energia xxi

LA ALTERNATIVA NUCLEAR

NDICE Introduccin Retos planteados Fuentes de energa disponibles La situacin en Espaa Aportacin de la Energa Nuclear Conclusiones

Evolucin del consumo de energa

GRAFICO 1

Distribucin del consumo de energa

Energa y pobreza en el mundo

Retos planteados Suministro de energa El 20% de la poblacin mundial consume el 80% de la energa Ao 2030: Incremento de un 50% en la demanda energtica global Fuentes de suministro Distribucin geogrfica de las materias primas energticas Geopoltica de la energa Desarrollo tecnolgico Eficiencia sistemas materiales Impacto ambiental Cambio climtico Contaminacin SOx, NOx Efecto Invernadero CO2 Residuos Uso racional de la energa Desarrollo sostenible dimensin socioeconmica dimensin tecnolgica dimensin medioambiental

Demanda mundial de energa primariaPanorama energtico futuro

Panorama energtico futuroEmisiones de CO2 producidas en generacin de energa

Factores de emisin de CO2 por fuentes de energa

Grfico4

030

0350

460220

700100

860390

gr/kWh

Consumo de energa por habitant

Luxemburgo82271114

Finlandia47801253

Blgica4123651

Suecia40251245

Pases Bajos3795529

Austria3052555

Alemania2981513

Irlanda2929459

Dinamarca2815522

Francia2792548

Inglaterra2703473

Italia2276407

Espaa2231406

Portugal1949330

Grecia1847351

Consumo de energa por habitant

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Consumo energa final

Consumo elctrico

Balance energtico

consumoimportaciones netasproduccin

199017007001100

200018006001220

201020009001200

2020220012001100

203023001400950

Balance energtico

17007001100

18006001220

20009001200

220012001100

23001400950

consumo

importaciones netas

produccin

Dependencia por fuentes energet

Combustibles slidosPetrleoGas naturalTotal

199019%80%44%43%

200029%77%44%44%

201035%81%60%55%

202050%89%74%63%

Dependencia por fuentes energet

0000

0000

0000

0000

1990

2000

2010

2020

Previsiones de consumo por fuen

produccin/consumo

1990200

2000250

2010250

2020225

2030125

Previsiones de consumo por fuen

0

0

0

0

0

produccin/consumo

Previsin consumo fuente 2

consumo

1990450

2000350

2010350

2020380

2030450

Previsin consumo fuente 2

0

0

0

0

0

consumo

Previsin consumo fuentes 3


1990670500200

2000700400330

2010770520320

2020820650270

2030880710200


000

000

000

000

000

consumo

importaciones netas

produccin

previsin consumo fuentes 4


1990300100200

2000420180260

2010510260260

2020590360210

2030650450200

previsin consumo fuentes 4

000

000

000

000

000

consumo

importaciones netas

produccin


produccin/consumo

1990100

2000135

2010160

2020175

2030185


0

0

0

0

0

produccin/consumo

Evolucin del consumo

TransporteIndustriaHogares y servicios

1990310330500

340360510

2000360360550

380400590

2010390420630

420440630

2020480465640

490480700

2030500490700

Evolucin del consumo

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

Transporte

Industria

Hogares y servicios

Produccin energ.

Combustible solidoPetrleoGas naturalE. NuclearE.Renovable

1990375225210190100

355240230200120

330245260210130

300280270210140

2000250290290230160

250290290230170

240300280225180

240300280225180

2010240300260220180

240290260210170

230280250210160

230280230210150

2020230270220205140

230270210200130

230250215195120

230250215180110

2030230250215170100

Produccin energ.

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

Combustible solido

Petrleo

Gas natural

E. Nuclear

E.Renovable

EUR30

Combustible slidos24%

Petrleo y productos39%

Gas Natural18%

Nuclear13%

Renovable6%

EUR30

0

0

0

0

0

EUR15

Combustible slidos16%

Petrleo y productos41%

Gas Natural22%

Nuclear15%

Renovable6%

EUR15

0

0

0

0

0

EU-15

Grfico consumo primaria

CARBNPETRLEOGASHIDRULICANUCLEAR

19739.87539,455 7942,4891.705

19749.16942,095 8522,6351.882

197510,33242,230 9412,2441.966

19769.58447,3531,0921,8081.969

197710,22745,7141,1843,4131.700

197810,22947,3891,2693,4681.993

197910,64849,1341,3273,9941.746

198013,33750,0701,5672,5441.351

198115,17846,4391,7651,8942.494

198217,25344,3951,8902,2652.285

198317,63642,5452,2022,3352.778

198418,05740,9071,8772,7186.016

198519,12139,5382,1952,7017.308

198618,69540,6762,3362,2829.761

198718,00342,5202,6482,35810,755

198815,24844,2823,4403,03513,151

198919,17346,0254,5051,64014,625

199018,97447,7415,0002,20514,138

199118,99249,3675,5112,34914,484

199219,27750,4645,8511,72414,537

199318,41849,7095,8292,15514,609

199418,01851,8946,4792,42514,415

199518,72154,6107,5042,00014,449

199615,81055,4338,4013,52114,680

199718,01057,39611,0573,11714,411

199818,30061,67011,8163,22015,376

199920,97663,04113,5352,48415,337

200022,13764,66315,2232,94316,211

200120,20466,72116,4054,12916,602

200222,63167,61018,7572,72816,420

Grfico consumo primaria

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

CARBN

PETRLEO

GAS

HIDRULICA

NUCLEAR

Grfico consumo final

CarbnP.PetrolferosGasElectricidad

19734,02930,333 7635,124

19744,32631,576 8205,597

19753,95530,993 9015,784

19763,51033,3351,0346,292

19773,52235,9161,1366,557

19783,16137,1271,2206,933

19793,19639,2401,2527,402

19803,50437,7371,2207,748

19814,55035,2521,1847,806

19825,54534,4771,1787,865

19835,31533,8821,1108,245

19845,44334,5811,5498,622

19855,03034,1101,7688,858

19864,78335,2212,0049,046

19874,21237,0172,4639,427

19884,23738,3283,1539,876

19894,35339,5874,11610,410

19904,27140,8934,53110,974

19914,13542,2404,99911,372

19923,51142,4815,15411,488

19933,13142,9985,13011,569

19942,97744,8265,64711,999

19952,70246,9526,55012,462

19962,46448,1077,32512,827

19972,33450,1088,16213,331

19982,55453,6829,68814,290

19992,57353,76610,93415,364

20002,54655,62812,29216,306

20012,54457,25513,20817,292

20022,48657,63514,10817,756

Grfico consumo final

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

Carbn

P.Petrolferos

Gas

Electricidad

Petrleo

ORIGEN199819992000200120022002 (%)

