flooding in singapore: an overview · lim chu kang rd, jalan murai, bukit timah rd, wilby rd,...
TRANSCRIPT
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Flooding in Singapore: An Overview
FUTURE FLOODS: An Exploration of a Cross-Disciplinary Approach to Flood Risk Forecasting
Prepared by Claire Kennedy of Impact Forecasting
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1Proprietary & Confidential
Agenda
Section 1 Climate of Singapore
Section 2 Flooding
Section 3 Flooding in South-East Asia
Section 4 Historical Flooding in Singapore
Section 5 Current Status
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Section 1: Climate of Singapore
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3Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore
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Köppen Climate Classification System
Source: University of Melbourne
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5Proprietary & Confidential
Köppen Climate Classification System
Source: University of Melbourne
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6Proprietary & Confidential
Köppen Climate Classification System - Asia
Source: University of Melbourne
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7Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore Köppen Classification Scheme: tropical rainforest climate
� constant high temperatures – average monthly temperatures of ≥18˚C (64˚F)
� average monthly rainfall of ≥60.0 millimeters (2.40 inches)
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8Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore Köppen Classification Scheme: tropical rainforest climate
� constant high temperatures – average monthly temperatures of ≥18˚C (64˚F)
� average monthly rainfall of ≥60.0 millimeters (2.40 inches)
Temperature
Warmest month is June: 27.8˚C (82.0˚F)
Coolest months are January and December: 26.0˚C (78.8˚F)
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9Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore Köppen Classification Scheme: tropical rainforest climate
� constant high temperatures – average monthly temperatures of ≥18˚C (64˚F)
� average monthly rainfall of ≥60.0 millimeters (2.40 inches)
Temperature
Warmest month is June: 27.8˚C (82.0˚F)
Coolest months are January and December: 26.0˚C (78.8˚F)
Rainfall
Wettest month is December: 288.4 millimeters (11.35 inches)
Driest month is July: 158.6 millimeters (6.24 inches)
Average annual rainfall: 2,344.0 millimeters (92.28 inches)
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10Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore – Seasons
North-East Monsoon (November to March)• north-easterly winds prevail• December and January
characterised by rainy afternoons• February until early-March often
drier• Annual average wind speeds reach
a peak in January and February
South-West Monsoon (May to October)• south-easterly to south-westerly
winds prevail• “Sumatra Squalls” are common• Hazy periods
Inter-Monsoon (March to May)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
Inter-Monsoon (October to November)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
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11Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore - Seasons
North-East Monsoon (November to March)• north-easterly winds prevail• December and January
characterised by rainy afternoons• February until early-March often
drier• Annual average wind speeds reach
a peak in January and February
South-West Monsoon (May to October)• south-easterly to south-westerly
winds prevail• “Sumatra Squalls” are common• Hazy periods
Inter-Monsoon (March to May)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
Inter-Monsoon (October to November)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
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12Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore - Seasons
North-East Monsoon (November to March)• north-easterly winds prevail• December and January
characterised by rainy afternoons• February until early-March often
drier• Annual average wind speeds reach
a peak in January and February
South-West Monsoon (May to October)• south-easterly to south-westerly
winds prevail• “Sumatra Squalls” are common• Hazy periods
Inter-Monsoon (March to May)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
Inter-Monsoon (October to November)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
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13Proprietary & Confidential
Climate of Singapore - Seasons
North-East Monsoon (November to March)• north-easterly winds prevail• December and January
characterised by rainy afternoons• February until early-March often
drier• Annual average wind speeds reach
a peak in January and February
South-West Monsoon (May to October)• south-easterly to south-westerly
winds prevail• “Sumatra Squalls” are common• Hazy periods
Inter-Monsoon (March to May)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
Inter-Monsoon (October to November)• light, variable winds• afternoon and early evening
thunderstorms
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Section 2: Flooding
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15Proprietary & Confidential
Definitions
What is a flood?
The inundation of a normally dry area caused by high flow, or overflow of water
in an established watercourse, such as a river, stream, or drainage ditch; or
ponding of water at or near the point where rain fell. Source: NOAA
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16Proprietary & Confidential
Definitions
What is a flood?
The inundation of a normally dry area caused by high flow, or overflow of water
in an established watercourse, such as a river, stream, or drainage ditch; or
ponding of water at or near the point where rain fell. Source: NOAA
What is a flash flood?
A flood which follows within a few hours (usually less than 6 hours) of heavy or
excessive rainfall, dam or levee failure, or the sudden release of water
impounded by an ice jam. Source: NOAA
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17Proprietary & Confidential
Definitions
What is a flood?
