flexible power grid resources —an nea analysis · 2015. 4. 27. · • raw materials extraction...
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FLEXIBLE POWER GRID RESOURCES —AN NEA ANALYSIS
Charlie Barnhart, Mik Carbajales-Dale and Sally Benson
NEA@Stanford April 1, 2015
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A need for power grid flexibility
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BPA demand, solar insolation and wind data, 5 minute intervals, April 2010
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1.3 GW of storage by 2020 in CA “California adopts first-in-nation energy storage plan” October, 2014 "Storage really is the game changer in the electric industry. And while this new policy is not without risk, the potential rewards are enormous.” -Commissioner Mike Florio
Dave Fribush of PG&E, shows off the utility's new Yerba Buena battery energy storage project, Tuesday morning Oct. 15, 2013 in the hills above Evergreen Valley College in San Jose, Calif. ((Karl Mondon/Bay Area News Group))
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Energiewende Germany Finances Major Push Into Home Battery Storage for Solar
“… the program targets lead-acid and lithium-ion batteries.”
"As Germany looks out to 2050, the expectation is that the penetration of renewables could be as large as 80 to 90 percent," Kaun (Ben Kaun, EPRI) said. Coping with variability and the times when renewable production exceeds grid demand raises the perceived value of storing solar and wind in the form of hydrogen, a dispatchable resource. "There is significant loss in conversion from solar to hydrogen," he said. "But it's viewed as being better than zero” if faced with curtailment.
RenewEconomy, Giles Parkinson November 8, 2014 Energy Storage: A Different View from Germany, June 2014 Laurie Reese
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Capital Costs 5
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The role NEA can play in making good policy decisions…
• What are the energetic and carbon costs of storage?
• How do these costs compare to existing flexible grid resources?
• How can we utilize storage technologies in ways that facilitate renewable proliferation in the spirit of environmental stewardship?
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Photo: Karim Nafatni
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Flexible Generation Pathways
Stored Renewables
Responsive Gas
Generation
Grid Storage
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How does the energetic performance of stored renewables compare with
energetic performance of natural gas generation?
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Methodology • Developed a theoretical framework to combine the energetic
costs and carbon intensities of electricity generation resources and electrical energy storage technologies. • Track energy expenditures and flows as well as carbon emissions for
energy resources and storage technologies. • Data were obtained from several sources:
• Energy storage and energy generation life cycle assessment studies. • Data were divided into ‘cradle-to-gate’ and operational components.
Energy expenditures and carbon emissions associated with decommissioning and recycling were not considered.
• Data are harmonized to Cradle-to-Gate when possible but are uncertain.
• This work focused on building the theoretical framework.
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Carbon and Energy Intensity of Storage
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Grid-Scale Storage Technologies • safe • inexpensive • made from abundant
materials • high cycle-life • high round-trip efficiency
• Lead Acid (PbA) • Sodium Sulfur (NaS) • Flow (ZnBr, VRB) • Compressed air energy
storage (CAES) • Pumped hydroelectric
storage (PHS)
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Embodied Energy Requirements
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Energy throughput
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Life Cycle Storage CO2eq Emissions
Sources: Sullivan and Gaines, 2000 Denholm and Kulcinski, 2004 eGRID, EPA, 2009
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Source Carbon Multiplier Storage Tech
AC-AC efficiency
Source Carbon Multiplier
PbA 0.9 1.11 Li-Ion 0.9 1.11 NaS 0.75 1.33 CAES 1.36 0.74 PHS 0.85 1.18 VRB 0.75 1.33
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Resource Carbon and Energy Intensity
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The Generation Resource Footprint Energy Intensity of Gas, PV and Wind
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Energy Intensity data were obtained from numerous sources. Only post-2000 values were considered. Data were converted to electrical energy values by an energy quality correction value of 0.3 where appropriate. Gas: n=14 from 5 sources PV: n=24 from 27 sources Wind: n=42 from 4 sources (Kubiszewski et al., 2009 was in itself a meta-analysis considering 119 turbines)
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Carbon Life Cycle Assessment (CO2eq)
~60% - 70% • Raw Materials Extraction • Materials Production • Module/System/Plant
Component Manufacture • Installation
~21% - 26% • Power Generation • System/Plant Operation • System Maintenance
~5% - 20% • Decommissioning • Disposal
0.1% • Raw Materials Extraction • Materials Production • System/Plant Component
Manufacture
99.8% • Fuel Cycle (13%) • Combustion (87%)
0.1% • Decommissioning • Disposal
86% • Raw Materials Extraction • Materials Production • Parts Manufacture • Wind/Turbine/Farm
Construction
9% • Power Generation • System/Plant Operation • System Maintenance
5% • Decommissioning • Disposal
Upstream Operational Downstream
NREL LCA Harmonization Studies (2012-2014) 420 to 670
O’Donoughue et al., 2014
3 to 45 Dolan and Heath, 2012
39 to 49 Hsu et al., 2012
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kg CO2eq/MWh
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Flexible Electrical Energy Systems
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Big Ideas • Flexible power grid technologies affect the carbon and
energy intensity of the power grid • The energy resource predominates energy and carbon
intensities • Technological solutions not only need to be affordable,
they need to be aligned with the principles of environmental stewardship that guided policy makers to spur the use of renewable energy resources.
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Discussion and Conclusions
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• With today’s flexible grid technologies we should… • Store energy with efficient and long-lived technologies like Li-Ion
and PHS • Consider curtailing wind before storing it during times of oversupply • Employ solar to reduce carbon emissions • Use efficient high power capacity gas turbines • Promote swing capabilities of NGCC-CCS • Avoid storing grid power • Avoid older inefficient low capacity gas turbines • Avoid conventional PbA Storage
• R&D focus for tomorrow’s technologies should… • Focus on improving battery cycle life and efficiency • NGCC-CCS is a low carbon high efficiency technology, technology
for storage, capture and variable generation is needed.
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Data Sources for storage technologies
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• T. Reddy and D. Linden, 2010 • C. Rydh and B. Sanden, 2005 • Denholm and Kulcinski, 2004 • J.L. Sullivan and L. Gaines, 2010
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Natural Gas Energy Data and Calculations
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US Power Grid Energy Data and Calculations
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How does storage affect the grid-wide EROI?
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