Envisioning North Central Texas: Potential Transportation Innovations

Dan Lamers, P.E.North Central Texas Council of GovernmentsMarch 20, 2012

What is Mobility 2035?

Represents a Blueprintfor a MultimodalTransportation System

Responds to Goals Identifies Policies,Programs, and Projectsfor ContinuedDevelopment

Guides Expenditures ofFederal and State Funds

Mobility Quality of Life

System Sustainability Implementation

GOALS

Metropolitan Transportation Plan

Major Policy IssuesNeeds Exceed Available RevenueCan’t Build Our Way Out of CongestionMaximize Existing SystemUse Sustainable Development Strategies to:

Reduce demand on transportation system Provide multimodal options

Emphasis on Environmental Aspects and Quality of Life Issues of Programs and Projects

Invest Strategically in Infrastructure

Multimodal Recommendations

Prioritization of ImprovementsM

axim

ize E

xisti

ng S

yste

mSt

rate

gic I

nfra

stru

ctur

e In

vest

men

t

$27.3

$4.8

$3.9

$18.9

$46.2

Mobility 2035 Expenditures (Actual $, billions)

$101.1

Freeways/Tollways and ArterialsAdditional Vehicle Capacity

HOV/Managed LanesIncrease Auto Occupancy

Rail and BusInduce Switch to Transit

Growth, Development, and Land Use Strategies

More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance

Management and Operations• Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System• Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements

Infrastructure Maintenance• Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities• Bridge Replacements

Levels of Congestion

Mobility 2035 Revenue Enhancements

20102011

20122013

20142015

20162017

20182019

20202021

20222023

20242025

20262027

20282029

20302031

20322033

20342035

Mobility 2035 Scenario: Federal, State, and Local Option Revenues

Status Quo Scenario: Federal and State Revenues

2020: 5 cent Fed-eral and State Fuel Tax Increases

2015: $10 Vehicle Registration Fee Increase

2030: 5 cent Fed-eral and State Fuel Tax Increases

2015: Begin In-dexing Fuel Tax to Fuel Efficiency

2013: Begin Elimi-nating 80% of Di-versions by 2025

2025: $10 Vehi-cle Registration Fee Increase

Source: TRENDS Financial Model

Mobility 2035 - $101.1 B

Status Quo - $74.9 B

For More Information

www.nctcog.org/mobility2035

Regional Transportation Planning

Innovation Potential

People Projects Processes

Innovation Potential – People

Behavior ModificationAuto Occupancy IncentivesToll and Fare Collection SystemMileage Based User FeesLane-Use DecisionsTravel Demand Management

Value Pricing Pilot Program

Upcoming Request for Qualifications to Demonstrate State of the Art Technology in

IH 30 Corridor

IH 30 (Tom Landry Corridor)

Smart Card Toll and Fare Collection SystemUsage Tracking and Incentive CreditingUser Interface to Lock in Toll Rate

Incremental land value increase

Incremental tax-base growth

May expand to include other elements

Development rights Share of development

profits Land use planning

CRUCIAL to maximize value

Development Comparison

Innovation Potential – Projects

Infrastructure ImplementationRoute AutomationVehicle-to-Vehicle CommunicationsSmart Infrastructure Incident ClearanceTransit PulsingUnconventional DesignConstruction TechniquesAlternative Energy Sources

Diverging Diamond Interchange

High/Higher Speed Rail

8-Hour Ozone Historical TrendsDallas-Fort Worth Nonattainment Area102 101 100 100 99

96 9695

91

86 8690

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

1998-2000

1999-2001

2000-2002

2001-2003

2002-2004

2003-2005

2004-2006

2005-2007

2006-2008

2007-2009

2008-2010

2009-2011^

2010-2012^

2011-2013^

* Attainment Goal - According to the US EPA National Ambient Air Quality Standards, attainment is reached when, at each monitor, the three-year average of the annual fourth-highest daily maximum 8-hour average ozone concentration is less than 85 parts per billion (ppb). ** Ozone Standard was revised in 2008 to 75 ppb. Designations were put on hold until September 2011, and EPA is now moving forward with making recommendations.

- - - - - - - - - -2008 Revised Standard = 75 ppb**

^ Not a full set of data. Current as of October 10, 2011

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -1997 Standard < 85 ppb Goal*

High

est A

vera

ge a

t any

Giv

en M

onito

r (pp

b)

Consecutive 3-Year Periods

Innovation Potential – Processes

Streamlined Data Management and Analysis Bridge and Pavement Monitoring Funding and Financing Methods Environmental and Social Analysis Data Sharing and Interoperability

Priced Facilities

24%Traditional Sources

34%Local Sources

29%Innovative Sources

13%Revenue Enhancements

100%Mobility 2035 Funding

Project Development Typical Roadway Project Development Process

Action

Task

Time

Construction

2-5 Years

Final Design/PE/

ROW Acquisition

2-5 Years

Environmental Study/Preliminary

Design

3-6 Years

Long Range Planning

1+ Years

Project Conception

Local Consensus

FHWA Decision

Project Letting

Litigation/Public Opposition

Add 5-10+ Years

Operation

Project Opens

Project costs increase by 5%-10% for every year of delay, resulting in a $50M increase each month for the region

Planning to Operation:8-17+ years

Integrated Corridor Management (ICM) Two Federal ICM Projects

DFW Region, San Diego DFW focuses on US 75 corridor

System to mitigate traffic during incidents

Receives and processes information on incidents and the transportation network

Alternate routes DMS modes 511 System with My511 Schedule: soft launch Summer 2012 US75 ICM Corridor Area

2050 and the Future of Transportation – 2008* 2010

Electric shoes with built-in roller skates

Segway Human Transporter will gain serious market share

2015 Traditional gas-powered autos

will start to decline with electric automobiles and hybrids taking up most of the slack

Flying car era begins with flying drones to deliver pizza and FedEx packages

2020 Self-illuminating highways –

highways that glow in the dark

2025 First attempt at launching the

space elevator will fail Friction-free no-moving-parts

energy developed called “binary power”

2030 Commercialization of the first

binary powered flying vehicles 2050

Average vehicle will cost under $5,000; weigh less than 200 lbs.; take less than an hour to manufacture

Fully functioning space elevators

*Thomas Frey, Executive Director and Senior Futurist at the DaVinci Institute and Innovations Editor for The Futurist Magazine

Questions?

Dan Lamers, P.E.Senior Program Manager

North Central Texas Council of Governmentsdlamers@nctcog.org

(817) 695-9263