The inundation of a normally dry area caused by high flow, or overflow of water
in an established watercourse, such as a river, stream, or drainage ditch; or
ponding of water at or near the point where rain fell. Source: NOAA
What is a flash flood?
A flood which follows within a few hours (usually less than 6 hours) of heavy or
excessive rainfall, dam or levee failure, or the sudden release of water
impounded by an ice jam. Source: NOAA
Flooding is a longer term event than flash flooding: it may last for days, weeks, or even months
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18Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flood
� different types, different causes
– areal floods (rainfall-related)
– riverine floods
– estuarine and coastal floods
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19Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flash Flood
� most often caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time
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20Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flash Flood
� most often caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time
� may occur after the collapse of an ice dam, debris dam, or anthropogenic barriers
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21Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flash Flood
� most often caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time
� may occur after the collapse of an ice dam, debris dam, or anthropogenic barriers
� affects geomorphic low-lying areas
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22Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flash Flood
� most often caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time
� may occur after the collapse of an ice dam, debris dam, or anthropogenic barriers
� affects geomorphic low-lying areas
� characterised by raging torrents that rip through river beds, urban streets, or mountain canyons
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23Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flash Flood
� most often caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time
� may occur after the collapse of an ice dam, debris dam, or anthropogenic barriers
� affects geomorphic low-lying areas
� characterised by raging torrents that rip through river beds, urban streets, or mountain canyons
� precipitation falls rapidly on saturated surfaces or surfaces that have poor absorption ability
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24Proprietary & Confidential
Characteristics
Flash Flood
� most often caused by heavy or excessive precipitation in a short period of time
� may occur after the collapse of an ice dam, debris dam, or anthropogenic barriers
� affects geomorphic low-lying areas
� characterised by raging torrents that rip through river beds, urban streets, or mountain canyons
� precipitation falls rapidly on saturated surfaces or surfaces that have poor absorption ability
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Section 3: Flooding in South-East Asia
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26Proprietary & Confidential
Flooding in South-East Asia
In 2014, flooding in South-East Asia:
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Flooding in South-East Asia
In 2014, flooding in South-East Asia:
� caused economic losses in excess of US$2.1 billion
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Flooding in South-East Asia
In 2014, flooding in South-East Asia:
� caused economic losses in excess of US$2.1 billion
� caused insured losses in excess of US$215 million
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29Proprietary & Confidential
Flooding in South-East Asia
In 2014, flooding in South-East Asia:
� caused economic losses in excess of US$2.1 billion
� caused insured losses in excess of US$215 million
� damaged/destroyed more than 180,000 homes
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30Proprietary & Confidential
Flooding in South-East Asia
In 2014, flooding in South-East Asia:
� caused economic losses in excess of US$2.1 billion
� caused insured losses in excess of US$215 million
� damaged/destroyed more than 180,000 homes
� claimed more than 357 lives
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Flooding in South-East Asia
South-East Asia
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods have exceeded US$76.2 billion (2015)
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32Proprietary & Confidential
Flooding in South-East Asia
South-East Asia
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods have exceeded US$76.2 billion (2015)
� Insured losses have exceeded US$17.7 billion (2015)
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33Proprietary & Confidential
Flooding in South-East Asia
South-East Asia
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods have exceeded US$76.2 billion (2015)
� Insured losses have exceeded US$17.7 billion (2015)
� More than 12.4 million homes were damaged/destroyed
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34Proprietary & Confidential
Flooding in South-East Asia
South-East Asia
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods have exceeded US$76.2 billion (2015)
� Insured losses have exceeded US$17.7 billion (2015)
� More than 12.4 million homes were damaged/destroyed
� Almost 16,000 lives were lost
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Flooding in South-East Asia
Malaysia
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods in Malaysia have exceeded US$2.1 billion (2015)
� More than 330,000 homes were damaged/destroyed
� More than 280 lives were lost
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Flooding in South-East Asia
Indonesia
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods in Indonesia have exceeded US$8.1 billion (2015)
� More than 790,000 homes were damaged/destroyed
� More than 3,280 lives were lost
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Flooding in South-East Asia
Singapore
� Since 2000, economic damages from floods in Singapore have exceeded US$23.8 million (2015)
