eu market situation for poultry management committee 29 august 2013

EU Market Situation for Poultry

Management Committee 29 August 2013

EU market situation for Poultry Man Com 29 August 2013

150

160

170

180

190

200

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0k

g

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Moy.08-12 2010 2011 2012 2013


1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1.600

1.700

| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2013| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |

Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2012 & 2013)

01 Nearby

2013 Sept

2013 Nov

2014 Mar

Delivery:


160

180

200

220

240

260

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2013| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€/T

on

n

Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 - 2013)

Nearby

2013 Nov

2014 Mar

2014 Jan

Delivery:


120

150

180

210

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2013| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€uro

/ To

nn

Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 & 2013)

01 Nearby

2013 Ju l

2013 Nov

2014 Jan

Delivery:


1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I

source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm

€uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/

BRZ Real

USA $


50

150

250

350

450

Jan April Juil Oct Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

Euro

/ to

nne

Price of Basic Ingredients 2011 - 2013

Soft wheat (EU)

Barley (EU)

Maïs (EU)

Soja (CAF)

Hulls (EU)

Manioc (CAF)

C.G.F. (CAF)


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

Eu

ro

/ T

(f

ee

d)

Eu

ro

/ 1

00

kg

(B

ro

ile

r)

Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2008 - 2012

NB. Comp. Feed 2013 =Forecast as from May Cereal mix and Poultry 2013 = Forecast as from March


70

80

90

100

110

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

Rem

ain

der €

uro

/ 100kg

100KG Broiler minus feedcost for Broilersfeedconversionrate = 2.7

Marge Average08 - 12

Marge Broiler 2011 Marge Broiler 2012 Marge Broiler 2013


0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)

Jan. Febr. March April May2012 529862 492608 545383 540606 5517712013 540630 497227 549510 557295 555786


0

150

300

450

600

750

900

0

150.000

300.000

450.000

600.000

750.000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

Re

alis

ed

sla

ug

hte

r

in 1

000 T

Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn

Forecast Realised Poultry slaughter

Jan. Fav. Mar. April May june July2012 619373 676891 694194 633483 697800 703938 7113842013 614185 674676 710618 640294 705870 721408 742972

-0.4 % -0.3% +2.4% +1.1% +1.2% +2.5% +4.4%


Import of Poultry meat from selected origins

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 12

Brazil 659.368 75,3% 586.593 72,7% 604.599 71,6% 561.322 66,5% 269.519 61,3% - 10%

Thailand 141.524 16,2% 148.244 18,4% 154.304 18,3% 196.423 23,3% 135.605 30,8% + 55%

Chile 39.022 4,5% 34.403 4,3% 44.433 5,3% 42.105 5,0% 15.138 3,4% - 31%

China 5.690 0,6% 9.836 1,2% 13.808 1,6% 15.669 1,9% 9.185 2,1% + 27%

Argentina 20.576 2,3% 15.795 2,0% 15.646 1,9% 13.763 1,6% 4.284 1,0% - 38%

Israel 5.470 0,6% 7.216 0,9% 7.144 0,8% 6.076 0,7% 3.749 0,9% + 104%

USA 386 0,0% 446 0,1% 99 0,0% 354 0,0% 75 0,0% - 38%

Uruguay 98 0,0% 2 0,0% 7 0,0% 36 0,0% 4 0,0% + 203%

EXTRA EU 25/27 875.886 806.861 844.965 843.870 439.809

% change - 8% + 5% - 0% + 2,3%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jun 132012


EU Poultry meat Import

309.579 298.925 269.519

78.886 87.511 135.605

2.540

427.443 429.772 439.809

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

400.000

450.000

500.000

Jan-Jun 11 Jan-Jun 12 Jan-Jun 13

Tonn

es cw

IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe)

Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins

646.097 637.844 566.740

332.746 386.887 440.691

1.084.5731.149.713 1.113.542

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

1.400.000


1000

EUR

IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1000 EUR)

Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins


Export of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 12

Saudi Arabia 97.485 9,6% 118.019 9,3% 151.520 10,7% 149.321 10,4% 80.541 11,4% + 10%

South Africa 7.938 0,8% 22.006 1,7% 94.076 6,7% 131.970 9,2% 69.556 9,9% + 15%

Benin 84.912 8,4% 115.066 9,1% 126.212 8,9% 139.559 9,8% 67.893 9,6% + 7%

Hong Kong 88.357 8,7% 151.558 12,0% 188.381 13,3% 125.177 8,7% 61.735 8,8% - 14%

Russia 227.555 22,4% 245.478 19,4% 115.138 8,2% 114.085 8,0% 44.039 6,3% - 14%

Ukraine 89.314 8,8% 85.965 6,8% 81.687 5,8% 103.536 7,2% 39.408 5,6% - 15%

Ghana 28.694 2,8% 41.066 3,2% 68.979 4,9% 69.025 4,8% 38.914 5,5% + 18%

Yemen 36.331 3,6% 39.632 3,1% 38.021 2,7% 34.463 2,4% 18.915 2,7% - 4%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 20.903 2,1% 27.749 2,2% 29.972 2,1% 34.226 2,4% 16.063 2,3% - 5%

Switzerland 28.111 2,8% 29.700 2,3% 29.336 2,1% 29.205 2,0% 15.807 2,2% + 9%

Malaysia 22.676 2,2% 25.900 2,0% 20.965 1,5% 24.363 1,7% 15.095 2,1% + 11%

Vietnam 39.971 3,9% 31.696 2,5% 29.162 2,1% 19.087 1,3% 6.769 1,0% - 50%

Extra-EU27 1.015.784 1.264.610 1.412.110 1.430.658 704.275

% change + 24% + 12% + 1% + 0,9%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jun 132012


EU Poultry meat Export

79.147 79.007 66.91172.091

99.169 140.82173.972 85.871 92.078

534.638583.863

625.111

871.954960.741

1.044.646

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000


1000

EUR

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)

Hong Kong South Africa Saudi ArabiaBenin Ukraine Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 69 000 ('000 EUR)

96.246 71.981 61.73569.556

73.096 80.54162.655 63.322 67.89335.168 46.339 39.408

368.656 382.515 385.141

674.031 697.802 704.275

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000


Tonn

es cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)

Hong Kong South Africa Saudi ArabiaBenin Ukraine Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 45 000 Tons


EU Poultry meat Trade Balance

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891

807845 844 844

440

1.017

1.101 1.1161.153

1.114

1.275

1.063 1.046997 997

867

982

1.265

1.412 1.431 1.431

704

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jun 13

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

IMPORTS EXPORTS


50,00

75,00

100,00

125,00

150,00

175,00

200,00

09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg

EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)

eu market situation for poultry management committee 29 august 2013

Documents

eu poultry meat import

eu poultry meat export

eu market situation

poultry man com

import of poultry meat

export of poultry meat

poultry management committee

selected origins