Exploring the InternetThe Future of the Internet

91113-021Instructor Michael Krolak

91113-031Instructor Patrick Krolak

See also httpwwwcsumledu~pkrolak

Authors P D amp M S Krolak Copyright 2005

Tonight

bull The Internet and the Future

bull A capstone for the course

Before the Internet ndash httpxotypepadcom_ blog_amusing_htmB

Class Announcements

bull

The Future of the Internet

The Internet has gone through many changes in the last 30 years We are now in the transformation from its primarily as a communications network and webbed structure of documents to a wireless applications driven age The applications are driven by computers controlling networks of computers and smart devices to create

1 intelligent cars and homes 2 create and find information on the deep web 3 provide greater homeland security and safety4 allow people greater production and efficiency in order to

compete in the global economy

Technologies driving the Age of Connection

bull Internet2 -- orders of magnitude faster than 58Kb

bull SAND storage technology fast cheap storage in Terabytes

bull Array computing ndash a super computer in a box

bull The merger of large flat screen TV computer displays and 3D graphics cards

bull The merger of telephone and computer devices

bull The creation of micro-sensors wireless integration of phones and smart sensors (blue-tooth) computers networked for command amp control of machines

Internet2

bull A project launched in 1996 to create and develop the applications for a network thousands of times faster than the 58Kb modem

bull Allows 200 member universities to share data and facilities for research

bull The Internet2 Commons allows high band width video conferences to hold major teaching and learning events research meetings at multiple sites

Internet2 (more)

Internet2 Internet2 is a collaboration among more than 200 US universities to develop networking and advanced applications for learning and research Since much teaching learning and collaborative research may require real-time multimedia and high-bandwidth interconnection a major aspect of Internet2 is adding sufficient network infrastructure to support such applications But Internet2 also intends to investigate and develop new ways to use the Internet and the Internet2 infrastructure for its educational purposes Although Internet2 is not envisioned as a future replacement for the Internet its organizers hope to share their developments with other networks including the Internet Internet2 will include and further develop the National Science Foundations very high-speed Backbone Network Service (vBNS) that currently interconnects research supercomputer centers in the US The involved institutions plan to continue using the existing Internet for ordinary services such as e-mail personal Web access and newsgroups

httpwhatistechtargetcomdefinition0sid9_gci21402900html

Class Announcements

bull

The Future of the Internet

The Internet has gone through many changes in the last 30 years We are now in the transformation from its primarily as a communications network and webbed structure of documents to a wireless applications driven age The applications are driven by computers controlling networks of computers and smart devices to create

1 intelligent cars and homes 2 create and find information on the deep web 3 provide greater homeland security and safety4 allow people greater production and efficiency in order to

compete in the global economy

Technologies driving the Age of Connection

bull Internet2 -- orders of magnitude faster than 58Kb

bull SAND storage technology fast cheap storage in Terabytes

bull Array computing ndash a super computer in a box

bull The merger of large flat screen TV computer displays and 3D graphics cards

bull The merger of telephone and computer devices

bull The creation of micro-sensors wireless integration of phones and smart sensors (blue-tooth) computers networked for command amp control of machines

Internet2

bull A project launched in 1996 to create and develop the applications for a network thousands of times faster than the 58Kb modem

bull Allows 200 member universities to share data and facilities for research

bull The Internet2 Commons allows high band width video conferences to hold major teaching and learning events research meetings at multiple sites

Internet2 (more)

Internet2 Internet2 is a collaboration among more than 200 US universities to develop networking and advanced applications for learning and research Since much teaching learning and collaborative research may require real-time multimedia and high-bandwidth interconnection a major aspect of Internet2 is adding sufficient network infrastructure to support such applications But Internet2 also intends to investigate and develop new ways to use the Internet and the Internet2 infrastructure for its educational purposes Although Internet2 is not envisioned as a future replacement for the Internet its organizers hope to share their developments with other networks including the Internet Internet2 will include and further develop the National Science Foundations very high-speed Backbone Network Service (vBNS) that currently interconnects research supercomputer centers in the US The involved institutions plan to continue using the existing Internet for ordinary services such as e-mail personal Web access and newsgroups

httpwhatistechtargetcomdefinition0sid9_gci21402900html

The Future of the Internet

The Internet has gone through many changes in the last 30 years We are now in the transformation from its primarily as a communications network and webbed structure of documents to a wireless applications driven age The applications are driven by computers controlling networks of computers and smart devices to create

1 intelligent cars and homes 2 create and find information on the deep web 3 provide greater homeland security and safety4 allow people greater production and efficiency in order to

compete in the global economy

Technologies driving the Age of Connection

bull Internet2 -- orders of magnitude faster than 58Kb

bull SAND storage technology fast cheap storage in Terabytes

bull Array computing ndash a super computer in a box

bull The merger of large flat screen TV computer displays and 3D graphics cards

bull The merger of telephone and computer devices

bull The creation of micro-sensors wireless integration of phones and smart sensors (blue-tooth) computers networked for command amp control of machines