Arabia9,4006,3106,6286,2916,75011.97

Irn4,7433,9443,8804,0983,2725.80

Irak6,3986,0615,9952,5682,3524.17

Argelia1,0391,4871,4761,5711,0581.88

Libia6,4356,3806,9017,2056,46911.47

Nigeria7,8658,6799,1658,6785,2789.36

Reino Unido3,3843,9652,0391,8291,0521.87

Federac.Rusa5,4146,2105,1415,2537,94314.08

Mjico7,0016,6857,6227,7357,73513.72

Venezuela1,5521,1981,5622,6084,4557.90

Otros7,4627,9927,0488,95610,03417.79

Total60,69358,91157,45756,79256,398100.00

Hoja1

E. Nuclear03030

E. Renovables0350350

Gas Natural460220680

Petrleo700100800

Carbn8603901250

Hoja1

00

00

00

00

00

Fuentes de energaProduccin mundial de Petrleo

Fuentes de energaComercio interregional de Petrleo en 2030 (mb/da)Aumento de 32 mb/da en 2000 a 42 mb/da en 2010 y 66 mb/da en 2030

Fuentes de energaDemanda de Gas natural por sectores en el mundo

Fuentes de energaComercio interregional de Gas natural en 2030 (bcm)

Fuentes de energaDemanda de Carbn por sectores en el mundo

Fuentes de energaPotencia elctrica instalada en el mundo

Fuentes de energaProduccin de electricidad con EE. RR. en el mundo

Fuentes de energa Produccin de electricidad nuclear en el mundo (TWh)

Fig. 1 Data

YEARUSAFranceNorwaySwedenOECDWorldNetherlands

196570.1173.5525.2452.4172.4474.3672.63

196670.1371.9627.3153.771.9873.971.35

196769.572.9126.1951.671.6773.2770.02

196869.4871.7425.353.5371.6273.1568.15

196969.0271.3728.2657.2471.3672.7666.53

197069.0870.7229.4853.2371.1772.4864.62

197168.4570.6927.2249.3570.4772.0163.06

197268.3670.3726.4949.1470.2271.7362.6

197368.4170.9624.6347.4370.4271.6862.07

197467.6669.9922.445.3969.6971.0960.94

197567.3768.5522.7942.6469.2270.960.5

197667.8370.1623.5244.6869.3970.8561.24

197768.1567.1925.5244.869.2670.6360.94

197867.367.6224.5241.6668.6570.1761.18

197967.7966.6523.641.9768.970.1761.54

198067.7464.2824.1839.7368.8269.7761.77

198167.5559.8223.2436.5268.3969.2461.6

198266.8159.9320.3734.0967.9468.9161.51

198366.8356.7721.3629.2867.6868.5661.39

198467.0154.2122.3227.1967.568.0861.7

198567.0551.9322.5626.4667.1567.6361.49

198666.9549.4523.1927.2567.267.5261.64

198767.0348.3523.0424.967.1667.2761.78

198867.0447.5922.2723.9867.3767.1962.91

198966.7248.6421.8823.4167.4367.0562.6

199066.247.9522.2123.5967.2966.7263.07

NOTE: Data are CO2-equivalent emission factors, in terragrams per Exa-Joule (million tonnes/EJ)

&A

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Fig. 1

Fig. 1

70.1173.5525.2452.4172.44

70.1371.9627.3153.771.98

69.572.9126.1951.671.67

69.4871.7425.353.5371.62

69.0271.3728.2657.2471.36

69.0870.7229.4853.2371.17

68.4570.6927.2249.3570.47

68.3670.3726.4949.1470.22

68.4170.9624.6347.4370.42

67.6669.9922.445.3969.69

67.3768.5522.7942.6469.22

67.8370.1623.5244.6869.39

68.1567.1925.5244.869.26

67.367.6224.5241.6668.65

67.7966.6523.641.9768.9

67.7464.2824.1839.7368.82

67.5559.8223.2436.5268.39

66.8159.9320.3734.0967.94

66.8356.7721.3629.2867.68

67.0154.2122.3227.1967.5

67.0551.9322.5626.4667.15

66.9549.4523.1927.2567.2

67.0348.3523.0424.967.16

67.0447.5922.2723.9867.37

66.7248.6421.8823.4167.43

66.247.9522.2123.5967.29

&A

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Sweden

Norway

France

USA

OECD

USA

France

Norway

Sweden

OECD

Year

Million tonnes of GHG per Exa-Joule

Fig. 2

222422242224

2364.076532331.719282410.54614

2371.953962029.243052560.93344

2326.647241700.355422975.0274

2015.170111031.601693331.3842

1686.28248357.545973989.16384

1023.57972659.943364485.96096

355.574971139.15045044.21824

150.926041948.92485665.19712

10.262343266.849286342.80064

05246.959687067.98848

07848.967848.96

Variant IContinued Growth

Variant IIIStagnation/Revival

Variant IIPhase-out

#REF!

#REF!

#REF!

Year

Nuclear Generation (TWh)

Fig. 3

11.968411.968411.9684

23.48723.48723.487

16.19916.19916.199

5.19325.19325.1932

4.4963.08142.0964

4.5780.2398-9.2078

12.6056-1.3792-10.0118

22.8848-9.4818-20.3578

24.4024-10.0118-20.5192

37.665-20.17367.9498

32.131-20.33513.676

22.9152-6.229823.11

23.834-4.28237.612

25.274-0.312456.51

34.8936074.258

I. Continued growthII. Phase outIII. Stagnation/revival

I. Continued growth

II. Phase out

III. Revival by 2015

Year

Capacity Added or Shutdown (GWe/y)

