eu countries with flat tax system lithuania24% latvia25% estonia22% slovakia19% bulgaria(from 1...

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EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania 24% Latvia 25% Estonia 22% Slovakia 19% Bulgaria(from 1 January) 10% Romania 16%

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Page 1: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

EU Countries with Flat tax systemLithuania 24%

Latvia 25%

Estonia 22%

Slovakia 19%

Bulgaria(from 1 January) 10%

Romania 16%

Page 2: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

POPULATION AND SIZE

POLAND

Population: 38.5 million (2008)

Area: 312,685 sq. km

BELARUS

Population: 9.685 mill.

(June 2008)

Area: 207,600 sq km

RUSSIA

Population: 142.2 mill. (2007)

Area: 17,075,200 sq km

LATVIA

Population: 2,271 mill.

Area: 64,589 sq km

ESTONIA

Population: 1,341 mill.

Area: 45,226 sq km

LITHUANIA

Population: 3,366 mill.

Area: 65,200 sq km

KALININGRAD OBLAST

Population: 947,000

Area: 15,100 sq km

Page 3: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

INFLIATION

12.6% (Jan 2008)

11.3%*

17.9%*

12%*

2.5%(2007)

8.4% (2007 est)

9.3%(8/2007)

*LT, LV, EE – May 2008

Page 4: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

4.2%*

6.5%

4.9%

5.9% (Jan. 2007)

12.8% (2007 est.)

1.7% (2007)

6.2%

*LT, LV, EE – Q1 2008

Page 5: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Average gross monthly earnings

788 EUR*

645 EUR

623 EUR

268 EUR

770 EUR (9/2007)

375 EUR

348 EUR

*Q1 2008 (LT, LV, EE)

(2007) in Euros

Page 6: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

GDP GROWTH

7.1%

10.3%

8.8%

11.2%*

*2006

Q1 2008 - EE 0.1%; LV 3.3%; LT 7%

6.5% (est.)

8.1%

8 %

Page 7: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

GDP per Capita (2007 est.)*

$21,100

$17,400

$17,700

$14,700

$16,300

$10,900

*CIA- The World Factbook

Page 8: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Labour productivity per person employed (EU 25)

Page 9: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Real GDP Growth Rate (2006)

Page 10: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%
Page 11: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Expenditure on social protection as a percentage of GDP (2004)

Page 12: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Lithuania – Human Development Index

• Lithuania ranks at 43 in the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Human Development Index. Estonia ranks at 44 and Latvia ranks at 45.

• HDI - living a long and healthy life (measured by life expectancy), being educated (measured by adult literacy and enrolment at the primary, secondary and tertiary level) and having a decent standard of living (measured by purchasing power parity, PPP, income).

• At ranking 43 out of 177 countries – Lithuania is listed as - a ‘High Human Development Country’.

Page 13: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Total expenditure on social protection

Page 14: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Active Labour Market Policy % GDP (averages 1997 – 2004)

Page 15: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Index of Fatal Accidents at Work 1998-2005

(per 100,000 employees) source: Eurostat

Page 16: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Fatal accidents at work Index of the number of fatal accidents at work per 100 thousand

persons in employment (1998=100)

Page 17: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Serious accidents at work 2005 Index 1998=100

Page 18: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Deaths due to suicide (SDR per 100,000) males

Page 19: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

At risk of poverty after social transfers 2005

Page 20: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Tax rate on low wage earners: unemployment trap

Page 21: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Tax rate on low wage earners: couple with 2 children

Page 22: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Food and non-alcoholic beverages (% of household income expenditure) 2005

Page 23: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Inequality of income distribution (income quintile share ratio) 2005

Page 24: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Relation between income inequality and life expectancy

Source: HEALTH STATUS AND LIVING CONDITIONS IN AN ENLARGED EUROPE Report prepared by European Observatory on the Social Situation LOT 4: Health Status and Living Conditions Network for the DG Employment, Social Affairs, and Equal Opportunities, European Commission Final Report December 2005 p.64 http://ec.europa.eu/employment_social/social_situation/docs/sso2005_healthlc_report.pdf

Page 25: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Recent demographic developments in Europe 2004. Strasbourg: Council of Europe Publishing 2005

Page 26: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Male life expectancy at birth 2005

Page 27: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Net trade union density in EU25, 1995–2004 (%)Source: European Foundation, Industrial Relations in EU Member States 2000-2004 p.6.

Page 28: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Collective bargaining coverage in EU25, 2002 (%) Source: European Foundation, Industrial Relations in EU Member States 2000-2004 p.14.

Page 29: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Trade unionisation in the Baltic States

• Latvia –15% of workforce (EIRO report. 2005)

• Lithuania – 10% of the workforce (EIRO report, 2005)

• Estonia –9% of the workforce (LFS, 2006)

Page 30: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Density rate of employer organisations in EU25 (%) Source: European Foundation, Industrial Relations in EU Member States 2000-2004 p.12.

Page 31: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Average number of working days not worked due to strike action per 1,000 employees, EU25, 2000–2004

Source: European Foundation, Industrial Relations in EU Member States 2000-2004 p.23.

Page 32: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Did your employer provide cash-in-hand payments for overtime or other work in the last twelve months?

Page 33: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Migration – a crisis of human resources

Page 34: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Scale of labour outflow since EU accession in 2004

• Lithuania (3.3%) and Latvia (2.4%) registered outflow of working age population.

• In Slovakia, Poland and Estonia, the scale of outflow was somewhat smaller – about 1%

• LABOR MIGRATION FROM THE NEW EU MEMBER STATES: World Bank, EU8,Quarterly Economic Report, PART II: Special Topic, September 2006,World Bank Report p.22

Page 35: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Proportion of people who think that they are likely to move to another EU Member State in the next five years (percentages)

Page 36: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%
Page 37: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Quality of life % satisfied by

country source: EQL Survey

Page 38: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Standard of living

% satisfied by country

source: EQL Survey

Page 39: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

‘Non-circular’ migration

Page 40: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

Proposals of World Bank

• Governments would be well-advised to manage labor migration more proactively.

• Further measures are needed to stimulate labor force participation and employment, including reducing high labor taxes and in some cases social benefits.

• EU8 countries should also consider phasing in—in tandem with capacity development for screening needed labor—a more liberal regime for importing labor from countries further east.

Page 41: EU Countries with Flat tax system Lithuania24% Latvia25% Estonia22% Slovakia19% Bulgaria(from 1 January)10% Romania16%

The ‘Hard Landing’ scenario…