Internet2

bull A project launched in 1996 to create and develop the applications for a network thousands of times faster than the 58Kb modem

bull Allows 200 member universities to share data and facilities for research

bull The Internet2 Commons allows high band width video conferences to hold major teaching and learning events research meetings at multiple sites

Internet2 (more)

Internet2 Internet2 is a collaboration among more than 200 US universities to develop networking and advanced applications for learning and research Since much teaching learning and collaborative research may require real-time multimedia and high-bandwidth interconnection a major aspect of Internet2 is adding sufficient network infrastructure to support such applications But Internet2 also intends to investigate and develop new ways to use the Internet and the Internet2 infrastructure for its educational purposes Although Internet2 is not envisioned as a future replacement for the Internet its organizers hope to share their developments with other networks including the Internet Internet2 will include and further develop the National Science Foundations very high-speed Backbone Network Service (vBNS) that currently interconnects research supercomputer centers in the US The involved institutions plan to continue using the existing Internet for ordinary services such as e-mail personal Web access and newsgroups

httpwhatistechtargetcomdefinition0sid9_gci21402900html

Technologies driving the Age of Connection

bull Internet2 -- orders of magnitude faster than 58Kb

bull SAND storage technology fast cheap storage in Terabytes

bull Array computing ndash a super computer in a box

bull The merger of large flat screen TV computer displays and 3D graphics cards

bull The merger of telephone and computer devices

bull The creation of micro-sensors wireless integration of phones and smart sensors (blue-tooth) computers networked for command amp control of machines

Internet2

bull A project launched in 1996 to create and develop the applications for a network thousands of times faster than the 58Kb modem

bull Allows 200 member universities to share data and facilities for research

bull The Internet2 Commons allows high band width video conferences to hold major teaching and learning events research meetings at multiple sites

Internet2 (more)

Internet2 Internet2 is a collaboration among more than 200 US universities to develop networking and advanced applications for learning and research Since much teaching learning and collaborative research may require real-time multimedia and high-bandwidth interconnection a major aspect of Internet2 is adding sufficient network infrastructure to support such applications But Internet2 also intends to investigate and develop new ways to use the Internet and the Internet2 infrastructure for its educational purposes Although Internet2 is not envisioned as a future replacement for the Internet its organizers hope to share their developments with other networks including the Internet Internet2 will include and further develop the National Science Foundations very high-speed Backbone Network Service (vBNS) that currently interconnects research supercomputer centers in the US The involved institutions plan to continue using the existing Internet for ordinary services such as e-mail personal Web access and newsgroups

httpwhatistechtargetcomdefinition0sid9_gci21402900html

Internet2

bull A project launched in 1996 to create and develop the applications for a network thousands of times faster than the 58Kb modem

bull Allows 200 member universities to share data and facilities for research

bull The Internet2 Commons allows high band width video conferences to hold major teaching and learning events research meetings at multiple sites

Internet2 (more)

Internet2 Internet2 is a collaboration among more than 200 US universities to develop networking and advanced applications for learning and research Since much teaching learning and collaborative research may require real-time multimedia and high-bandwidth interconnection a major aspect of Internet2 is adding sufficient network infrastructure to support such applications But Internet2 also intends to investigate and develop new ways to use the Internet and the Internet2 infrastructure for its educational purposes Although Internet2 is not envisioned as a future replacement for the Internet its organizers hope to share their developments with other networks including the Internet Internet2 will include and further develop the National Science Foundations very high-speed Backbone Network Service (vBNS) that currently interconnects research supercomputer centers in the US The involved institutions plan to continue using the existing Internet for ordinary services such as e-mail personal Web access and newsgroups

httpwhatistechtargetcomdefinition0sid9_gci21402900html

Internet2 (more)

Internet2 Internet2 is a collaboration among more than 200 US universities to develop networking and advanced applications for learning and research Since much teaching learning and collaborative research may require real-time multimedia and high-bandwidth interconnection a major aspect of Internet2 is adding sufficient network infrastructure to support such applications But Internet2 also intends to investigate and develop new ways to use the Internet and the Internet2 infrastructure for its educational purposes Although Internet2 is not envisioned as a future replacement for the Internet its organizers hope to share their developments with other networks including the Internet Internet2 will include and further develop the National Science Foundations very high-speed Backbone Network Service (vBNS) that currently interconnects research supercomputer centers in the US The involved institutions plan to continue using the existing Internet for ordinary services such as e-mail personal Web access and newsgroups

httpwhatistechtargetcomdefinition0sid9_gci21402900html

The Intelligent Home

The home of the future will have far more computer appliances and use a home network for security energy efficiency etc

The Intelligent Home

bull The intelligent home is a networked collection of computers sensors and smart appliances

bull The user can use the web cams and security devices to monitor the house and inspect it via wireless devices eg PDAs Check on latch key children and sitters Turn on heatAC from a cell phone while driving home to save energy turn on the lights and set the mode to match the guests etc