Fig. 4

0.05733316712.124.51

0.11432060942.124.51

0.17049064622.124.51

0.22589337562.124.51

0.28083627472.124.51

0.33531549082.124.51

0.39045798312.124.51

0.4459756492.124.51

0.50216200962.124.51

0.5588704752.124.51

0.61610995142.124.51

0.6758428042.124.51

0.73808976012.124.51

0.80292466232.124.51

0.87034940772.124.51

0.94055279292.124.51

1.01268795572.124.51

1.08623518492.124.51

1.16115603672.124.51

1.23742017422.124.51

1.31487157412.124.51

1.39449250752.124.51

1.47634168792.124.51

1.56041754372.124.51

1.64670487632.124.51

1.73515999042.124.51

1.82583052822.124.51

1.91872035012.124.51

2.0138354732.124.51

2.11105522032.124.51

2.21043330782.124.51

2.31225057982.124.51

2.41650838242.124.51

2.52315848672.124.51

2.63225216492.124.51

2.74404805612.124.51

2.85880635332.124.51

2.97629246752.124.51

3.09656661622.124.51

3.21963184022.124.51

3.34549099122.124.51

3.47437845792.124.51

3.60634607442.124.51

3.74139708882.124.51

3.87953459352.124.51

4.02071329722.124.51

4.1652034282.124.51

4.31300762042.124.51

4.46412926142.124.51

4.61852333442.124.51

4.77624153432.124.51

4.93741236572.124.51

5.10203929752.124.51

5.27007739272.124.51

5.4415783822.124.51

5.6165457042.124.51

Reserves = 2.12 million tonnes U

Known Resources = 4.51 million tonnes U

Cumulative requirementsVariant I/Once-through

Total Conventional Resources:15.46 million tonnes U

Year

Natural uranium (million t/U)

Fig. 5

9.28650113079.2865011307

9.0718434457.9395426472

9.23125975597.367944759

10.46913253537.1559238166

11.43338168856.5038798583

12.22246283655.0579195689

13.05250790884.4558931183

14.10027745024.5139750218

15.3090543264.6493203162

16.59025623884.7859516057

17.9682061814.8688694862

19.43845058015.0000086569

Once-throughfuel cycle

Reprocessing 100% of LWR spent fuel,with MOX recycle in LWR's

#REF!

#REF!

Year

Spent Fuel Arisings (1000 tHM/y)

Fig. 6

1.77921.77921.7792

11.1225895211.08419969611.20962888

20.6102792162120

333027

453933

604635

775137

965441

1185547

1425558

1695576

19955103

I. Continued growthII. Phase outIII. Stagnation/revival

I. Continued growth

II. Phase out

III. Revival by 2015

Year

GHG Emissions Avoided (GtCO2-eq.)

Perspectivas energticas en EspaaTendencia de consumo de energa primariaEl consumo energtico seguir creciendo pero a tasas ms prximas a las de la economa.La dependencia de los hidrocarburos seguir siendo alta pero menor que en el pasado.La demanda de gas natural continuar creciendo por encima del resto de energas. La participacin de las energas renovables crecer hasta el 12% del total. La estructura de generacin cambiar a gas y energas renovables con tecnologas de alta eficiencia.

Hoja1

Consumo de energa primaria.

1998200020062011%2011/2000

ktep.Estruct. %ktep.Estruct. %ktep.Estruct. %ktep.Estruct. %anual

CARBON17,88915.721,63517.317,99912.014,3638.2-3.66

PETROLEO61,67054.064,66351.775,31550.383,37647.62.34

GAS NATURAL11,81610.315,22312.226,90518.039,30522.59.01

NUCLEAR15,37613.516,21113.016,57011.116,6029.50.22

ENERGIAS RENOVABLES7,1386.37,0615.612,4648.320,95611.9810.40

SALDO ELECTR.(Imp.-Exp.)2930.33820.33850.33850.20.07

TOTAL114,182100.0125,175100.0149,637100.0174,987100.03.09

PASADO:

* El consumo energtico ha crecido de forma constante a tasas superiores a las de la economa.

* La dependencia de los hidrocarburos es muy alta y son energas importadas en su prctica totalidad.

* La demanda de gas natural ha crecido por encima del resto de energas.

* La participacin de las energas renovables ha permanecido estancada, con las oscilaciones de la energa hidroelctrica.

* La estructura de generacin ha sido muy dependiente del carbn en aos secos.

FUTURO:

* El consumo energtico seguir creciendo pero a tasas ms prximas a las de la economa.

* La dependencia de los hidrocarburos seguir siendo alta pero menor que en el pasado.

* La demanda de gas natural continuar creciendo por encima del resto de energas.

* La participacin de las energas renovables crecer hasta el 12% del total.

* La estructura de generacin cambiar a gas y energas renovables con tecnologas de alta eficiencia.

Hoja2

Hoja3

Crecimiento del consumo de energa primaria medio anual del 3,1% (2,4 puntos por encima del crecimiento del consumo previsto en la UE-15).

Crecimiento del consumo de energa final de un 3,5% medio anual en los prximos 10 aos (2,4 puntos superior al crecimiento previsto en la UE-15).

La demanda elctrica crecer un 3,7% medio anual (2 puntos por encima del conjunto de la UE-15.

El consumo elctrico final por habitante crecer un 41,4% en el perodo 2002/2010, alcanzando en 2010 el valor 6.646 kWh/hab. En la UE se espera que crezca el 13,8% alcanzando las 7698 kWh/hab.El gas natural ser la energa de mayor crecimiento, hasta alcanzar un 22,5% de la demanda total en el 2011, frente al 12,8% en 2001.Previsiones energticas futuras en Espaa

Sistema Elctrico en Espaa 2003ProduccinTotal: 262.205 GWhNuclear: 61.848 GWhPotenciaTotal: 63.610 MWNuclear: 7.816 MW(*) Incluye ciclos combinados

Grfico3

0.26190.1477

0.12290.2359

0.18980.2903

0.22510.1251

0.20030.201

Potencia instalada

Produccin

Hoja1

SISTEMA ELCTRICO EN ESPAA 2003

Potencia instaladaProduccinMWGWh

Hidrulica26.19%14.77%16,65838,735

Nuclear12.29%23.59%7,81661,848

Carbn18.98%29.03%12,07576,105

Fuel-Gas (*)22.51%12.51%14,31932,815

Rgimen esp.20.03%20.10%12,74252,702

TOTAL63,610262,205

(*) Incluye ciclos combinados

Fuente: REE. El Sistema Elctrico Espaol. Avance del Informe 2003

Hoja1

Potencia instalada

Produccin

Hoja2

Hoja3

Demanda diaria de energa elctrica en Espaa

Curva de cobertura de la demanda elctrica. Espaa

Grfico Corporativa (Ing)

