eu m arket s ituation for e ggs and p oultry management committee 21 march 2013
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EU M arket S ituation for E ggs and P oultry Management Committee 21 March 2013. Import of Poultry meat from selected origins. EU Poultry meat Import. Export of Poultry M eat to S elected D estinations. EU Poultry meat Export. EU Poultry meat Trade Balance. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry
Management Committee
21 March 2013
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
150
160
170
180
190
200
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 100kg
Evolution of the weekly EUaverage price for Broiler
Avg 08 - 12 2010 2011 2012 2013
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
-8,0%
-4,0%
0,0%
4,0%
8,0%
12,0%
16,0%
20,0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
Percentual change of Broiler prices February2013
- 1 year
- 1 month
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
50
150
250
350
450
Juil Oct Jan April Juil Oct Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr
Euro
/ to
nne
Price of Basic Ingredients 2010 - 2013
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
120
150
180
210
|Jan 2012| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2013| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June |
€uro
/ To
nn
Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 & 2013)
01 Nearby
2013 Jan
2013 Mar
2013 Nov
Delivery:
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
160
180
200
220
240
260
|Jan 2012| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2013| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun |
€/T
on
n
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 - 2013)
Nearby
2013 Mar
2013 Nov
2014 Jan
Delivery:
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
1.100
1.200
1.300
1.400
1.500
1.600
1.700
|Jan 2012| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2013| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2012 & 2013)
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
2013 Jul
2013 Nov
Delivery:
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Eu
ro
/ T
(f
ee
d)
Eu
ro
/ 1
00
kg
(B
ro
ile
r)
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2007 - 2011
NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from November Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from December
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
0
150 000
300 000
450 000
600 000
750 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Re
alis
ed
sla
ug
hte
r in
1000 T
Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn
Forecast Realised Poultry slaughter
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
PL HU LT LV SF NL EL IT MT SI UK BG DE ES SE EE EI RO SK PT FR AT KY CZ BE DK EU
% Change 21,5 9,2% 8,6% 7,4% 6,2% 5,7% 4,0% 3,1% 2,3% 2,0% 1,6% 1,4% 1,2% 1,0% 0,4% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% -0,5 -1,5 -2,5 -6,5 -10, -17, -18, 2,3%
-20,0%
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
Change in official Broiler slaughter by MS.2012/2011
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
3.000
6.000
9.000
12.000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1000
T
EU Poultry production on basis of available slaughter data and calculated estimations
March 2013 forecast poultry production by experts 2012: +0,2%, 2013: +0,7%
other
ducks
turkeys
chickens
2013Broiler +0,7% 9,6 MioTTurkey -0,6% 1,9 MioTDuck+0,7% 0,5 MioTTotal Poultry+0,7% 12,5 MioT
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
Import of Poultry meat from selected origins
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 12
Brazil 659 368 75.3% 586 593 72.7% 604 599 71.6% 561 322 66.5% 37 372 57.2% - 12%
Thailand 141 524 16.2% 148 244 18.4% 154 304 18.3% 196 423 23.3% 20 096 30.8% + 47%
Chile 39 022 4.5% 34 403 4.3% 44 433 5.3% 42 105 5.0% 3 704 5.7% - 16%
China 5 690 0.6% 9 836 1.2% 13 808 1.6% 15 669 1.9% 1 923 2.9% + 44%
Argentina 20 576 2.3% 15 795 2.0% 15 646 1.9% 13 763 1.6% 666 1.0% - 40%
Israel 5 470 0.6% 7 216 0.9% 7 144 0.8% 6 076 0.7% 1 004 1.5% + 71%
Croatia 2 295 0.3% 2 647 0.3% 2 714 0.3% 2 737 0.3% 197 0.3% - 12%
USA 386 0.0% 446 0.1% 99 0.0% 354 0.0% 0 0.0% - 99%
Uruguay 98 0.0% 2 0.0% 7 0.0% 36 0.0% #N/A #N/A #N/A
EXTRA EU 25/27 875 886 806 861 844 965 843 870 65 303
% change - 8% + 5% - 0% + 1.8%
2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jan 132012
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
100 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
in Tonnes cwe
Imports of selected Poultry products
FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
