final year project

48
A Study of the Consequences That 9/11 had on the Insurance Industry in the US and the UK. Name: Niall Madden Student Number: 09006087 Bachelor of Arts in International Insurance and European Studies Supervisor: Robert Ford Date of Submission: 06/03/2015 Final Year Project report submitted to the University of Limerick, March 2015

Upload: niall-madden

Post on 16-Apr-2017

86 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Final Year Project

A Study of the Consequences That 9/11 had on the Insurance Industry in the US and

the UK.

Name: Niall Madden

Student Number: 09006087

Bachelor of Arts in International Insurance and European Studies

Supervisor: Robert Ford

Date of Submission: 06/03/2015

Final Year Project report submitted to the University of Limerick, March 2015

Page 2: Final Year Project

Bachelor of Arts in International Insurance and European Studies

Submitted to the University of Limerick, March 2015

Name: Niall Madden

Student Number: 09006087

A Study of the Consequences That 9/11 had on the Insurance Industry in the US and

the UK.

Word count: 11143

Supervisor: Robert Ford

This project is solely the work of the author and is submitted in partial fulfilment of the

requirements of the Degree of Bachelor of Arts in International Insurance and

European Studies

Page 3: Final Year Project

Abstract

On September 11th 2001, an event occurred that changed mankind forever.

When people hear about 9/11, they immediately think of the devastation and

damage that was caused but this was viewed very differently by the insurance

industry. The UK and the US insurance markets were very powerful entities at

the time of the attack and the evolution of their industries was very

comprehensive as terrorism risk made itself known to the world. Both markets

took somewhat different tracks in their methods to provide future protection

against terrorist attacks. The US enhanced its scopes of cover and changed its

definitions of what exactly an act of terrorism was while the UK who had, at

the time, the premature Pool Re scheme in place was willing to allow the

financial protection from the British Government. The UK also greatly

improved the securitisation of Britain as they looked to stop attacks at the

source and have insurers in place as a willing back up. The US were not as

lenient with how much participation they wanted their Government to have but

were willing to accept some help in a time of adversity. In the space of just

over twenty years, the evolution of the insurance company has been

tremendous and terrorists are finding more and more blockades in place

against them to stop a foreboding future attack. The one hundred and two

minutes it took to cripple an iconic landmark enhanced the insurance industry

worldwide for the better.

Page 4: Final Year Project

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Introduction ............................................................................................... 1

1.1 The One Hundred and Two Minutes That Changed Insurance ............................ 1

1.2 The Need for Adaptation ........................................................................................... 2

1.3 Problems with Terrorism Risk .................................................................................. 3

Chapter 2 The Insurance Market of the USA........................................................... 5

2.1 US Market Pre-9/11 .................................................................................................... 5

2.2 Tallying the attack ...................................................................................................... 6

2.3 Capacity to survive? ................................................................................................... 7

2.4 Change immediately after anguish ........................................................................... 8

2.5 Beginning the Insurance War against Terrorism .................................................... 9

2.6 Homeland Security ................................................................................................... 12

2.7 TRIA, TRIEA and TRIPRA .................................................................................... 14

Chapter 3 The Insurance Market of the UK........................................................... 18

3.1 Pre-9/11 in the UK .................................................................................................... 18

3.2 Establishment of Pool Re Scheme ........................................................................... 19

3.3 UK reaction to September 11th 2001 ....................................................................... 20

3.4 Expansion of cover ................................................................................................... 22

3.5 Expansion of Pool Re in 2002 .................................................................................. 24

3.6 The Bombing of London 2005 ................................................................................. 27

3.7 Terrorism Act 2006 .................................................................................................. 28

3.8 Resiliency of the UK ................................................................................................. 30

Chapter 4 Possibilities in the Future ....................................................................... 32

4.1 Time of Great Change .............................................................................................. 32

4.2 Advancements in Future Terrorism Threats ......................................................... 33

4.3 Preparing for the Future .......................................................................................... 34

4.4 Unique Terrorism Insurance ................................................................................... 36

Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 38

Bibliography .............................................................................................................. 40

Page 5: Final Year Project

1

Chapter 1 Introduction

1.1 The One Hundred and Two Minutes That Changed Insurance

Since approximately the year 1965, there has been over ten thousand terrorist

incidents around the world. The UK and the USA have been relatively

terrorism free since before 1993 when the IRA set off bombs in London and

when the twin towers were first attacked in New York. However, these losses

were covered by insurers with relative ease and were not taken as seriously as

they should have been. The UK began to implement measures immediately in

1993 to stop future terrorist attacks but U.S. insurers still continued to cover

terrorism without much concern. “Terrorism was covered de facto in most

commercial insurance contracts” (Kunreuther and Michel- Kerjan, 2002).

However, in the space of only one hundred and two minutes, both insurance

industries lives were changed on the 11th of September 2001. Following this

disastrous occurrence, the insurance and reinsurance industries found a serious

threat to their financial capacity. Before 9/11, it was believed that the insurers

who had clients with big potential risks would be able to meet their obligations

in the event of a loss occurring. However this event in 2001 was unique as

there was no capacity or specific cover in place for this type of event. For

insurance companies, risk is measured through policies with specifications of

risks that will be covered. The insurer has an understanding of possible claims

and their magnitude and is willing to pay fair compensation in the aftermath of

the loss. Nonetheless, this event presented the industry with the unimaginable;

flying enormous planes into one of the world’s most iconic landmarks.

However, the event had somewhat of an advantageous role as it made insurers

Page 6: Final Year Project

2

adapt to focus on the possible maximum loss an event could incur. This was

the beginning of a great change in the insurance industry. Although the event

itself was troubling, the evolution it brought to worldwide insurers may prove

highly advantageous for the future.

1.2 The Need for Adaptation

The terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, began a new dimension for

domestic and international security institutions and government organizations.

It was also the beginning of a complicated time for the insurance industry that

is still seen today. In an article by (Woehr, 2006) he concludes that the events

of that day have prompted insurers to introduce terrorism insurance as a

necessity, assess underwriting risk more accurately with the use of catastrophe

(CAT) modelling and to collaborate with the federal government on 14 major

pieces of legislation, including the Terrorist Risk Insurance Act of 2002. The

incident forced countries to change their decision making on terrorism risk.

The US undertook a somewhat different approach than the UK in protecting

against this complicated risk. The modifications in the US involved a great

change in scopes of cover and the definition of terrorism while the UK, who

had its Pool Re Scheme already in place, focused much more on the

securitisation of Britain. Prior to the incident on the twin towers, the private

insurance sector in the US seemed capable of wielding the potential risk loss

that terrorism could bring on the nation. However after this event these notions

have changed greatly. The industry has had to adapt significantly and

undertake a new approach in its review of its risk acceptance position, while

awareness of terrorism cover and more importantly its plea for protection

Page 7: Final Year Project

3

against this threat has surged. Through new pieces of legislation and specific

cover options for terrorism risk, the US and UK in particular, have proved

worthy opponents in the battle against terrorism risk through meaningful

adaptation. Due to this new approach there has been a significant change over

the past number of years in these insurance industries valuation and

assessment of terrorism insurance, as well as the provisions to provide

protection against unfathomable risks. The industry has learned from past

incidents and adapted in kind.

1.3 Problems with Terrorism Risk

Terrorism is problematic in terms of its classification and meaning, as is not as

easily defined as an act of violence, battery or even war. As with any risk an

insurer is willing to take on, the insurance industry, its policyholders and

underwriters have to agree on a definite loss event and understand its unknown

consequences. The sheer size of the probable developments and the strain of

assessing their probability are yet another troubling obstacle seen in the US

and the UK after 9/11. In the direct aftermath of the 11th of September 2001,

insurers found international terrorism to be basically uninsurable and

inconsistent. They made a decision to only offer restrictive cover and also

raised premium prices to cover its unpredictability. Catastrophe risks such as

previous natural disasters helped the insurance industry in some ways as it had

some similarities in its puzzling risk levels. In both risk scenarios there are

massive potentials of loss and this makes their classification difficult to

determine. The accumulation of all these exposure areas can not only test the

insurance sector but also a nation’s financial capacity. This is why terrorism

Page 8: Final Year Project

4

risk differs greatly to natural disasters as the probabilities and consequences of

natural hazards can be studied and in some ways prepared for due to

previously recorded data. It is far more difficult to prepare for terrorism risk as

it is a premature and unpredictable entity and can occur anytime and anywhere

without warning. The UK and the US industries have provided many

necessary provisions to stop terrorism risks but as we progress into the future,

more threats will arrive which insurers must provide protection against.

