emperor report

15
1 Company Update Company Update WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM Steady Project Pipeline Steady project pipeline: As a niche property investor and developer, EIH is now more pro-active to expand. A steady project pipeline lays solid foundation for her growth path including the launch of The Pulse, pre-sales of Upton, pre-lease of 22-24 Russell Street, upgrading of premium retail complex in Macau as well as the development of premi- um houses in Shouson Hill and Tuen Mun. Riding on the completion of those projects, we expect to see solid rental growth and strong cash inflow from property sales from FY16 onwards. FY15 interim results review: Excluding revaluation, EIH’s total seg- ment profit dropped 9% yoy to HK$687mn as there was no property sales and a small drop in gaming revenue during the period. Rental growth remained solid with 10% jump yoy. Dragged by industry slow- down in Macau, EIH’s gaming arm, EEH (296.HK), saw revenue and profit down by 4%and 5% respectively amid strong growth in hotel rev- enue after consolidating the results of Best Western. Interim dividend was HK$0.05 each while the book value per share was up by 3% to HK$7.01. Well-positioned to do more M&As : As at Sep 2014, the gearing ratio (total debt/total assets) of EIH was 32.2% which is relatively conserva- tive. Her book value of property portfolio per share amounts to HK$10.94, a solid asset base on hand that makes banking finance flexible. Considering HK$700m rental and expected sales proceeds from Upton, EIH is well-positioned to do more M&As. Thus, EIH an- nounced recently the acquisitions of an industrial building in Kwai Chung, a commercial centre in Wanchai and a retail and office complex in London with a total consideration of about HK$1.66bn, further boosting her property portfolio and rental income. Stay Overweight: Amid favorable monetary policies in China and the eurozone, we expect HK’s property market, both investment and devel- opment, will remain firm. Meanwhile, the pre-sales of Upton is well received by the market with 60%+ of total units sold. On the back of the steady project pipeline, we expect a 25% increase in EIH’s FY16 rental income, and are upbeat to the company’s long term growth as well. Trading at 80% discount to our NAV of HK$8.61 and 6% yield, EIH remains undervalued. We reiterate Overweight on the stock with target at HK$3.38. Date Industry 26 Jan 2015 Property Closing Price Target Price HK$1.75 HK$3.38 Share Information Outstanding Shares (bn) 3.67 Market Cap. (HK$bn) 6.43 3-mth Average Daily Volume (mn) 1.85 12-mth High (HK$ per share) 2.29 12-mth Low (HK$ per share) 1.61 Reported NAV (HK$ per share) 7.01 FY15 P/E (x) 2.78 P/B - as at Sep 2014 (x) 0.25 FY14 ROA (%) 4.29 Total Debt/ Total Assets (%) 32.2 Dividend Yield (%) 6.28 Source : Company data, Emperor Securities Research 1-mth 3-mth 6-mth 12-mth Change of EIH (%) 2.9 4.2 -10.3 -15.9 Change of Hang Seng Index (%) 6.3 6.5 2.5 10.5 Source : Bloomberg, Emperor Securities Research Share Price of EIH Financial Information Year Ended 31 March FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E Revenue (HK$mn) 2,960 5,703 3,014 3,142 7,410 Growth 66% 93% -47% 4% 136% Core Profit (HK$mn) 483 1,557 473 507 1,996 Growth 146% 222% -70% 7% 294% Core EPS (HK$) 0.13 0.42 0.13 0.14 0.54 Growth 134% 222% -70% 7% 294% P/E (x) 1.4 1.0 3.4 2.8 1.7 Dividend Yield 5.7% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.4% Source : Company data, Emperor Securities Research Emperor Securities Research Tel : (852) 2836 2763 Fax : (852) 2831 8089 Email : [email protected] Emperor International Holdings (163.HK, EIH) Overweight HK$ 1 2 3 Jan 2014 May 2014 Sep 2014 Jan 2015

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Emperor Research Report

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  • 1

    Company Update

    Co

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    ate

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Steady Project Pipeline

    Steady project pipeline: As a niche property investor and developer, EIH is now more pro-active to expand. A steady project pipeline lays solid foundation for her growth path including the launch of The Pulse, pre-sales of Upton, pre-lease of 22-24 Russell Street, upgrading of premium retail complex in Macau as well as the development of premi-um houses in Shouson Hill and Tuen Mun. Riding on the completion of those projects, we expect to see solid rental growth and strong cash inflow from property sales from FY16 onwards.