EU Poultry meat Import
43 679 42 31637 372
15 07913 676 20 096
388
65 473 64 127 65 303
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
Tonnes cw
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe)
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other destinations
88 960 89 58174 475
64 320 60 70766 213
172 818 173 777165 304
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
200 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
1000EUR
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1000 EUR)
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 12
Saudi Arabia 97 485 9.6% 118 019 9.3% 151 520 10.7% 149 321 10.4% 13 659 13.6% + 9%
Hong Kong 88 357 8.7% 151 558 12.0% 188 381 13.3% 125 177 8.7% 10 100 10.1% - 33%
Benin 84 912 8.4% 115 066 9.1% 126 212 8.9% 139 559 9.8% 6 923 6.9% - 40%
South Africa 7 938 0.8% 22 006 1.7% 94 076 6.7% 131 970 9.2% 8 133 8.1% - 35%
Russia 227 555 22.4% 245 478 19.4% 115 138 8.2% 114 085 8.0% 6 017 6.0% + 2%
Ukraine 89 314 8.8% 85 965 6.8% 81 687 5.8% 103 536 7.2% 6 511 6.5% - 15%
Ghana 28 694 2.8% 41 066 3.2% 68 979 4.9% 69 025 4.8% 4 610 4.6% - 17%
Yemen 36 331 3.6% 39 632 3.1% 38 021 2.7% 34 463 2.4% 1 476 1.5% - 50%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 20 903 2.1% 27 749 2.2% 29 972 2.1% 34 226 2.4% 361 0.4% - 70%
Switzerland 28 111 2.8% 29 700 2.3% 29 336 2.1% 29 205 2.0% 2 694 2.7% + 13%
Malaysia 22 676 2.2% 25 900 2.0% 20 965 1.5% 24 363 1.7% 2 114 2.1% + 0%
Vietnam 39 971 3.9% 31 696 2.5% 29 162 2.1% 19 087 1.3% 1 243 1.2% - 34%
Extra-EU27 1 015 784 1 264 610 1 412 110 1 430 658 100 258
% change + 24% + 12% + 1% - 14.3%
2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jan 132012
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
inTonnescwe
Exports of selected Poultry products
FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
EU Poultry meat Export
16 148 15 056 10 1008 133
12 56213 659
8 121
11 6076 9235 237
7 643
6 511
50 383
57 656
54 934
92 553
116 975
100 258
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
Tonn
es c
w
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Ukraine Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 7 000 Tons
13 260 17 123 11 2289 480
16 79024 2839 434
15 379 10 109
7 3208 299
76 512
87 438 93 570
123 778
157 412 156 970
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
1000
EU
R
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Ukraine Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 13 000 ('000 EUR)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
50.00
75.00
100.00
125.00
150.00
175.00
200.00
09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
302277 292 310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891
807845 844 844
65
1 017
1 101 1 1161 153
1 114
1 275
1 063 1 046997 997
867
982
1 265
1 412 1 431 1 431
100
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jan 13
in 100
0 To
nnes cwe
IMPORTS EXPORTS
2012
2002 2003 2004 2005
2006 2007 2008 2009
2010 2011 2013
EU Market Situation for Eggs
Management Committee 21 March 2013
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
85
105
125
145
165
185
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 100kg
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs for Consumption
Avg 08 - 12 2010avg 2011 2012 2013
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
-20,0%
-10,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
Percentual change of Egg prices February 2013
- 1 year
- 1 month
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
40
80
120
160
200
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 2 5 8 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50
€uro
/ 100kg
Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2013
Enr. Cage low Enr. Cage high Cage Free Eggs for Consumption US High breaking
41,7 % increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 9 of 201335,6% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 9of 2013Yellow difference is barn high minus enriched cage low,
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de
Euro
/ 100kg
Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production
marge
feed
egg
Avg Margin
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
7 500
15 000
22 500
30 000
37 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
40
80
120
160
4 000
5 500
7 000
8 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Pric
e €u
ro/1
00
kg
Production forecast ofeggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
200
400
600
800
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
in 1
00
0 T
Production of Hatching Eggs andEggs for Consumption by MS.
