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© 2016 IBM Corporation Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior. Bryson Koehler Vice President & Distinguished Engineer, IBM CIO & CTO, The Weather Company

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Page 1: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

© 2016 IBM Corporation

Forecasters of Feeling.Influencers of Behavior.

Bryson Koehler

Vice President & Distinguished Engineer, IBM

CIO & CTO, The Weather Company

Page 2: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

For businesses and governments, actionable insights are a powerful tool.

The Weather Company, an IBM Business 2

Page 3: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

When we don’t act…

Page 4: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior.

The Weather Company, an IBM Business 4

Page 5: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

100TB Daily - IoT & Weather Data

Over 530M Personal

Weather Station

reports each day

Over 9M webcam

uploads each day

Over 2M Crowd

Reports each month

Over 20M IoT

Barometric Pressure

Reports each day

Page 6: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

We gather rich data from aircrafts in real time…

Onboard

computers

measure

turbulence

objectively

Onboard

computers

send a message

to ground when

turbulence

threshold exceeded

Data is assimilated

into forecasts of

flight route hazards

Flight routes

projected to fly

through “hazardous”

airspace are

identified

Alerts sent to planes

scheduled to fly

through that space

to re-plan their route

Page 7: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

© 2016 IBM Corporation

7100TB a day, 800+ data sources and 345,000 API calls every second…

A data agnostic, 100% cloud-based platform for

Data Ingestion, Transformation, Storage,

Analytics, Insights, Triggering and Distribution.

Page 8: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Then, we

aggregate

151 forecast

model runs

Page 9: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

To create forecasts on demand:

- 2.2B precise locations

- Updated every 15 minutes

Page 10: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Translating Weather Forecasts into Business Outcomes

Page 11: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Insurance:Hail Alerts

Precise, hyper-local forecasts

Hail detected in next 30 minutes

Actionable Alerts

52%of potential claim costs avoided

Page 12: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Retail:Weather-based Advertising

Precise, hour-by-hour data by location

Correlate weather & retail sales data to determine sales effect

Weather-triggered, geo-located ads

24%increase in sales YoY

Page 13: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Retail:Supply & Demand Planning

Historical data to calculate impact

Risk profiles by region/store to evaluate Wx impact

Foot traffic – real-time and future

10%reduction in out-of-stock frequency

Page 14: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Aviation:Turbulence Alerts

Real-time observations from the aircraft

Translate obs into predicted areas of flight risk

Reroute planes to avoid severe flight hazards

50%reduction in crew injuries & maintenance inspections

Page 15: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Aviation:Airport Congestion

Precise forecasts of weather and flight capacity by airport

Predict capacity imbalance, taxi time, & runway config 12 hours in advance

Make decisions to raise or lower aircraft fuel load

$4.3Mestimated annual savings

in fuel and flight time

Page 16: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Energy & Utilities:Load Forecasts

Short-term, high resolution accuracy

Translate forecast into prediction of electricity demand

Source generation of energy to meet demand vs. procuring at higher cost

$3Mreduction in operating costs

in the imbalance markets

Page 17: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

Government:Emergency Management

15-day probabilistic forecasts

Understand impact –timing, location and significance

Better planning, positioning & logistical decisions

1 ½days of extra lead time

Page 18: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

If we do this right…

Page 19: Forecasters of Feeling. Influencers of Behavior.Live+Slides/Live+… · The Weather Company believes we could all benefit from data-driven insights that predict future behavior. The

www.weather.com/datafeeds

Come join the other 25,000 developers using Weather Data…

Thank You

@brysonkoehler