Page 9: Final Year Project

5

Chapter 2 The Insurance Market of the USA

2.1 US Market Pre-9/11

“Since the early days of the “war on terror,” the insurance industry has had an

instrumental role and “underwriting terrorism” has become part of the global

governmentality of terrorism” (Aradau, 2012). Before the attacks of September

11th, 2001, insurers generally did not charge for or specifically exclude terrorism

coverage to customers seeking security. There was effectively no price for

terrorism in policies and terrorism cover was implied within a standard property

and reinsurance policies. In the 14 years since, we have seen catastrophe

modelling emerge for terrorism risk, with efforts to price it, and the general

exclusion of terrorism from property insurance contracts in the US and also

some other parts of the world. Many people believe that 9/11 was the first

serious scenario of terrorism in the USA but they are mistaken. On February

26th 1993, a bomb that was attached to a truck was detonated below the North

Tower of the World Trade Centre. There were six people killed in this attack

with over a thousand left injured. Although there was a huge difference in the

magnitude of the attacks, this bombing is somewhat of an unheard entity when

compared to 9/11’s devastation. This attack, however did make the US more

aware of how unprepared they were for a terrorist attack and certain provisions

were made. In the aftermath of the bombing and the hectic evacuation that

ensued, the World Trade Centre and also many of the buildings around it

revamped their emergency protocols, particularly with regard to what would be

the quickest evacuation possible out of the towers. These practices were carried

out during the September 11th attack but were not as well adhered to as they

could have been. After this attack, there was much speculation on whether the

Page 10: Final Year Project

6

twin towers should take out specific terrorist coverage on the towers but they

already had some protection in place as the insurers paid out over $500 million

from damages. There were no special provisions made in the US after this attack

as insurance companies did not believe that international terrorism or terrorism

on a domestic scale should be categorised separately by itself when the price of

a commercial insurance policy was being calculated. This is primarily because

losses and damages from terrorism had historically been miniscule and

inconsistent. Therefore prior to September 11, 2001, terrorism coverage in the

United States was realistically an unnamed peril that would be covered in most

standard all risk commercial and property owner’s policies that had coverage on

damage to property and its contents.

2.2 Tallying the attack

The attack on the World Trade Centres in 2001 resulted in insured losses being

larger than any disaster, manmade or natural, in history. Even estimating a loss

figure is difficult due to all the different areas affected. Putting a value on the

number of lives lost, property damage and the loss in the manufacturing and

distribution of goods and services, figures were already highly substantial.

When you single out certain aspects of the losses that occurred, a better picture

can be seen on the enormity of the loss. In just under two hours, over three

thousand people were killed with thousands more also injured. The destruction

of the four Boeing aircrafts used in the attacks were valued at $385 million. The

destruction of the World Trade Centre and also damages to buildings in the

vicinity were valued with a replacement cost from around $3.5 billion to $4.5

Page 11: Final Year Project

7

billion. The plane that crashed into the Pentagon caused up to $1 billion in

damage to the buildings structure and its repair. The amount of job losses that

occurred amounted to an estimated eighty-four thousand with almost $16 billion

in lost salaries. And finally, the cost to clean up all the rubble and debris in the

aftermath was estimated to have cost at least $1.4 billion. When these figures

are added up, it is clear to see how 9/11 changed the Insurance industry forever.

However, if you delve deeper and include the loss that the stock market took,

the price tag approaches $2 trillion. The US markets, had to change their

procedures in dealing with terrorism so if there ever was another attack, the

industry would be ready to deal with it immediately.

2.3 Capacity to survive?

In less than two hours the World Trade Centres were left in ruins and the

insurance industry wondered could it be joining the wreckage. This is due to the

fact, as mentioned, that the extent of the damage done and lives lost was

incomprehensible. Insurers would be expected to provide backup to millions of

people to help soften the horrendous blow they had just suffered. It is an

insurer’s job to provide financial security in the face of adversity. At the moment

the towers had fallen, the industry’s most persistent issue was the fact that they

must assure policyholders, investors and shareholders that they had the capacity

to meet their responsibilities due to the fact that thousands of sufferers were

going to have their policies come into effect and try find some sort of

reimbursement after the loss. Did the insurance industry have the resources

available to help? “The industry was able to successfully allay those fears by

issuing press releases through major trade associations, postings to web sites

Page 12: Final Year Project

8

and direct contact. Within 48 hours of the attacks, virtually all doubts were

erased” according to (Liedtke and Courbage, 2002). This was a highly

significant moment for the industry as right after the attack it had the capacity

to deal with this horrendous incident and it gave shareholders and investors more

confidence and reassurance. The public were also relieved as they received

much needed support during a very difficult time. The capacity of insurers in

the US market is seen to have survived due to one main factor, the spread of risk

among insurers. This diffusion of risk was already being used in the UK markets

before 9/11 and is somewhat similar to their Pool Re system which will be

discussed later. Without the use of reinsurance companies, 9/11 would have

crippled the industry. Reinsurance suffered the heaviest losses of the attack with

Lloyds and Swiss Re amassing the largest burdens. By early 2002, insurers had

excluded terrorism from their policies in almost 45 states. “Commercial

enterprises thus found themselves in a very difficult situation, with insurance

capacity extremely limited and, when offered, very highly priced” (Michel-

Kerjan, 2012)

2.4 Change immediately after anguish

Insurers warned that another event with the comparable magnitude of 9/11

would do irretrievable harm to the industry. Furthermore, they proclaimed that

the uncertainties surrounding terrorism risk were very significant and that it can

be seen as “an uninsurable risk” (Kunreuther and Michel-Kerjan, 2004). This

led the insurers, reinsurers and also the national government to hold meetings to

discuss what could be done in the future to try to have some form of protection

in place in the face of adversity. With terrorism’s foreboding nature, there must

Page 13: Final Year Project

9

always be some form of defence, in insurance terms, to help an economy and its

people recover as quickly and freely as possible. 9/11 made insurers alter their

now outdated policies and specify the gritty details of what would and what

would not be covered when people sought insurance policies. In October 2001,

the Insurance Services Office which was acting as the face of all the insurance

companies in the US at that time, filed for a motion that every state must give

permission to their insurance companies to exclude terrorism from all

commercial insurance coverage. This request was clearly due to the fact that

insurers believed they could not deal financially with another onslaught from

terrorists as the industry and the economy would be hit horrifically in another

attack and such an event could be imminent. At the end of February 2002, there

were forty-five states which permitted insurance companies to exclude terrorism

cover from their policies. There was an exception to this however as

compensation for workers’ insurance policies that would cover work-related

injuries without regard to the peril that caused the injury would not be excluded.

With that clause as the only omission, by September 11, 2002, an exact year

after, “very few firms had other insurance coverage against a terrorist attack”

(Hale, 2002). This was mainly due to fear over how much the insurance

industry’s capacity could be stretched.

2.5 Beginning the Insurance War against Terrorism

The United States of America’s insurance industry needed an immediate change

as people and businesses could not live in fear of terrorism destroying their daily

routines and livelihoods. After the “terrorist attacks that destroyed America's

sense of security and invincibility, the government under President George W.

