financial achievability of anaerobic digestion projects

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Financial Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects Lisa Lee Morgan, AIA, LEED-AP President + CEO Calor Energy

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Financial Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects. Lisa Lee Morgan, AIA, LEED-AP President + CEO Calor Energy. The AD Process – “Basic”. Feedstocks. Digestion. Outputs. o o o o o o o. o o o o o o o. o o o o o o o. CO2. Gas. o o o o o o o. CH4. o o o o o o o. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Financial AchievabilityOf

Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Lisa Lee Morgan, AIA, LEED-AP President + CEOCalor Energy

Page 2: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

The AD Process – “Basic” Feedstocks Digestion Outputs

CO2

CH4

Liquids

Solids

Gaso o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Digestate- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Page 3: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Key Revenues + Costs Feedstocks Digestion Outputs

CO2

CH4

Liquids

Solids

Gaso o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Digestate- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

$ Disposal $ $ Land $

$ Technology $ $ Offtake $

Page 4: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

First Cut Rule of Thumb

Rule of $140

Revenue of$ / Ton of Waste

Revenue of$ / Megawatt-hr

Revenue of$ / Ton Fertilizer

$140

Page 5: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Feedstock $$$

Feedstocks

L T Contract with Organic Waste Producer

Payment from Waste Producer

Savings by Waste Producer

Page 6: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Community Viability

Charlotte San Francisco

Page 7: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Feedstocks BTU Spectrum

Food Waste Ag Waste Animal Waste WW Waste

BTU ContentLOW HIGHRaw, unprocessed, undigestedProcessed, digested, excreted

Page 8: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Feedstocks Disposal FeesEntity Type Feedstock Disposal

Costs/TEnergy Needs

Dairy/Hay Farm Dairy Waste, Crop Waste, Manure

$30-40 On site power;Truck fuel

Municipal Household food waste; household garbage

$26-50 Utility PPA

Animal Processing Animal FOG, parts, fluids $60-75 On site power;Hot water

Waste Water Treatment

Biosolids 2% $30-50 Bio-Dryer;On site power

Food Processing Pre-consumer food waste

$45-60 On site power;Hot water

Page 9: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Feedstocks Project Models

PURISTS : Harvest Power – Investor-owned AD Facilities

MIXED BAGGERS : Columbia Biogas – Community-owned AD Facilities

Designed to maximize gas quality and financial yield Pre-consumer food waste only No contaminants, paper, body wastes Formula: 2/3 hi-cal food waste + 1/3 green waste Vancouver: $65/Ton + $150/MWh + $20/Ton = $235

Designed to maximize community participation Pre- and Post-consumer food waste Formula: 1/3 food + 1/3 FOG, beer, milk + 1/3 green, grocery Expensive pre- and post-treatment Portland: $55/WTon + $70/MWh + $20/Fton = $145

Page 10: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Heat Exchanger

Digestion Process - “Basic”

Fluids

Mixing Rods

Digestion Reactor

Biogas

Solids

Feedstock In

Pretreat to Pulp

Heated Pulp

Gas Storage

Digestate

Page 11: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Digestion $$$Digestion

Land Purchase or Option to Purchase

Reliable Technology + EPC Selection

Preliminary Engineering+ Financial Analysis

Tax Incentive CPA Opinion

Regulatory Approvals + Permits

Page 12: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Model Example

Tax EquityInvestor50% Cash100% Tax Incentives90% / 5% OwnerBal Sheet = Insurance

Developer5% OwnerProject ManagerTeam Lead

MunicipalWWTF5% / 95% OwnerElectricity userOperations

“NC Digester Group, LLC”

Lender50% Cash15 yr @ 5%secured

EPCEngineering/Procurement/Contractor

Utility: MWh

Heat: MMbtu

Fertilizer: Ton

Waste: Fees

Page 13: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Production ExampleFeedstock In:FOG in per hour 5.72tons/hr