644587633157403844711186464666

695209918177575710451220234560

7807610657177820103248204242210

776058046177938102646232157440

75387109151777799366723241905/01/00

70680770117775767679157387442

78107168001776491011651999563130

6771416950177714761841994004560

6881315990177682634361554614560

7876116800177728969482203314560

79898168001777291073772305545014

8109417233177711990412393714788

80601207451776551003412413754964

7885721269177703977832409407288

7033220208177708688162285085063

7064817293172948511301968324320

785872008917781410582722528515687

795372050817775410048424369318496

81428213001777759756424010016591

79570215001777859774224152916477

79570215341778849396423347817465

7206816000169484761062282596481

721316293164340562992094915212

80213197621739749465923695916958

79825197681777649643724276822103

79727187671777279895624849921262

793471846717776010604324991922955

80596204671776969580825155721038

7068015550177663701262280158394

7082215721177138433171962856841

77523230021777528178923265018926

76929232441777148162524251519409

76669288001777017335223284322306

78060272851777256649023713221329

79241274591776405918723588222611

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69764148501769312876018291106/02/00

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AUTOPRODUCTORES

INTERCAMBIOS INTERNACIONALES

NUCLEAR

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CARBN

FUEL-GAS

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INTERNATIONAL ENERGY TRADE

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8248818243179114864822177804200