    FY15 interim results review: Excluding revaluation, EIHs total seg-ment profit dropped 9% yoy to HK$687mn as there was no property sales and a small drop in gaming revenue during the period. Rental growth remained solid with 10% jump yoy. Dragged by industry slow-down in Macau, EIHs gaming arm, EEH (296.HK), saw revenue and profit down by 4%and 5% respectively amid strong growth in hotel rev-enue after consolidating the results of Best Western. Interim dividend was HK$0.05 each while the book value per share was up by 3% to HK$7.01.

    Well-positioned to do more M&As : As at Sep 2014, the gearing ratio (total debt/total assets) of EIH was 32.2% which is relatively conserva-tive. Her book value of property portfolio per share amounts to HK$10.94, a solid asset base on hand that makes banking finance flexible. Considering HK$700m rental and expected sales proceeds from Upton, EIH is well-positioned to do more M&As. Thus, EIH an-nounced recently the acquisitions of an industrial building in Kwai Chung, a commercial centre in Wanchai and a retail and office complex in London with a total consideration of about HK$1.66bn, further boosting her property portfolio and rental income.

    Stay Overweight: Amid favorable monetary policies in China and the eurozone, we expect HKs property market, both investment and devel-opment, will remain firm. Meanwhile, the pre-sales of Upton is well received by the market with 60%+ of total units sold. On the back of the steady project pipeline, we expect a 25% increase in EIHs FY16 rental income, and are upbeat to the companys long term growth as well. Trading at 80% discount to our NAV of HK$8.61 and 6% yield, EIH remains undervalued. We reiterate Overweight on the stock with target at HK$3.38.

    Date Industry

    26 Jan 2015 Property

    Closing Price Target Price

    HK$1.75 HK$3.38

    Share Information

    Outstanding Shares (bn) 3.67

    Market Cap. (HK$bn) 6.43

    3-mth Average Daily Volume (mn) 1.85

    12-mth High (HK$ per share) 2.29

    12-mth Low (HK$ per share) 1.61

    Reported NAV (HK$ per share) 7.01

    FY15 P/E (x) 2.78

    P/B - as at Sep 2014 (x) 0.25

    FY14 ROA (%) 4.29

    Total Debt/ Total Assets (%) 32.2

    Dividend Yield (%) 6.28

    Source : Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    1-mth 3-mth 6-mth 12-mth

    Change of EIH

    (%) 2.9 4.2 -10.3 -15.9

    Change of Hang Seng

    Index (%) 6.3 6.5 2.5 10.5

    Source : Bloomberg, Emperor Securities Research

    Share Price of EIH

    Financial Information

    Year Ended 31 March FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E

    Revenue (HK$mn) 2,960 5,703 3,014 3,142 7,410

    Growth 66% 93% -47% 4% 136%

    Core Profit (HK$mn) 483 1,557 473 507 1,996

    Growth 146% 222% -70% 7% 294%

    Core EPS (HK$) 0.13 0.42 0.13 0.14 0.54

    Growth 134% 222% -70% 7% 294%

    P/E (x) 1.4 1.0 3.4 2.8 1.7

    Dividend Yield 5.7% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.4%

    Source : Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Emperor Securities Research

    Tel : (852) 2836 2763

    Fax : (852) 2831 8089

    Email : [email protected]

    Emperor International Holdings (163.HK, EIH)

    Overweight

    HK$

    1

    2

    3

    Jan 2014 May 2014 Sep 2014 Jan 2015

  • 2

    1HFY15 Results Review

    Investment property remained strong with rental income rising 9.9%

    yoy

    Core earnings slid 8.8% yoy amid absence of property sales and

    revenue drop for the gaming operation

    Interim DPS amounted to 5 HK cents, down from 5.5 HK cents a year

    ago

    Solid financial position with a D/A ratio of 0.32

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data

    Figure 1: 1HFY15 Results Highlights

    1HFY15 1HFY14 Change

    (HK$mn) (HK$mn) (%)

    Segment revenue

    Property investment 337 307 10%- Positive rental reversion.

