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Environment and the New Epidemiology

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Page 1: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Environment and the New Epidemiology

Page 2: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The fight for authority

Self or Expert?Humans as Mine Canaries

Is normal, natural, healthy?“I’m not sick, but I haven’t been well in a long time.”

Page 3: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The people take over• Notion of available utopian health

• The suburb

• Lay expertise• Key awareness of what has changed in the

environment (Melrose Easter, S 281-1)

• Lay outrage: Smog – aspecific, non point source; radiation, inescapable

• Local or labor power: “I don’t care if my kid has unusual susceptibility.”

• Community survey medicine– The U.S. Health survey– The Framingham studies, 1948

• Multivariate Analysis “Los Angeles Smog”, courtesy of Ben Amstutz. Some rights reserved.

Page 4: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Social Duty Defined: WHO Principles, August 1948

• Health is a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity.

• The enjoyment of the highest attainable standard of health is one of the fundamental rights of every human being without distinction of race, religion, political belief, economic or social condition.

• The health of all peoples is fundamental to the attainment of peace and security and is dependent upon the fullest co-operation of individuals and States.

• The achievement of any State in the promotion and protection of health is of value to all.• Unequal development in different countries in the promotion of health and control of

disease, especially communicable disease, is a common danger.• Healthy development of the child is of basic importance; the ability to live harmoniously in

a changing total environment is essential to such development.• The extension to all peoples of the benefits of medical, psychological and related

knowledge is essential to the fullest attainment of health.• Informed opinion and active co-operation on the part of the public are of the utmost

importance in the improvement of the health of the people.• Governments have a responsibility for the health of their peoples which can be fulfilled

only by the provision of adequate health and social measures.

Page 5: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The insidiousness of social diseases: pellagra

• Dermatitis (chest, hands), dementia, diarrhea• Diagnosed US, 1902, epidemic in the south, in

institutions: Italian precedents• A stigma disease: Bad corn related, or…

– Hereditary, Infectious, Sin• Therapies include: salvarsan and arsenicals,

appendectomy, electric shock• Goldberger’s intervention, 1914: mixed diet

– Experiments on criminals: induced pellagra– Experiments on self and family: non-infectious

• Attack on southern culture

Joseph Goldberger

Photos courtesy of the Office of NIH History, National Institutes of Health.

Man with Pellagra

Page 6: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Pellagra/2: Famine in South Carolina

• “Famine and plague are words almost foreign to our American vocabulary, save as we have learned their meaning in connection with afflictions of landsless favored and toward which our people have so many times displayed large and generous charity.”

• Pres. Warren G. Harding

• “When this part of Georgia suffers from a famine the rest of the world will be dead”

• Georgia citizen

• Goldberger: Single factor? Or Poverty of cotton economy– K RAJAKUMAR, Pellagra in the United States: A Historical Perspective,”

SOUTHERN MEDICAL JOURNAL 93 (2000): 272-77

Page 7: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The Sellers-Nash problem: where does medical truth lie?

• In the test result, culture plate, or toxic screen?• In the expert’s inspection of the household or the

clinician’s gaze at the body?• In the subject’s experience?

– Foucault’s notion of total, disciplinary institutions: defining the limits of admissible experience

– The Case of lead: if no acute manifestations, no problem– Slow recognition of long term effect on behavior, IQ.

Page 8: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Sub-clinical plumbism• The Hamilton approach:

– the unsafe workplace; focused workplace reform, body monitoring, and good will negotiation

• The Kehoe response– Get off industry’s back: lead a normal constituent, harmless except in

excess (controls: Mexican farmers, white collar workers at lead plant)• Consultant GM, TEL (Ethyl)

• The Sellers-Patterson critique– Lead typical, but not normal, insidious, anthropogenic, and harmful– Patterson’s LA smog experiences

• Removal of lead from gasoline by 1990

Page 9: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Problem: where do lay ideas of health come from?

• Sellers: notion of poison, notions of good air, sunlight, dustiness, fumes

• worker denial or worker blame– Familiarity– Masculinity– Identity, fear, and anxiety: lead is my life– A means to alter conditions of work and wages

• Hours• Women

• Ambiguous modes of resistance: “Turnover …refusal to say with a job that … managers saw as a failure of character, resistance to managerial regimes through frequent absences or insistence on rest periods and breaks.” (s 274)

Page 10: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Environment made official

• Rachel Carson, Silent Spring, 1962– DDT poisons food chains,

poisons people– The model of nuclear fallout,

invisible, insidious

• Wilhelm Hueper (NCI)– Synthetic organics, asbestos,

soot and smog, solvents abound

• Cancer (including lung) higher in industrial areas: Cancer corridors

Wilhelm Hueper and Harold Stewart

Image: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Rachel-Carson.jpg

Photo courtesy of the NIH Record, National Institutes of Health.

