energy situation and prospects in the mediterranean basin august 2000

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3 Source: OME February 2000

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Page 1: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Energy Situation and Prospects in the

Mediterranean Basin

August 2000

Page 2: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Demography by Country in the SEMCs

0

100

200

300

400

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

mill

ions

inha

bita

nts

Others

Egypt

Turkey

Morocco

Algeria

TunisiaLibya M

aghr

eb

2

Source: OME February 2000

Page 3: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Energy Demand in the Mediterranean Basin

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Mto

e

NMCs

SEMCs

3

Source: OME February 2000

Page 4: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Energy Consumption Growth in the Mediterranean

349

42

600

210

710

390

775

495

0

300

600

900

SEMCs NMCs

Mto

e

6,1%/y

4,3%/y 2,0%/y

1,2%/y

4

Source: OME February 2000

1970 1998 2010 2020 1970 1998 2010 2020

Page 5: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

300

Primary Energy Demand in the SEMCs

0

100

200

400

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Mtoe

Others

Egypt

Turkey

Morocco

Algeria

TunisiaLibya

5

Source: OME February 2000

Page 6: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

6

Source: OME February 2000

Primary Energy Consumption per Capita in the Mediterranean(koe per capita)

343

1967

889

2898

1318

3502

1527

3785

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

SEMCs

NMCs

koe per capita

2020

2010

1998

1970

2020

2010

1998

1970

Page 7: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Energy Share by Source in the Mediterranean Energy Balance

1998 (810 Mtoe)

Oil51%Gas

19%

Coal13%

Hydro3%Nuclear

14%

2010 (1100 Mtoe)Hydro 3% Coal 14%

Gas 28%

Nuc. 11%

Oil 44%

7

Source: OME February 2000

Page 8: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Energy Share by Source in the SEMCs Energy Balance

1998 (210 Mtoe)Hydro 3%

Coal 16% Gas 23%

Oil 58%

2010 (390 Mtoe)Hydro 3% Coal 18%

Gas 35%

Nuclear 1%

Oil 43%

8

Source: OME February 2000

Page 9: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Primary Energy Consumption in the SEMCs by Source

Coal

Oil

N.Gas

Nuclear

Hydro

0

100

200300

400

500

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

Mto

e9

Source: OME February 2000

Page 10: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Primary Energy Consumption in the NMCs by Source

Coal

Oil

N.Gas

Nuclear

Hydro

0

200

400

600

800

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

Mto

e10

Source: OME February 2000

Page 11: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Natural Gas Reserves & Resources in the Mediterranean

Source:Conférence Arabe Energie-Damas 1998 pour réserves, et OME/Masters pour ressources Reserves Resources

40003800

30001350 1000

250 40085 200

300 500

2000

11b

Page 12: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

12

Source: OME February 2000

Electricity Demand in the Mediterranean Basin

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

2100

2400

2700

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

TWh

NMCs

SEMCs

Page 13: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

Electricity Demand in the Mediterranean Basin

388

34

1110

302

1360

712

1555

1072

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

SEMCs NMCs

TW

h

8,4%/y

5,9%/y 4,0%/y

1,6%/y

13

Source: OME February 2000

1970 1998 2010 2020 1970 1998 2010 2020

Page 14: Energy Situation and Prospects in the Mediterranean Basin August 2000

14

Source: OME February 2000

Electricty Consumption per Capita in the Mediterranean Basin(kWh per capita)

283

2183

1311

5550

2429

6734

3103

7534

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

SEMCs

NMCs

kWh per capita

2020

2010

1998

1970

2020

2010

1998