feasibility study for a public transport system for...
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Feasibility Study for a Public Feasibility Study for a Public Transport System for DamascusTransport System for Damascus
September 2006September 2006
Urban Transport for sustainable cities: Shaping cities for and with people Lessons learned from France
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Study TasksStudy Tasks
Selection of Selection of Corridor (s)Corridor (s)Task 1Task 1
Selection of Selection of AlternativesAlternativesTask 2Task 2
Evaluation of Evaluation of AlternativesAlternativesTask 3Task 3
Development of Development of ProposalProposalTask 4Task 4
Implementation Implementation StrategyStrategyTask 5Task 5
Ranked classification of corridorsSelection of priority corridor(s)
Selection of three technologies to be evaluated for the priority corridor(s) General Master Plan for the Mass Public Transit SystemPriority corridor and technology selection
Operational design of the priority corridor
Implementation action plan
FASEPFASEPFASEP
Next stepsNext stepsNext steps
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Demand Forecasts. Damascus Demand Forecasts. Damascus Population and Employment ProjectionsPopulation and Employment Projections
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
Damascus rural areas
Damascus Governorate
1994 2001 2020
1.39 1.57 2.0
Inhabitants(million)
1.34 1.99 5.1
2001 2020
0.7
Employment(million)
0.5 2.0
1.0
Public transport trips(boarding do nothing supply scenario) 2.63 6.53
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Procedure for Selecting Priority Mass Transit Procedure for Selecting Priority Mass Transit CorridorsCorridors Identify elemental corridorsIdentify elemental corridors
Analyze elemental corridors and Analyze elemental corridors and assemble into transport corridorsassemble into transport corridorsSelect potential mass transit corridorsSelect potential mass transit corridorsSelect priority mass transit corridorsSelect priority mass transit corridors
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
Cover the totality of densely urbanized areasCover the totality of densely urbanized areasFollow main transport right of waysFollow main transport right of waysCover desired transport lines Cover desired transport lines (most important (most important origins and destinations)origins and destinations)
Avoid, to the extent possible, antiquities sitesAvoid, to the extent possible, antiquities sites
Criteria for Identifying Elemental CorridorsCriteria for Identifying Elemental Corridors
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Urbanized Urbanized Areas in Areas in
Study areaStudy area
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
Urbanized Urbanized Areas in Areas in Damascus Damascus GovernorateGovernorate
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Arterial distributor Main distributor Secondary distributor
Road to Qatana
International Airport Road
Road to Ma'raba, At Tal
Othman Bin 'Affan Street
Road to Aleppo
Beirut Road
Road to Zabadani, Beirut
Fayez Mansoor Street
Hafez El Assad Road
Primary Road Network SystemPrimary Road Network System
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Desired Transport Lines Desired Transport Lines in Damascus in Damascus GovernorateGovernorate
3
98
1
2
45
6
7
1043
00 (7
8800
)
24700 (18900)
50600 (37800)
7910
0 (5
8100
)
8300
(600
0)
98000 (69600)
27500 (19900) 82400 (61900)
Radial desired lines
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
98
3
12000 (8900)
700 (500)
5500
(410
0)
1800 (1400)
2700
(200
0)
7500
(570
0)
1
2
45
6
7
11000 (7200)
31900 (23600) 8500 (6700)
3350
0 (2
5900
)
39300 (27900)
3110
0 (2
2900
)
3800
(290
0)9900 (7300)
7400 (5700)
1140
0 (82
00)
14300 (10700)2000 (1500)
16900 (12500)
4500 (3300)
3700 (2700)
36400 (28200)
31000 (23900)
5300 (3900)
5400 (3900)
900 (700)
3800 (2500)
7500 (5700)
Concentric desired lines
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
146 elemental corridors were selected
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridorsElemental Elemental CorridorsCorridors
Coverage of Coverage of Elemental CorridorsElemental Corridors
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Not at scale
Green Line - 1: Mezzeh–QabounRed Line – 2: Barzeh–MukhayyanBlue Line – 3: Kadam–JaubarOrange Line – 4: Dummar–Jaramana
Green Line 1Green Line 1
Green Line 1Green Line 1
Red Line 2Red Line 2
Red Line 2Red Line 2Blue Line 3Blue Line 3
Blue Line 3Blue Line 3
Orange Line 4Orange Line 4
Orange Line 4Orange Line 4
Barzeh
Qaboun
Jaubar
Dummar
Mezzeh
Kadam Mukhayyan
Jaramana
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridorsProposed Mass Transit Lines to evaluateProposed Mass Transit Lines to evaluate
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Population Population and and Employment Employment within the within the Area of Area of Influence of Influence of Mass Transit Mass Transit LinesLines 0
100,000200,000
300,000400,000
500,000600,000700,000
800,000900,000
GreenLine
Red Line Blue Line OrangeLine
EmploymentPopulation
Area of influence: 470 meters at both sides of the line’s axis.