7233818938178664913701716954800

7267613686178993891011221816000

8438215046179114858912004156000

8575119091179114958942046616000

72676171891790291044501425796000

82687227351790061082141577576000

73120143761790641069691300216000

71105141731790361286611255886000

7206315962179093123513910986000

81671163081791481525671588976000

83910176641791541559781678136000

82426189141791191593241760296000

84926184231791241580121721366000

85404185071790581698721721316000

75312142461789511616041394696000

76909155331783441416651153105280

89879162091790411563201803425790

90226174331790611584631884766060

89973210031790501633592023736020

88527196921790391620692006406000

88150190221790401414661910595600

75186224171788031290761361526000

7708117050178806114921843284685

7764622272178823112562572424765

84201193891783921329841238274710

87928163551789801422181377886000

88785126321790361552451298865470

88693183991788111723551138466000

75179136701790961589441027810

7582711405179130162983760980

AUTOPRODUCTORES


NUCLEAR

HIDRULICA

CARBN

FUEL-GAS

Datos

DaFUEL-GASCARBNHIDRULICANUCLEARINTERCAMBIOS INTERNACIONALESAUTOPRODUCTORES

1/1/004,666118,64684,471157,4037,63364,458

1/2/004,560122,02371,045177,5759,91869,520

1/3/00210204,242103,248177,82010,65778,076

1/4/00440232,157102,646177,9388,04677,605

1/5/00232,41993,667177,77910,91575,387

1/6/00442157,38767,679177,7577,70170,680

1/7/003,130199,956101,165177,64916,80078,107

1/8/004,560199,40076,184177,71416,95067,714

1/9/004,560155,46163,436177,68215,99068,813

1/10/004,560220,33196,948177,72816,80078,761

1/11/005,014230,554107,377177,72916,80079,898

1/12/004,788239,37199,041177,71117,23381,094

1/13/004,964241,375100,341177,65520,74580,601

1/14/007,288240,94097,783177,70321,26978,857

1/15/005,063228,50868,816177,70820,20870,332

1/16/004,320196,83251,130172,94817,29370,648

1/17/0015,687225,285105,827177,81420,08978,587

1/18/0018,496243,693100,484177,75420,50879,537

1/19/0016,591240,10097,564177,77521,30081,428

1/20/0016,477241,52997,742177,78521,50079,570

1/21/0017,465233,47893,964177,88421,53479,570

1/22/006,481228,25976,106169,48416,00072,068

1/23/005,212209,49156,299164,3406,29372,131

1/24/0016,958236,95994,659173,97419,76280,213

1/25/0022,103242,76896,437177,76419,76879,825

1/26/0021,262248,49998,956177,72718,76779,727

1/27/0022,955249,919106,043177,76018,46779,347

1/28/0021,038251,55795,808177,69620,46780,596

1/29/008,394228,01570,126177,66315,55070,680

1/30/006,841196,28543,317177,13815,72170,822

1/31/0018,926232,65081,789177,75223,00277,523

2/1/0019,409242,51581,625177,71423,24476,929

2/2/0022,306232,84373,352177,70128,80076,669

2/3/0021,329237,13266,490177,72527,28578,060

2/4/0022,611235,88259,187177,64027,45979,241

2/5/00557221,06840,593177,47618,30070,216

2/6/00182,91128,760176,93114,85069,764

2/7/008,739229,70161,107176,86124,44876,155

2/8/0013,562240,76952,421177,56525,53278,188

2/9/009,856242,75760,544177,51523,01777,439

2/10/009,869241,30655,207177,31827,32077,961

2/11/009,744241,30748,464177,43528,51376,881

2/12/0011,290208,74342,853177,38023,50070,356

2/13/004,320180,59629,274176,86017,08270,301

2/14/009,469231,47457,928177,40525,51276,528

2/15/0011,846241,89454,978177,50525,32076,296

2/16/0011,364241,01350,817177,10727,61176,328

2/17/0010,119237,08651,819177,38726,60176,709

2/18/0011,817229,98250,411177,27429,90876,640

2/19/005,760212,34540,585177,07724,30069,001

2/20/005,760182,43529,778176,54620,97468,176

2/21/0012,125217,84855,609177,16724,01076,845

2/22/0015,239227,10159,103177,19025,56177,019

2/23/0015,866227,66754,045176,78330,72976,801

2/24/0011,909232,14252,521176,63830,01577,460

2/25/006,000235,80751,634176,45631,27374,800

2/26/005,760207,03941,324176,20226,40066,171

2/27/005,760166,23425,019175,60825,94366,173

2/28/006,816214,02549,514175,97428,83174,031

2/29/0010,863225,08755,584175,83528,41373,290

3/1/0015,667217,41660,898175,83028,84674,225

3/2/0012,079228,08856,764175,70529,65775,071

3/3/009,666226,94053,659175,47127,58075,235

3/4/008,177210,60237,902175,41226,40068,016

3/5/006,045168,23725,277174,81224,98468,231

3/6/0022,246219,72150,811175,06326,07174,617

3/7/0022,690227,69043,276174,74427,52273,443

3/8/0024,884224,20847,693174,42325,20072,479

3/9/0025,463229,16143,475174,26925,20071,817

3/10/0019,974230,86145,893170,42725,20072,770

3/11/001,954218,53040,150154,57526,40068,658

3/12/00240187,46432,753154,05413,20068,619

3/13/0042,184220,11133,345154,83026,09573,804

3/14/0048,780226,82133,503154,85126,40372,379

3/15/0046,060224,42835,707154,88625,20072,831

3/16/0046,807228,47234,950154,82325,35072,755

3/17/0028,304231,55742,986154,74025,20074,435

3/18/006,521209,77039,045154,80026,40070,415

3/19/006,120172,22028,625154,40226,40069,302

3/20/0040,371212,79430,990154,97625,47578,149

3/21/0055,156212,47033,251154,83725,80079,431

3/22/0060,260213,12034,474154,83825,80076,335

3/23/0061,645215,13132,552154,83525,80078,132

3/24/0063,432208,58634,706154,83325,80077,731

3/25/0021,953204,71040,136154,10726,40071,297

3/26/006,522174,94623,678147,22125,30066,520

3/27/0057,476213,22036,194153,90326,76375,832

3/28/0065,041217,97036,860154,54226,60075,971

3/29/0064,442218,92234,453154,60126,40075,971

3/30/0065,593214,43030,494154,13026,41378,193

3/31/0071,246200,33832,126153,14926,40075,712

4/1/0042,709202,23829,895136,49033,33466,933

4/2/006,944204,53827,792128,43227,08567,005

4/3/0064,062228,83543,330130,04527,19874,907

4/4/0082,492222,02642,365129,89128,05076,499

4/5/0077,382231,28543,439129,87727,83577,164

4/6/0086,870221,23544,578129,72421,55674,799

4/7/0079,259221,50340,471129,53526,40076,046

4/8/0026,282224,08332,349132,60527,22266,084

4/9/003,192210,43227,446132,67726,40066,306

4/10/0045,142231,68539,451143,56027,43072,821

4/11/0048,323238,77239,918150,45927,20074,454

4/12/0043,513241,00441,867151,80727,10873,332

4/13/0042,619239,85842,254150,68927,66072,941

4/14/0031,691228,32853,656151,58327,61774,458

4/15/001,985201,96864,516151,79026,40066,033

4/16/00161,48154,392151,34125,93166,380

4/17/0011,769222,80775,072151,48620,45472,727

4/18/008,540231,47273,245149,80217,70075,736

4/19/00310213,80982,456151,25117,70075,306

4/20/00154,99974,013151,18120,50070,999

4/21/00109,38769,737151,00726,22767,675

4/22/00107,35476,124160,86927,10068,250

4/23/0086,79264,353171,20626,81966,324

4/24/00111,52085,815173,67125,56672,570

4/25/00156,38992,534174,31228,61775,993

4/26/00173,85792,314174,03218,45075,536

4/27/00175,08592,239174,05721,80675,123

4/28/00166,20896,336173,79425,74675,071

4/29/00121,94993,269173,80227,08069,192

4/30/0064,79488,755172,48824,67271,120