Page 14: Final Year Project

10

Bush launched the Global War on Terrorism—which has become the longest

period of continuous war in U.S. history.” This quote from (Rowen, 2007)

highlighted for me that there may possibly be no end to a war on terrorism risk

for insurance industries as its irregular nature is unfathomable. The series of

laws and acts that followed the war against terrorism has changed our everyday

lives and also that of the insurance industry. It began originally in America

where there was a great need for a sense of national security in a place that was

shattered by tragedy. With insurance companies crippled in worry over another

attack there was a great need for a plan or strategy to be implemented in a bid

to fight the war against terrorism from an insurance point of view. There were a

huge number of acts, rules and procedures implemented immediately after the

twin towers fell but there were three main acts introduced that served as the

building blocks to an effective battle against terrorism for the USA. On October

26th 2001, George W. Bush signed the USA PATRIOT Act into law. Its title is

seen as an acronym which spells out Uniting and Strengthening America

by Providing Appropriate Tools Required to Intercept and Obstruct Terrorism

Act of 2001. This law generally expanded the many different definitions of

terrorism, it provided more prolonged and harsher sentences for convicted

terrorists, and it also made it much easier for the law administration and

intelligence agencies to collect information and they were allowed share it if

they deemed it to be of a suspicious nature. This Act was brought in a mere

forty-five days after the incident and according to (Brill, 2003) the version of

the USA PATRIOT Act voted on by Congress was not the actual bill that was

approved in committee and that had been endorsed by the American Civil

Liberties Union. It was speculated that many members of Congress at the time

Page 15: Final Year Project

11

briefly read over it and some just voted in its favour blindly. This was mainly

done in panic as the fear that something urgent must be done forced people into

acceptance. The Act provided law enforcement officials with substantial new

powers to undertake searches without any warrants and also track everybody in

the US’s banking connections. The Act also provided the obligatory right to

detain and deport, in secret, individuals that were believed to be suspected of

committing terrorist acts. The specified purpose of the USA PATRIOT Act was:

"To deter and punish terrorist acts in the United States and around the world, to

enhance law enforcement investigatory tools, and for other purposes”

(Department if Government and Justice Studies, 2006). It is these “other

purposes” that had the general public worried but it is also these purposes that

were the key to providing more security for the US. The Act also had a very

secretive nature during its inception, the Justice Department tried not to invade

the general public’s right to freedom as it felt it went against the Americans

constitutional rights. It was recorded that in 2003, there were hundreds of

suspected terrorists throughout the US who had been identified and tracked, with

“nearly 20,000 subpoenas and search warrants issued “(US Department of

Justice, 2003). As time gradually moved on and the US insurance industry was

changing, the PATRIOT Act began to help the nation’s insurers feel more

confident in providing cover for terrorism. As more amendments were made to

this Act, more confidence soon followed. This helped pave the way for new

enterprises for terrorism risk to be set up and this helped ease the woes of many

businesses. As a result of this Act, insurers were more willing to have provisions

for terrorism risks in their policies. These new laws and the reactions to them by

the USA as a whole, presented a meaningful example of the tussle to uphold a

Page 16: Final Year Project

12

balance between security (fight against terrorism) and the freedom of

individuals (protection of constitutional rights). Many people were totally

against these new laws such as the USA PATRIOT Act as America began its

war on terror. However, in order for the insurance companies to be confident to

provide protection for citizens, these laws were a necessity. This Act was the

beginning of a great change to insurance in the US and also worldwide.

2.6 Homeland Security

The next piece of legislation that saw a great and worthwhile change to the

insurance industry in the USA was the Homeland Security Act 2002. The Act

was introduced on November 25th 2002, which was just over one year after the

attack of 9/11. The Act brought with it some important pieces of new law to help

the US and in turn, the insurance industry feel more confident in opposing

terrorism and providing cover for it. It included specific provisions including

the offering of new insurance policies with specified terrorism risk to certain air

operators and also new aviation war insurance products became more available

to commercial insurance markets airlines alike. This helped ease the woes of

many commercial property owners as they felt that there was more protection

available for them. This provision was an integral part of how the industry began

to adapt to this new threat. The Homeland Security Act also created the United

States Department of Homeland Security. Likewise it includes many of the

organizations under which the powers of the USA PATRIOT Act are also

exercised. The Dep. Of Homeland is described by (Reese, 2013) as an

organisation that is trying to ensure that the homeland of the US is kept safe,

protected, and robust against terrorism “where American interests, and ways of

Page 17: Final Year Project

13

life can thrive to a national effort to prevent terrorist attacks within the United

States” and to also reduce the vulnerability of the U.S. to terrorism, and curtail

damage from attacks that may occur. Without 9/11 this Act would never have

come into existence and therefore the industry in the US would never have had

the advantages and protection that this legislation brought with it. A more recent

amendment has been made to the Homeland Security Act 2002 and was known

as the National Cybersecurity and Critical Infrastructure Protection Act of 2013.

This Act is another prime example of how terrorists are adapting their ways and

therefore the insurance industry must adapt. Terrorists can use the internet and

computer programs to hack people’s privacy and also hack government

databases which contain national security codes, launch codes etc. This

relatively new field of cyber security insurance is designed to ease losses that

may arise from a variation of cyber-attacks, including breaches of data, business

interruption and damages to networks. If a strong cybersecurity insurance

market was consistently adapted and upheld it could help reduce the number of

successful terrorist cyber-attacks in a number of ways. Given their unpredictable

nature, cyber-attacks such as data breaches are difficult to prepare for and cope

with. In a recent article by (Kam, 2013), he presses the argument that “many

organizations have found that cyber insurance helps cope with unexpected

expenses and bear some of the data breach costs”. This article shows the need

that companies and also governments have for cyber insurance as terrorists seek

new ways to launch an attack. Cyber insurance can be viewed as a new and

innovative measure on the part of the insurers which can be seen to have

stemmed from the attack on the World Trade Centre. If insurers, governments

and computer specialists worked in tandem with one another, then the issue of

Page 18: Final Year Project

14

cyber terrorism can be handled in an adequate manner. Again 9/11 was seen as

the first real incident of terror and since then the US has adapted itself to combat

terrorism, the fight against cyber terrorism shows just how far the insurance

industry has evolved and what they are prepared to offer in aid against the

unrelenting fight against terrorists.

2.7 TRIA, TRIEA and TRIPRA

The Terrorism Insurance Act 2002 was introduced into the US by President

George W. Bush on November 26th 2002. This was just one day after the

Homeland Security Act was also announced. The fact that these Acts were

signed so closely to one another proves how American markets needed cover in

place against terrorism and insurers were the primary source of such coverage.

The Act simply shared the cost of claims for property and life between the

government in the US and the insurance industry. In the year between 9/11 and

the Acts’ inception, there was an extensive period of debate as to what would

be the most successful form of support and what would be the range of

government participation in the matter. The debate focused on two main

arguments, government loans and coinsurance. The loan was interest free to

insurers but involved some restrictions which would be discussed before

lawsuits in the event of another terrorist attack. The coinsurance idea involved

the notion of a free coinsurance plan where the government would help

reimburse a pre-planned percentage of losses in the first year and then again for

a second year. The sharing of the losses between the government and insurance

industry would prove to be advantageous as the capacity would be available

from insurers for people who had suffered a loss. Again, the evolution of the

Page 19: Final Year Project

15

insurance market was seen as the government and the industry had to act in

unison to give commercial property owners much needed security and help. The

impact of 9/11 had changed the thinking process of insurer’s for the future and

realistically it was for the better. The program was originally passed to provide

a provisional measure to help escalate the availability of terrorism risk from

insurers, but the Act has been seen as highly successful and has been renewed

twice since, in 2005 and 2007 and afterward TRIA was extended up to the end

of 2014. It has, fortunately, never been tested as no huge threat has been

presented to the US since 9/11. The Act has created a backup or "backstop" as

was the coined term for insurance claims relating to acts of terrorism. The Act

"provided for a transparent system of shared public and private compensation

for insured losses resulting from acts of terrorism” (Terrorism Risk Insurance

Program, 2015) and also had a legal “make available” requirement that insurers

must offer their customers terrorism cover. It erased the terrorism exclusion that

many insurers and reinsurers had in place. However, the exclusion could be re-

established if the insured had failed to pay the increase in premium for the

coverage or also if the policyholder signed a declaration asking that the

exclusion would be reinstated. Under this new legislation, an incident of

terrorism must also be certified as such by the Secretary of the Treasury and

must meet the criteria that were specified. For example an “act of terrorism” can

be deemed as such if it is a vicious act or an act that puts human life, their

property or business in danger. It is also specified that the damage must have

occurred within America and was committed by somebody who was acting on

behalf of a "foreign person or foreign interest” which as part of an effort to place

the civil population of the United States into harm. This Act was a huge step in

Page 20: Final Year Project

16

the changing of the insurance industry as the passing of this Act was of great

benefit to reinsurers especially as a lot of responsibility was put on them since

the financial burden from the 9/11 attacks. In its aftermath, reinsurers were

unsure of ways to precisely assess and offer fair premiums to combat terrorism

exposures. Therefore, many reinsurers immediately withdrew from the market

for terrorism coverage as their capacity was unable to deal with another incident.