Red Line Red Line and Green and Green Line have Line have the the highest highest coveragecoverage
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
476
688
89235
311 484338
867
921
1280 250
760
1114
1516
528
600200
400
435
381103
36935352001118
925
565895
626
289
75
428
1832738
1597
770
Not at scale
2,340
2,120
2,150
2,040
600
1,410
1,370
1,430
4,4603,580
2,640 2,780
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Green Line Red Line Blue Line OrangeLine
Green Line and Red Line are the most heavily used public Green Line and Red Line are the most heavily used public transport corridorstransport corridors
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
2002 2002 Morning Morning Peak Hour Peak Hour Microbuses Microbuses by Mass by Mass Transit LineTransit Line
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Mass Transit Mass Transit Line by Line by Distribution Distribution of Alignment of Alignment by Possible by Possible Level of Level of Insertion Insertion DifficultyDifficulty
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
GreenLine
Red Line Blue Line OrangeLine
Very HighHighMediumLowVery Low
Green Line Green Line and Red and Red Line would Line would have the have the least least insertion insertion difficultiesdifficulties
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Not at scale
Green Line - 1: Mezzeh–QabounRed Line – 2: Barzeh–MukhayyanBlue Line – 3: Kadam–JaubarOrange Line – 4: Dummar–Jaramana
Green Line 1Green Line 1
Green Line 1Green Line 1
Red Line 2Red Line 2
Red Line 2Red Line 2Blue Line 3Blue Line 3
Blue Line 3Blue Line 3
Orange Line 4Orange Line 4
Orange Line 4Orange Line 4
Barzeh
Qaboun
Jaubar
Dummar
Mezzeh
Kadam Mukhayyan
Jaramana
Task 1 : Selection of corridorsTask 1 : Selection of corridors
……the the Green Green LineLine
and,and,thethe Red LineRed Line
were chosen as were chosen as priority mass priority mass transit transit corridorscorridors..
After analyses of socioeconomic, total and public transport trafAfter analyses of socioeconomic, total and public transport traffic, and fic, and physical conditions of corridors, physical conditions of corridors, …………
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Contrasted analysis of five technologiesContrasted analysis of five technologiesBus (standard and articulated)Bus (standard and articulated)TrolleybusTrolleybusTramwayTramwayLight rail metroLight rail metroHeavy rail metroHeavy rail metro
Selection of three technologies per Selection of three technologies per corridorcorridorStudy of the three technologiesStudy of the three technologies
Task 2 : Selection of alternativesTask 2 : Selection of alternatives
(Alternative = 1 corridor+1 technology)(Alternative = 1 corridor+1 technology)
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Contrasted Analysis of technologiesContrasted Analysis of technologies
Heavy rail metro
Light rail metro
Tramway
Trolleybus
Articulated bus on busway
Standard bus on busway
MultipleSuppliers
Possibilityto Expand
ProvenTechno-
logy
InsertionPossibility
CapacitySelection CriteriaSystems
Task 2 : Selection of alternativesTask 2 : Selection of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Selected Technologies and corridorsSelected Technologies and corridors
Task 2 : Selection of alternativesTask 2 : Selection of alternatives
In total 8 alternatives analyzedIn total 8 alternatives analyzed
Corridors Technologies
Fully At -GradeTramwayPartially At-Grade
Light Rail Metro
Green Line
Red LineHeavy Rail Metro
Integration
Fully separatedFully separated
BRT is an alternative based on articulated buses operating on fuBRT is an alternative based on articulated buses operating on fully separated lly separated lanes. It cannot be integrated through Old Damascus area. lanes. It cannot be integrated through Old Damascus area.