    - A high occupancy rate of 99%.

    Property development 0 60 N/A Absence of property sales.

    Hotel and gaming operations 1,075 1,118 -4%Mass market gaming revenue down

    14%.

    Total 1,412 1,485 -5%

    Segment profit

    Property investment 309 284 9% Solid rental reversion.

    Property development (4) 28 N/A No recognition of property sales.

    Hotel and gaming operations 383 442 -13%The gross win in the gaming

    concourse dipped 14%.

    Total 687 754 -9%

    Revaluation gain on properties 618 800 -23%

    Net Profit 775 1,049 -26%

    EPS, basic and diluted, HK$ 0.21 0.29 -26%

    Remarks

  • 3

    Latest Update on The Premium Projects

    The Pulse

    The Pulse, a 4-storey shopping complex with a GFA of 167k sq. ft. located in Repulse Bay was soft-launched in 1HFY15, and currently sees an encouraging occupancy rate of 85%. 50% of the tenants have already commenced operations in this new development and we expect 70%+/ 90%+ of the lessees to be operational by Dec 14/ Feb 15 respectively given the completions of their installations in the months ahead.

    Leveraging on the 800 feet Repulse Bay Beach (see figure 2), The Pulse offers a unique blend of bayside shopping, gourmet dining and a 180 degree panorama sea view to both tourists and residents. The property targets for an image of fresh, fun and family-friendly, and it correspondingly holds a diversified tenant mix which comprises fine-diners, lifestyle merchandisers, playground runners, a gymnasium and a premier superstore (see figure 3). It will soon undergo a series of marketing campaigns to boost public recognition and be further promoted at both online and offline channels (see figure 4). Given the know-how as proven by the successful promotional activities launched in 1HFY15 (see figure 5), we are optimistic on the results of the upcoming marketing campaigns which will lay a foundation for the rise of occupancy rate in the years ahead.

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data, Letsdochina

    Figure 2: The Pulse (Top) and Repulse Bay Beach (Bottom)

  • 4

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data

    Figure 3: The Tenants of The Pulse

    Source: Company data

    Figure 4: The Online And Offline Promotional Channels of The Pulse

    iBeacon, a cost efficient positioning system that interacts with smart phones' applications is incorporated in The Pulse's marketing activities. This allows EIH to efficiently gather information on customer behaviors that would enhance its tenant management and would in turn boost The Pulse's rental growth potential.

    Source: U HK

    Figure 5: Hot Tub Cinema (Top) And Bubble Soccer (Bottom)

    Marketing activities launched in 1HFY15

    including Hot Tub Cinema and Bubble

    Soccer were well received by target custom-

    er groups.

  • 5

    22-24 Russell Street

    EIH pre-leased its whole block development on 22-24 Russell Street to Italian luxury lingerie maker La Perla in 1HFY15. La Perla, operating 200 boutiques globally will open its global flagship store in this 4-storey building which covers a GFA of 8k sq.ft. in Sep 2015. The building which would be installed with a large LED display would become a new landmark in the area, according to leading real estate service provider Savills.

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 6: The Construction Site on 22-24 Russell Street

  • 6

    181-183 Oxford Street, London

    EIH has just acquired a freehold 7-storey retail and office complex in London, UK with 35mn (equivalent to HK$425mn) cash. This development which covers a GFA of 12.7k sq. ft. is located on Oxford Street, one of most popular shopping destinations in the metropolis. Given the promising pedestrian traffic in the area, we expect solid rental income from the newly acquired property and see its potential for capital appreciation in the years ahead.

    71-75 Avenida do Infante D. Henrique & 514-540 Avenida da Praia

    Grande, Macau

    In Macau, the construction work at Nos. 71-75 Avenida do Infante D. Henrique & Nos. 514-540 Avenida da Praia Grande is currently underway. A multi-storey premium retail complex with a GFA of 30k sq. ft. is expected to be completed in 2015.

