food system vulnerability and adaptation to global environmental change in greater faridpur region...

FOOD SYSTEM VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION TO GLOBAL

ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE IN GREATER FARIDPUR REGION IN BANGLADESH

AHSAN UDDIN AHMED

Executive Director, Centre for Global Change

Site description

Greater Faridpur Region

Representative area which exhibits the general flooding characteristics of areas found in Eastern Himalayan Region.

“Too much water” during monsoon.

Frequent flooding.

GECAFS IGP Briefing: Feb. 7, 2009

Site descriptionPopulation: Only 4.9% of

national totalFaridpur is relatively more

urbanized, having higher population density than the rest of the Districts

Population Distribution in Greater Faridpur Region (IGP-5)

28%

19%18%

19%

16%

Faridpur Gopalgonj Shariatpur

Madaripur Rajbari

Income information: Per capita income is somewhat lower in GFR than the rest of the country. [$480/cap ppp]

General information about poverty & malnutrition Percentage of population below poverty line National Rural UrbanNational 33.7 37.4 19.1Regional Avg. 32.0 41.7 12.0No updated District-wise data available

Per capita availability of food grains (kg) 205.2Head count poverty 1805 k. cal per person per day.Incidence of poverty 42 % (Head – count ratio) cost of Basic Needs Method, 2000


Site description (Contd.)

Percent of population involved in agriculture: Pop (‘000) Urban Rural

All Sector 44,322 10,723 (24.19%) 33,599 (75.81%)

Agriculture 21,246 (47.94%) 2,670 (12.57%) 18,576 (87.43%)

About 6% farms are located in Greater Faridpur Region.

Migration:However, field info suggests that there are seasonal migration to Munshiganj (to help potato growers) and to urban areas for easy employment; in addition, there are migration abroad in search of employment


Availability

A. Long-term production potential declining/questionable

B. Increasingly becoming dependent on international importA B

Land shrinking, degrading Gap between national

Susceptibility to hazards production & demand

Industrial and agrochemical pollution increasing

Input supply – uncertain future High population

AvailabilityAccess

Utilization

Food systems: Prioritized issuesGECAFS IGP Briefing: Feb. 7,

2009

AccessVery low affordability

High incidence of poverty

Low wage rates, high production cost

Intra-hh allocation in favour of males

Women receiving the worst, the least

Preference is largely undermined

Common hh’s diet is based on carbohydrate only!

Food systems: Prioritized issues


AvailabilityAccess

Utilization

Utilization

Nutritional value sacrificed

High value produce are sold to purchase rice

Food items not safe any more

Too much contaminants in processed food

Food systems: Prioritized issues


AvailabilityAccess

Utilization

GEC drivers/ trends (in relation to IGP-5)

Too much water during the monsoon

No control over regional flow patterns in monsoon

Drainage problem, flood

Late flood and implications for food production

Under GEC (i.e., CC) monsoon flow will increase

More frequent high floods

Occasional cyclonic storms

Riverbank erosion


Vulnerability to food system

Sensitive Food Security determinant

GEC-related stress to which exposed

Sensitivity to GEC stress

Coping capacity

Overall vulnerability

Production potential

Late Flood Drainage congestion

Low: opting for low-yielding variety

Moderate now, will become high

Exchange dependence

Change in production due to T & R

Low int. availability; price shock

Low: difficult for the poor to cope with

High

Very low affordability

Too much water in monsoon

Flood-related loss

Very low: lesser consumption

Very high


Vulnerability to food system (contd.)

Sensitive Food Security determinant

GEC-related stress to which exposed

Sensitivity to water stress

Coping capacity

Overall vulnerability

Intra-hh allocation for women

Hazard-related crop loss

High, Crop loss due to hazards

Very low: much reduced consumption

Very high

Preference is undermined

As above Very high; production loss & price hike

Very low: carbohydrates

Very high

Nutritional value sacrificed

As above High; low farm gate price, low wages

Low: high value products sold, carbohydrates

High


A set of adaptation (proposed by stakeholders)

Link with Food Security Outcomes & Determinants

Increased emphasis on production

Availability

(Production)

Improved flood management system

Availability (production & distribution)

Early Warning for EWE

Seasonal forecasting

Research for improved varieties suitable in marooned conditions

Availability (production)

Access (affordability, price)

Rationalization of lowest wage rate, procurement rates

Access (affordability, price, allocation)


A set of adaptation (proposed by stakeholders)

Link with Food Security Outcomes & Determinants

Incentives for oilseeds and lentil production (diversification), poultry and milk products

Access (affordability, price, allocation)

Utilization (nutritional value)

Implementation of food safety legal frameworks

Utilization (nutritional value)



Food safety legal framework implemented

Increased emphasis on production

State

Private Sector

NGO/CSO

Resource Managers/ farmers

Improved Food Mgmt System

Early warning for EWE, forecasting

Suitable Variety Development

Wage Rate, procurement rate

Incentives of expanding food diversity

AVAILABILITY

Production

Exchange

Distribution

ACCESS

Affordability

Allocation

Preference

UTILIZATION

Nutritional Value

Social value

Food safety

FS Outcomes

Resource Managers/ farmers

State

Private Sector

NGO/CSO

Wage Rate, procurement rate

AVAILABILITY

Production

Exchange

Distribution

ACCESS

Affordability

Allocation

Preference/Diversity

UTILIZATION

Nutritional Value

Social Value

Food Safety


THANK YOU

food system vulnerability and adaptation to global environmental change in greater faridpur region...

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