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Mass Transit Systems Passenger ForecastsMass Transit Systems Passenger Forecasts
Morning Peak Hour Daily Morning
Peak Hour Daily Morning Peak Hour Daily
Green LineTramway at-Grade 9,450 263,608 13,920 364,093 14,430 513,939Tramway Partially At-Grade 10,850 302,754 15,990 418,161 16,570 590,259Light Rail Metro 11,660 325,292 17,180 449,291 17,810 634,201Heavy Rail Metro 11,660 325,292 17,180 449,291 17,810 634,201
Red LineTramway at-Grade 6,920 200,168 9,220 234,015 6,600 177,456Tramway Partially At-Grade 7,750 224,308 10,330 262,237 7,400 198,857Light Rail Metro 8,790 254,394 11,720 297,410 8,390 225,529Heavy Rail Metro 8,790 254,394 11,720 297,410 8,390 225,529
Source: Own estimates.
Corredor / Technology
2005 2010 2020
Note: Morning peak hour : In direction towards Damascus
Assumes:2005: Green Line or Red Line only2010: Green Line and Red Line2020: Green Line, Red Line and other mass transit services. If no other mass transit services, the minimum morning peak hour and direction passengers increase to:Green Line: 23,300Red Line: 10,600
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
JICA model from “Study on Urban Transportation Planning for Damascus City”Traffic counts and surveys (BCEOM)
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Tramway AlignmentTramway Alignment
Two vertical alignment optionsTwo vertical alignment optionsFully AtFully At--Grade TramwayGrade TramwayPartially AtPartially At--Grade TramwayGrade Tramway
Several horizontal alignment options in the Several horizontal alignment options in the Green LineGreen Line
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Old Town Gardens and parks Residential Commercial and residentialSouks and shops Government offices Cultural Industrial
Legend:
Alignment
Optional Alignment
Station
Tramway Alignment OptionsTramway Alignment Options
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Old Town Gardens and parks Residential Commercial and residential Souks and shops Government offices Cultural Industrial
Legend:
Alignment
Optional Alignment
Station
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TUNNEL
Green LineFully At-Grade: 15.4 kmPartially At-Grade
At-grade section: 11.5 kmUnderground: 3.3
Red LineFully At-Grade: 10.5 kmPartially At-Grade
At-grade section: 7.1 kmUnderground: 3.4
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Tramway Tramway Alignment Alignment
in the in the Centre Centre AreaArea
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Tramway Typical Cross SectionsTramway Typical Cross Sections
Project Cross section Central Integration
Lateral station
5.0 7.0 7.0 4.17.03.0
Actual cross section
5.0 9.3 9.3 8.11.4
Faez Mansour Motorway, Faculty of Letters 29th May Street
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Examples of Possible AtExamples of Possible At--Grade Tramway InsertionsGrade Tramway Insertions
HalabHalabStreetStreet
AbdelAbdel RahmanRahmanGhafikiGhafiki StreetStreet
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
POSSIBLE START/END OF VIADUCT
POSSIBLE START/END OF VIADUCT
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF VIADUCT
POSSIBLE START/END OF VIADUCT
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL AND BEGIN/END OF CUT AND COVER TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL AND BEGIN/END OF CUT AND COVER TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL AND BEGIN/END OF CUT AND COVER TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL AND BEGIN/END OF CUT AND COVER TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL AND BEGIN/END OF CUT AND COVER TUNNEL
POSSIBLE START/END OF TBM TUNNEL AND BEGIN/END OF CUT AND COVER TUNNEL
Green Line:At-grade section: 2.6 kmElevated: 3.2 kmCut and cover tunnel: 2.5 kmTBM tunnel: 6.5 km
Red Line:Cut and cover tunnel: 7.4 kmTBM tunnel: 3.0 km
Old TownGardens and parksResidentialCommercial and residentialSouks and shopsGovernment officesCulturalIndustrial
Legend:
TBM tunnel
ViaductAt GradeStation
Cut and cover tunnel
Metro AlignmentsMetro Alignments
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Old TownGardens and parksResidentialCommercial and residentialSouks and shopsGovernment officesCulturalIndustrial
Legend:
TBM tunnel
ViaductAt Grade
Station
Cut and cover tunnel
Metro Alignments in Metro Alignments in Centre AreasCentre Areas
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
DescriptionDescription
Insertion and infrastructureInsertion and infrastructureOperationOperationCostsCostsGeneral qualityGeneral qualityImplementation issuesImplementation issues
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
AssumptionsAssumptions
Alternatives are evaluated within an Alternatives are evaluated within an integrated and integrated and reorganisedreorganised route route networknetworkMicrobuses are assigned to feeder Microbuses are assigned to feeder routesroutes
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Insertion and Insertion and InfrastructureInfrastructure
Corridor/Technology Length (kms) Stations
Average Distance Between Stations
Insertion M ethod
Use of Right of
W ay Energy
Platform width
(m)
At-G rade
Insertion (kms)
G reen Line Corridor
Tramway at-G rade 15.4 23 698 Fully At-Grade
Shared at intersections
Electric 750 V.