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data

    Figure 7: The Location of The Newly Acquired Property on Oxford Street

    Source: Company data

    Figure 8: The Construction Site on 71-75 Avenida do Infante D. Henrique & 514-540 Avenida da Praia Grande

  • 7

    Upton; Tuen Mun Town Lot No. 436 in Siu Lam; Lot No.1198, Junction of Shouson Hill Road West and Wong Chuk Hang

    Path

    Upton, a 42-storey luxury residential tower with a panoramic view of Victoria Harbour is on schedule for completion in 2015. This development will hold 125 sea-view apartments and cover a GFA of 185k sq. ft.. The pre-sales of Upton started in late Dec 2014 and has been well received by the market with 60% of total units sold and HK$1.6bn+ sales proceeds achieved so far. Meanwhile, the development project at Tuen Mun Town Lot No. 436, Kwun Fat Street, Siu Lam is also in good progress and shall reach completion in 2015 as well. This plot which covers a GFA of 39k sq. ft. will be turned into 14 low-rise detached or semi-detached houses. Another house development project has also been tailored for the newly acquired land in Shouson Hill. 20 low-density luxury houses will be built on the corresponding lot with a target completion date of 2017.

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data

    Figure 9: The Location of Upton

    Source: Company data

    Figure 10: The Tentative Building Plan for Tuen Mun Town Lot No. 436, Kwun Fat Street, Siu Lam

  • 8

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data

    Figure 11: The Location of The Development Project on Shouson Hill Road

    Source: Wikimedia Foundation

    Figure 12: The View of The Residential Neighborhood Surrounding Shouson Hill

    EIH acquired a rare and prime site located at

    the junction of Shouson Hill Road West and

    Wong Chuk Hang Path in May 2014. The lot

    covers a GFA of 88k sq. ft. and will be in-

    stalled with comprehensive auxiliary facilities

    upon the completion of the house develop-

    ment project.

    The neighborhood at Shouson Hill is an up-

    market residential area located in the south of

    Hong Kong Island. It holds the residence of

    Financial Secretary of Hong Kong. Billionaire

    Ka-shing Li and former Secretary for Justice

    of Hong Kong Yan-lung Wong also reside

    here.

  • 9

    Empire Land Commercial Centre, Wanchai; Nos. 45-51 Kwok Shui Road,

    Kwai Chung

    Striving for further enhancement of the property portfolio, EIH has proposed acquisitions of Empire Land Commercial Centre in Wanchai and Nos. 45-51 Kwok Shui Road in Kwai Chung which are expected to be completed by Dec 2014 and Jan 2015 respectively. Both properties are well-located and have good potential for upgrading and value-enhancement.

    Empire Land Commercial Centre is a 25-storey commercial building covering a GFA of 53k sq. ft.. We expect its rental growth and capital appreciation potentials to reveal in the years ahead with the tenant mix enhancement, as well as the opening of Shatin to Central Links North South Corridor in 2020.

    The industrial building located at 45-51 Kwok Shui Road, Kwai Chung covers a GFA of 125k sq. ft.. We look forward to a revitalization plan on the property in the long-run.

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data

    Figure 13: Nos. 45-51 Kwok Shui Road, Kwai Chung (Top) And Empire Land Commercial Centre (Bottom)

  • 10

    Attractive Valuation; Stay Overweight

    Amid favorable monetary policies in China and the eurozone, we expect HKs property market, both investment and development, will remain firm. Meanwhile, the pre-sales of Upton is well received by the market with 60%+ of total units sold. On the back of the steady project pipeline, we expect a 25% increase in EIHs FY16 rental income, and are upbeat to the companys long term growth as well. Trading at 80% discount to our NAV of HK$8.61 and 6% yield, EIH remains undervalued. We reiterate Overweight on the stock with target at HK$3.38.

    Risks

    Uncertainty on property sales brought by interest rate volatility as well as the volatility in HKs real estate market

    Headwind to HK and Macaus retail, hotel and gaming industries which is caused by the economic slowdown and the anti-corruption campaign in China

    Uncertainties on HK Governments housing policy, the central governments policy on its residents outbound travel to Macau and the policy on the gaming industry imposed by Macau Government

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 14: Valuation

    Assets Valuation basisGross asset value

    (HK$mn)

    Portion in

    the portfolio

    Leased investment properties market value 26,915 63%

    Investment properties under development book value 7,125 17%

    Development properties available for sales book value 210 0%

    Development properties to be launched for pre-sales book value 5,074 12%

    Hotels in operation book value 285 1%

    Hotels under development book value 1,155 3%

    Stake in Emperor Entertainment Hotel market value 1,870 4%

    42,634 100%

    Net cash/(debt) as at Sep 14 (11,003)

