energy efficiency watch evaluation (work package 3) screening of neeaps, status jan 2008
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Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation (Work Package 3) Screening of NEEAPs, Status Jan 2008. Dr. Ralf Schüle Senior Consultant and Project Co-ordinator Wuppertal Institute - RG II: Energy, Transport and Climate Policy. Daniel Becker Senior Consultant ECOFYS Germany GmbH. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation (Work Package 3) Screening of NEEAPs, Status Jan 2008
Dr. Ralf SchüleSenior Consultant and Project Co-ordinatorWuppertal Institute - RG II:Energy, Transport and Climate Policy
Presentation given at the Interparliamentary Meeting on RE and EE at the European Sustainable Energy Week 2008 January 29, 2008Brussels
Daniel BeckerSenior ConsultantECOFYS Germany GmbH
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 2
Tasks of Evaluation
Task 1: Definition of Criteria for Evaluation Task 2: Evaluation of NEEAPs
Screening (27) In depth-evaluation (10-12)
Categorisation of energy efficiency measures
Country reports
Sectoral reports
Update of evaluation after acceptance
Task 3: Highlighting Good Practice / What does not work
Task 4: Reporting and EEW-Brochures
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 3
Time Schedule
Evaluation of NEEAPsTasks 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1. Criteria Development2. Screening of NEEAPs3. In depth analysis/ sectoral analysis
4. Update of Evaluation
5. Deliverables
Screening
Country reports
Sectoral reports
Good Practice
Brochures
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 4
Requirements of the ESD
ESD requires MS to submit three NEEAPs to EC as of 2016
The first NEEAP was due by June 30, 2007
Only a few requirements for NEEAPs are preset:
National indicative annual energy savings target adopted for 2016 (GWh)
National intermediate indicative annual energy savings target adopted for 2010 (GWh)
Energy efficiency improvement programmes, energy services, and other measures planned for achieving the target
Measures to implement Article 7 addressing the public sector
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 5
Criteria of Screening (1)
1.1 Status of plan1.2 Energy Savings (Target in TWh)
(1) percent of energy consumption (+/- 9%?)
(2) percent of saving potential
1.3 GHG impact, expected contribution to emissions reduction/ conversion factor used
1.4 Early Action / Additionality of Measures 1.5 Early Savings1.6 Consistency of national to ESD targets
1. Status and Design
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 6
Criteria of Screening (2)
2.1 Policy Packages per sector2.2 Involvement of Energy Supply Sector
(qualitatively, covered sectors, fuels, %targets?)
2.3 Role of public sector2.4 Role of Energy Services (acc. ESD) 2.5 Financing
2. Effectiveness of instruments
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 7
Criteria of Screening (3)
3.1 Existence of ex ante estimates through sectors3.2 Transparency of calculation3.3 Plausibility of calculation3.4 Information on evaluation and methodologies
(bottom up or/and top down)
3.5 Plausibility of methods
3. Monitoring and Evaluation
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 8
First Impressions
Only few MS took deadline seriously (5 still missing) Very heterogeneous designs, contents and levels of information
provided Illustrative and impressive collection of measures enables
international mutual learning In fact, collection of measures addressing broadens thinking about EE
from isolated measures to coherent policy packages In most cases, relationship between technical energy saving
potentials, energy saving targets and EEI-measures to be implemented is weak or not transparent (to be shown more detailed by EEW-evaluation)
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 9
Criterion: Availability
Availability
of 27 plans Four are not yet available, Five are only available as a
preliminary version / draft Two are not available in English
(as of January 15, 2008)
Country Submission
Austria
Belgium Jan 08
Bulgaria
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Denmark 2005 plan
Estonia Draft/EEP
Finland
France French, temp-doc.
Germany
Greece outline of plan
Hungary Dev. Plan, 15pp.