This had an adverse effect on primary insurers as with no back up from

reinsurers, they then had to completely exclude terrorism risk. In an article by

(Woodword, 2002) he provides a good argument of how 9/11 and the resulting

changes had adapted the insurance industry for the better. Due to this Act, all

commercial insurers that were writing business for the United States were

required to partake in the Federal program and to offer insurance for terrorism

risks. This was hugely important as it was imperative that cover be ready for

commercial property owners if an unfortunate attack did occur. This Act made

sure that insurers would offer cover and not totally exclude terrorism risks in

their underwriting. The industry did not realise at the time at how successful it

may prove as since there has not been a serious terrorist attack since 9/11, it is

reassuring for the US population to know that protection is in place. TRIA was

intended as “a short term solution to the economic and social impact from the

unavailability of terrorism coverage in U.S risks” according to (OECD, 2005).

In 2005 the Act was amended and reintroduced as although there were terrorist’s

threats to insurance, the US felt that they have enough protection in place to

quell the aftermath of an attack with this Act and its stipulations. However, the

question that was raised on whether or not to renew the Act at the end of 2005

was not as simple as was expected. The reason for the debate concerned the

Page 21: Final Year Project

17

issue of how much of a responsibility that the government should have, if any,

in authorising the offer of coverage from the insurance companies and also the

role they should have in providing help for catastrophic losses arising from a

terrorist incident. Ultimately, the amendments were made and the Government

passed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 (TRIEA) in

December 2005. It was an extended and modified version of the previous Act

and would expire at the end of 2007. Most of the changes merged into TRIEA

were made to further distance the government from terrorism losses by means

of “increased retentions for insurers, more stringent criteria for the magnitude

of losses covered, and the greater ability of the program to recoup losses after

payment” (Ball, 2006). Towards, the end of 2007, the Act was again further

extended and on December 26th 2007, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program

Reauthorization Act (TRIPRA) was introduced. The Act was further updated to

help re-stabilize the insurance market and additionally help the insurance

industry’s confidence in providing terrorism coverage. The amendments that

were made in 2007, were not as substantial as others but perhaps the largest and

most important update was that the Act was extended a further seven years until

the end of 2014. The passing of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002, along

with its two extensions, served to “effectively increase market capacity”

(Cogliano, 2011). If TRIA was not extended in the years 2005, 2007 and

subsequently in 2014, then many insurers would have omitted coverage for all

risks associated with terrorism on commercial and aviation policies which in

turn would have left policyholders feeling quite vulnerable and unable to protect

their businesses by not having protection in the face of adversity.

Page 22: Final Year Project

18

Chapter 3 The Insurance Market of the UK

3.1 Pre-9/11 in the UK

The UK insurance market when compared with the US market tells somewhat

of a different story in terms of pre 9/11 terrorism cover. While the US had

realistically no cover in place for something like the magnitude of 9/11, the

UK had a specific system in place for such an event. However, only for

previous attacks on the UK insurance industry, they might have been as

unprepared for 9/11 as the US were. There were two incidents that persuaded

the British into changing their stance and having protection in place for

possible future attacks. The first incident was known as the Bombing of the

Baltic Exchange. On 10th April 1992, an attack from the IRA on the

Exchange's offices damaged them extensively and also caused severe damage

to surrounding buildings. There were three fatalities in the attack while over

ninety people suffered injuries. The bomb was deemed to have caused around

£800 million worth of damage which had the potential to cripple the insurance

industry at the time but they had enough capacity to deal with it. Then in 1993,

the next event known as The Bishopsgate bombing occurred on Saturday the

24th April. The IRA or the Provisional Irish Republican Army detonated a

truck in one of London’s major financial districts known as Bishopsgate. In the

incident there was one fatality, journalist Ed Henty, while the bombing injured

over forty people and it was estimated that recovery and reconstruction would

cost somewhere near £350 million. This huge amount included reconstruction

of damage to stations and other surrounding buildings and also the complete

renovation of St. Ethelburga's church. The subsequent pay-outs by insurance

Page 23: Final Year Project

19

companies resulted in them suffering heavy losses “causing a crisis in the

industry, including the near-collapse of the Lloyd’s of London market”

(Dillon, 1996). These incidents can be noted as the beginning of a great change

for the UK insurance market. 9/11 further changed the UK’s stance against

terrorism but these incidents can be seen as terrorisms first major contribution

to the attitude of the British insurance industry. Insurers knew that it was time

for a change and together with the UK Government they came up with an idea

to provide greater capacity and assistance to the industry.

3.2 Establishment of Pool Re Scheme

After the incidents in 1992 and 1993, The Pool Reinsurance Company Limited

was set up. "Pool Re" was the British Government's 1993 response to the

withdrawal of reinsurance cover of the UK market for terrorist attacks,

following the IRA bombing of the Baltic Exchange in 1992 according to

(Thomann, 2004). Pool Re can be seen as a joint insurer that was set up by the

British Government along with main insurers across the UK. What it

essentially did was to use “Her Majesty’s Treasury” also known as the

Exchequer as a last resort if their capacity was going to be tested to its limits.

Many of the different insurance companies around the UK have the right to

use the Pool Reinsurance Company. The UK Government offers limitless

reinsurance to the Pool Re Scheme, which is beneficial in the protection of its

capacity if all of its financial resources are drained following a series of large

claims. Pool Re is also funded by insurers, who pay premiums to the Pool. In

the event of a high number of claims, Pool Re will reimburse these insurers

once the level of their insurance portfolios are determined. This proved very

Page 24: Final Year Project

20

beneficial as substantial reserves were now in place for all UK insurers. This

company meant that the UK was in much better position to deal with acts of

terrorism than most countries around the world at that time. It was by no

means a perfect system at its inception but it was a worthwhile start at

combatting incidents that can cripple financial securities in a matter of

moments. When it was first established the Pool Re scheme only provided

reinsurance cover for an incident of terrorism that caused damage by fire or

explosions where the UK government would assist insurers by allocating

capital to them to pay out on claims if the insurance industries assets were

fatigued. Between 1993 and 2002 Pool Re funded losses consequent upon acts

of terrorism, by the contribution of a total of “£612 million on claims”. This

statistic published by (OECD, 2005) is a clear reason why the Pool Re scheme

was sorely needed in the UK as terrorist activity was quite consistent there and

the losses suffered by it were quelled much more effectively with the

Reinsurance Company Pool acting as a backup.

3.3 UK reaction to September 11th 2001

At the time when 9/11 occurred, the insurance market in the UK was the

largest market in Europe and was the third biggest worldwide and today it also

still holds a high rank in worldwide insurance. Many insurance companies

throughout Britain suffered huge losses financially and during September 11th,

these companies had subsidiaries in the US with its parent companies

originating in Britain. The consequences were principally felt by “members of

the International Underwriting Association and by Lloyd’s” (Liedtke and

Courbage, 2002). In 2001 Lloyd’s was and is still today one of the top ranking

Page 25: Final Year Project

21

insurance and reinsurance companies in the world but it was recorded that they

suffered a loss of almost £2 billion on that day in September which is enough

to cripple any sole company worldwide. According to an article on their

website published in 2011, 9/11 was Lloyd’s largest-ever single loss and it

impacted many different classes of business. Previously before September

11th, there was never any thought that insurance policies such as aviation could

suffer a significant claim while also affecting property, business interruption

and injury in the same incident. They were somewhat unfathomable for

insurers to predict and prepare for. What insurers, like Lloyd’s, clearly learned

from the attacks is that any unthinkable links for insurance claims were now

very much a real possibility. Further realisations from UK insurers were that of

how important an international insurance market was to the world and the role

that reinsurance can play in the midst of catastrophe. The first reaction from

insurers in the UK was how it could control exposures as these events were

clearly going to have a much higher degree of claims than was first realised.