Intelligent Home ndash Smart Appliances

bull Ovens that turn on from your phone or Internet it holds the food at a cool temperature until you call

bull Smart cribs you can watch baby from other rooms

httpwwwpcmagcomslideshow_viewer02393l=amps=400ampa=142290amppo=1000asp

The Intelligent Car

bull The modern car can have 20 computers In the near future cars will have LANs that will do more than just monitor and control basic functions such as braking and exhaust emissions

bull In the near future cars will have wireless connections to road side (Bluetooth) other cars and to the internet and celluar systems that will allow two way communications

bull OnStar is now a feature of GM luxury vehicles

Keeping Cars from Crashing September 2001 article in IEEE Spectrum on adaptive cruise controls Discussion focuses on radar and lidar sensorscopy IEEE (PDF 432Kb)

Next Generation of Cruise Controlbull A prototype ldquofusion processorrdquo from

Fujitsu Ten Ltd depends on optical and radar sensors to move a car automatically at the varying speeds of traffic A camera and radar report on the width distance and speed of objects ahead

bull and the processor combines the data feeding it to a unit that controls the car

bull Millimeter-wave radarbull Image-processing unit and stereo

camera

Intelligent car (more)

bull In Minnesota state police cars ambulances and government vehicles will soon carry a small piece of extra cargomdasha sensing device that collects data as it rolls down the states roadways Ford Motor Company officials call the program a prototype for a next-generation travel-advisory system

bull During their daily rounds state-owned vehicles will gather traffic-related data like speed location and direction of travel The sensors will also record weather information such as windshield-wiper and headlight use outside temperature and traction-control-system data

bull Ford Motor Companys Smart Safe Research

Vehicle is an enhanced version of the companys Explorer model The concept automobile includes such intelligent safety features as a navigation system that uses real-time traffic information to suggest alternate routes around congested areas

Photograph courtesy Ford Motor Company

httpnewsnationalgeographiccomnews2004050521_040521_smartcarshtml

The Intelligent Home

bull The intelligent home is a networked collection of computers sensors and smart appliances

bull The user can use the web cams and security devices to monitor the house and inspect it via wireless devices eg PDAs Check on latch key children and sitters Turn on heatAC from a cell phone while driving home to save energy turn on the lights and set the mode to match the guests etc

Intelligent Home ndash Smart Appliances

bull Ovens that turn on from your phone or Internet it holds the food at a cool temperature until you call

bull Smart cribs you can watch baby from other rooms

httpwwwpcmagcomslideshow_viewer02393l=amps=400ampa=142290amppo=1000asp

The Intelligent Car

bull The modern car can have 20 computers In the near future cars will have LANs that will do more than just monitor and control basic functions such as braking and exhaust emissions

bull In the near future cars will have wireless connections to road side (Bluetooth) other cars and to the internet and celluar systems that will allow two way communications

bull OnStar is now a feature of GM luxury vehicles

Keeping Cars from Crashing September 2001 article in IEEE Spectrum on adaptive cruise controls Discussion focuses on radar and lidar sensorscopy IEEE (PDF 432Kb)

Next Generation of Cruise Controlbull A prototype ldquofusion processorrdquo from

Fujitsu Ten Ltd depends on optical and radar sensors to move a car automatically at the varying speeds of traffic A camera and radar report on the width distance and speed of objects ahead

bull and the processor combines the data feeding it to a unit that controls the car

bull Millimeter-wave radarbull Image-processing unit and stereo

camera

Intelligent car (more)

bull In Minnesota state police cars ambulances and government vehicles will soon carry a small piece of extra cargomdasha sensing device that collects data as it rolls down the states roadways Ford Motor Company officials call the program a prototype for a next-generation travel-advisory system

bull During their daily rounds state-owned vehicles will gather traffic-related data like speed location and direction of travel The sensors will also record weather information such as windshield-wiper and headlight use outside temperature and traction-control-system data

bull Ford Motor Companys Smart Safe Research

Vehicle is an enhanced version of the companys Explorer model The concept automobile includes such intelligent safety features as a navigation system that uses real-time traffic information to suggest alternate routes around congested areas

Photograph courtesy Ford Motor Company

httpnewsnationalgeographiccomnews2004050521_040521_smartcarshtml

Intelligent Home ndash Smart Appliances

bull Ovens that turn on from your phone or Internet it holds the food at a cool temperature until you call

bull Smart cribs you can watch baby from other rooms

httpwwwpcmagcomslideshow_viewer02393l=amps=400ampa=142290amppo=1000asp

The Intelligent Car

bull The modern car can have 20 computers In the near future cars will have LANs that will do more than just monitor and control basic functions such as braking and exhaust emissions

bull In the near future cars will have wireless connections to road side (Bluetooth) other cars and to the internet and celluar systems that will allow two way communications

bull OnStar is now a feature of GM luxury vehicles

Keeping Cars from Crashing September 2001 article in IEEE Spectrum on adaptive cruise controls Discussion focuses on radar and lidar sensorscopy IEEE (PDF 432Kb)

Next Generation of Cruise Controlbull A prototype ldquofusion processorrdquo from