    NAV 31,631

    No. of shares outstanding (mn) 3,672

    NAV per share (HK$) 8.61

    Share price (HK$ per share) 1.75

    Discount to NAV 80%

  • 11

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Residential - R; Commercial - C; Office - O

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 15: Leased Investment Properties

    Commercial - C; Office - O

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 16: Investment Properties Under Development

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 17: Development Properties in HK Available for Sale

    Total GFA Book value

    (sq.ft.) (HK$'000)

    22-24 Russell Street, Causeway Bay HK 8,000 1,650,000 C 2015

    No. 71-75 Avenida de Infante D. Henrique & No. 514-540 Avenida de Praia Grande Macau 30,000 1,372,000 C 2015

    Chang'an Avenue, Beijing the PRC 1,000,000 2,557,000 C/O 2016

    Emperor Star City, Huang Pu District, Shanghai the PRC 1,300,000 1,546,000 C/O 2016

    Total 2,338,000 7,125,000

    Target

    completionProperty name/ address Location Property type

    Site

    area

    Land cost+

    construction

    cost

    Revenue

    realized

    from

    sold units

    Total GFA

    of unsold

    units

    Book

    value of

    unsold

    units

    (sq.ft.) (HK$000) (HK$000) (sq.ft.) ( (HK$000)

    Harbour One, 458 Des Voeux Road

    West, Sai WanMay-10 4Q12 140,000

    912,000

    (HK$6,500/sq.ft.)

    2,061,000

    (HK$16,000

    /sq.ft.)

    5/103 9,700 70,000 Luxury

    The Java, 98 Java Road, North Point Jul-10 3Q11 69,000502,000

    (HK$7,300/sq.ft.)

    768,000

    (HK$12,600

    /sq.ft.)

    1/75 2,200 17,000 Luxury

    18 Upper East, 18 Shing On Street,

    Sai Wan HoApr-11 3Q12 83,000

    496,000

    (HK$6,000/sq.ft.)

    638,000

    (HK$11,200

    /sq.ft.)

    18/108 13,700 90,000 Luxury

    The Prince Place, 396-402 Prince

    Edward Road West, KowloonJun-12 1Q12 31,000

    208,000

    (HK$6,700/sq.ft.)

    215,000

    (HK$9,900/

    sq.ft.)

    4/36 5,000 33,000 Luxury

    Total - - 323,000 2,118,000 3,682,000 28/322 30,600 210,000 -

    Presales/

    sale

    date

    Target

    market

    position

    Unsold

    units/

    total

    saleable

    units

    CompletionProperty name and address

    Total GFA Book value

    (sq.ft.) (HK$'000)

    No. 8(G/F & 3/F), 20(G/F & 2/F), 50-56, Russell Street, Causeway Bay HK 43,400 6,384,100 C/O

    No. 76, Percival Street, Causeway Bay

    G/F, No. 12, Matheson Street, Causeway Bay

    No. 474-476 (G/F & 1/F), 478-484 (G/F), 507(G/F), 523(G/F & 1/F), Lockhart Road, Causeway Bay

    No. 21-27 Percival Street, Causeway Bay

    G/F & 1/F, No. 4, 6, 8, Canton Road, Tsim Sha Tsui HK 4,300 2,335,200 C

    Shop C, G/F, No. 35-37, Haiphong Road, Tsim Sha Tsui

    Shop B, G/F, No. 25-29 Hankow Road, Tsim Sha Tsui

    No. 81 (G/F), 83 (G/F & M/F), Nathan Road, Tsim Sha Tsui

    Leased-out units, Emperor Group Centre, 288 Hennessy Road, Wanchai HK 189,000 2,201,000 C/O

    Wing Hang Finance Centre, 60 Gloucester Road, Wanchai HK 96,000 1,600,000 C/O

    Fitfort Shopping Arcade, 560 King's Road, North Point HK 134,200 2,273,000 C

    The Pulse, Repulse Bay HK 167,000 1,712,000 C

    New Town Mansion Shopping Arcade, Tuen Mun HK 38,000 372,000 C

    Others HK 660,200 6,207,100 R/C

    Leased-out units, Grand Emperor Hotel

    Leased-out units, Best Western Hotel Taipa

    Shops & Carparks, Emperor Lakeside Metropolis, Hubin Bei Road, Xiamen the PRC 63,000 113,800 C