UK insurers firstly verified what exactly was to be covered as part of their

policies. In 1993, at the time Pool Re was established, terrorism was defined as

the means acts of persons acting on behalf of, or in connection with, any

organisation which “carries out activities directed towards the overthrowing or

influencing, by force or violence, of Her Majesty's government in the United

Kingdom or any other government de jure or de facto” (Reinsurance Act,

1993) but the Terrorism Act in 2000 had expanded the definition to an incident

that created a serious risk to the health and safety of a public body. Insurers

were aware that their capacity alone could not withstand the onslaught of

claims that 9/11 brought but with the Pool Reinsurance Company Limited

Page 26: Final Year Project

22

Scheme in place, they had enough financial capital to survive. The Pool Re

was limited in its coverage as back in 2001 it only covered business

interruption losses and also property damage but only when the losses arose

from a fire or explosion. It did not offer protection for any other type of

terrorist attack such as aviation damage etc.

3.4 Expansion of cover

In the immediate aftermath of the attacks, it was clearly realised that the extent

of cover that the Pool Re scheme had would need to be extended. The

immediate modifications would have to include a full range of damage done to

property and also extend the number of consequential losses covered after an

event has occurred. However, the Pool Re was not going to be the only back

up that the UK would need to combat terrorism as there was a much wider

concern for the future, that terrorists would now seek more elaborate ways of

causing harm. Nuclear and biological warfare were two of the obvious risk

types that may be used and this presented the insurance companies with a

worrying view of terrorism risk. After the attacks occurred, terrorism cover

began to be excluded from most all-risks property policies and even specialist

underwriters around the world were struggling to write the risks as their

unpredictability is harrowing. This meant that other changes were going to be

needed to the insurance industry and also the security and protection of the

British public. Again, 9/11 was seen as the beginning of a great evolution in

the insurance industry and since the UK was one of world’s strongest powers,

both in terms of war and financial power, it was time for a great change in

their insurance industry. In order for the Pool Re to become more efficient, the

Page 27: Final Year Project

23

security and safety of the British was paramount in this prolonged fight. For

the insurance industry to feel more at ease as offering terrorism cover, new

levels of security were needed to be put in place. The first real change that

arose in the wake of 9/11 was the Anti-terrorism, Crime and Security Act

2001. It was first signed into the Parliament of the United Kingdom on 19

November 2001, which was just over two months after the terrorist attacks

on the World Trade Centre in the US. The Act took the position that the

Government in the UK should be fully permitted to take whatever measures

necessary when faced with a serious threat, speaking in terms of an incident

like the magnitude of the events that occurred on September 11th. If there was

an immediate and imminent threat evident, then the “measures adopted should

be effective in combatting it and should go no further than the necessity to

meet it”. (Fenwick, 2002). This point made by Fenwick, articulates the

argument that measures must be put in place to stop terrorism by as quick and

reliant means as necessary. The true meaning of this Act can be mirrored onto

the insurance industry as the Pool Re Scheme had its substantial reserves in

place for a greater financial capacity and with the Government acting as a last

resort, the necessity of cover for catastrophe can be met. The Act was much

more focused on securitising Britain than providing provisions for insurance

specifically but the security it provided did help insurers feel more confident in

offering terrorism cover to customers. One such provision was that which

enabled the law in Britain to detain, without a charge or trial, foreign nationals

who may be suspected of terrorism in the UK. This was quite helpful to

insurers as any suspicious acts were quelled before a worrying incident may

have happened. Another provision was that of the enablement of law

Page 28: Final Year Project

24

enforcement agencies to restrict the use of assets of suspected terrorists when

an investigation of them was about to take place. This prevented capital from

being moved around and may have been a key factor in stopping terrorist

movements. These provisions of the Anti-terrorism, Crime and Security Act

helped insurers feel much more protected and open about offering terrorism

cover. Since there was security in place, they felt much less at risk to another

catastrophic loss.

3.5 Expansion of Pool Re in 2002

Towards the end of 2001, there were concerns about the extent of cover that

the Pool Reinsurance Company had. There was a significant difference in what

reinsurers covered compared to what the Pool Re Scheme would cover. The

Pool system had its cover limited to damage by fire and explosion and it also

did not have any cover for war which was generally excluded in most policies

when the Government had declared a state of war. The UK Government

agreed to discuss possible expansive measures of the scheme. An agreed

“terms of reference” was set in place by representatives of British Insurers,

Brokers and also the Pool Reinsurance Company itself. This “Group” of

insurance associates met as frequently as was possible and discussed possible

productive ways that the Pool Re could be enhanced. By July 2002, this group

had come to an agreement on how to tackle the new needs the UK insurance

industry needed since 9/11 changed the industries thought process on terrorism

risk. The first issue that was tackled was the extent of cover the scheme

provided. Since there was only provisions for explosion or fire damage after a

terrorist attack, other consequential damage such as flooding were neglected.

Page 29: Final Year Project

25

Since terrorism was so unpredictable, specialists and insurers could not

determine potential means of attack that terrorists may undertake, therefore the

scope of the Pool Re schemes cover was extended to provide protection for all

risks that arose from an attack or caused interruption to the insured’s business

or damage to their property. The Pool Re scheme was not allowed to be able to

select individual properties for terrorism cover, their choice was to either have

terrorism cover for all properties or else not offer protection to a potential or

existing customer at all. However, the new policyholder did have the right to

exclude certain properties of their choosing upon inception of a new policy.

Some areas of cover that were left untouched by the Group in 2002 was that of

the change to war risks which would still be excluded and also that cyber risk

such as hacking and implementation of viruses would also be excluded as

technology at the time would have found it difficult to prove it was damage

caused from a terrorist attack by using a computer virus. The next change that

was implemented that altered the UK insurance industry was the difference in

premium prices that were going to be in place. Since more cover was

becoming available, there was going to be an obvious price increase as the use

of the Pool Re scheme was never a free system. The manner in which the

scheme charged for its reinsurance was reviewed and with the knowledge of

the new scope of cover it was agreed that insurers may ask their policyholders

for additional premiums and the Pool Re may also require an increase in

payments from insurers for their services depending on the size of the risk

portfolio. Another provision that was highly important in the adaption of the

Pool scheme was that of how much involvement the Treasury had in the

company. Since the company was reinforced by the Treasury in the UK it was

Page 30: Final Year Project

26

fair that they would want to know about the company’s dealings and decision

making. It was agreed by the Group in 2002 that an annual report would be

submitted to the Treasury and any decisions that may need the Treasuries

involvement would also be disclosed immediately. Also the Treasury had a fee

in place which was charged at 10% of Pool Re’s total premium income since it

agreed to act as a reinsurer as a last resort. A key point that was also made in

the discussion of insurers, brokers and reinsurers when speaking about

amendments was how important an open system was between insurers

worldwide. The “London Market and the large international European and

American reinsurers are the main participants in the area of internationally-

traded reinsurance” (Liedtke and Courbage, 2002). Together these two

companies helped unify the world insurance market after 9/11 and kept it well

supported and well capitalised. In the case of 9/11 unification was needed as

the losses were tremendous and one country, even the US, could not withstand

it ferocity alone. Much of the loss suffered in the attacks on September

actually fell back on insurers in areas outside of the USA and therefore

worldwide help was needed. Lloyd’s for example contributed a large amount

of money to the US in the aftermath of the attacks and this proved hugely

beneficial as this extra capital helped the US insurance industry in its time of

great need. This approach was very welcomed by the Group and was

encouraged in times of need. All of these amendments were agreed to be

implemented from the 1st of January 2003. This extension of the Pool Re in

2002, has been the biggest part of the evolution of the UK’s insurance industry

since the 9/11 attacks. The original program was a worthy beginning to the

fight against terrorism risk on an insurance front but through these

Page 31: Final Year Project

27

amendments, the scheme should prove reliant and as of yet has been thankfully

untested by terrorism.