Fujitsu Ten Ltd depends on optical and radar sensors to move a car automatically at the varying speeds of traffic A camera and radar report on the width distance and speed of objects ahead

bull and the processor combines the data feeding it to a unit that controls the car

bull Millimeter-wave radarbull Image-processing unit and stereo

camera

Intelligent car (more)

bull In Minnesota state police cars ambulances and government vehicles will soon carry a small piece of extra cargomdasha sensing device that collects data as it rolls down the states roadways Ford Motor Company officials call the program a prototype for a next-generation travel-advisory system

bull During their daily rounds state-owned vehicles will gather traffic-related data like speed location and direction of travel The sensors will also record weather information such as windshield-wiper and headlight use outside temperature and traction-control-system data

bull Ford Motor Companys Smart Safe Research

Vehicle is an enhanced version of the companys Explorer model The concept automobile includes such intelligent safety features as a navigation system that uses real-time traffic information to suggest alternate routes around congested areas

Photograph courtesy Ford Motor Company

httpnewsnationalgeographiccomnews2004050521_040521_smartcarshtml

The Intelligent Car

bull The modern car can have 20 computers In the near future cars will have LANs that will do more than just monitor and control basic functions such as braking and exhaust emissions

bull In the near future cars will have wireless connections to road side (Bluetooth) other cars and to the internet and celluar systems that will allow two way communications

bull OnStar is now a feature of GM luxury vehicles

Keeping Cars from Crashing September 2001 article in IEEE Spectrum on adaptive cruise controls Discussion focuses on radar and lidar sensorscopy IEEE (PDF 432Kb)

Next Generation of Cruise Controlbull A prototype ldquofusion processorrdquo from

Fujitsu Ten Ltd depends on optical and radar sensors to move a car automatically at the varying speeds of traffic A camera and radar report on the width distance and speed of objects ahead

bull and the processor combines the data feeding it to a unit that controls the car

bull Millimeter-wave radarbull Image-processing unit and stereo

camera

Intelligent car (more)

bull In Minnesota state police cars ambulances and government vehicles will soon carry a small piece of extra cargomdasha sensing device that collects data as it rolls down the states roadways Ford Motor Company officials call the program a prototype for a next-generation travel-advisory system

bull During their daily rounds state-owned vehicles will gather traffic-related data like speed location and direction of travel The sensors will also record weather information such as windshield-wiper and headlight use outside temperature and traction-control-system data

bull Ford Motor Companys Smart Safe Research

Vehicle is an enhanced version of the companys Explorer model The concept automobile includes such intelligent safety features as a navigation system that uses real-time traffic information to suggest alternate routes around congested areas

Photograph courtesy Ford Motor Company

httpnewsnationalgeographiccomnews2004050521_040521_smartcarshtml

Intelligent car (more)

bull In Minnesota state police cars ambulances and government vehicles will soon carry a small piece of extra cargomdasha sensing device that collects data as it rolls down the states roadways Ford Motor Company officials call the program a prototype for a next-generation travel-advisory system

bull During their daily rounds state-owned vehicles will gather traffic-related data like speed location and direction of travel The sensors will also record weather information such as windshield-wiper and headlight use outside temperature and traction-control-system data

bull Ford Motor Companys Smart Safe Research

Vehicle is an enhanced version of the companys Explorer model The concept automobile includes such intelligent safety features as a navigation system that uses real-time traffic information to suggest alternate routes around congested areas

Photograph courtesy Ford Motor Company

httpnewsnationalgeographiccomnews2004050521_040521_smartcarshtml

The Cyber Military and Home Defense

bull The military is changing its theory order of battle and deployment strategies in the post cold war world

bull The Stryker Brigade which was deployed in late 2004 in Iraq It is an example of how information over an enterprise network allows units at the point of the spear to adjust and take the imitative without the usual hierarchical chain of command

bull The network allows satellite robotic vehicles and other sensors are integrated in intelligence network Vehicle locations and GIS data are also known

bull Striker vehicles have wheels rather than treads and are designed to be air mobile This has required some modification to deal with the Iraq urban battlefield the steel rails on the sides to prevent exposure to RPGs)

The Future of the Internet and media

One of the bigger arguments about the future is how the media will adapt to the challenge of the Internet In prior material we discussed how blogs effected the political news in the last two elections Record and movie sales are dramatically down this year despite a major legal attack on peer to peer web sites In the 90s the traditional brick amp mortar retailer ignored then modified their business model to adjust to this new marketing and sales channel Can the media make similar adjustments to compete successfully in the future

The Media Epic 2014

bull In this vision of the world -- Google and Amazoncom merge to become the global retailer of information and by 2014 drive the current news media (newspapers television and news magazines) into bankruptcy

bull The deep web is mined for ideas facts and options that are created into customized information products

bull Some dismiss this as the ravings of the artificial intelligence geeks Attempts to define a new search process to replace the current based text ones has not lead to any promising concrete methodology at this moment

The Factory of the Future and the Post-industrial AgeIn the 80rsquos the Japanese factories were making better cheaper cars and appliances than the US This caused the US industries to change many of their manufacturing practices Fixed automation was replaced being replaced by robotic assembly Unionized workers were negotiating for earlier retirements higher heath care benefits and more job security They were so successful that some have commented that the Big 3 auto makers are pension funds that happen to make cars Free trade and Globalization have seen manufacturing move rapidly off shore supported in large part by the Internet Union membership has dropped from 1 in 3 Americans to 1 in 7 and the new members largely come from service industry Pensions are in doubt and health care benefits are becoming less common

