eu market situation for poultry common · 2017-08-25 · eu market situation for poultry 24 august...

EU Market Situation

for Poultry

Committee for the

Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets

24 August 2017

EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017

P R O D U C T I O N

21.4

%

11.9

%

11.0

%

9.8%

8.4%

6.8%

4.1%

3.6%

3.5%

2.8%

1.9%

1.2%

0.8%

0.8%

0.6%

0.4%

0.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-1.6

%

-1.7

%

-1.7

%

-2.1

%

-2.5

%

-7.2

%

-7.7

%

1.2%

- 20%

- 15%

- 10%

- 5%

+ 0%

+ 5%

+ 10%

+ 15%

+ 20%

+ 25%

SK LV SE IE UK SI CY PL EL AT PT BE FI LT RO ES CZ MT HR EE LU IT DE FR NL DK HU BG EU

Change in Poultry slaughter2017/2016 (up to May)


P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Placings of broiler chicks(1 000 pieces) 2015 2016 2017


P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

1 000 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Forecast and Production of broiler(In tonnes) 2015 2016 2017


P R O D U C T I O N

Euro – US Dollar exchange rate

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 01/16 01/17

Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro

18/08/2017: 1 EUR = 1.17 USD


P R O D U C T I O N

Euro – Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real

exchange rate

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 01/16 01/17

Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes

Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference

18/08/2017: 1 EUR = 20.37 ARS = 3.72 BRL


C e r e a l P r i c e s

World cereal prices ($/t)

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

$ /

to

nn

e

Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 193

Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 179

Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 190

Maize - FR Bordeaux $ 180

Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 158

Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 167



US CME SRW wheat futures

153

171

187

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

0

50

100

150

200

250

05/08/17 09/08/17 13/08/17 17/08/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 to

nnes)

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

Last 14 days

120

170

220

270

320

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

07/14 01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 to

nnes)


Daily volume

SEP 2017 (R)

MAR 2018 (R)

SEP 2018 (R)



CME maize futures

153

171

187

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

0

50

100

150

200

250

05/08/17 09/08/17 13/08/17 17/08/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 to

nnes)


Last 14 days

120

170

220

270

320

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

07/14 01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 to

nnes)


Daily volume

SEP 2017 (R)

MAR 2018 (R)

SEP 2018 (R)



CME soya futures

344345

348

352

335

345

355

365

375

0

75

150

225

300

375

05/08/17 12/08/17

$/t

Da

ily

tra

de

d v

olu

me

(1

00

0 c

on

tra

cts

of

13

6 t)

Chicago (CME) soybeans futures

Last 14 days

300

350

400

450

500

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

11/13 05/14 11/14 05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 t)

Chicago (CME) soybeans futures

Daily volume

SEP 2017 (R)

NOV 2017 (R)

JAN 2018 (R)

SEP 2018 (R)



Soyameal world quotations $/ton

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

mai-16 juin-16 juil.-16 août-16 sept.-16 oct.-16 nov.-16 déc.-16 janv.-17 févr.-17mars-17 avr.-17 mai-17 juin-17 juil.-17

$/to

nne

Brazil Paranagua

US Gulf

Argentina Up River

Source: IGC

304.0 325.0299.0


P R I C E S

Pric

es

+ 0.4% + 1.3% + 4.9%

EUW E E K P R I C E S 33

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

186.05

€/

10

0 k

g

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E


P R I C E S

E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

165

175

185

195

205

€ur

o/ 1

00

kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Avg. 2012-16 2015 2016 2017

Latest price ==> 186.05 EUR/100 kg

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 33) : + 4.9%

Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 2017/1185)


P R I C E S

E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

In €

uro

/100

kg

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil

EU US BR

Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br)

186.05 161.08 88.71

Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins


E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s T R A D E

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 16

Brazil 506 374 62.7% 507 355 60.0% 501 327 57.3% 503 291 55.9% 231 633 53.0% - 15%

Thailand 228 238 28.3% 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 290 186 32.2% 140 274 32.1% - 12%

Ukraine 276 0.0% 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 080 5.3% 34 952 8.0% + 77%

Chile 30 515 3.8% 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 875 3.2% 11 697 2.7% - 32%

