environmental decision making and risk management for contaminated ground water and soil remediation...

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Environmental Decision Making and Risk Environmental Decision Making and Risk Management for contaminated ground water Management for contaminated ground water and soil remediation using integrated and soil remediation using integrated approach of Neuro-fuzzy approach of Neuro-fuzzy Environmental Management and Analysis Group ETSEQ, Rovira i Virgili University Vikas Kumar Supervisor: Dra. Marta Schuhmacher

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Environmental Decision Making and Risk Environmental Decision Making and Risk Management for contaminated ground water and Management for contaminated ground water and

soil remediation using integrated approach of soil remediation using integrated approach of Neuro-fuzzyNeuro-fuzzy

Environmental Management and Analysis Group

ETSEQ, Rovira i Virgili University

Vikas Kumar

Supervisor: Dra. Marta Schuhmacher

Outline

Objectives

Introduction

Work Plan

Summary

Technology overview

The probability of an adverse event and the magnitude of the consequences…

Problems of Environmental Risk : •Measurable, •Subjective, and •Based on multi-criteria

IntroductionRisk

Introduction

Affected surface soil

Affected subsurface soils

Affected Groundwater

Wind erosion

Volatilization

Leaching

Atmospheric dispersion

Accumulation in enclosed space

Groundwater transport

Soil dermal contact and ingestion

Inhalation of vapors and/or particulates

Groundwater ingestion

Surface water, swimming, fish consumption, etc

On-site receptor

Off-site receptor

Source Transport MechanismExposure Media

Receptors

Exposure pathways

Introduction

• Causes:– Agricultural waste– Industrial waste– Effluents from landfills– Petroleum products– Radioactive waste

Ground water and soil Contamination

Introduction

Till now:Tools used:

•Statistical methods•Probabilistic methods•Fuzzy methods

Focused on single pollutant on single ecological processNot dealing with uncertainty Not dealing with multi-criteria and multiple stakeholders.

Why this research?

Technology overview

Fuzzy Logic ?

“Fuzzy logic is a structured, model free estimator that approximates a function through linguistic input/output associations.”

The statement, today is sunny.

•100% true if there are no clouds,

•80% true if there are a few clouds,

•50% true if it's hazy and

•0% true if it rains all day.

Technology overview

Neuro-fuzzyArtificial Neural Network + Fuzzy logic

ObjectiveCreate a methodological model which, taking into account subsoil and contaminants characteristics as well as human and environmental health risks features, help to make decisions in the prioritization about polluted soils remediation.

Work PlanIdentification of process and variables

Uncertainty analysis

Knowledge base

Fuzzy model

Neural-fuzzy model

Network training

Planning Identification Analysis HandlingCommuni-cation & Tracking

• Build the process• Allocate Responsibilities• Determine “What is to be Risk-Managed”

• Comparative Analysis• Assign Attributes• Assign Ownership

• Evaluate the Impact• “A” Risk• “All” Risks

• Prepare Decision-packages

• A Decision-Making Process

• Iterative with Analysis to select mitigation

• Keep everyone aware of decisions made

• Track progress • Evaluate effectiveness

The Basic Risk Management ProcessThe Basic Risk Management ProcessSummary

Acknowledgement• Dra. Marta Schuhmacher• URV for scholarship• Ministerio de Educacion Y Ciencia, Spain for

research grant• Professors and colleges of ETSEQ

[email protected]

Thank you

Questions ?