The Global Economy will increase the reliance on the Internet

bull Concepts like ldquoJust-in-Timerdquo (JIT) Six Sigma etc pioneered by the Japanese were adopted by other industrialized nations in the 80s amp 90s

bull The rise of China and India with a large skilled educated workforce will soon advance from outsourcers to major competitors

bull The need for increased productivity demands for greater port security and higher fuel costs will drive the industrialized nations to place greater demands on their supply chains

bull The consumer will demand greater freedom in selection and more individuality for their life styles

bull The Factory of the Future will be driven by customers designing their purchases online and a highly automated robotic factory making it with shipping and order processing being done by computerized systems eg todayrsquos state of the art newspaper production is a leading example

Internet and the Future Society

Without doubt the Internet will play the role as a major change agent in society The findings in the material that follows were taken from Pew Internet amp American Life Project 1615 L Street NW Suite 700 Washington DC 20036 202-419-4500 httpwwwpewinternetorg

The Future of the Internet and media

One of the bigger arguments about the future is how the media will adapt to the challenge of the Internet In prior material we discussed how blogs effected the political news in the last two elections Record and movie sales are dramatically down this year despite a major legal attack on peer to peer web sites In the 90s the traditional brick amp mortar retailer ignored then modified their business model to adjust to this new marketing and sales channel Can the media make similar adjustments to compete successfully in the future

The Media Epic 2014

bull In this vision of the world -- Google and Amazoncom merge to become the global retailer of information and by 2014 drive the current news media (newspapers television and news magazines) into bankruptcy

bull The deep web is mined for ideas facts and options that are created into customized information products

bull Some dismiss this as the ravings of the artificial intelligence geeks Attempts to define a new search process to replace the current based text ones has not lead to any promising concrete methodology at this moment

The Factory of the Future and the Post-industrial AgeIn the 80rsquos the Japanese factories were making better cheaper cars and appliances than the US This caused the US industries to change many of their manufacturing practices Fixed automation was replaced being replaced by robotic assembly Unionized workers were negotiating for earlier retirements higher heath care benefits and more job security They were so successful that some have commented that the Big 3 auto makers are pension funds that happen to make cars Free trade and Globalization have seen manufacturing move rapidly off shore supported in large part by the Internet Union membership has dropped from 1 in 3 Americans to 1 in 7 and the new members largely come from service industry Pensions are in doubt and health care benefits are becoming less common

The Global Economy will increase the reliance on the Internet

bull Concepts like ldquoJust-in-Timerdquo (JIT) Six Sigma etc pioneered by the Japanese were adopted by other industrialized nations in the 80s amp 90s

bull The rise of China and India with a large skilled educated workforce will soon advance from outsourcers to major competitors

bull The need for increased productivity demands for greater port security and higher fuel costs will drive the industrialized nations to place greater demands on their supply chains

bull The consumer will demand greater freedom in selection and more individuality for their life styles

bull The Factory of the Future will be driven by customers designing their purchases online and a highly automated robotic factory making it with shipping and order processing being done by computerized systems eg todayrsquos state of the art newspaper production is a leading example

Internet and the Future Society

Without doubt the Internet will play the role as a major change agent in society The findings in the material that follows were taken from Pew Internet amp American Life Project 1615 L Street NW Suite 700 Washington DC 20036 202-419-4500 httpwwwpewinternetorg

The Media Epic 2014

bull In this vision of the world -- Google and Amazoncom merge to become the global retailer of information and by 2014 drive the current news media (newspapers television and news magazines) into bankruptcy

bull The deep web is mined for ideas facts and options that are created into customized information products

bull Some dismiss this as the ravings of the artificial intelligence geeks Attempts to define a new search process to replace the current based text ones has not lead to any promising concrete methodology at this moment

The Factory of the Future and the Post-industrial AgeIn the 80rsquos the Japanese factories were making better cheaper cars and appliances than the US This caused the US industries to change many of their manufacturing practices Fixed automation was replaced being replaced by robotic assembly Unionized workers were negotiating for earlier retirements higher heath care benefits and more job security They were so successful that some have commented that the Big 3 auto makers are pension funds that happen to make cars Free trade and Globalization have seen manufacturing move rapidly off shore supported in large part by the Internet Union membership has dropped from 1 in 3 Americans to 1 in 7 and the new members largely come from service industry Pensions are in doubt and health care benefits are becoming less common

The Global Economy will increase the reliance on the Internet

bull Concepts like ldquoJust-in-Timerdquo (JIT) Six Sigma etc pioneered by the Japanese were adopted by other industrialized nations in the 80s amp 90s

bull The rise of China and India with a large skilled educated workforce will soon advance from outsourcers to major competitors

bull The need for increased productivity demands for greater port security and higher fuel costs will drive the industrialized nations to place greater demands on their supply chains

bull The consumer will demand greater freedom in selection and more individuality for their life styles

bull The Factory of the Future will be driven by customers designing their purchases online and a highly automated robotic factory making it with shipping and order processing being done by computerized systems eg todayrsquos state of the art newspaper production is a leading example

