facing the decade of decarbonization – the power of wind namepa 24 oct ...€¦ · namepa 24 oct...
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Facing the Decade of Decarbonization –The Power of Wind
NAMEPA 24 Oct 2019
James RhodesMember, ISWA CEO, Magnuss
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1.5°C“All ships designed and built today must operate in a net zero emissions world at the end of their service life”
‘GHG emissions from international shipping to peak as soon as possible and to reduce the total annual GHG emissions by at least 50% by 2050 compared to 2008’ Initial IMO Strategy on GHG emissions [April 2018]
MAERSK Announcement [Dec 2018] – Fleet Carbon Neutrality by 2050
Carbon Price - EU ETS, which has seen a huge increase in price, from €7/ton to €20/ton of CO2 in 2018, [€62/ton fuel] and predicted average €35-40/ton between 2020-21 [€115-125/ton of fuel]
Global SOx Directive [01 Jan 2020] – current fuel difference €150/ton+
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LR Survey of Shipping Operators
ISource: Zero-Emission Vessels 2030. How do we get there? https://www.lr.org/en/insights/global-marine-trends-2030/zero-emission-vessels-2030/
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What can Wind Propulsion deliver ?"In 2030, the market potential could amount to 3,700–10,700 installed systems on bulkers, tankers & container vessels, associated with approx. 3.5–7.5 Mt CO2 savings & 6,500–8,000 direct + 8,500–10,000 indirect jobs." EU Report 2017
“Market potential for wind propulsion tech forecast to grow from €350 million per year (2020s) to €2.5 billion per year (2050s)” UK Maritime Plan July 2019
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Wind Propulsion…..
Predictability & Future Proofing – fuel prices & availability, emissions legislation, stranded assets, investments.
Primary Renewable - delivers savings directly at the point of use – 5-20% & possibly up to 30% fuel & emissions as retrofit. 30%+ for optimised new builds.
Installation – Lease Options & Modular Rentals reduce CAPEX, Purchase ROI’s - $600/ton, 3rd Party Validation & Classification.
Facilitate Secondary Renewables (H2, NH3, Battery etc.) –Hybrid solutions reduce power requirements, bunkering & storage– reduces costs of OPEX & CAPEX
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THard Sail
Rotors
Kites Soft Sail & Dynarigs
Suction Wing
Hull Form
Turbines
Technology Toolbox
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Stage of Development?
Concept R&D Test & Trial Commercial
Technology Ship Size 2008 2014 2016 2018-2020Rotors <10,000t
>10,000t
Hard Sail <10,000t
>10,000t
Soft Sail <10,000t
>10,000t
Kite <10,000t
>10,000t
Suction Wing
<10,000t
>10,000t
TurbineHull Form
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Barriers & ChallengesIndustry structure – the split incentive, charter party clauses Solution - new mechanisms e.g. SSI2040 Save as you Sail, Clean Shipping Index, CWR
Perception - a psychological barrier on a potential solution that is so visible. Solution – increasing number of demonstration vessels, communication.
The promises – the need to ‘prove’ savings Solution – more demo vessels, independent verification, pooling of information (IWSA)
Capital intensity for working demonstrators – cost for technology to reach market Solution – increasing coop/pooling resources (IWSA), finance facility & build tech cluster.
Lack of technology transfer – from the offshore and yacht sectors. Solution – increasing transfer is underway, incubation/innovation support (IWSA)
Operational & technical – route specific savings, compliance, cargo handling etc.Solution – working with class, NA/engineers. Weather routing, automated systems, operations management etc.
Lloyds Register: Wind-powered shipping 2015
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soft sails
suction wing
towing kites
Sail types – soft/wing/kites
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Sail types - rigid sails
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Wind technology landscape
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1925 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
First classed rotor: Magnuss VOSS
‘Delta Challenger’ Deltamarin
Norsepower: Bore’s RoRo MV Estraden
Eco Flettner: Wind Hybrid Coaster
Eco Flettner: MV Fehn Pollux
Maersk: LR2 Pelican(ETI R&D fund demo)
Norsepower: ferry MV Viking Grace
Anemoi: rotors on rails for MV Afros
Announced: ScandlinesMV Copenhagen
FlettnerRotor: the original, sea trial on Bachau1925.
E Ship 1: Enercon launches RoLo, validates savings from rotors
Magnuss: Zero Emissions bulker
0 MTD0 MT CO2
Ship designs Demonstrations
Demonstrations
SSI: published case study on Magnuss CWR/UCL issues two ground-
breaking reports touting savings potential of rotors (2011,2014)
Magnuss partners with industry on largest ever, full- scale, retractable wind propulsion build-out and deployment
Sail Types - Rotor Development
Joint industry reports
Planned Project
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Magnuss: Scale with project finance
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Worldwide Wind Network
43
9
6
2
36
210
12
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International Windship Associationwww.wind-ship.org
Gavin [email protected]
Facing the Decade of Decarbonization – Wind Propulsion NAMEPA 24 Oct 2019