Wet Biosolids in per hour 4.71tons/hrResidue for disposal 7.63tons/hr

Thermal Energy:AD-DRANCOs (2) Waste Heat 0.0MMBtu/hr

Gensets (2) Waste Heat 25.0MMBtu/hr

Total Waste Heat 25.0MMBtu/hr

Dryer operation 17.7MMBtu/hr

Heat losses 1.0MMBtu/hr

Excess thermal energy 6.3MMBtu/hr

Electric Energy:Energy input to each Genset 42.1MMBtu/hrHeat Rate of Gensets 8,530Btu/kWh

Number of Gensets 1GenskWh operation - gross 4,932kWhkWh Belt dryer 575KWhkWh operation - net 4,357kWhMWh produced - net 4.357MWhWWTF Baseload 1.357MWhExcess power to grid 2.0MWh

Alternative Energy:Compressed NG Potential 9000GGE/day

Page 14: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Tax IncentivesProject Cost Basis 12,350,000Federal Tax Credit 1,235,000NC Tax Credit Yr. 1 864,500MACRS Dep'n Yr 1 After Tax Value 821,275

(a) 2,920,775Year 1 Capital Outlay to 2015 Tax Incentives Return 24%

Year 2-6 Tax IncentivesNC Tax Credit Yrs 2-5 3,458,000Tax Dep'n Yrs 2-6 After Tax Value 3,285,100

6,743,100Total Return Years 1-6 Σ(a) 9,663,875Capitay Outlay to 2015 Tax Incentives Return 78%

Page 15: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Output $$$Outputs

Gas>Electricity: Utility or On Site PPA

Gas>CNG: Utility or Local Transport PPA

RECs or RINs Contract

Fertilizer/CompostContract

Page 16: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Outputs 101

Biogas -> Electricity/CHP

Gas Clean Up

BiogasStorage

Digester

Electric Generator

PowerGrid

Gas Fueled

750-1000

BTU/FT3Boiler

Gas Fueled Industrial

Steam Users

Page 17: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Outputs 201

Biogas -> Transportation Fuels

Gas Clean Up

BiogasStorage

Digester

Natural GasPipeline

900-1000

BTU/FT3

BottledCompressed

NG (RNG)

Compressor

CNG Vehicles

Page 18: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Outputs 301

Digestate -> Fertilizers

Nutrient-Rich Liquid Fertilizer

Liquids

Compost Rows

Highly Enriched Organic Fertilizer

SolidDewaterDigester Digestate

Storage- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Page 19: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Annual Cash FlowINCOMEDisposal Fees for FOG 50,000 Tons/yr $ 60.00 $ 3,000,000 Disposal Fees for Biosolids 41,245 Tons/yr $ 10.00 $ 412,450 Heat to Dryer 155,052 MMBtu/yr $ 3.50 $ 542,682 Electricity to WWT User 11887.32 MWh/yr $ 70.00 $ 832,112 Electricity to Utility - avoided cost 26280 MWh/yr $ 55.00 $ 1,445,400 Fertilizer/Compost 6683.88 Tons/yr 15 $ 100,258 Annual Income $ 6,332,903

EXPENSE15-year loan @ 5% 15 5% loan $ 6,175,000 $ 586,000 Operation - Maint contract 12 mon $ 150,000 $ 1,800,000 Waste collection, transport 12 mon $ 150,000 $ 1,800,000 Insurance LS $ 500,000 Taxes 0.006 rate $ 6,175,000 37,050

$ 4,723,050

PROFIT $ 1,609,853 RETURN - ANNUAL 13%

Page 20: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Investor/Lender Expectations Feedstocks Digestion Outputs

L T Contract with Organic Waste Producer

Land Purchase or Option to Purchase

Gas>Electricity: Utility or On Site PPA

Payment from Waste Producer

Reliable Technology + EPC Selection

Gas>CNG: Utility or Local Transport PPA

Savings by Waste Producer

Preliminary Engineering+ Financial Analysis

RECs or RINs Contract

Tax Incentive CPA Opinion

Fertilizer/CompostContract

Regulatory Approvals + Permits

Page 21: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Community Analysis

Rule of $140 ?

Maximize what ?

Feedstocks?

Technology ?

Outputs ?

Page 22: Financial  Achievability Of Anaerobic Digestion Projects

Questions?