Internet and the Future Society

Without doubt the Internet will play the role as a major change agent in society The findings in the material that follows were taken from Pew Internet amp American Life Project 1615 L Street NW Suite 700 Washington DC 20036 202-419-4500 httpwwwpewinternetorg

The Factory of the Future and the Post-industrial AgeIn the 80rsquos the Japanese factories were making better cheaper cars and appliances than the US This caused the US industries to change many of their manufacturing practices Fixed automation was replaced being replaced by robotic assembly Unionized workers were negotiating for earlier retirements higher heath care benefits and more job security They were so successful that some have commented that the Big 3 auto makers are pension funds that happen to make cars Free trade and Globalization have seen manufacturing move rapidly off shore supported in large part by the Internet Union membership has dropped from 1 in 3 Americans to 1 in 7 and the new members largely come from service industry Pensions are in doubt and health care benefits are becoming less common

The Global Economy will increase the reliance on the Internet

bull Concepts like ldquoJust-in-Timerdquo (JIT) Six Sigma etc pioneered by the Japanese were adopted by other industrialized nations in the 80s amp 90s

bull The rise of China and India with a large skilled educated workforce will soon advance from outsourcers to major competitors

bull The need for increased productivity demands for greater port security and higher fuel costs will drive the industrialized nations to place greater demands on their supply chains

bull The consumer will demand greater freedom in selection and more individuality for their life styles

bull The Factory of the Future will be driven by customers designing their purchases online and a highly automated robotic factory making it with shipping and order processing being done by computerized systems eg todayrsquos state of the art newspaper production is a leading example

Internet and the Future Society

Without doubt the Internet will play the role as a major change agent in society The findings in the material that follows were taken from Pew Internet amp American Life Project 1615 L Street NW Suite 700 Washington DC 20036 202-419-4500 httpwwwpewinternetorg

The Global Economy will increase the reliance on the Internet

bull Concepts like ldquoJust-in-Timerdquo (JIT) Six Sigma etc pioneered by the Japanese were adopted by other industrialized nations in the 80s amp 90s

bull The rise of China and India with a large skilled educated workforce will soon advance from outsourcers to major competitors

bull The need for increased productivity demands for greater port security and higher fuel costs will drive the industrialized nations to place greater demands on their supply chains

bull The consumer will demand greater freedom in selection and more individuality for their life styles

bull The Factory of the Future will be driven by customers designing their purchases online and a highly automated robotic factory making it with shipping and order processing being done by computerized systems eg todayrsquos state of the art newspaper production is a leading example

Internet and the Future Society

Without doubt the Internet will play the role as a major change agent in society The findings in the material that follows were taken from Pew Internet amp American Life Project 1615 L Street NW Suite 700 Washington DC 20036 202-419-4500 httpwwwpewinternetorg

Internet and the Future Society

Without doubt the Internet will play the role as a major change agent in society The findings in the material that follows were taken from Pew Internet amp American Life Project 1615 L Street NW Suite 700 Washington DC 20036 202-419-4500 httpwwwpewinternetorg

Summary of PEW Expertsrsquo Forecasts

1048708 56 of them agreed that as telecommuting and home-schooling expand the boundary between work and leisure will diminish and family dynamics will change because of that

1048708 50 of them believe that anonymous free music file-sharing on peer-to-peer networks will still be easy to perform a decade from now

1048708 Just 32 of these experts agreed that people would use the internet to support their political biases and filter out information that disagrees with their views Half the respondents disagreed with or disputed that prediction

1048708 Only 32 agreed with a prediction that online voting would be secure and widespread by 2014 Half of the respondents disagreed or disputed that idea

bull In the emerging era of the blog experts believe the internet will bring yet more dramatic change to the news and publishing worlds They predict the least amount of change to religion

Summary (more)

1048708ldquoConnections across media entertainment advertising and commerce will become stronger with future margins going to a new breed of lsquodigital media titansrsquo hellip Well-branded innovators such as Google and Starbucks have a chance to build all-new new distribution models tied to ad revenue and retail salesrdquo

1048708 ldquoHealth care is approximately 10 years behind other endeavors in being transformed and will experience its boom in the next 10 yearsrdquo

1048708 ldquoGovernment will be forced to become increasingly transparent accessible over the Net and almost impenetrable if youre not on the Netrdquo

1048708 ldquoDigitization and the Internet make for a potent brew TiVo kills the commercial television format Napster Kazaa and iPod kill the lsquoalbumrsquo format In the future everyone will be famous for fifteen minutes in their own reality showrdquo

1048708 ldquoHyperlinks subvert hierarchy The Net will wear away institutions that have forgotten how to sound human and how to engage in conversationrdquo

1048708 ldquoThe lsquoalways-onrsquo internet combined with computers talking to computers will be a more profound transformation of society than what weve seen so farrdquo

1048708 ldquoThe next decade should see the development of a more thoughtful internet Weve had the blood rush to the head weve had the hangover from that blood rush this next decade is the rethinkrdquo

1048708 ldquoThe dissemination of information will increasingly become the dissemination of drivel As more and more lsquodatarsquo is posted on the internet there will be increasingly less lsquoinformationrsquordquo

