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ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487

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Page 1: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

ENSO

El Niño Southern Oscillation

Pages 484-487

Page 2: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

NORMAL conditionsNORMAL conditionsTrade WindsCool water pools near S.America,Warm water pools near Australia

Page 3: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

El Nino Warning SystemEl Nino Warning System

• Sea Surface Temperature

•Wind Speed/Direction

•Ocean Current Direction

Page 4: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

EL NINO

Page 5: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia
Page 6: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

How are “El Niño” conditions different?

Ocean currents reversesWarm water pools near S.AmericaCool water pools near Australia

Page 7: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia
Page 8: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia
Page 9: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

How does El Nino affect weather in…

• South America?

• Australia?

• Northern US?

• Southern US?

• Typhoons?

Page 10: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

Global Effects of El Nino

S. America- more rain; warmerFloods/mudslides

Australia- dry; coolerLess typhoonsKills anchovies in Peru (how El Nino was first

discovered)

Page 11: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

El Nino’s effect on the United States

Warmer winters/ drier in N states

Wet/colder Wet/colder winters in S states

Page 12: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia
Page 13: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

“LA NINA”

Cool phase of ENSO (neg. phase)Trade winds intensify

Page 14: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

La Nina

Page 15: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

How does La Nina affect weather in…

• South America?

• Australia?

• Northern US?

• Southern US?

• Hurricanes?

Page 16: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia
Page 17: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

• South America- drier/colder

• Australia- wetter/warmer

• N. US- Colder than normal winters»Increased snowfall

More hurricanes

S. US- warmer/drier

La Nina’s effects

Page 18: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

Predictable?

Page 19: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

El Nino or La Nina?

Page 20: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia
Page 21: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

2012-2013 winter forecast(as of Oct. 2012)

Page 22: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

El Nino or La Nina?

Page 23: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

Winter 2012

normal 2012

• Plus el Nino

Page 24: ENSO El Niño Southern Oscillation Pages 484-487. NORMAL conditions  Trade Winds  Cool water pools near S.America,  Warm water pools near Australia

Helpful Websites

• TAO ~ Tropical Atmosphere Ocean project

http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/index.shtml

• The TAO Story

http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/proj_over/flash/mainDOC.html