Catenaries 7.0 15.4
Tramway Partially At-G rade 14.9 22 707 Partially
At-Grade
Partially shared at
intersections
Electric 750 V.
Catenaries 7.0 11.5
Light Rail M etro 14.9 22 707 Fully Separated Not shared
Electric 750 V.
Third rail 7.0 2.6
H eavy Rail Metro 14.9 22 707 Fully Separated Not shared
Electric 750 V.
Third rail 7.0 2.6
Red Line Corridor
Tramway at-G rade 10.5 23 477 Fully At-Grade
Shared at intersections
Electric 750 V.
Catenaries 7.0 10.5
Tramway Partially At-G rade 10.5 22 477 Partially
At-Grade
Partially shared at
intersections
Electric 750 V.
Catenaries 7.0 7.4
Light Rail M etro 10.4 22 498 Fully Separated Not shared
Electric 750 V.
Third rail 7.0 0.0
H eavy Rail Metro 10.4 22 498 Fully Separated Not shared
Electric 750 V.
Third rail 7.0 0.0
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Operational CharacteristicsOperational Characteristics
Corridor/Technology
Peak Hour and
Direction Demand (2010)
Peak Period
Headway (2010 in minutes)
Commercial Speed (km/h)
Number of
Trains (2010)
Length of
Train (m)
Train Capacity
Train Kilometres (million in
2010)
Seat Kilometres (million in
2010)
Green Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade 13,920 2.45 24 41 60 550 3.46 1,901
Tramway Partially At-Grade 15,990 2.00 28 41 60 550 3.87 2,130
Light Rail Metro 17,180 3.75 30 27 100 900 2.34 2,107
Heavy Rail Metro 17,180 3.75 30 27 120 1,100 2.34 2,575
Red Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade 9,220 3.50 19 27 60 550 2.35 1,293
Tramway Partially At-Grade 10,330 3.00 21 27 60 550 2.56 1,406
Light Rail Metro 11,720 4.00 24 18 100 900 1.83 1,645
Heavy Rail Metro 11,720 5.00 24 15 120 1,100 1.70 1,874
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Cost CharacteristicsCost CharacteristicsInvestment Costs Investment Costs per
Km of Line Annual Operating and Maintenance
Costs (2010) Corridor/Technology
Line Work (M USD)
Total (M USD)
Line Work (M USD)
Total (M USD)
Total (M USD)
Per Seat Km
Offered
Per Passenger
Green Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade 89.20 233.05 5.81 15.18 10.78 0.0057 0.087
Tramway Partially At-Grade 154.11 300.43 10.38 20.24 12.20 0.0057 0.086
Light Rail Metro 670.97 935,92 45.20 63.04 22.17 0.0102 0.145
Heavy Rail Metro 700.32 1,024.57 47.17 69.01 22.93 0.0098 0.150
Red Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade 56.00 166.32 5.34 15.84 7.65 0.0059 0.096
Tramway Partially At-Grade 128,73 239.05 12.34 22.91 8.50 0.0060 0.095
Light Rail Metro 507.45 692.40 48.64 66.37 16.93 0.0103 0.167
Heavy Rail Metro 528,86 728.12 50.69 69.79 18.17 0.0097 0.180
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
General Quality CharacteristicsGeneral Quality Characteristics
Corridor/Technology Reliability Comfort Waiting Time
Expansion Flexibility
Green Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade
Tramway Partially At-Grade
Light Rail Metro
Heavy Rail Metro
Red Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade
Tramway Partially At-Grade
Light Rail Metro
Heavy Rail Metro
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Easiness of ImplementationEasiness of Implementation
Corridor/Technology Complexity
of Technology
Institutional Change
Initial Resources
Duration of Construction
Green Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade
Tramway Partially At-Grade
Light Rail Metro
Heavy Rail Metro
Red Line Corridor
Tramway at-Grade
Tramway Partially At-Grade
Light Rail Metro
Heavy Rail Metro
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
ResultsResults
Technical and environmental Technical and environmental aspectsaspectsEconomic aspectsEconomic aspectsFinancial aspectsFinancial aspects
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Technical and Environmental AspectsTechnical and Environmental AspectsThe metro alternativesThe metro alternatives……