    Total - 1,484,000 26,915,000 -

    HK 7,600 935,000 C

    729,50073,400 C

    CHK 1,400

    Property type

    1,193,500 C

    Macau

    LocationProperty name/ address

    HK 6,500

    858,800

  • 12

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 18: Development Properties in HK to Be Launched for Pre-sales

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 19: Hotels in Operation

    Total GFA Site area Book value

    (sq.ft.) (sq.ft.) (HK$000)

    Grand Emperor Hotel Macau 655,000 48,000 1,242,000 3 26 307

    Best Western Hotel Taipa Macau 209,000 24,000 667,000 3 17 285

    Emperor Hotel, Happy Valley HK 84,000 6,000 285,000 3 26 150

    Total - 948,000 78,000 2,194,000 - - 742

    LocationNo. of

    guest

    rooms

    Star

    gradingHotel name

    Storey

    (incl.

    basement)

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Figure 20: Hotels in HK Under Development

    Total GFA Site area Book valueConstruction

    investment

    (sq.ft.) (sq.ft.) (HK$000) (HK$000)

    No. 54-60 Portland

    Street,Yau Ma Tei48,000 4,000 345,000 270,000 3 30 200 2015

    No. 373, Queens

    Road East,

    Wanchai

    115,000 8,000 810,000 695,000 4 29 300 2016

    Total 163,000 12,000 1,155,000 965,000 - - 500 -

    Target

    completion

    Storey (incl.

    basement)

    No. of guest

    roomsStar gradingAddress

    Total GFA Site area Book value

    (sq.ft.) (sq.ft.) (HK$000)

    Upton, No. 179-180 Connaught Road West & No.

    345-345A, Des Voeux Road West, Sai Wan185,000 18,000 1,948,000 3Q2015 Luxury

    Tuen Mun Town, Lot No.436, Kwun Fat

    Street, Siu Lam39,000 97,000 259,000 4Q2015 Luxury

    Tuen Mun Town, Lot No.490, Tai Lam 29,000 22,000 139,000 2017 Luxury

    Rural building, Lot No. 1198, Junction of Shouson Hill

    Road West and Wong Chuk Hang Path88,000 117,000 2,728,000 2017 Luxury

    Emperor Hotel (to be transformed into a

    residential project)58,000 6,000 285,000 2018 Luxury

    Total 399,000 260,000 5,359,000 - -

    Target

    completion

    Target market

    positionProperty name/ address

  • 13

    WWW.EMPERORCAPITAL.COM

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Income Statement Cash Flow Statement

    YE: Mar (HK$mn) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E YE: Mar (HK$mn) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E

    Revenue 2,960 5,703 3,014 3,142 7,410 PBT 5,080 7,187 2,656 3,027 4,841

    Property investment 490 627 639 693 866 Depreciation 114 136 161 177 195

    Property development 637 3,003 60 150 3,940 Tax paid (19) (76) (30) (30) (30)

    Hotel and gaming 1,833 2,074 2,315 2,299 2,605 Change in w orking cap. (192) 132 126 (148) 996

    Segment profit Others (3,423) (4,631) (1,475) (1,178) (3,405)

    Property investment 460 561 573 624 779 Operating cashflow 1,560 2,748 1,439 1,848 2,597

    Property development 155 1,499 24 75 1,773 Capex (3,107) (2,953) (3,748) (2,250) (2,500)

    Hotel and gaming 711 826 897 892 998 M&A/ disposals 893 1,450 0 0 0

    Others (57) (87) (5) (3) (87) Others (519) 520 (75) 400 400

    EBIT 1,269 2,798 1,489 1,588 3,463 Investing cashflow (2,733) (983) (3,823) (1,850) (2,100)

    Finance costs (165) (210) (218) (361) (423) Change in debt 2,010 (81) 625 950 550

    Fair value gain of IP 3,976 4,599 1,385 1,800 1,800 Issuance of notes 0 0 858 1,650 0