2010 - 2013
Hatching eggs Eggs for Consumption
2013Egg for consumption+2,8% 6,4 MioTHatching eggs-6,7% 0,9 Mio TEgg Total +1,5% 7,4 MioT
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
10
00
T
Experts EU production forecast of Eggs for consumption2012: 6.273 MioT (- 2,5%) & 2013: 6.445 MioT (+2,8%)
2010 2011 2012 2013
BG +8,6%
UK +1,3%
HU +3,8%
CZ +13%
ES +9,7%
NL +1,5%
FR +7,9%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 12
USA 11 165 36.7% 14 009 42.6% 5 956 29.5% 14 246 40.2% 563 22.7% + 285%
Argentina 7 899 26.0% 7 889 24.0% 8 088 40.0% 9 963 28.1% 1 089 43.9% - 31%
Mexico 1 893 6.2% 1 263 3.8% 556 2.7% 1 018 2.9% 0 0.0% - 67%
Albania 1 659 5.5% 3 208 9.7% 1 303 6.4% 2 118 6.0% 61 2.5% - 57%
India 5 776 19.0% 3 211 9.8% 1 554 7.7% 3 657 10.3% 462 18.6% + 440%
Israel 711 2.3% 941 2.9% 547 2.7% 1 393 3.9% 50 2.0% - 62%
Canada 33 0.1% 2 0.0% 0 0.0% 67 0.2% #N/A
Brazil 67 0.2% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% #N/A
EXTRA EU 25/27 30 409 32 909 20 219 35 395 2 478
% change + 8% - 39% + 75% + 10.9%
2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jan 132012
EU Imports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
EU Egg Imports
618
146563
3911 575
1 089
191
156253
1 462
2 2352 478
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
Total EU Import of Eggs -not incl. Hatching eggs
(Tonnes eggs equiv)
USA ArgentinaIndia IsraelAlbania Other destinations
1 041740
1 007
3691 185
1 098
459
271
2 078
2 447
3 028
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
Total EU Import of Eggs -not incl. Hatching eggs
(1000 EUR)
USA ArgentinaIndia IsraelAlbania Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
in Tonnes egg equiv.
EU-27 Imports of selected EGGS products(including Hatching eggs)
FRESH Albumin Not In Shell Yolk Haching
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 12
Japan 47 238 31% 52 923 29% 66 357 31% 66 424 36% 3 659 23% - 29%
Switzerland 43 499 29% 45 072 25% 42 168 19% 41 881 23% 4 249 27% + 16%
Russia 4 360 3% 5 293 3% 4 947 2% 5 982 3% 1 080 7% + 166%
Angola 4 019 3% 10 414 6% 17 524 8% 17 176 9% 2 228 14% + 89%
Libya 40 0% 201 0% 226 0% 363 0% 19 0% - 27%
Thailand 4 068 3% 6 180 3% 7 254 3% 6 409 3% 612 4% + 2%
Ukraine 4 304 3% 5 621 3% 4 422 2% 4 298 2% 408 3% + 100%
Taiwan 2 868 2% 7 145 4% 7 941 4% 4 626 2% 0 0% - 100%
South Korea 1 948 1% 2 495 1% 4 379 2% 3 386 2% 271 2% - 47%
U.A.Emirates 2 664 2% 5 888 3% 8 262 4% 1 674 1% 204 1% + 2%
Norway 963 1% 570 0% 1 300 1% 923 0% 35 0% - 78%
Israel 3 398 2% 1 308 1% 2 654 1% 1 060 1% 0 0% - 100%
EXTRA EU 25/27 150 173 181 933 217 397 185 050 15 966
% change + 21% + 19% - 15% - 0.7%
2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jan 132012
EU Exports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
3 7565 158
3 659
3 9113 660
4 249
7 128 5 077 4 138
17 18816 078 15 966
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
20 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)
Japan Switzerland Russia
Angola Thailand Other destinations
2 479 3 677 3 838
4 9215 058
7 163
1 2176 717
5 725
5 84016 423 16 734
21 774
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
Jan-Jan 11 Jan-Jan 12 Jan-Jan 13
Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)
Japan Switzerland Russia
Angola Thailand Other destinations
EU Egg Exports
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
2012 |Jan13
in Tonnes egg equiv.
EU-27 Exports of selected EGGS products (including Hatching eggs)
FRESH Albumin Not In Shell Yolk Haching
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
1018
2318 17
27
16
30
69
2530
3945
2330 33
20
35
2
144
164
186
209
231
201 205
191
142
198 198202
167
187
150
182
217
185
16
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jan13
in 1000 TonnesIMPORTS EXPORTS
EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 21 March 2013
50.00
75.00
100.00
125.00
150.00
175.00
200.00
09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Egg prices the EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro (Ave World)