energy and economy chapter 6

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Energy and Economy Chapter 6 Kurt Yeager GEA West Coast Launch – Stanford 21 May 2013

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Energy and Economy Chapter 6. Kurt Yeager GEA West Coast Launch – Stanford 21 May 2013. Lead Authors. Felix Dayo Brian Fisher Roger Fouquet Asmeron Gilau Hans-Holger Rogner Contributing Authors Marianne Haug Richard Hosier Alan Miller Subine Schnitteger. Energy and Economy. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

Energy and EconomyChapter 6

Kurt YeagerGEA West Coast Launch – Stanford

21 May 2013

Page 2: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

Lead AuthorsFelix DayoBrian FisherRoger FouquetAsmeron GilauHans-Holger Rogner

Contributing AuthorsMarianne HaugRichard HosierAlan MillerSubine Schnitteger

2

Page 3: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #3

Regional Disparities in Income and Energy Use per Capita in 2005

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Energy and Economy

Page 4: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #4

Capital-Energy Substitution Frontier

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Energy and Economy

Alternative technical production options

Capital K

Energy E

A

BC

Page 5: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #5

Primary Energy Use per Capita versus GDP per Capita

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Energy and Economy

0

100

200

300

400

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000

GJ p

er ca

pita

GDP per capita

USA 1800-2008

Japan 1885-2008

China (MER) 1950-2008

India (MER) 1950-2008

UK 1800-2008

Page 6: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #6

Annual Growth Rates of Indicators for Primary Energy Demand

Energy and Economy

Page 7: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #7

Primary Energy Intensities Across Regions in 2005

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Energy and Economy

Page 8: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #8

SME Contribution to Employment and GDP

Energy and Economy

Page 9: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #9

Average External Costs for the European Union

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Energy and Economy

Page 10: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #10

The Role of Backstop Technologies in Capping Resource Prices

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Energy and Economy

Price

P0

Pb

Pt= P0 ert

Time t

Quantity/Stock

Q0

.

Backstop price

TQT

Page 11: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #11

Short and Long-Term Demand/Supply Responses to a Price Increase Due to a Loss of Supply Capacity

Energy and EconomyShort and long-term demand/supply responses to a

price increase due to a loss of supply capacity

PB

PA

A

SS

E

B

DSDL

PE

QA

SLSS

PC

QC QBQE

C

Page 12: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #12

Declining Investments in the US Electricity Sector

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Energy and Economy

Page 13: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #13

Energy and Financing

FINANCING• Energy Investment Constraints• Financial Sources & Mechanisms

TECHNICAL INNOVATION• The Role of Entrepreneurial Innovators

Page 14: Energy and Economy Chapter 6

© GEA 2012www.globalenergyassessment.orgChapter 6, #14

Conclusions

• Energy is an essential prerequisite for economic development• Energy is crucial for achieving a more equitable and sustainable world• Energy technology has expanded dramatically

but it is not yet being adequatelyimplemented commercially • Electricity is the essential key to energy access and innovation• Energy transitions require robust public policy and institutional frameworks

Page 15: Energy and Economy Chapter 6