China 18 145 2.2% 19 761 2.3% 18 403 2.1% 16 946 1.9% 9 700 2.2% + 16%

Argentina 10 783 1.3% 10 996 1.3% 8 529 1.0% 6 463 0.7% 3 380 0.8% + 13%

South Africa 55 0.0% 701 0.1% 724 0.1% 302 0.0% 2 088 0.5% +++

Sw itzerland 3 817 0.5% 4 307 0.5% 2 424 0.3% 2 548 0.3% 1 153 0.3% - 7%

Others 9 071 1.1% 5 666 0.7% 4 260 0.5% 3 780 0.4% 2 284 0.5% #N/A

Extra-EU 807 274 845 743 874 937 900 470 437 161

% change + 4.8% + 3.5% + 2.9% - 9.3%

2013 2014 2015 Jan-Jun 172016

EU Poultry meat Imports


E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e r T R A D E

254 856 271 096231 633

148 816159 370

140 274

448 022

481 745

437 161

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17

TO

NN

ES

cw

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins

570 411 514 036 492 446

547 158494 336

439 281

1 241 977

1 132 124

1 072 335

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

1 400 000


10

00

E

UR

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)

Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins


W O R L D

M A R K E T

E U I M P O R T S

BROILER MAIN IMPORTERS

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Japa

n

Japa

n

EU

EU

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ay)

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ay)

Sout

h Af

rica

Sout

h Af

rica

Cana

da

Cana

da

Russ

ia (u

p to

May

)

Russ

ia (u

p to

May

)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2016 (up to June) 2017 (up to June)

Qty i

n 10

00 To

nnes

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June)

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations


T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 16

Hong Kong 116 963 8.2% 136 177 9.1% 100 945 6.8% 123 766 7.7% 71 918 9.3% + 18%

Ukraine 75 965 5.3% 80 084 5.3% 90 850 6.1% 114 899 7.1% 65 617 8.5% + 41%

Ghana 75 252 5.3% 56 900 3.8% 68 283 4.6% 77 159 4.8% 58 606 7.6% + 69%

Benin 139 247 9.7% 163 844 10.9% 138 414 9.3% 116 882 7.2% 58 288 7.5% - 19%

Saudi Arabia 154 787 10.8% 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.6% 121 645 7.5% 52 642 6.8% - 15%

South Africa 158 548 11.1% 203 412 13.5% 213 577 14.3% 270 157 16.7% 49 993 6.5% - 63%

Philippines 35 696 2.5% 57 641 3.8% 100 719 6.8% 126 741 7.8% 48 714 6.3% - 22%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 28 625 2.0% 33 697 2.2% 35 269 2.4% 44 465 2.8% 29 744 3.8% + 96%

Gabon 25 070 1.8% 29 409 2.0% 37 330 2.5% 31 925 2.0% 26 984 3.5% + 120%

Vietnam 13 564 0.9% 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 140 2.2% 26 887 3.5% + 60%

Russia 95 200 6.7% 68 363 4.5% 1 223 0.1% 1 109 0.1% 428 0.1% - 29%

Other Destinations 509 552 35.7% 530 998 35.3% 533 195 35.8% 551 144 34.1% 284 525 36.7%

Extra-EU 1 428 470 1 503 984 1 489 430 1 616 031 774 346

% change + 5.3% - 1.0% + 8.5% - 1.2%

2013 2014 2015 Jan-Jun 172016

EU Poultry meat Export


T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

B r o i l e r

45 285 60 719 71 91832 672 46 490 65 61733 006

34 72358 60687 504 71 59358 28870 639 61 89252 642

443 310508 411 467 274

712 417783 829 774 346

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000


TO

NN

ES

cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Hong Kong Uk raine Ghana Benin Saudi Arabia Other destinations *

65 732 81 239 106 95234 634 35 261 38 32925 364 22 73242 489

118 050 53 32551 248

124 85787 499

70 755

672 495

669 804 609 653

1 041 133

949 860 919 426

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000


10

00

EU

R

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)

Hong Kong Ukraine Ghana Benin Saudi Arabia Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 920 000 ('000 EUR)

EU Poultry meat Trade Balance


T R A D E B A L A N C E

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

821857 855

807846

875900

437

1 017

1 101 1 1161 153

1 114

1 275

1 063 1 046997 997

867

9821 016

1 265

1 428 1 431 1 428

1 504 1 489

1 616

774

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Jun17

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

IMPORTS EXPORTS

EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 euros)


T R A D E B A L A N C E

2 240 505 2 233 613

2 097 428

2 190 262

2 341 835

2 158 198

1 072 335

1 852 975

2 066 277 2 089 0252 055 412

2 120 870

1 954 748

919 426

0

500 000

1 000 000

1 500 000

2 000 000

2 500 000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Jun 17

in 1000 EurosIMPORTS EXPORTS


Where to find data:

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm

• Click on link: Poultry

• Click on link: Presentations and prices

(righthand side under: in this chapter)

• Choose the item (link) you want

• Poultry dashboard

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf

EUROPA SITE MARKETS

http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm









http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf





eu market situation for poultry common · 2017-08-25 · eu market situation for poultry 24 august...

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