Are more attractive in terms of insertion, infrastructure, generAre more attractive in terms of insertion, infrastructure, general quality and al quality and environmental impactsenvironmental impactsSurpass the demands needs of the next twenty years, if other masSurpass the demands needs of the next twenty years, if other mass transit s transit services are also builtservices are also builtAre several orders of magnitude more expensive than the tramway Are several orders of magnitude more expensive than the tramway alternativesalternativesPhase important implementation obstacles to overcomePhase important implementation obstacles to overcome
The tramway alternativesThe tramway alternatives……Are least expensive and phase lower implementation obstaclesAre least expensive and phase lower implementation obstaclesService demand needs to acceptable levels, if other mass transitService demand needs to acceptable levels, if other mass transit services are services are also built; otherwise, they would phase capacity limitationsalso built; otherwise, they would phase capacity limitationsWith the inclusion of cut and cover tunnel sections and creativeWith the inclusion of cut and cover tunnel sections and creative urban urban insertion, can reduce the insertion, infrastructure, operations insertion, can reduce the insertion, infrastructure, operations and and environmental impacts drawbacksenvironmental impacts drawbacks
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Economic AspectsEconomic AspectsThe Green Line is The Green Line is the preferred the preferred corridorcorridor
The preferred The preferred technology is the Fully technology is the Fully AtAt--Grade TramwayGrade Tramway
But the Partially AtBut the Partially At--Grade Tramway is Grade Tramway is also acceptablealso acceptable
Green LineTramway at-Grade 216.43 1.87 19.7%Tramway Partially At-Grade 219.32 1.76 18.3%Light Rail Metro -187.88 0.70 9.4%Heavy Rail Metro -247.70 0.64 8.7%
Red LineTramway at-Grade -26.78 0.84 9.7%Tramway Partially At-Grade -69.19 0.67 7.5%Light Rail Metro -344.49 0.23 0.5%Heavy Rail Metro -368.68 0.22 0.0%
NPV at a 12% discount rate.
Source: Own estimates.
Net Present Value - NPV
(Million USD)
Benefit Cost Ratio - B/C
Internal Rate of Return - IRRCorredor / Technology
The metro alternatives The metro alternatives for the Green Line for the Green Line may also be may also be acceptable with the acceptable with the inclusion of noninclusion of non--quantified benefitsquantified benefits
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Financial Aspects Financial Aspects –– Tariffs (in USD)Tariffs (in USD)Public: If the Tariff Operating Costs is applied, investments will need to be fully financed with public subsidies Operating concession
Private with subsidy: If the Tariff Covering Equipment Operating Costs is applied, civil works will need to be financed with public subsidies
Private without subsidy: If the Tariff Covering All Costs is applied, no public subsidies are needed Global BOT
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Tariff - CoveringOperating costs
Tariff - CoveringEquipement andOperating Costs
Tariff - Covering
all Costs
At-Grade Tramway 0.07 0.26 0.35
Partially At-Grade Tramway 0.07 0.24 0.38
Light rail Metro System 0.10 0.44 1.07
Heavy rail Metro System 0.11 0.52 1.17
At-Grade Tramway 0.10 0.40 0.53
Partially At-Grade Tramway 0.10 0.39 0.67
Light rail Metro System 0.19 0.86 2.25
Heavy rail Metro System 0.20 0.92 2.37
Corridor / TechnologicalAlternatives
Green Line
Red Line
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Financial Aspects Financial Aspects –– Government Subsidy (million USD) Government Subsidy (million USD) at a fare set of USD 0.20.at a fare set of USD 0.20.
