Scott, Foresman and Company, Glenview, illinois

Resource persons:

Mrs. Pacita Sevillano

Barangay Captain Odelon Yayo and officials

Barangay health Workers