3.6 The Bombing of London 2005

On the 7th July 2005 another terrorist incident occurred in the UK. The London

bombings (which are now referred to as 7/7) were a number of terrorist suicide

bombers who preceded to intentionally injure civilians who were using public

transport in the early hours of the morning. Three of the attacks took place on

the London Underground railway system and the fourth took place on a double

decker bus. This series of attacks was the next substantial terrorist incident that

occurred worldwide after the events of 9/11. Although the consequential

damage was not as devastating as September 11th, it forced insurers and

reinsurers to again rethink and adapt their decision making for the future even

though the losses were covered with ease as a result of the Pool Re scheme

which was in place since 1993. With this program in place, “the insurance

industry as a whole is liable for 75 million pounds per terrorist event” and

losses above this are covered by the mutual reinsurance pool. Should the costs

rise above the funds available through the pool, “then the UK Treasury will

step in to cover the remaining costs” (DigyCat, 2012). During the incidents,

there were fifty-two people killed in the attack and over seven hundred injured

and it was noted that damage costs were estimated to be around £56 million

which ranked well below previous terrorist attacks. An interesting point made

by (Ruquet) in (2005) shows how terrorism has been in some ways nullified

around the world. This proves very helpful to insurance companies as they can

feel more reassured of their terrorism cover knowing that improvements have

Page 32: Final Year Project

28

been made. The positive that he believed came out of this was the size of the

attack. It indicates that in places like the UK and the USA, counterterrorism

measures are working. If there is a firm counterterrorism setting in possible

terrorist locations, it does not stop terrorism from taking place, but it does

discourage the size of the attack. 9/11 did help in some ways against the

London Bombings attack as countermeasures were already in place. An article

on (The Economist, 2005) website demonstrates the fact that companies had

emergency plans to cope with disruptions in their businesses which was

implemented after the attacks of September 11th 2001. This attack and also

that of 9/11 will be used to access future terrorism risks for insurers and again

change the industry for the better. As is the case with natural disasters,

recorded data from the incidents can be used by underwriters to price

premiums correctly and make sure they receive enough capital to provide

protection in unfortunate circumstances. Most of the implications that arose

from the London Bombings were again attributed the enhancement of the

securitisation of Britain. These precautions were seen through actions such as

the Terrorist Act 2006 whose amendments helped reinforce the security in the

UK to a greater effect and secondly it helped reassure insurers that terrorism

can be curtailed to a certain degree.

3.7 Terrorism Act 2006

The Terrorism Act 2006 was brought into legislation on the 12th October 2005.

The Act was brought into effect by the UK Parliament in the aftermath of the

London Bombings on 7th July in the same year which made insurers revisit the

devastation of 9/11. The amendments that the Act brought with it involves new

Page 33: Final Year Project

29

provisions to combat terrorism and also amends existing ones. This Act can be

seen as very adaptable as it requires that the stipulations introduced from the

Act must be kept under review. This provision would help the insurance

industry in particular because since terrorism is an ever evolving matter, this

Act can put new provisions in place when they are needed to help secure the

UK more profusely. Some of the specific effects that this Act brought with it

eased insurer’s worries about terrorism greatly. One such provision was that of

how the act “extends terrorism stop and search powers to cover bays and

estuaries, and to enable the police to search boats and other vessels” (The

Guardian, 2009). This new provision proved very helpful in the security of

Britain as terrorists try to enter the UK by different means other than air travel.

Airports can be problematic for them due to passport control and extensive

security checkpoints. With law enforcers now able to search incoming boats,

terrorists arriving to the UK, with intention to do harm, can be stopped before

they commit any possible damage. In a review by (Anderson, 2013), he sums

up just how effective this provision was in a worthy statement explaining that

“19 persons were charged with 19 offences under TA 2006 during the same

year, 15 of them under section 5 of preparation of terrorist acts”. This statistic

shows the effectiveness of the Act as a whole since Britain is becoming more

secure, the insurance industry can become more reliable in the availability of

cover for terrorism risk. Another amendment that can be seen as having a

positive effect for insurers was that of the establishment of new offences

relating to the possession or the making of nuclear material and also making it

a criminal offence to be illegally on a site of nuclear activity. This is a

particularly important amendment because terrorists are adapting their

Page 34: Final Year Project

30

strategies and attacks by nuclear means is an unfamiliar one for Governments

but this provision is a step against suppressing nuclear terrorism. With this

provision in place, increased security at nuclear stations and sites of nuclear

activity and also imprisonment for possession of nuclear material can be

hugely beneficial and with it this risk is suppressed at the source.

3.8 Resiliency of the UK

What 9/11 taught the world was that a terrorist attack can occur at any time, in

any place and can target anything. The role of insurance in protection against

these risks and the availability of cover is imperative worldwide. Since 1993

the UK has had a system in place as back up for a future terrorist attack and as

time has moved on since then it has further increased its securitisation for the

better. Through different Acts and the Pool Re scheme, the UK has shown

great resilience in the face of hostility. During 9/11 it provided much needed

back up to the US and proved that international unity is a much needed entity

for insurance industries. The aftermath of 9/11 presented many different

problems for countries worldwide and they needed to have protection against

these problems before they began a chain of an unprecedented amount of

claims. The 2005 London Bombings showed just how much the UK had

adapted its systems from 1993 and then again after 9/11. The Pool Re was not

called upon as insurers had enough capacity to deal with the claim through

their own received premiums. Without the specific terrorism cover they had

offered at that time the incident could have proved crippling to insurers. The

UK learned a valuable lesson from the bombings. They did not alter much of

the insurance coverage offered as was seen in the US, but they did put a great

Page 35: Final Year Project

31

deal of work into improving the security around the UK through different acts

of legislation. With increased security, insurers may not be called into action

as terrorists may be unable to bypass the first line of the UK defences which is

implemented by the law enforcement.

Page 36: Final Year Project

32

Chapter 4 Possibilities in the Future

4.1 Time of Great Change

The years from 1993 to 2014 have shown the world the ferocity of what

terrorism can do. It has the ability to shatter companies financially and it can

also reduce what was once a proud international landmark to rubble. In both of

these cases the insurance industry is sorely needed for protection resulting

from property damage, business interruption, loss of life and liability claims.

Scenarios of catastrophe changed that day in September 2001, as the

magnitude of possible loss was not immeasurable. The evolution of insurance,

particularly in the US and the UK, has been outstanding over the past number

of years. Terrorism is the toughest risk for insurers to deal with due to its

unpredictability. Companies can in many ways insure against the possible risk

of terrorism and its consequences with more ease because they have learned

and adapted from previous attacks. It is extremely challenging for insurers and

reinsurers to predict and quantify the risks of terrorism and their underwriters

find it difficult to preciously measure even with their sophisticated modelling

procedures. Insurers and reinsurers must learn from the past and be prepared

with large reserve pools in place and trust in the security of their nations. What

9/11 has done for the world is imprinted the word “insurance” on the mind of

public bodies internationally. In its aftermath, some people of the general

public realised that insurance wasn’t just a simple use of their money but it

was now a necessity in their lives.