Current Governorate ofDamascus road budget: USD 30 million
Green Line Red Line Technology Total Annual Total Annual
Fully at-Grade Tramway 133 26.6 129 25.8
Partially At-Grade Tramway 187 31.2 240 40.0
Light Rail Metro 905 90.5 748 74.8
Heavy Rail Metro 1,016 101.6 791 79.1
With the exception of possibly Hong Kong, all mass transit projects require government commitment and they are justified based on their social benefits, not their financial performance.
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Comparative AnalysisComparative Analysis
Green line mass transit alternativesGreen line mass transit alternativesRed Line mass transit alternativesRed Line mass transit alternativesComparison of Green Line and Red Comparison of Green Line and Red LineLine
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Green Line Green Line Mass Transit Mass Transit AlternativesAlternatives
Evaluation ElementFully At-
Grade Tramway
Partially At-Grade
Tramway
Light Rail Metro
Heavy Rail Metro
Improvement of the Transport OrganizationSatisfy public transport demand (2005 daily boarding) 263,608 302,754 325,292 325,292Constitute a credible public transport alternative
Train comfort High High High HighStation comfort High High High HighSpeed Low Medium High HighEasy of displacement Medium Medium Low Low
Enhancement of the Urban EnvironmentContribute to the renovation of central areas High Medium Low LowContribute to maintaining the city's cultural heritage Low Medium High HighContribute to the preservation of the environment Low Medium High High
Viability of ImplementationOptimal use of limited resources
Investment costs ( million USD net of interests) 233 300 936 1,025Net Present Value (million USD) 216 219 -188 -248IRR 19.7% 18.3% 9.4% 8.7%
Within Institutional and technical capabilities High Medium Low LowSocial acceptability
Fare to cover operating costs 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.11Fare to cover operating and equipment costs 0.26 0.24 0.44 0.52Fare to cover total costs 0.35 0.38 1.07 1.17
Financial viability (M USD subsidy at a fare of USD 0.20) 133 187 905 1,016
Source: Own estimates.
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Metro Alternatives in the Green LineMetro Alternatives in the Green Line
Both systems constitute credible public transport alternatives
The metro alternative would better maintain the existing urban structure, while positively contributing to reducing air and noise pollutions with few negative environmental impacts
The Light Rail Metro can be scaled down to demand needs and reduce investment costs and expand as needed
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Tramway Alternative in the Green LineTramway Alternative in the Green Line
Tramway also constitutes credible public transport alternativeThe insertion of a tramway at-grade could serve as a catalyst for the renovation of central areas. Tunnel sections would reduce the negative environmental impacts in the critical areas
For a successful tramway insertion in Damascus, other mass transit services and traffic management initiatives are required
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Red Line Mass Transit AlternativesRed Line Mass Transit AlternativesEvaluation Element
Fully At-Grade
Tramway
Partially At-Grade
Tramway
Light Rail Metro
Heavy Rail Metro
Improvement of the Transport OrganizationSatisfy public transport demand (2005 daily boarding) 200,168 224,308 254,394 254,394Constitute a credible public transport alternative
Train comfort High High High HighStation comfort High High High HighSpeed Low Medium High HighEasy of displacement Medium Medium Low Low
Enhancement of the Urban EnvironmentContribute to the renovation of central areas High Medium Low LowContribute to maintaining the city's cultural heritage Low Medium High HighContribute to the preservation of the environment Low Medium High High
Viability of ImplementationOptimal use of limited resources
Investment costs ( million USD net of interests) 166 239 692 728Net Present Value (million USD) -27.00 -69.00 -344.00 -369.00IRR 9.7% 7.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Within Institutional and technical capabilities High Medium Low LowSocial acceptability
Fare to cover operating costs 0.10 0.10 0.19 0.20Fare to cover operating and equipment costs 0.40 0.39 0.86 0.92Fare to cover total costs 0.53 0.67 2.25 2.37
Financial viability (M USD subsidy at a fare of USD 0.20) 129 240 748 791
Source: Own estimates.
The same conclusions are drawn:
Tramway has lower costs than metro alternatives, but…
Metro alternatives offer better service and enhancement of the urban environment.
