eng pv gas challenge for gas balance

16
Ho Chi Minh, July 04 2012 CHALLENGES FOR BALANCING GAS SUPPLY AND DEMAND

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Page 1: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Ho Chi Minh, July 04 2012

CHALLENGES FOR BALANCING 

GAS SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Page 2: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Vietnam gas Potential reserves: 691 BCM:

– Cuu Long basin: 98 BCM– Nam Con Son basin: 186 BCM– Malay – Tho Chu basin: 136 

BCM– Song Hong basin: 271 BCM

Proved and commercial reserves: 

358 BCM

Vietnam Gas Reserves

Source: PVN, PVGAS

Page 3: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Gas Development

Page 4: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Keys of Gas Play

Page 5: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Domestic Gas Value Chain

LPG Distributor

LPG Distributor

IndustrialIndustrial

CommercialCommercial

Condensate Blending Plant

Condensate Blending Plant

LPG TerminalLPG Terminal

Malay Tho Chu BasinMalay Tho Chu Basin

Nam Con Son BasinNam Con Son Basin

Power PlantsPower Plants

Fertilizer Plants

Fertilizer Plants

IndustrialIndustrial

CommercialCommercial

Cuu Long BasinCuu Long BasinPIPELINE GAS/CNG

Gas Processing PlantGas Processing Plant

LPG VesselLPG Vessel

Page 6: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Shouthern Gas System

Bach Ho – Dinh Co Pipeline:L:117 km, D:16”, C:2BCMA, in Operating

Nam Con Son 2 Pipeline:L:330 km, D:26”, C:7BCMA, Operation in 2014

Nam Con Son Basin

Cuu Long Basin

Malay – Tho Chu Basin

GPP DC

GDC PMPMPP

GDC CMCMPP

GDC OMOMPP

HPPP

Nam Con Son 1 Pipeline:L:370 km, D:26”, C:7BCMA, in Operating

PM3‐Ca Mau Pipeline:L:330 km, D:18”, C:2 BCMA, in Operating

South East‐South West Pipeline:L:140km, C:2BCMA, Operation after 2015

Block B‐Omon Pipeline:L:400 km, D:28‐30”, C:7 BCMA, Operation in 2015

Source: PVGAS

Page 7: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Gas Consumption & Market

Source: PVGAS

Page 8: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

CHALLENGES FOR BALANCING GAS SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Page 9: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

How to balance domestic gas supply and demand?

‐1.846

‐2.001

‐1.165

‐2.001

‐2.316

‐3.283

‐3.693

‐5.420

‐7.082

‐7.524

‐9.054

‐11.10

9

‐12.21

0

‐13.29

7

‐15.48

6

‐20.000

‐15.000

‐10.000

‐5.000

0.000

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

BCM

CUU LONG BASIN NAM CON SON BASIN MALAY‐THOCHU BASIN GAS SHORTAGE TOTAL SOUTHERN GAS DEMAND

Source: Forecast PVN, PVGAS

Page 10: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Vietnam will import LNG to support the market in 2 option:

–Option 1: Upgrade the existing Thi Vai terminal to import 1 MTPA from 2015 and can extend to 2 MTPA.

–Option 2: Invest a new terminal 3‐6 MTPA in Son My – Binh Thuan after 2018, supply gas to a new power complex and existing market

LNG Import Plan

Thi Vai terminal

Son My terminal

Page 11: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

• Almost domestic gas volume is nominated by government at low price for power and fertilize production

• Power price in 2011: 6.2 cent/kWh; According to PDP7 the price will increase to 8‐9 cent/kWh in 2020

• Gas price and volume for industrial customers will increase to reach LNG price in 2014‐2015

• How is the market price for all customers when domestic gas production go down ?

Current energy priceThe barrier for LNG imported

Page 12: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Mixing price – How to control?

Page 13: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

How to distribute LNG ?

Level 1 Terminal Imported LNG

LNG TrucksTerminal, Regasified Station supply to

users

Users

LNG

Pipeline

LNG Small Scale Vessel

Level 2 LNG Terminal

LNG

LNG

LNG

Dry Gas

Dry Gas

LNG

Dry Gas

Page 14: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Sơn MỹThị Vải

How to Develop the gas market in the North and Middle ?

• By Small Vessels:Capacity :  2000‐12000 m3Range of supply: max.2000 kmDistribution market: South West, Central and North Provinces.

• By Trucks: Capacity: 10T/15T/20TRange of supply: max. 200 kmDistribution market: South East and part of South Central.

Page 15: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

For importing LNG into Vietnam

• Large finance to invest LNG terminals• Experience in LNG business: shipping management, operation and maintenance of LNG terminal 

• LNG codes and standards• Safety regulations,…

Page 16: Eng PV Gas Challenge for Gas Balance

Thank You for Attention !