5/1/0061,40287,377173,39225,95671,500

5/2/00128,29698,277173,43633,86975,868

5/3/00157,21293,098173,20233,48775,262

5/4/00163,07891,549173,12130,42677,474

5/5/00156,76693,179173,02431,07177,613

5/6/00135,02174,717156,43030,81269,051

5/7/0013099,25676,013155,37825,09868,880

5/8/00154,46598,483156,40134,76076,776

5/9/00162,775101,456156,32934,10677,716

5/10/00165,872103,241156,32932,65476,833

5/11/00173,772102,578156,41432,06776,820

5/12/00159,744111,360156,39428,96276,661

5/13/00113,481104,784156,33434,60765,977

5/14/0078,95499,902155,16126,61866,914

5/15/00136,865107,289155,62030,06475,296

5/16/00160,248109,670155,55731,46373,486

5/17/00158,755106,829155,55831,27273,002

5/18/00163,405106,497155,54732,25074,261

5/19/00166,488104,281155,47231,16074,479

5/20/00126,76895,368155,44530,87065,354

5/21/0091,29582,706154,88831,01266,459

5/22/00172,14694,778155,33428,57573,973

5/23/00189,440100,495155,29322,15073,642

5/24/00197,07491,599155,27722,80073,417

5/25/00199,94685,919155,17225,20073,431

5/26/00205,47884,852155,22022,80074,710

5/27/00158,31467,917155,07826,59666,287

5/28/00124,44159,492153,56226,40066,358

5/29/00191,33078,457155,02326,40072,447

5/30/00208,78381,992155,07226,40070,780

5/31/00217,25382,667161,41226,40071,911

6/1/00222,05389,176165,36421,60072,249

6/2/00216,97683,734170,62721,60073,357

6/3/00183,25862,629170,31721,76463,838

6/4/00132,36554,421174,15321,58264,156

6/5/00199,87584,768176,76921,60073,806

6/6/00215,87692,268173,25721,60072,406

6/7/00219,52292,861175,88621,60072,984

6/8/00219,42387,192176,42621,60074,109

6/9/00211,49579,482176,46321,60074,794

6/10/002,975172,40355,092176,41018,00067,524

6/11/004,200130,87750,916175,72321,40165,464

6/12/004,200178,95772,351176,56121,58573,293

6/13/004,200202,92179,514176,50019,02972,976

6/14/004,200209,03279,932176,54419,20072,446

6/15/004,200212,03788,152176,41019,20071,955

6/16/004,200216,74586,132176,29519,20073,263

6/17/004,200186,68864,226176,43418,50066,765

6/18/004,200153,15349,179176,24620,29366,623

6/19/004,200204,34291,094176,80419,30575,281

6/20/005,520213,31586,063176,82917,70076,111

6/21/005,520218,93683,427176,57016,80077,981

6/22/005,520225,18577,880176,52517,60075,982

6/23/004,200223,77775,481176,17717,60077,397

6/24/004,200188,85849,758175,24817,38664,875

6/25/004,080161,23541,786175,24019,80665,828

6/26/004,200214,77985,021175,46619,20073,110

6/27/005,520231,16984,308175,33919,20073,103

6/28/007,630238,45994,208174,92319,20073,478

6/29/009,840235,54096,388174,77719,20073,163

6/30/007,800233,96194,939174,98619,20075,357

7/1/004,200215,65454,555175,02119,20065,036

7/2/004,200170,75337,564170,63121,60065,506

7/3/008,892222,59580,532174,71420,40072,142

7/4/0010,254239,29482,094174,63920,40072,833

7/5/0012,905233,29374,241174,91721,61574,814

7/6/0010,573234,97975,651174,97924,26473,552

7/7/0013,259232,77272,983174,58823,30474,479

7/8/005,500203,36550,441174,57720,40067,474

7/9/00461170,65134,611174,39317,03666,128

7/10/006,607222,95266,546174,58721,34372,832

7/11/008,282232,43862,198174,60720,92573,164

7/12/004,500234,04464,591174,56820,40074,787

7/13/004,200228,71965,381174,47820,40075,220

7/14/005,106234,41569,585174,55920,40073,925

7/15/004,200201,91546,073174,41620,40069,559

7/16/004,200160,73531,813174,06920,09268,140

7/17/005,699222,67369,550173,80020,40072,074

7/18/006,259235,72475,338174,00420,40071,480

7/19/006,635232,33777,569173,87120,40071,561

7/20/0013,015235,38284,154173,69020,40070,093

7/21/0012,789235,80882,806173,40620,40071,320

7/22/005,075220,13553,152173,12421,60062,565

7/23/005,040170,69534,601172,93520,51665,795

7/24/006,069218,77474,446172,83618,00070,804

7/25/005,040218,34471,233172,79118,00070,302

7/26/007,443223,85376,147171,97018,00073,056

7/27/007,062231,00774,662169,81818,92572,714

7/28/007,046231,83573,445170,01720,70671,344

7/29/005,040223,17446,675169,63618,00064,914

7/30/005,040174,91733,033169,52512,43363,962

7/31/005,040215,60160,834169,49719,20071,492

8/1/005,040225,71461,269169,27616,40070,050

8/2/005,040228,68562,019169,16016,40070,583

8/3/005,040229,01862,796168,77516,40071,557

8/4/005,040225,88560,456168,52316,40072,930

8/5/00100198,95939,269168,56720,00064,731

8/6/004,060152,52831,763168,83418,46265,638

8/7/005,200194,67251,567168,63118,80069,583

8/8/005,280211,16452,406162,33818,80068,393

8/9/006,765211,03653,564168,78618,80069,064

8/10/005,280215,33357,561168,71018,80066,245

8/11/005,280215,97355,046168,40718,80066,179

8/12/005,280189,73944,117168,23020,10060,888

8/13/005,280149,06435,205167,94319,32461,823

8/14/005,280186,71949,141168,06418,36566,574

8/15/005,280171,58531,582167,76919,52361,185

8/16/005,280208,85954,503167,47118,32966,244

8/17/005,280214,68754,857167,40118,60066,518

8/18/005,280215,46252,709167,08018,60066,108

8/19/005,280195,50039,597166,87618,75360,570

8/20/005,280187,03629,750144,18420,32161,168

8/21/005,280229,39856,030143,83821,60067,108

8/22/005,280221,67659,802166,42321,60067,040

8/23/005,280227,70655,826166,62921,60067,508

8/24/005,280221,83554,806166,04221,60067,495

8/25/005,280225,94058,510160,20721,60067,433

8/26/005,640215,88936,441157,78421,60060,574

8/27/005,280177,59226,666156,55421,60061,823

8/28/005,280222,28470,813147,62221,60067,850

8/29/006,132244,29467,359147,13121,60067,956

8/30/009,290240,77972,609146,71821,60068,268

8/31/007,623242,07374,988146,54421,60068,037

9/1/007,161244,22473,395146,31321,60070,344

9/2/007,062226,11457,671147,58421,60065,304

9/3/006,784185,51937,662148,71421,60067,165

9/4/0011,828230,01070,485148,70521,60072,208

9/5/0017,300243,35066,896148,62521,60071,873

9/6/0024,309244,66666,380148,32721,60073,847

9/7/0018,642245,27566,524148,40121,60072,311

9/8/0013,555245,37966,866148,75721,60072,083

9/9/00960229,41359,901144,14221,60061,997

9/10/00921199,97253,491127,90621,60062,533

9/11/0012,517233,94162,318127,82821,60068,021

9/12/0031,365244,96663,010127,90021,60070,488

9/13/0040,557245,66072,660127,86521,82569,922

9/14/0041,595244,71878,954127,86322,05069,384

9/15/0038,442246,25673,376127,81622,30070,106

9/16/0017,704234,09658,557127,70721,60061,197

9/17/0013,016216,03532,872127,67221,60061,137

9/18/0036,299241,81766,016127,72521,60071,530

9/19/0037,700248,19167,527127,78721,60072,310

9/20/0037,486241,33373,247128,04021,60072,461

9/21/0033,153249,68166,033127,97021,60071,841

9/22/0018,617252,27263,756128,39721,60072,277

9/23/0012,794233,69145,837128,61624,00062,291

9/24/0012,697200,97434,657127,37224,00062,540

9/25/0031,021231,59766,060128,54324,00069,892

9/26/0033,857239,70967,525128,32424,00070,882

