Fishery Development in Africa

1WWW.FAO.ORG

• Fastest increase after 1995

• Aquaculture Started in late 1990s

• Marine landings plateaued after 2000

Land

ings

(100

0t)

Fish Consumption in African Countries (2009)

2WWW.FAO.ORG

• Average consumption Africa – 9.5kg/person World - 18.5kg/person (red line)

• Highest consumption in mid-west coastal countries

• Uneven distribution: - Mid-west coastal & island countries >> world average - Inland countries << world average

Percentage of Fish in Total Animal Protein Consumption in Africa (2009)

3WWW.FAO.ORG

• Africa sees a greater importance of fish in animal protein consumption: World average=16.8% (red line) Africa average=19%

• Mid-latitude countries have a much higher % than low and high latitude countries

Fish Consumption (kg/person) and % of Fish in Total Animal Protein Consumption in Africa (1961-2009)

4WWW.FAO.ORG

• Stable between 1980-2003 in fish consumption, increasing prior to 1980• Little variation in % of fish in animal protein consumption after 1975• Increased fish production counteracted by human population increase

Geographic Distribution of Marine, Inland and Aquaculture Production in Africa (2011)

5WWW.FAO.ORG

• Largest fish production in: Egypt, Nigeria & Morocco

• Largest Marine production: Morocco, S Africa, Namibia

• Largest aquaculture: Egypt, Nigeria

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Geographic Distribution of top Freshwater Brackishwater and Marine Aquaculture

Production in Africa (2011)

6WWW.FAO.ORG

• Largest Freshwater production: Nigeria, Egypt & Uganda

• Largest Brackishwater production: Egypt, Tunisia & Côte d'Ivoire

• Largest Marine production: Madagascar, South Africa & Morocco

WWW.FAO.ORG

Regional per capita food fish supply (kg/capita/year)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Oceania

Northern America

Europe

Asia

World Average

L.A. & C.

Africa

(kg/capita/year) 2009

Africa 9.5Asia 20.6Europe 21.9L.A. & C. 10.1Northern A. 24.0Oceania 26.0World 18.5Source: FAOSTATS Food Balance Sheets

WWW.FAO.ORG

WWW.FAO.ORG

Total food fish supply (million tonnes)

20002001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

OceaniaL.A. & C.Northern AmericaAfricaEuropeAsia

(million tonnes) 2009

Africa 8.8Asia 83.3Europe 16.2L.A. & C. 5.6Northern A. 8.2Oceania 0.7World 122.9Source: FAOSTATS Food Balance Sheets

WWW.FAO.ORG

WWW.FAO.ORG

Fish demand driven by population and income growth

 Per capita

supply 2007 [kg/cap/yr] (baseline)

Total supply 2007 [million

tonnes] (baseline)

Population Growth projection

Population Growth & Income Growth

Projection

Per capita food fish demand

[kg/cap/yr]1

Total fish demand [million tonnes]2

Per capita food fish demand

[kg/cap/yr]3

Total fish demand [million tonnes]2

2030 2030 2030 2030

Africa             8.6             9.0             8.5           14.0                11.5               18.7

Asia           19.6           86.4           18.3           96.3                37.0             186.3

Europe           22.2           19.4           22.6           19.9                27.3               23.4

L.A. & C.             9.6           15.2             9.5           16.4                12.2               18.3

Northern A.           24.5             9.1           24.5           10.7                29.8               12.9

Oceania           25.2             1.1           24.9             1.4                31.9                 1.8

World           17.8         140.3           16.6         158.8                29.1 261.2

WWW.FAO.ORG

1 Each country’s per capita food fish demand assumed to be equal to the level in 2007. 2 Based on population trends estimated by UN. Including both food and nonfood fish. Demand for nonfood fish in each country assumed to be equal to the level in 2007.3 Preliminary estimation that considers the impact of income growth on per capita fish demand.

WWW.FAO.ORG

Fish supply-demand gaps

• Per capita fish demand in 2020 estimated based on assumptions:– GDP per capita projection by IMF – Prices unchanged– Preference unchanged

• Total fish demand in 2030 estimated based on:– Estimated per capita demand in 2020.– UN population projection in 2030.– Non-food fish demand unchanged

• Results:– Supply < Demand

• 51 mt shortage– S-D gaps decline in all regions

• Largest insufficiency in Asia

S-D gap (mt)

Supply

2030Demand 2030

S-D gap

2030Africa 11.7 18.7 -7.0 Asia 156.5 186.3 -29.8 Europe 18.6 23.4 -4.8

L.A. & C. 16.2 18.3 -2.1

Northern A. 6.2 12.9 -6.6 Oceania 1.5 1.8 -0.3

World 210.7 261.2 -50.6

Source: Estimation of FI Department

WWW.FAO.ORG

The State of Fish Resources in Waters Surrounding Africa (2009)

11WWW.FAO.ORG

• The most overexploited - Mediterranean (37)

• The least overexploited- South West India Ocean (51)

• Three areas (34,37,47) are worse overfished than world average

• Area 51 at world average

Improved Fisheries Governance CC-EAF

Fisheries Management

Enforcement &

Compliance

Catch statistics,

Fleet information

Total allowable catch or Equivale

nt decision

StockAssessmen

t

50 bill. USDPoverty alleviation

TAC-settingRules

EAF

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