� Approximately 550 homes were damaged
� No lives were lost
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Section 4: Historical Flooding in Singapore
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Historical Floods in Singapore - 1950s
October – December 1954:
� Bedok, Potong Pasir, Braddell Road, Long Tai Seng, GeylangSerai…
� 50,000+ people affected
� 5,000 made homeless
� 5 killed
� 40 injured
� S$1,000,000 (1954) of damage; >S$4,000,000 (2015)
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Historical Floods in Singapore - 1960s
December 1969:
� Worst floods in 35 years – up to 75% of Singapore submerged
� 355.6 millimetres (14.0 inches) of rain fell in 12 hours
� 3,100 rendered homeless
� 5 killed
� Floodwaters up to 2.5 metres (8.2 feet) deep
� S$4,300,000 (1969) of damage; >S$16,000,000 today
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41Proprietary & Confidential
Historical Floods in Singapore - December 1969
Newton Circus (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
Opera Estate (Source: National Archive of Singapore)Location unknown (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
Bideford Road (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
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Historical Floods in Singapore - December 1969
Location unknown (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
Location unknown (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
Duchess Road (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
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Historical Floods in Singapore - 1970s
November 1978
� Floods around Yio Chu Kang Road
� 2 killed
December 1978
� Singapore’s all time record 24-hour rainfall set on 2nd – 512.4 millimetres (20.2 inches)
� Landslides at Telok Blangah, York Hill, Mount Faber, CairnhillRoad, Changi Road, and Jurong Road
� Floodwaters reached 2.0 metres (78.7 inches)
� 7 killed
� S$10,000,000 (1978) of damage; >S$22,500,000 (2015)
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44Proprietary & Confidential
Historical Floods in Singapore - December 1978
Chua Chu Kang (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
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45Proprietary & Confidential
Historical Floods in Singapore - December 1978
Jalan Eunos (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
Potong Pasir (Source: National Archive of Singapore)Braddell Road (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
Woodlands (Source: National Archive of Singapore)
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Historical Floods in Singapore - 1980s onward
January 1980
� Potong Pasir, Yio Chu Kang, Tampines, Eunos, Paya Lebar, Mountbatten, Farrer Park, Newton, Boon Keng, Bukit Panjang, Bukit Timah…
� Floodwaters up to 1.3 metres (51.2 inches) deep for two days
September 1984
� Lim Chu Kang Rd, Jalan Murai, Bukit Timah Rd, Wilby Rd, Coronation Rd…
� Floodwaters up to 0.45 metres (17.7 inches) resulting from a Sumatra Squall
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Historical Floods in Singapore - 1980s onward
November 2009
� Bukit Timah
� Minister of Environment and Water Resources: “1 in 50 year” event
� 110 millimeters (4.3 inches) of rain in 2 hours
� “knee-high” floodwaters submerged ground-floors of buildings and cars
� According to local reports, worst flood in over a decade
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48Proprietary & Confidential
Historical Floods in Singapore - 1980s onward
June 2010
� Orchard Road, Bukit Timah
� 100 millimeters (3.9 inches) of rain in 2 hours
� Floodwaters up to 30 centimetres (1 foot) deep
� 100 shops and 48 vehicles damaged along Orchard Road
� 868 insurance claims ensued totalling S$23 million (2010)
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Historical Floods in Singapore - 1980s onward
June 2011
� Orchard Road
� 124 millimetres (4.9 inches) of rain. Maximum intensity of 65 millimetres (2.6 inches) in half an hour
� Floodwaters up to 30 centimetres (1 foot) deep
September through November 2013
� 3 separate flash flood incidents
� Central and Southern areas worst affected
� Floodwaters up to 50 centimetres (1.6 feet) deep
� All floods were reported to have subsided within 30 minutes
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Section 5: Current Status
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Flood Prone Areas 1970s
Source: PUB, Singapore’s National Water Agency
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Flood Prone Areas 2014
Source: PUB, Singapore’s National Water Agency
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Current Status
Source: Tortajada et al, 2013
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What Has Changed?
1972
� Drainage Department set up within Ministry of the Environment
� Tasked with construction of an effective land drainage system to prevent and alleviate floods
� Drainage Master Plan drawn up and implemented
� Bukit Timah Flood Alleviation Scheme completed
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What Has Changed?
1985
� Stamford Canal completed
1987
� Siglap Canal in operation
1991
� Bukit Timah Second Diversion Canal completed
1993
� Tanjong Katong Drainage Scheme completed
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What Has Changed?
Source: PUB, Singapore’s National Water Agency
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Future?
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More “Heavy Rain” Days
Source: PUB, Singapore’s National Water Agency
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More Intense Rainfall
Source: PUB, Singapore’s National Water Agency
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Future?
These trends are expected to continue in the future.
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Contacts
Claire Kennedy
Impact Forecasting
+65 6645 0110
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62Proprietary & Confidential
DisclaimerLegal Disclaimer
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