9/27/0030,115236,78468,607128,16024,40071,392

9/28/0031,662237,01467,127128,04324,67571,577

9/29/0027,114237,48866,255128,08924,65073,372

9/30/009,787225,93748,982128,04624,00065,276

10/1/008,872197,97128,326128,37324,86564,128

10/2/0022,624225,85266,006128,48125,67375,876

10/3/0027,119234,16766,902128,66825,41373,914

10/4/0024,763230,75871,652128,72225,11774,320

10/5/0019,932227,14665,818128,71426,17575,904

10/6/0019,128227,75567,863128,58625,44574,892

10/7/0014,411217,78242,594128,32024,00065,510

10/8/004,800177,57327,685141,75824,14971,428

10/9/006,977214,80054,366151,20925,02574,089

10/10/0010,869229,57660,889147,82923,31173,921

10/11/0026,869226,30558,308129,87624,20074,162

10/12/005,395208,70429,444131,79419,75065,889

10/13/005,632214,14458,382137,38124,00075,422

10/14/005,280211,71433,582144,22724,51865,077

10/15/005,280169,05820,003152,66523,83668,368

10/16/0015,638217,85245,320154,97919,68078,618

10/17/0017,677234,96845,168154,96619,00077,503

10/18/0019,788239,39451,135154,79318,80073,244

10/19/0022,035242,56754,477154,98518,95073,506

10/20/0020,637238,69352,345154,98219,20074,780

10/21/0010,250223,17532,221154,90421,40065,459

10/22/0010,698189,05722,179152,72324,70067,429

10/23/0034,951215,51457,498153,68819,82576,024

10/24/0033,955228,49260,276153,88319,27574,447

10/25/0035,929228,16457,229150,61319,50074,549

10/26/0033,934223,10159,682148,61620,70077,241

10/27/0031,813216,41758,625155,18522,25076,105

10/28/0011,757220,89738,508154,16724,00066,477

10/29/009,781207,67328,453161,29824,76569,555

10/30/0040,523227,66062,948130,79019,60077,981

10/31/0035,210235,91357,084130,72727,70081,213

11/1/009,905223,99427,828131,03926,40069,241

11/2/0030,162225,82063,895131,11928,35078,894

11/3/0026,885233,47961,696131,27127,77578,784

11/4/004,200231,57052,456138,77826,40071,051

11/5/005,280206,53731,916154,04721,60074,565

11/6/008,076224,29267,718161,73928,30084,769

11/7/007,417231,33177,770169,86027,90080,497

11/8/007,179231,28077,542174,78028,41583,611

11/9/005,570221,43476,845178,29127,84585,566

11/10/005,280219,36986,606178,55127,50079,333

11/11/005,280213,63760,528178,89426,40065,965

11/12/004,200183,00146,554179,09626,23170,102

11/13/0011,637220,64283,768179,01128,18778,580

11/14/007,526231,58884,730178,85628,40080,272

11/15/008,526225,05990,242178,89928,25077,652

11/16/007,500227,05691,090178,94126,41080,277

11/17/007,025230,99185,491178,94327,80078,509

11/18/006,000216,59067,136179,13026,40069,602

11/19/006,000191,21545,987179,14426,40068,079

11/20/006,718220,53689,411179,02726,40081,663

11/21/006,393228,97091,105179,07126,40080,923

11/22/004,800233,69195,136179,09621,60079,218

11/23/004,800236,94787,624179,11326,40080,844

11/24/001,000230,13488,772179,14126,40079,567

11/25/00203,34078,092178,82426,40072,770

11/26/00166,36070,727178,91926,40074,499

11/27/00223,09686,218179,12325,48988,722

11/28/004,200229,53781,044179,11422,50085,176

11/29/004,200226,72978,470179,11420,94584,344

11/30/004,200215,04788,173179,11416,67585,313

01/12/004,200217,78086,482179,11418,24382,488

02/12/004,800171,69591,370178,66418,93872,338

03/12/006,000122,18189,101178,99313,68672,676

04/12/006,000200,41585,891179,11415,04684,382

05/12/006,000204,66195,894179,11419,09185,751

06/12/006,000142,579104,450179,02917,18972,676

07/12/006,000157,757108,214179,00622,73582,687

08/12/006,000130,021106,969179,06414,37673,120

09/12/006,000125,588128,661179,03614,17371,105

10/12/006,00091,098123,513179,09315,96272,063

11/12/006,000158,897152,567179,14816,30881,671

12/12/006,000167,813155,978179,15417,66483,910

13/12/006,000176,029159,324179,11918,91482,426

14/12/006,000172,136158,012179,12418,42384,926

15/12/006,000172,131169,872179,05818,50785,404

16/12/006,000139,469161,604178,95114,24675,312

17/12/005,280115,310141,665178,34415,53376,909

18/12/005,790180,342156,320179,04116,20989,879

19/12/006,060188,476158,463179,06117,43390,226

20/12/006,020202,373163,359179,05021,00389,973

21/12/006,000200,640162,069179,03919,69288,527

22/12/005,600191,059141,466179,04019,02288,150

23/12/006,000136,152129,076178,80322,41775,186

24/12/004,68584,328114,921178,80617,05077,081

25/12/004,76557,242112,562178,82322,27277,646

26/12/004,710123,827132,984178,39219,38984,201

27/12/006,000137,788142,218178,98016,35587,928

28/12/005,470129,886155,245179,03612,63288,785

29/12/006,000113,846172,355178,81118,39988,693

30/12/00102,781158,944179,09613,67075,179

31/12/0076,098162,983179,13011,40575,827

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ESTRUCTURA DE LA GENERACIN DE ELECTRICIDAD EN ESPAADatos en %Plan de infraestructuras 2002-2011

Grfico2

35.914.9804674741

27.63157602519.4499384592

9.733.0812479229

9.94.1070649424

16.928.4

2000

2011

ESC. BASE

2.8%Extrap "OFICIAL"EXTRAPENINSULARCUADRO 7

1.126,9742,010canariasbaleares

37.038.224.8PeninsExtrapautoc. Autoprodtotal11,556con fuel=3522GWhEVOLUCIN DE LA DEMANDA ELCTRICA EN EL PERODO 2000-2010

113.536.538.525.0100.00demanda b.c. 2000 REE195,07610,9438,639214,658601con gas6146GWh1186 MW CC2,457675 MW CC

114.536.038.925.2100.00demanda b.c. 2001 REE205,63011,5728898226,1005.3%222368MW TURBINAGWhTasa Variacin

19,353TOTAL CC EXTRAP1,861ESTIMACIN DEMANDA GAS NATURAL2,000188,4535.9

Mtermias200520102,001197,8765.0

2,002203,8123.0

DATOS 20002,8152,9099,13821,9543,9134,6542,0234,5104751,8541,330demanda b.c. 2011 REE284,00020,773304,773USO FINAL2,003210,1313.1

20113,0063,8589,03835,3445,5937,7951,5495,6685081,8541,56729,9002,077Industria186,8092,004216,8553.2

TASA 2000/20100.60%2.60%-0.10%4.42%3.30%4.80%-2.40%2.10%0.60%0.00%1.50%Transporte2,005233,0293.34.34%

TASA AHORRO-BASE0.91%0.64%-1.02%0.42%-0.68%2.40%-4.35%1.85%4.26%-5.27%7.23%2000-2010Residencial48,5002,006241,3483.6

TASA 1996/20000.59%4.16%-1.39%9.30%0.69%7.48%-9.34%4.00%-0.22%REEExtrapeninautoc. AutoprodtotalServicios13,6392,007249,9643.6

TASA 2000/20050.60%3.50PIB(escen. Nuestro)2.98%elast PIBAgricultura1612,008258,8883.6

TASA 2005/20100.40%1.50Demanda final(GWh)2010254,10018,6969,638282,434207,700249,1092,009268,1303.6

demanda Ktep24,2893.75%1.262,010282,4343.63.92%

0-0-0-0-0-0-00-0-0-00.0000PIB 2000-20062.87%GENERACIN ELCTRICA

PIB 2006-20103.10%C. Combinado (1)127,286

AO: 2011Hulla+antracitanacionalCarbnimportadoLignitonegroLignitopardoGassiderrgicoTotalCarbnGLPCoquedepetrleoGasolinaGasleoA y BGasleoCQuerosenoFueloilNaftasLubri-cantesGas derefineraOtrosp.p.TotalPetrleoGasNaturalBiomasaSolartrmicaGeotermiaBiocar-burantesHidrulicaMinihi-drulicaElicaBiogsSolarfotovoltaicaR.S.U.TotalRenovablesNUCLEARElectricidadTOTALCogeneracin (2)32,691