Page 37: Final Year Project

33

4.2 Advancements in Future Terrorism Threats

Terrorism around the world has survived and also evolved in this modern age

and it is still continuing to adapt to meet the challenges of increased barriers

and security that is put in place for them by the law. Just as the insurance

sector has shown momentous progress in its amendments and legislation

against terrorism risk, terrorist groups have also shown significant progress in

escaping from a subordinate role in nation-state conflicts, and becoming

prominent as international influences in their own right. They are using their

initiative to form alliances with other troubling entities, such as organisations

of criminals and are steadily gathering a worrying identity with governments

worldwide. One way in which terrorists have evolved to make it difficult for

governments and the insurance industry to prepare for a possible onslaught is

how they operate through a network of command and there is no single entity

in control. With this method, it is almost for impossible for military units to

discover a leader and stop an attack at its source. Through multiple chains of

command, terrorists operations are quite unpredictable. The intimidating use of

current technologies by terrorists for communication means and also the rise in

intelligence has increased their effectiveness. New weapons technology has

also become more available and with the financial capacity of terrorists

growing their capabilities may be boundless. These funded terrorist operations

are easily proficient in surpassing the complexity of counter-measures that are

in place against them. In modern times, terrorists require a large audience in

order to carry out their intended messages and therefore the size of their

attacks in the future must increase. New areas such as cyber terrorism are areas

in which they may try to exploit. In an article by (Rothman, 2012) he explains

Page 38: Final Year Project

34

how cyber terrorism can attack the banking sector when “criminal hackers use

their multitude of computers and malware to flood the targeted site with

massive amounts of traffic until it is overwhelmed and thus shut down. The

resulting downtime is damaging in countless ways”. This is an example of the

evolution of terrorism attacks as Governments and banks are faced with new

risks as they try to protect the livelihoods of people worldwide. The attack of

governmental computer systems has the ability to put nations worldwide at

risk, as launch codes and weaponry may be hacked and this is the reason why

cyber-attacks may need to be more focused on. Other attacks by nuclear,

radioactive and advanced weaponry are also areas that the Government and

insurers alike must prepare for in the future.

4.3 Preparing for the Future

As we progress further in the 21st century, terrorism risk and its insurance

cover must be constantly reviewed and adapted in the same manner that has

been done over the last twenty years. There are a number of small but

necessary measures that have been brought in around the world such as the

removal of bins in London. In the London Underground, there are no bins

available because of previous terrorist attacks and also on streets near major

attractions bins have also been excluded. The use of bombs by terrorists has

forced the UK into this decision and it is a step in avoiding another

catastrophic event. The future of terrorism risk is unclear as they seek new

ways of carrying out an attack on an unsuspecting population. The insurance

industry must adapt in kind to combat terrorism. A quote from (Dooley, 2015)

Page 39: Final Year Project

35

in a recent article on the Lloyd’s websites shows how the companies linked to

the Pool Re Scheme look for more adaption consistently. “As the threat

evolves, Pool Re will keep the coverage that it provides under constant

review”. Recently the Treasury in London have reviewed changes into the way

that the Pool Re Scheme is to be funded. The reason behind the changes are

seen to be that since terrorists attacks may become more elaborate and

damaging, a bigger reserve pool must be available and the HM Treasury who

has made a charge of 10% of Pool Re’s total premium income for agreeing to

act as reinsurer of last resort but this has “increased the charge from 10% to

50%” (Willis, 2014). If recent trends continue, cyber terrorism may be the next

area that terrorists try to exploit for their own means. In a recent article by”

(Sturdevant, 2015) he voices his opinion of how insurers have kept pace with

the rapid changes in technological risks since cyber insurance established

critical mass but “they’ve proceeded cautiously”. This is a matter that needs to

be addressed in the near future before it is too late, as there is not near enough

market saturation in the cyber terrorism insurance market as there needs to be.

Lloyds of London, for example, has no cover for cyber insurance in place as

they believe that the underwriting it involves is quite perplexing even though it

is a huge opportunity for the company to sell more cover and increase profit

margins. There are companies in the UK that do offer protection but there is

excessive restrictions on what can be covered and the premiums are charged at

very high prices. This is an area for the UK that needs to be reviewed and

adapted for the future. The US, in turns of cyber insurance has taken a

difference approach, through its implementation of the National Cybersecurity

and Critical Infrastructure Protection Act of 2013 it has placed sufficient cover

Page 40: Final Year Project

36

in place for cyber terrorism and this would help ease the losses arising from

areas such as business interruption. Other areas that the US have amended in

their evolution against terrorism is the amendments made to Terrorism Risk

Insurance Program Reauthorization Act (TRIEA) and this has been passed into

US legislation again with advanced areas of cover and more provisions for

insurers to feel more confident in providing extended terrorism cover. There

are slight differences in how the USA and the UK insurance industries markets

prepare against terrorism risk. The Pool Re can be viewed as a permanent

body which is willing to act as the insurer of last resort in a catastrophic

occurrence whereas the stipulations under the TRIEA are more of an interim

measure which is used to enhance the insurance market activity through

consistent amendments. Both measures have proved able bodied in the fight

against terrorism risk but 9/11 has been the only true test of their capabilities.

4.4 Unique Terrorism Insurance

Certain companies worldwide such as AIG and XL Group PLC have begun a

new and innovative way of combatting terrorism which may possibly be the

future of how the insurance industry deals with terrorism risks. It is the idea of

the inception of a new separate insurance market that would be capable of

standing up against terrorism, it can also be known as a standalone terrorism

market. While the September 11th attacks installed the idea of a constant and

considerable threat in the minds of the insurance industry through a possible

large scale event, it should not be forgotten that a single large scale attack is

not the only threat: the possible “accumulation of medium size terrorist attacks

Page 41: Final Year Project

37

in a limited time period creates a growing danger” (OECD, 2005) and these

attacks may gather together in ferocity and become as catastrophic as one large

single attack. For this reason this new possible area that may be enhanced for

the future would be for a standalone terrorism insurance market where perhaps

subsidiaries of a parent company may focus on providing cover for small and

medium sized terrorist attacks and have their parent company in reserve if they

are needed. This would focus the large reserve pools of the parent company on

a large attack but the capital obtained through premiums in the subsidiaries can

quell attacks on a smaller scale. The possible other benefits it could include

would be the introduction of coverage for acts of terrorism whether the act is

committed nationally or abroad in a different country. As well as that all types

of terrorism cover could be available such as nuclear and biological and that

business interruption and property damage would still be included even if war

has been declared. These benefits of the standalone market are the current gaps

seen in today’s markets in the UK and the US. The adaptation of the US and

the UK since 9/11 has been staggering but just as terrorists will continue to

adjust their means, the insurance industry must gain the advantage and have

necessary steps taken before another event may occur.

Page 42: Final Year Project

38

Conclusion

In conclusion, if 9/11 taught the insurance markets in the US and the UK

anything, it is that terrorist attacks are an unfathomable occurrence and

preparation is our only guaranteed defence against them. As a result of 9/11

both sectors have seen drastic improvements in the markets but amendments

and the very possible notion of a valiant stand-alone market may just be the

key to providing protection against terrorism and its consequences. Insurers

rely on the reinsurance industry for financial security in the case of a large

claim or large accumulated claims occurring. September 11th made both

insurers and reinsurers agree that they alone did not have the financial capacity

to deal with terrorism risks using their standard methods. It became obvious

that the combined input of the insurance industry and the Government would

be the right turn for the industry to take. The UK followed this method but the

US took a different direction in the evolution of their market. The US market

have continued to enhance scopes of cover and security and recently they have

signed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act for 2015

into law until the year ending 2020 with new provisions for the definition of

terrorism included. However, in terms of the future of this act, it seems that a

new extension in 2020 is becoming more unlikely. There seems to be a lot of

opposition to the Act as it is based upon too much Government involvement. It

is believed that through the enlarged capacity of reinsurance and the new

possible use of stand-alone terrorism insurance availability with its enhanced

modelling capabilities that the need for the backing of Parliament might be

fully mitigated. In the UK a recent update was brought in with huge support by

both sides of Parliament. The Counter-Terrorism and Security Act was

Page 43: Final Year Project

39

established on the 12th February 2015 following agreement and huge support

by both Houses of Parliament. The Act contains new laws with provisions to

toughen counter-terrorism proficiencies in Britain which include

enhancements in the monitoring and exposure of terrorist’s activities. Another

interesting provision the Act also introduced is that of the capability of

governmental agencies to track devices that may be responsible for sending

communication using the Internet if there is suspected terrorist activity. This

can be done from mobile phones, social network and instant messaging

services. These recent changes show just how much 9/11 has changed the

thinking process of nations worldwide as they strive to prevent terrorist

attacks. This in turn has a huge effect also on insurers as they become more

willing to provide protection if security measures fail and a terrorists attack

does occur. The importance of insurance is incomprehensible to people,

businesses and their ways of life. Its evolution is a never ending course and

although terrorism risks did not stem from 9/11, it took this devastating event

to begin an extensive change to the worldwide insurance industry. “The

certainty and confidence that insurance provision brings to all our daily lives,

whether business or personal, enables us to breathe more easily, to find the

confidence to let innovation flourish and to engage with the present and the

future, chastened by the past but not allowing the fear of the possible to

paralyse us in the present” (Mary McAleese, 2010).

