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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Managerial Economics & Business Strategy

    Chapter 3Quantitative Demand Analysis

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    The Elasticity Concept

    How responsive is variable G to a changein variable S

    If E G,S > 0, then S and G are directly related.If E G,S < 0, then S and G are inversely related.

    S G E S G

    =

    %%,

    If E G,S = 0, then S and G are unrelated.

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    The Elasticity Concept UsingCalculus

    An alternative way to measure the elasticityof a function G = f(S) is

    GS

    dS dG E S G =,

    If E G,S > 0, then S and G are directly related.If E G,S < 0, then S and G are inversely related.

    If E G,S = 0, then S and G are unrelated.

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Own Price Elasticity of Demand

    Negative according to the law of demand.

    Elastic:

    Inelastic:

    Unitary:

    X

    d X

    PQ PQ

    E X X

    =

    %%

    ,

    1, > X X PQ E

    1, < X X PQ E

    1, = X X PQ E

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Perfectly Elastic &Inelastic Demand

    )(ElasticPerfectly , = X X PQ E

    D

    Price

    Quantity

    D

    Price

    Quantity

    )0, = X X PQ E (InelasticPerfectly

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Own-Price Elasticityand Total Revenue

    ElasticQ Increase (a decrease) in price leads to a decrease (an

    increase) in total revenue.

    InelasticQ Increase (a decrease) in price leads to an increase (a

    decrease) in total revenue.

    UnitaryQ Total revenue is maximized at the point where demand

    is unitary elastic.

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    0 010 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    0 10 20 30 40 50

    80

    800

    0 10 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    80

    800

    60 1200

    0 10 20 30 40 500 10 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    80

    800

    60 1200

    40

    0 10 20 30 40 500 10 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    80

    800

    60 1200

    40

    20

    0 10 20 30 40 500 10 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    80

    800

    60 1200

    40

    20

    Elastic

    Elastic

    0 10 20 30 40 500 10 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    80

    800

    60 1200

    40

    20

    Inelastic

    Elastic

    Elastic Inelastic

    0 10 20 30 40 500 10 20 30 40 50

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Elasticity, Total Revenue and LinearDemand

    QQ

    P TR100

    80

    800

    60 1200

    40

    20

    Inelastic

    Elastic

    Elastic Inelastic

    0 10 20 30 40 500 10 20 30 40 50

    Unit elasticUnit elastic

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Demand, Marginal Revenue (MR)and Elasticity

    For a linear inversedemand function,MR(Q) = a + 2bQ,where b < 0.

    WhenQ MR > 0, demand is

    elastic;Q MR = 0, demand is unit

    elastic;Q MR < 0, demand is

    inelastic.Q

    P100

    80

    6040

    20

    Inelastic

    Elastic

    0 10 20 40 50

    Unit elastic

    MR

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Factors AffectingOwn Price Elasticity

    Q Available Substitutes The more substitutes available for the good, the more elastic

    the demand.Q Time

    Demand tends to be more inelastic in the short term than in

    the long term. Time allows consumers to seek out available substitutes.

    Q Expenditure Share Goods that comprise a small share of consumers budgets

    tend to be more inelastic than goods for which consumersspend a large portion of their incomes.

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Cross Price Elasticity of Demand

    If E Q X ,P Y > 0, then X and Y are substitutes.

    If E Q X ,P Y < 0, then X and Y are complements.

    Y

    d X

    PQ PQ

    E Y X

    =

    %%

    ,

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Income Elasticity

    If E Q X ,M > 0, then X is a normal good.

    If E Q X ,M < 0, then X is a inferior good.

    M Q

    E d

    X M Q X

    =

    %%

    ,

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Uses of Elasticities

    Pricing. Managing cash flows. Impact of changes in competitors prices. Impact of economic booms and recessions. Impact of advertising campaigns. And lots more!

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Example 1: Pricing and CashFlows

    According to an FTC Report by MichaelWard, AT&Ts own price elasticity of demand for long distance services is -8.64.

    AT&T needs to boost revenues in order tomeet its marketing goals.

    To accomplish this goal, should AT&Traise or lower its price?

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Answer: Lower price!

    Since demand is elastic, a reduction in pricewill increase quantity demanded by agreater percentage than the price decline,resulting in more revenues for AT&T.

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Example 2: Quantifying theChange

    If AT&T lowered price by 3 percent, whatwould happen to the volume of longdistance telephone calls routed through

    AT&T?

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Answer

    Calls would increase by 25.92 percent!

    ( )%92.25%%64.8%3

    %3%64.8

    %%64.8,

    =

    =

    =

    ==

    d X

    d X

    d X

    X

    d

    X PQ

    QQ

    Q

    PQ E

    X X

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Example 3: Impact of a changein a competitors price

    According to an FTC Report by MichaelWard, AT&Ts cross price elasticity of demand for long distance services is 9.06.

    If competitors reduced their prices by 4percent, what would happen to the demandfor AT&T services?

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Answer AT&Ts demand would fall by 36.24 percent!

    %24.36%%06.9%4

    %4%06.9

    %%06.9,

    =

    =

    =

    ==

    d X

    d X

    d X

    Y

    d X PQ

    QQ

    Q

    PQ E

    Y X

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Interpreting Demand Functions Mathematical representations of demand curves.

    Example:

    Q Law of demand holds (coefficient of P X is negative).Q X and Y are substitutes (coefficient of P Y is positive).Q

    X is an inferior good (coefficient of M is negative).

    M PPQ Y X d

    X 23210 +=

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Linear Demand Functions andElasticities

    General Linear Demand Function and Elasticities:

    H M PPQ H M Y Y X X d

    X ++++=

    0

    Own PriceElasticity

    Cross PriceElasticity

    IncomeElasticity

    X

    X X PQ

    Q

    P E

    X X =

    ,

    X

    M M Q Q M

    E X

    =,

    X

    Y Y PQ Q

    P E

    Y X =

    ,

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Example of Linear Demand

    Qd

    = 10 - 2P. Own-Price Elasticity: (-2)P/Q. If P=1, Q=8 (since 10 - 2 = 8). Own price elasticity at P=1, Q=8:

    (-2)(1)/8= - 0.25.

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    Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy , 6e. The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2008

    Conclusion Elasticities are tools you can use to quantify

    the impact of changes in prices, income, andadvertising on sales and revenues. Given market or survey data, regression

    analysis can be used to estimate:Q Demand functions.Q Elasticities.Q A host of other things, including cost functions.

    Managers can quantify the impact of changes in prices, income, advertising, etc.