Forecast of Internet on Society

Civic engagement

bull Prediction Civic involvement will increase substantially in the next 10 years thanks to ever-growing use of the internet That would include membership in groups of all kinds including professional social sports political and religious organizations ndash and perhaps even bowling leagues

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 42 ndash Disagree 29 ndash Challenge 13 ndash Did not respond 17 Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be

computed

bull Note An extended rundown of the written answers to this question can be found at httpwwwelonedupredictionsq11aspx

Future of the Internet - 20 - Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 6 Civic engagement

Summary (more)

1048708ldquoConnections across media entertainment advertising and commerce will become stronger with future margins going to a new breed of lsquodigital media titansrsquo hellip Well-branded innovators such as Google and Starbucks have a chance to build all-new new distribution models tied to ad revenue and retail salesrdquo

1048708 ldquoHealth care is approximately 10 years behind other endeavors in being transformed and will experience its boom in the next 10 yearsrdquo

1048708 ldquoGovernment will be forced to become increasingly transparent accessible over the Net and almost impenetrable if youre not on the Netrdquo

1048708 ldquoDigitization and the Internet make for a potent brew TiVo kills the commercial television format Napster Kazaa and iPod kill the lsquoalbumrsquo format In the future everyone will be famous for fifteen minutes in their own reality showrdquo

1048708 ldquoHyperlinks subvert hierarchy The Net will wear away institutions that have forgotten how to sound human and how to engage in conversationrdquo

1048708 ldquoThe lsquoalways-onrsquo internet combined with computers talking to computers will be a more profound transformation of society than what weve seen so farrdquo

1048708 ldquoThe next decade should see the development of a more thoughtful internet Weve had the blood rush to the head weve had the hangover from that blood rush this next decade is the rethinkrdquo

1048708 ldquoThe dissemination of information will increasingly become the dissemination of drivel As more and more lsquodatarsquo is posted on the internet there will be increasingly less lsquoinformationrsquordquo

Forecast of Internet on Society

Civic engagement

bull Prediction Civic involvement will increase substantially in the next 10 years thanks to ever-growing use of the internet That would include membership in groups of all kinds including professional social sports political and religious organizations ndash and perhaps even bowling leagues

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 42 ndash Disagree 29 ndash Challenge 13 ndash Did not respond 17 Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be

computed

bull Note An extended rundown of the written answers to this question can be found at httpwwwelonedupredictionsq11aspx

Future of the Internet - 20 - Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 6 Civic engagement

Forecast of Internet on Society

Civic engagement

bull Prediction Civic involvement will increase substantially in the next 10 years thanks to ever-growing use of the internet That would include membership in groups of all kinds including professional social sports political and religious organizations ndash and perhaps even bowling leagues

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 42 ndash Disagree 29 ndash Challenge 13 ndash Did not respond 17 Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be

computed

bull Note An extended rundown of the written answers to this question can be found at httpwwwelonedupredictionsq11aspx

Future of the Internet - 20 - Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 6 Civic engagement

Civic Involvement

bull Rose Vines a technology journalist wrote ldquoInvolvement wont necessarily increase in numbers but it will in depth and richness of experience As more groups discover ways to use the internet to connect disseminate and influence a new element will be added to group interaction Well also see those traditionally excluded from participation including the physically disabled and elderly being brought on boardrdquo Tobey Dichter founder of Generations on Line went even further writing ldquoThis is one of the most effective uses of the internet ndash building community Exciting global connections will do more for international understanding and intergenerational respect than any tool since the printing pressrdquo

Future of the Internet - 20 - Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 6 Civic engagement

Security and the Internet Society

Prediction As computing devices become embedded in everything from clothes to appliances to cars to phones these networked devices will allow greater surveillance by governments and businesses By 2014 there will be increasing numbers of arrests based on this kind of surveillance by democratic governments as well as by authoritarian regimes

Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 59 ndash Disagree 15 ndash Challenge 8 ndash Did not respond 17

Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

Source Future of the Internet - p22- Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 7 Embedded Networks

Education and the Internet Society

Future of the Internet ndash p35- Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 8 Formal Education

Prediction Enabled by information technologies the pace of learning in the next decade will increasingly be set by student choices In ten years most students will spend at least part of their ldquoschool daysrdquo in virtual classes grouped online with others who share their interests mastery and skills Expertsrsquo reactions

bullAgree 57 bullDisagree 18 bullChallenge 9 bullDid not respond 17

Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

Health Care amp Internet

Health system change

bull Prediction In 10 years the increasing use of online medical resources will yield substantial improvement in many of the pervasive problems now facing health caremdashincluding rising health care costs poor customer service the high prevalence of medical mistakes malpractice concerns and lack of access to medical care for many Americans

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 39 ndash Disagree 30 ndash Challenge 11 ndash Did not respond 19

bull Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

bull A December 2002 Pew Internet amp American Life Project survey showed that 80 of internet users or about 102 million Americans have searched online for at least one of 16 major health topics An educated consumer stands a better chance of getting good treatment and the internet can be a significant resource for that health education process An increase in the use of internet health resources is not a cure-all however