Page 11: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

NCI Cancer Atlas

• http://www3.cancer.gov/atlasplus/index.html

Page 12: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Tobacco and the assumptions of specificity

• If cigs cause lung cancer, must be due to some ingredient, must always cause cancer; lc cannot have other causes

• Disease not health: if effects cumulative, indirect, and non acute, do not exist– GPs miss lead poisoning

• Normal environment=healthy environment

Page 13: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Why so much lung cancer

• Toxic workplace• Rise of paved roads (1930s)• Rise of auto exhaust (1910s on)• Decline of TB and ageing population• Long term effect of 1919 flu• Ciggies?

– Not a strong enough link for single agent– Too simplistic for complex causation

Page 14: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Textbook Stages -- from Greenwood and Ackerman et al.

• 1935 Cancer as generally unitary; as irritation phenomenon, age phenomenon

• 1947 lung cancer increase noted; links to prior infection, occupation; tobacco discounted – women don’t get it

• 1954 same, but more “circumstantial evidence” on tobacco• 1962 same but more on occupation, chemicals, air pollution,

but strong “correlation” with smoking• 1970 same, but even more on smoking, though still

“correlation” as greatest risk factor• Modern genetic predisposition; mechanisms complex but

particular

Page 15: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Stages in convergence• 1950 retrospective case control

studies associating smoking and cancer – Wynder & Graham, Hill and Doll

• Beg. 1940s – pathological studies of cancer deaths showing smoke induced cellular change-- Auerbach

• 1950s mouse-painting expts with tobacco-carcinogens – Graham and Wynder

• Later 1960s: prospective community studies Doll and Hill, Hammond and Horn

• Smoking and cancer may be both linked to underlying life style or genetic factor (stress)– People misremember their

smoking behavior– Leading interview techniques– Doubters ACS, SG

• Dead smokers had this, but live healthy smokers? Variability of path. description

• Animal paintings-inhalations don’t reliably produce cancer; we don’t paint skin with ciggies

• Distinct populations (region, race, sex) do not have same smoking-cancer rates– Critics: Berkson, Mayo, RA Fisher

Page 16: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The case against smoking: replacing Koch’s postulates?

A.B. Hill

Photo: http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=1884735

Page 17: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The emergence of a new science: is “only statistical” enough?

• Long term discrete disease: cancers, ulcers• Long term less discrete diseases:

degenerative conditions, heart disease• Underminings of health: stress, susceptibility

Page 18: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Taking over medical research

• AIDS ACT UP, 1980– What’s wrong with drug research

• Environmental Justice Movement, McFarland, CA– What’s wrong with epidemiology

• National comparisons vs comparisons with healthy places

• Inadequate spatial subdivision

Page 19: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

California

• Bodies move through a pesticide environment: harm from– Variable susceptibility– Synergistic effects of multiple toxins– Multiple work sites– Uneven concentrations of pesticide

• Environment moves through bodies– Contamination of water, air, by synthetic

organics– Especially women’s bodies– Especially fetal bodies

Photo courtesy of Linda Panetta at www.opticalrealities.org. Used by permission.

Photo courtesy of USDA

Page 20: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

What changed since 1850?

• Health is place• Risk factors• Race• Personal constitution

– Toxicogenomics and victim blaming

Page 21: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

The regulator’s dilemma: why the people took control of science

• The age of mass tort litigation; obfuscatory (junk) science– Tobacco Industry Research Council, 1953– Council on Tobacco Science, 1964

• Clarence Little, ACS exec. Dirctor• The Heuper argument

• “I’m on your side” BUT– “my budget allows me to deal with only one

problem a year”• “I really want to get home”

Page 22: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

Images courtesy of The New York Public Library.  www.nypl.org

Photo courtesy of the National Institutes of Health

Page 23: Environment and the New Epidemiology. The fight for authority Self or Expert? Humans as Mine Canaries Is normal, natural, healthy? “I’m not sick, but

the rational response of HIV-AIDS to clinical trials

• Best science model: emphasize perfection in protocols (double blind, large control groups); participate in trials, await results, slow FDA approval

• No science model: self-medicate• Modified science model: Epstein-AIDS activists

– Informed citizen choice: medical consumerism – Citizen-researcher groups– Ethical obligations to diversity of affected population (what is true for

all may be false for some)– Ethical obligations to placebo takers– Notion of general clinical experience over general laws of therapeutic

operation– Creative use of statistics