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Comparison of Green Line and Red LineComparison of Green Line and Red Line
Evaluation Elements of the Fully At-Grade Tramway for the Green Line and the Red Line
The Green Line The Green Line appears to appears to have more attractive have more attractive elements than the Red Line elements than the Red Line as priority mass transit as priority mass transit corridorcorridor
Evaluation Element Green Line Red LineImprovement of the Transport Organization
Satisfy public transport demand (2005 daily boarding) 263,608 200,168Constitute a credible public transport alternative
Train comfort High HighStation comfort High HighSpeed Low LowEasy of displacement Medium Medium
Enhancement of the Urban EnvironmentContribute to the renovation of central areas High HighContribute to maintaining the city's cultural heritage Low LowContribute to the preservation of the environment Low Low
Viability of ImplementationOptimal use of limited resources
Investment costs ( million USD net of interests) 233 166Net Present Value (million USD) 216 27.00IRR 19.7% 9.7%
Within Institutional and technical capabilities High HighSocial acceptability
Fare to cover operating costs 0.07 0.10Fare to cover operating and equipment costs 0.26 0.40Fare to cover total costs 0.35 0.53
Financial viability (M USD subsidy at a fare of USD 0.20) 133 129
Source: Own estimates.
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
In ConclusionIn Conclusion……the metro systemsthe metro systems
Cost more but are more attractive in terms of technical characteCost more but are more attractive in terms of technical characteristics.ristics.Of the two metro system evaluated, the Light Rail System offers Of the two metro system evaluated, the Light Rail System offers the same the same benefits than the Heavy rail but with lower investment costs.benefits than the Heavy rail but with lower investment costs.In addition, the Light Rail Metro can start up with low capacitiIn addition, the Light Rail Metro can start up with low capacities adjusted to es adjusted to demand needs, and expand.demand needs, and expand.Are more appropriate in a city with high investment capabilitiesAre more appropriate in a city with high investment capabilities and with and with dense public transport corridors or with high growth expectationdense public transport corridors or with high growth expectations.s.They promote economies of concentration and dynamism to the cityThey promote economies of concentration and dynamism to the city and its and its activities.activities.Their main risks are related with the uncertainties of tunnel coTheir main risks are related with the uncertainties of tunnel construction and, nstruction and, in general, the construction and operation of a more complex tecin general, the construction and operation of a more complex technology, and hnology, and with its high investment costs.with its high investment costs.
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
In ConclusionIn Conclusion……the tramway systemthe tramway system
Cost less but is also less attractive in terms of technical charCost less but is also less attractive in terms of technical characteristics.acteristics.Its reduced carrying capacity, when compared with the metro systIts reduced carrying capacity, when compared with the metro system.em.It would be more appropriate when its part of an urban developmeIt would be more appropriate when its part of an urban development strategy nt strategy aimed at maintaining the city character, with slow growth, promoaimed at maintaining the city character, with slow growth, promotion of tion of pedestrian facilities and other urban amenities.pedestrian facilities and other urban amenities.Complemented with traffic management initiatives and other mass Complemented with traffic management initiatives and other mass transit transit services.services.Its main risks are associated with its lower carrying capacity aIts main risks are associated with its lower carrying capacity and limited nd limited expansion capabilities, with a theoretical maximum capacity closexpansion capabilities, with a theoretical maximum capacity close to 18,000 e to 18,000 passengers per hour and direction and with its difficulty to upgpassengers per hour and direction and with its difficulty to upgrade to higher rade to higher capacity systems.capacity systems.In this context, if this technology is implemented, then other mIn this context, if this technology is implemented, then other mass transit ass transit services, particularly commuter rail and express bus services toservices, particularly commuter rail and express bus services to suburban suburban communities and traffic management initiatives should be carefulcommunities and traffic management initiatives should be carefully planned ly planned and realized. and realized.
Task 3 : Evaluation of alternativesTask 3 : Evaluation of alternatives
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
Decision and next StepsDecision and next Steps……
The Damascus Governorate selected The Damascus Governorate selected the alternative light rail metro technology the alternative light rail metro technology on the Green Line corridor. on the Green Line corridor.
The European Investment Bank decided The European Investment Bank decided to launch a tender for a technical to launch a tender for a technical assistance to specify the subsequent assistance to specify the subsequent steps of the project preparation.steps of the project preparation.
Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Feasibility Study for a Mass Transit System for Damascus Syrian Arab Republic Syrian Arab Republic -- Damascus GovernorateDamascus Governorate
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