See ldquoInternet Health Resourcesrdquo (Pew Internet amp American Life Project July 16 2004) Available at httpwwwpewinternetorgPPFr95report_displayasp

Security and the Internet Society

Prediction As computing devices become embedded in everything from clothes to appliances to cars to phones these networked devices will allow greater surveillance by governments and businesses By 2014 there will be increasing numbers of arrests based on this kind of surveillance by democratic governments as well as by authoritarian regimes

Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 59 ndash Disagree 15 ndash Challenge 8 ndash Did not respond 17

Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

Source Future of the Internet - p22- Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 7 Embedded Networks

Education and the Internet Society

Future of the Internet ndash p35- Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 8 Formal Education

Prediction Enabled by information technologies the pace of learning in the next decade will increasingly be set by student choices In ten years most students will spend at least part of their ldquoschool daysrdquo in virtual classes grouped online with others who share their interests mastery and skills Expertsrsquo reactions

bullAgree 57 bullDisagree 18 bullChallenge 9 bullDid not respond 17

Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

Health Care amp Internet

Health system change

bull Prediction In 10 years the increasing use of online medical resources will yield substantial improvement in many of the pervasive problems now facing health caremdashincluding rising health care costs poor customer service the high prevalence of medical mistakes malpractice concerns and lack of access to medical care for many Americans

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 39 ndash Disagree 30 ndash Challenge 11 ndash Did not respond 19

bull Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

bull A December 2002 Pew Internet amp American Life Project survey showed that 80 of internet users or about 102 million Americans have searched online for at least one of 16 major health topics An educated consumer stands a better chance of getting good treatment and the internet can be a significant resource for that health education process An increase in the use of internet health resources is not a cure-all however

See ldquoInternet Health Resourcesrdquo (Pew Internet amp American Life Project July 16 2004) Available at httpwwwpewinternetorgPPFr95report_displayasp

Education and the Internet Society

Future of the Internet ndash p35- Pew Internet amp American Life Project Part 8 Formal Education

Prediction Enabled by information technologies the pace of learning in the next decade will increasingly be set by student choices In ten years most students will spend at least part of their ldquoschool daysrdquo in virtual classes grouped online with others who share their interests mastery and skills Expertsrsquo reactions

bullAgree 57 bullDisagree 18 bullChallenge 9 bullDid not respond 17

Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

Health Care amp Internet

Health system change

bull Prediction In 10 years the increasing use of online medical resources will yield substantial improvement in many of the pervasive problems now facing health caremdashincluding rising health care costs poor customer service the high prevalence of medical mistakes malpractice concerns and lack of access to medical care for many Americans

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 39 ndash Disagree 30 ndash Challenge 11 ndash Did not respond 19

bull Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

bull A December 2002 Pew Internet amp American Life Project survey showed that 80 of internet users or about 102 million Americans have searched online for at least one of 16 major health topics An educated consumer stands a better chance of getting good treatment and the internet can be a significant resource for that health education process An increase in the use of internet health resources is not a cure-all however

See ldquoInternet Health Resourcesrdquo (Pew Internet amp American Life Project July 16 2004) Available at httpwwwpewinternetorgPPFr95report_displayasp

Health Care amp Internet

Health system change

bull Prediction In 10 years the increasing use of online medical resources will yield substantial improvement in many of the pervasive problems now facing health caremdashincluding rising health care costs poor customer service the high prevalence of medical mistakes malpractice concerns and lack of access to medical care for many Americans

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 39 ndash Disagree 30 ndash Challenge 11 ndash Did not respond 19

bull Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

bull A December 2002 Pew Internet amp American Life Project survey showed that 80 of internet users or about 102 million Americans have searched online for at least one of 16 major health topics An educated consumer stands a better chance of getting good treatment and the internet can be a significant resource for that health education process An increase in the use of internet health resources is not a cure-all however

See ldquoInternet Health Resourcesrdquo (Pew Internet amp American Life Project July 16 2004) Available at httpwwwpewinternetorgPPFr95report_displayasp

Politics and 2014

Prediction By 2014 most people will use the internet in a way that filters out information that challenges their viewpoints on political and social issues This will further polarize political discourse and make it difficult or impossible to develop meaningful consensus on public problems

bull Expertsrsquo reactions ndash Agree 32 ndash Disagree 37 ndash Challenge 13 ndash Did not respond 18

Since results are based on a non-random sample a margin of error cannot be computed

Future of the Internet - Pew Internet amp American Life Project p 33

• Exploring the Internet The Future of the Internet
• Tonight
• Class Announcements
• The Future of the Internet
• Technologies driving the Age of Connection
• Internet2
• Internet2 (more)
• The Intelligent Home
• Slide 9
• Intelligent Home ndash Smart Appliances
• The Intelligent Car
• Intelligent car (more)
• The Cyber Military and Home Defense
• The Future of the Internet and media
• The Media Epic 2014
• The Factory of the Future and the Post-industrial Age
• The Global Economy will increase the reliance on the Internet
• Internet and the Future Society
• Summary of PEW Expertsrsquo Forecasts
• Summary (more)
• Forecast of Internet on Society
• Civic Involvement
• Security and the Internet Society
• Education and the Internet Society
• Health Care amp Internet
• Politics and 2014