    PBT 5,080 7,187 2,656 3,027 4,841 Dividend paid (422) (440) (463) (474) (503)

    Tax (154) (561) (266) (202) (502) Others (202) (250) (180) (180) (180)

    Minorities (467) (470) (532) (518) (543) Financing cashflow 1,386 (771) 840 1,946 (133)

    Net profit 4,459 6,156 1,858 2,307 3,796 Change in cash 214 994 (1,544) 1,944 363

    EPS(HK$) 1.22 1.68 0.51 0.63 1.04 Forex effect 5 0 0 0 0

    DPS(HK$) 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 Beginning cash 1,097 1,316 2,309 765 2,709

    Core earnings 483 1,557 473 507 1,996 Ending cash 1,316 2,309 765 2,709 3,072

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    YE: Mar (HK$mn) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E YE: Mar (HK$mn) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E

    Cash & CE 1,316 2,310 765 2,709 3,072 Profitability

    Trade & other receivables 916 677 578 471 518 Segment margin

    Prop. under development 3,083 1,805 2,149 2,149 2,579 Property investment 93.8% 89.4% 89.7% 90.0% 90.0%

    Others 2,074 304 2,695 2,636 2,987 Property development 24.3% 49.9% 40.0% 50.0% 45.0%

    Current assets 7,388 5,096 6,186 7,966 9,157 Hotel and gaming 38.8% 39.8% 38.7% 38.8% 38.3%

    PPE 2,322 2,699 3,088 3,397 3,737 Underlying profit 16.3% 27.3% 15.7% 16.1% 26.9%

    Investment properties 22,746 29,358 33,141 34,941 36,741 Grow th

    Goodw ill 57 57 57 57 57 Revenue 65.8% 92.7% -47.2% 4.3% 135.8%

    Others 492 593 843 837 836 EBIT 94.9% 120.5% -46.8% 6.7% 118.1%

    Total assets 33,006 37,802 43,315 47,197 50,527 PBT 32.6% 41.5% -63.0% 14.0% 59.9%

    Bank loans 2,501 813 2,086 2,503 2,503 Net profit 28.3% 38.0% -69.8% 24.2% 64.5%

    Trade & other payables 2,863 1,021 926 943 1,112 EPS 22.0% 37.6% -69.8% 24.2% 64.5%

    Current tax liabilities 229 492 385 461 460 Other Key Ratios

    Others 623 633 621 659 658 Current ratio (x) 1.2 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.9

    Current liabilities 6,216 2,959 4,018 4,566 4,733 Debt/ total asset 29.2% 25.3% 30.2% 30.5% 28.4%

    Bank loans 3,282 3,317 3,042 3,346 3,300 Net debt to equity 47.6% 31.0% 49.3% 43.5% 37.3%

    Other borrow ings 3,859 5,417 7,946 8,531 8,531 Dividend payout 8.4% 6.5% 22.5% 18.6% 12.1%

    Others 432 654 775 795 815 ROA 13.5% 16.3% 4.3% 4.9% 7.5%

    Non current liabilities 7,574 9,388 11,762 12,672 12,646 ROE 25.5% 26.4% 7.4% 8.6% 12.6%

    Total liability 13,789 12,347 15,780 17,239 17,379 BV per share (HK$) 4.8 6.4 6.8 7.3 8.2

    Minorities 1,721 2,107 2,582 3,128 2,979 Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Owners' equity 17,495 23,348 24,953 26,830 30,168

    Source: Company data, Emperor Securities Research

    Balance Sheet Financial Ratios

  • 14

    The information contained in this report has been compiled from sources believed to be reliable and has been compiled with high integrity, but Emperor

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    Disclaimers And Disclosures

    Emperor International Holdings

    Emperor Securities Limited

    Emperor Securities Research Stanley Chan

    Associate Director

    Tel : (852) 2836 2733

    Email : [email protected]

    Frankie Chan

    Research Analyst

    Tel : (852) 2836 2566

    Email : [email protected]

    David Yuen

    Senior Research Analyst

    Tel : (852) 2836 2797

    Email : [email protected]

    Ian Lam

    Research Analyst

    Tel : (852) 2836 2763

    Email : [email protected]

  • 15

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    Emperor Securities Limited

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