Ireland
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania inoff. Engl. version
Luxembourg not available
Malta
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal not available
Romania
Slovakia not available
Slovenia Slovenian
Spain
Sweden not available
UK
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 10
Criterion: Energy Saving Target
Energy Saving Target
Most of MS will achieve their target, (to be verified whether compliance is realistic on the basis of measures and packages listed)
Some MS base their calculations on national EE plans, partly not consistent with ESD requirements
Five MS want to overachieve the target (UK, IRE, LIT, DEN, CYP)
Country Target
Austria 9%BelgiumBulgaria 9%Cyprus 10%Czech Republic 9%Denmark 11%/2012Estonia 9%, not cons.Finland 9%France no informationGermany 9%Greece 9%Hungary 1%/a 2013Ireland 9%/12,5%Italy 9.6 %Latvia 9%Lithuania 11%Luxembourg Malta 9%Netherlands 9%Poland 9%PortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpain 11 % (for 2012)SwedenUK 9/18%
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 11
Criterion: GHG-ImpactsCountry GHG-Impact
AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus no informationCzech Republic no informationDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland single sectorsItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK
GHG-Emissions
Only few MS explicitly calculate the GHG effect of measures
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 12
Criterion: Additional Measures
Additional Measures
Most of MS distinguish between measures already implemented and additional measures
(mostly according to national EE development plans or sectoral plans)
Good quantity of additional measures to be implemented
Country Additional Measures
AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus no early actionCzech Republic add. measuresDenmarkEstonia no informationFinland partly add. (5%)FranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland acc. div. sec. plansItaly Many add. measuresLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourg MaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 13
Criterion: Early Savings
Early Savings
Eight MS claim early savings (1995 pp.), especially GER and AUT
Country Early Savings
Austria 43%BelgiumBulgariaCyprusCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermany 45%GreeceHungary 7%IrelandItaly calc. for measuresLatviaLithuania 17%LuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK since 2000
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 14
Criterion: Policy Packages
Policy Packages
In most of the MS, thinking in „policy packages“ is basis of domestic policy(„small“ and „large“ packages)
Agricultural sector underrepresented (especially France and Poland)
Country Policy Packages
AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus "small package"Czech Republic few supp. MeasuresDenmarkEstonia 18 m. subd. in aimsFinlandFrance agriculture?GermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 15
Criterion: Financing Energy Savings
Financing
Only a few countries address the issue of financing EE-measures e.g. DEN, HUN, GER, UK(not required)
Country Financing
AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprusCzech RepublicDenmark Electr. Saving TrustEstoniaFinlandFranceGermany efficiency fundGreeceHungary credit fundIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK carbon fund
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 16
Criterion: Involvement of Energy Supplier
Involvement of Energy Supplier
In most of MS, energy suppliers are or will be involved in the process of implementation of EE policies, partly quantified in its contribution, partly as addressee of measures
Country E-supply
Austria ???BelgiumBulgaria ???CyprusCzech Republic Energy actDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland 4.7%ItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 17
Criterion: Involvement of Public Sector
Public Sector
In most of MS, the public sector has been assigned an important role in implementing ee-policies
Country Public Sector
AustriaBelgiumBulgaria ???Cyprus 2 measuresCzech RepublicDenmarkEstonia ???FinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland 9% (incl. business)Italy section in planLatvia 11.7% (incl. tertiary)LithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK 26% (incl. business)
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 18
Criterion: Role of Energy Services
Energy Services
In most NEEAPs, the role of Energy services is neglected
Country E-Services
Austria ???BelgiumBulgariaCyprus 1 measureCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 19
Criterion: Ex Ante Estimates
Ex ante estimates
Only half of MS conducted ex ante estimates, related to potentials
Urgent need for ISI-potential study (end Feb.)
Country Ex Ante Estimates
AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus each sectorCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 20
Criterion: Monitoring and Evaluation
Monitoring and Evaluation
AUT, BUL, CZ, GER, FIN, ITA, LAT, UK provide information on evaluation methods (mostly bottom up)
Country Information on Evaluation
Austria 13% bottum upBelgiumBulgaria bottum upCyprus no infoCzech Republic mix of bu/tdDenmarkEstoniaFinland bottum up, 37-50%FranceGermany mostly bottum upGreeceHungaryIrelandItaly mostly bottum up Latvia td in 3 sectorsLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK mostly bottum up
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 21
Summary
Availability: 11 of 27 plans are either not available, available as a preliminary version or are not
available in English (as of January 15, 2008)
Energy Saving Target: Most of MS will achieve their target, to be verified whether compliance is realistic on the
basis of the measures and packages listed. Few MS rely their calculations on national EE plans, partly not consistent with ESD
requirements Two MS will overachieve the target (UK, IRE, LIT, DEN, CYP)
Early Action/Early Savings/Additionality Most of MS do not clearly distinguish between EA, ES and additional measures In Austria and Germany, early action will to a large extend contribute to ESD-compliance
(43 and 45%), Lithuania: 17% In many MS, additional measures will be implemented to achieve the required target
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 22
Summary
Policy Packages: In most of the MS, thinking in „policy packages“ is basis of domestic policy
(„small“ and „large“ packages) Some countries count the implementation of related EU-directives to domestiv measures Agricultural sector underrepresented
Financing Only a few countries address the issue of financing EE-measures (e.g. DEN; HUN; GER,
UK)
Public Sector, Energy Supplier, Energy Services In most of MS, public sector has been assigned an important role in implementing ee-
policies Also in most of MS, energy suppliers are or will be involved in the process of
implementation of ee policies Energy services are predominantly neglected
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 23
Summary
Ex ante estimates Only half of MS conducted ex ante estimates, related to potentials Urgend need for ISI-potential study
Monitoring and evaluation Only AUT, BUL, CZ, GER, FIN, ITA, LAT, UK provide information on evaluation methods
(mostly bottom up)
January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 24
Policy Conclusions
From diversity to harmonisation harmonisation of NEEAPs (template) harmonisation of evaluation methods (EMEEES)
From plan to implementation urge MS with pending or drafted plans to submit urge MS to implement/monitor and improve EEI measures listed in
the NEEAPs clear distinction between/definition of early action, early savings,
additional savings/measures
From energy savings to GHG-emissions reductions explicit documentation of GHG-effects (although not required)
Thank you for your attention!
Daniel BeckerEcofys Germany GmbH
++49 30 2977357920
Dr. Ralf Schüle Wuppertal Institut für Klima, Umwelt, Energie
++49/(0)202/[email protected]