79,989159,978CUADRO 8

CONSUMO FINAL DE ENERGA (ktep)Evolucin del consumo de productos petrolferos

Industria2,1176393,858001,06101,2115,6691,8541,56615,85717,9232,4010000000002,4019,00447,302Consumo de energa final.19901,995200020062,011TOTAL287,689409,087EVOLUCIN DE LA DEMANDA DE GAS EN EL PERODO 2000-2010(miles de toneladas equivalentes de petrleo)

Transporte9,03831,6297,79430641249,1805505501,41451,144200020062011%2006/2000%2011/2006%2011/2000CARBON42714,1353,5113,1312,9772,7022,4642,33425542,5732,5462,5172,4892,4612,4332,4052,3722,3392,3072,2752,2442,2132000Estructura %2010Estructura %% variacin anual

Residencial1012,1690002,2240000004,3944,5722,025202000000002,2276,20717,501ktep.Estructura %ktep.Estructura %ktep.Estructura %anualanualanualPROD. PETROLIFEROS4089342,24042,48142,99844,82646,95248,10750,1085368253,76655,58757,28459,03360,83662,69364,60766,30168,03969,82371,65373,53275,460M termiasTasa VariacinGeneracin elctrica4,4667.43,0053.8-3.9

Servicios11900002,28002600002,4961,35430166300000002007,25211,302CARBON25462.823782.122191.7-1.13-1.38-1.24GAS45314,9995,1545,1305,6476,5507,3258,162968810,93412,31913,22114,18815,22616,34117,53618,38919,28320,22121,20522,23623,317(1) Sobre la base de 14000 Mw en 20102,000169,14412.5Transporte (1):31,91353.149,18062.44.4

Agricultura09003,7152704095003,8501535000000000354114,311PROD. PETROLIFEROS5558761.66658059.47577757.63.052.622.86ELECTRICIDAD1097511,37211,48811,56911,99912,46212,82713,3311429015,30616,20716,79117,39618,02218,67119,34420,10220,89021,70922,56023,44524,364(2) gas para generacin elctrica slo.2,001182,6768.0- gasolinas9,1389,038-0.1

TOTAL CONSUMO FINAL2,2193,0073,8589,03835,3445,5927,7941,5485,6695071,8541,56675,77723,8634,49036835500000005,41224,289131,560GAS1231913.61882016.82386318.17.324.866.20EN. RENOVABLES36083,6533,6693,6683,6883,4873,4743,49135123,5333,6073,7163,8283,9434,0624,1844,3794,5834,7975,0205,2545,4992,002200,94410.0- gasleo automocin18,12132,3486.0

ELECTRICIDAD1620718.02004017.92428918.53.603.923.7564,27872,1532,003227,26713.1- querosenos aviacin4,6547,7945.3

Del cual:EN. RENOVABLES36074.043103.854124.13.014.663.762,004256,81213.0Industria13,30822.215,85720.11.8

CONSUMO FINAL (Usos Energticos) (ktep)TOTAL90266100.0112128100.0131560100.03.683.253.482,005012.00.00%Residencial, servicios y resto10,36517.310,74013.60.4

Industria000002,1174383,761001,06101,211001,854258,35017,4282,4010000000002,4019,00439,299Metodologa : A.I.E.2,00608.0TOTAL60,05210078,7821002.8

Transporte000000009,03831,62907,794306000048,76700005500000005501,41450,732Fuente: Subdireccin General de Planificacin Energtica40.43%2,00708.0

Residencial000001012,1690002,2240000004,3944,5722,025202000000002,2276,20717,5012,00808.0(1) No incluye transporte martimo internacional.

Servicios0000011900002,28002600002,4961,35430166300000002007,25211,3022,00906.5

Agricultura0000009003,715270400003,7551535000000000354114,216200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102,010436,7236.00.00%

TOTAL CONSUMO FINAL (USOS ENERGTICOS)000002,2192,8063,7619,03835,3445,5927,7941,548001,8542567,76223,3684,49036835500000005,41224,289123,050Consumo de energa final por sectores.VAB industria15,384,03815,796,50216,201,57216,671,03717,151,46717,643,07218,133,22218,636,98919,154,75219,686,89820,233,829Evolucin del consumo de carbn

puesto en el IPdefinitivohiptesis200020062011%2006/2000%2011/2006%2011/2000Ef industria34,339.6235,342.6436,374.9537,437.4138,530.9140,814.6642,036.6943,295.3044,591.6045,926.7047,301.79(miles de toneladas equivalentes de petrleo)

Y:200020002005ktep.Estructura %ktep.Estructura %ktep.Estructura %anualanualanualtep/milln pta.952.232.242.252.252.252.312.322.322.332.332.342000Estructura %2010Estructura %% variacin anual

CONSUMO FINAL (Usos NO Energticos) (ktep)3434038.0436.4Industria3434038.04081536.44730236.02.922.992.95100100.23100.58100.60100.64103.64103.86104.07104.29104.51104.73Generacin elctrica18,59888.312,14485.2-4.2

Industria00000020197000005,669001,5417,5084958,0033227235.7537.8Transporte3227235.84238437.85114438.94.653.834.27Industria2,46611.72,11714.8-1.5

Transporte000000000000004120041204122365526.2125.8Usos diversos2365526.22892925.83311425.23.412.743.11

Residencial0000000000000000000090,267TOTAL90266100.0112128100.0131560100.03.683.253.480TOTAL21,06410014,261100-3.8

Servicios00000000000000000000Metodologa: AIE

Agricultura00000000000000950095095Fuente: Subdireccin General de Planificacin Energtica

TOTAL CONSUMO FINAL (Usos NO Energticos)00000020197000005,66950701,5418,0154958,510371389

MteC.C. GWh:MW C.C en este ESCENARIO:demanda final de electricidad (GWh)282,434

8,178MW carbn nacional e importado quedaran`suponiendo 6000 horas138,88881,75215,2765.352horas CC que dice REEconsumo otra transf. Y prdidas31,977

CIcogeneracin totaldemanda b.c. (GWh)314,411INTENSIDAD ENERGTICA FINAL

CN14,502Miles toneladas suponiendo 0,585126000 GWh en 1999, 33000 GWh en 2005 y 38000 GWh en 2010Cons. Propios15,000Consumo de energa final por unidad de PIB y por habitante

21,7657,262Miles toneladas suponiendo Hulla: 0,5038con gas el 63% en 2005y el 70% en 2010:Cons. Bombeo1,92219901995200020062011

26,600GWh cogener. Con gas en 2010con bombeo=

energia xxi

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