Page 44: Final Year Project

40

Bibliography

Howard Kunreuther and Erwann Michel-Kerjan, 2004, Challenges for

Terrorism Insurance in the United States, October 1st,

http://www.nber.org/papers/w10870.pdf (assessed on 03/01/2015)

Maria Woehr, 2006, 9/11 and the Insurance Industry: 5 years later, Insurance

and Technology, 13th September, http://www.insurancetech.com/data-and-

analytics/9-11-and-the-insurance-industry-five-years-later/d/d-id/1309633?

(Assessed on 03/01/2015)

Claudia Aradau, 2012, Risk analysis - A field within security studies,

European Journal of International Relations, December 1st,

http://alt.sagepub.com/content/33/2/191.short (assessed on 03/01/2015)

Erwann O. Michel Kerjan, 2012, TRIA at 10 years, The Future Of Terrorism

Risk Program, September 11th,

http://opim.wharton.upenn.edu/risk/library/2012-09-11_TRIA-

testimony_MichelKerjan.pdf (assessed on 04/01/2015)

Patrick M. Liedtke and Christophe Courbage (2002), Insurance and September

11 One Year After, Geneva, August 1st, The Geneva Association

Hale, David. (2002). “America Uncovered.” Financial Times. September 12

John Cogliano, 2011, Why 9/11 Changed Everything, The Insurance Journal,

September 12th,

http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2011/09/09/214101.htm

(assessed 17/01/2015)

Page 45: Final Year Project

41

Beth Rowan, 2007, Post 9/11 Changes By The US Government, October 25th,

http://www.infoplease.com/us/history/911-anniversary-government-

changes.html (assessed on 17/01/2015)

Brill, Steven, 2003, After: Rebuilding and defending America in the

September 12 era, New York, September 2nd, Simon & Schuster.

Congressional Record, July 22, 2003, Assessed on (19/01/2015)

http://www.fas.org/irp/congress/2003_cr/h072203.html

Shawn Reese, 2013, Defining Homeland Security: Analysis and Congressional

Considerations, Congressional Report Service, January 8th,

http://fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/R42462.pdf (Assessed on 19/01/2015)

Rick Ham, 2013, The Benefits and Limitations of Cyber Insurance, Risk

Management Monitor, March 6th,

http://www.riskmanagementmonitor.com/the-benefits-and-limitations-of-

cyberinsurance/ (assessed on 19/01/2015)

Terrorism Risk Insurance Program, 2015, US Department of Treasury,

February 2nd, http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/fin-

mkts/Pages/program.aspx (assessed on 05/02/2015)

OECD, 2005, Terrorism Risk Insurance in OECD Countries, 9th edition, Paris

France, OECD Publishing

Howard Kunreuther, The Role of Insurance in Managing Extreme Events:

Implications for Terrorism Coverage, Business Economics Vol. 37, No. 2

(April 2002), pp. 6-16 http://www.jstor.org/stable/23490108 (Assessed on

06/02/2015)

Page 46: Final Year Project

42

Robert Ball, 2006, Terrorism Risk Extension Insurance Act (TREIA): Revised

Federal Participation In Catastrophic Risk, Integro Insurance Brokers, August

1st, http://www.integrogroup.com/data/File/white-papers/triea_white_paper.pdf

(assessed on 06/02/2015)

Martin Dillon, 1996, 25 Years of Terror: The IRA's war against the British,

2nd edition, New York City, September 26th, Bantam Books

Christian Thomann, 2004, War, Terrorism and Insurance in Europe After

September 11th 2001, Karlsruhe, October 21st, Verlag

Versicherungswirtschaft

Reinsurance (Acts of Terrorism) Act, 1993, chapter 18

Lloyds (2001), Remembering 9/11, Lloyds Market, September 9th,

http://www.lloyds.com/News-and-Insight/News-and-Features/Market-

news/Industry-News-2011/Remembering-September-11th (assessed on

06/02/2015)

Richard B. Allyn (2003), The Fall And Rise of Terrorism Insurance Coverage

Since September 11th 2001, Robins, Kaplan, Miller & Ciresi,

William B. Brice, 1994, British Government Reinsurance and Acts of

Terrorism: Problems of Pool Re, May 31st,

http://heinonline.org/HOL/LandingPage?handle=hein.journals/upjiel15&div=2

1&id=&page (Assessed on 06/02/2015)

Helen Fenwick, 2002, The Anti- Terrorism, Crime and Security Act 2001: A

Proportionate Response to September 11th, The Modern Law Review, Vol. 65

No.5, P. 724-725 http://www.jstor.org/stable/1097614 (Assessed on

06/02/2015)

Page 47: Final Year Project

43

Greg Dooley, 2005, FT: Pool Re To Review Terrorism Cover For Business,

Pool Re: Reinsuring Terrorism Risk, January 20th,

https://www.poolre.co.uk/ft-pool-re-review-terrorism-cover-business/

(Assessed on 08/02/2015)

Mark E. Ruquet, 2005, Damage From London Terror Bombings Could

Reach $100 Million, Property Casualty 360, July 18th,

http://www.propertycasualty360.com/2005/07/18/damage-from-st1place-

xmlnsst1urnschemasmicrosoftco (Assessed on 08/02/2015)

The Economist, 2005, London After The Bombs, The Economist, July 14th,

http://www.economist.com/node/4174726 (Assessed 09/02/2015)

DigyCat, 2012, Life Insurance Fears Post London Bombings,

http://insurance.digycat.com/52249.php (Assessed 09/02/2015)

David Anderson, 2014, Report Of The Independent Reviewer On The

Operation Of The Terrorism Act 2000 And Part 1 Of The Terrorism Act

2006, The Terrorist Acts in 2013, July 31st,

https://terrorismlegislationreviewer.independent.gov.uk/wp-

content/uploads/2014/07/Independent-Review-of-Terrorism-Report-2014-

print2.pdf (Assessed on 10/02/2015)

The Guardian, 2009, Terrorism Act 2006, January 19th,

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/libertycentral/2009/jan/19/terror

ism-act-2006 (Assessed on 10/02/2015)

Terrorism Research, 2015, Future Trends in Terrorism,

http://www.terrorism-research.com/future/ (Assessed on 20/02/2015)

Page 48: Final Year Project

44

Willis, 2014, Changes to the Way Pool Re is Funded,

http://www.willis.com/documents/publications/industries/Property_Investors

/Changes_to_Pool_Re_funding_REP_-_Dec_14.pdf (assessed on

20/02/2015)

Matthew Sturdevant, 2015, When Terrorists Attack Online, is Cyber

Insurance Enough, Hartford Courant, January 26th,

http://www.courant.com/business/hc-cyber-terrorism-insurance-20150126-

story.html#page=1 (assessed on 21/02/2015)

Alison Knight, 2015, Counter Terrorism and Security Act 2015 Receives UK

Royal Assent, February 19th,

https://peepbeep.wordpress.com/2015/02/19/counter-terrorism-and-security-

act-2015-receives-uk-royal-assent/ (Assessed on 02/03/2015)

Mary McAleese, President of Ireland, remarks to the European Insurance

Forum, RDS Concert Hall, Dublin, 30 March 2010]

http://thefinanser.co.uk/files/fs-club---the-price-of-fish---04-07-12-v1-1.pdf

(Assessed on 02/03/2015)