economic cooperation in latin america

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    EconomicEconomiccooperation incooperation inLatin AmericaLatin America

    Ing, Tom Dud, PhD.Ing, Tom Dud, PhD.

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    3

    IntroductionIntroduction Latin America has 17 countriesLatin America has 17 countries

    Colonized by Spain & Portugal (Iberian countries)Colonized by Spain & Portugal (Iberian countries)

    Large, diverse populationsLarge, diverse populations 490 million people total490 million people total

    75% of the people live in cities75% of the people live in cities

    Several megacities (more than 10 million people)Several megacities (more than 10 million people) Industrialization & development grew since 1960sIndustrialization & development grew since 1960s

    Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) proposes to integrateFree Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) proposes to integrateeconomies of Latin America, North America and the Caribbeaneconomies of Latin America, North America and the Caribbean(except Cuba)(except Cuba)

    Natural resource extraction remains importantNatural resource extraction remains important

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    IntroductionIntroduction

    Common colonial pastCommon colonial past Often military regimesOften military regimes Differences across the regionDifferences across the region

    Developing nationsDeveloping nations Main export articles agricultural productsMain export articles agricultural products

    and natural resourcesand natural resources Large social disparitiesLarge social disparitiesThe role of the state in the economy isThe role of the state in the economy is

    importantimportant

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    0

    200 000

    400 000

    600 000

    800 000

    1 000 000

    1 200 000

    1 400 000

    1 600 000

    1 800 000

    2 000 000

    Brazil

    Mexico

    Argentina

    Colombia

    Venezuela

    Chile

    PeruEcuador

    DominicanRepub

    lic

    Guatem

    ala

    CostaRica

    ElSalvador

    Bolivia

    Uruguay

    Panama

    Honduras

    Paraguay

    Nicaragua

    Haiti

    GDP in Latin America in 2008 (mil. USD, PPP)

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    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    Chile

    Argentina

    Mexico

    Uruguay

    Venezuela

    Panam

    a

    CostaRica

    Brazil

    Peru

    DominicanRepublic

    Colombia

    ElSalvador

    Ecuador

    Guatem

    ala

    Paraguay

    Bolivia

    Honduras

    Nicaragua

    Haiti

    GDP/c in Latin America in 2008 (USD, PPP)

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    Main features of ecoMain features of economic developmentnomic development

    in Latin Americain Latin America

    Import substitution policiesImport substitution policies Strong role of the state in theStrong role of the state in the

    economyeconomy

    Huge investments in order to buildHuge investments in order to buildnational industries and infrastructurenational industries and infrastructure

    PopulismPopulism Low level of domestic savings theLow level of domestic savings the

    need of external financingneed of external financing

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    Failure of import substitution Failure of import substitution The Lost DecadeThe Lost Decade

    La Dcada Perdida

    It is a designation to the financial period ofcrisis in Latin America during the 1980s

    Average level of economic growthbetween 1980 and 1989 1,2

    Hyperinflation in many countries

    Growth of income and wealth inequality Unsustainable foreign debt

    Rise of military regimes in the region

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    Main factors behind theMain factors behind theeconomic collapseeconomic collapse

    The prices of main export articles (agriculturalThe prices of main export articles (agriculturalproducts and natural resources) were falling in theproducts and natural resources) were falling in theinternational marketsinternational markets

    The price index of these products fell 28 % in the 80sThe price index of these products fell 28 % in the 80s

    and the share of Latin American countries decreasedand the share of Latin American countries decreasedconsiderably (1960 7,7 %, 1990 4 %)considerably (1960 7,7 %, 1990 4 %) The economic problems led to the fall of the domesticThe economic problems led to the fall of the domestic

    consumption what led to the collapse of the industryconsumption what led to the collapse of the industry The export oriented industries were not able toThe export oriented industries were not able to

    support the economysupport the economy Collapse of domestic private investmentsCollapse of domestic private investments Corruption and capital flightCorruption and capital flight

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    MacroeconomicMacroeconomicdisequilibriumdisequilibrium

    Rapid growth of the consumer prices fromRapid growth of the consumer prices from19801980 (80 56 %, 85 274 %, 89 1023 %)(80 56 %, 85 274 %, 89 1023 %)

    Record levelsRecord levels: Argen: Argentinatina 3731 %, 3731 %,Nicaragua 6727 %, Peru 2948 %Nicaragua 6727 %, Peru 2948 %

    Long term deficits in the balance ofLong term deficits in the balance ofpaymentspayments

    Rapid growth of external debt from 228 bln.Rapid growth of external debt from 228 bln.

    USD to 481 bln. USDUSD to 481 bln. USD Fiscal policy is a notorious weak point ofFiscal policy is a notorious weak point ofLatin American governments huge budgetLatin American governments huge budgetdeficits are normaldeficits are normal

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    Economic reforms in theEconomic reforms in the90s90s

    Democratization and economic reformsDemocratization and economic reforms Washington consensus created by the MMFWashington consensus created by the MMF

    and the World Bankand the World Bank LiberalizationLiberalization

    PrivatizationPrivatization Anti inflation policiesAnti inflation policies Growing economic cooperationGrowing economic cooperation Mintaorszg ArgentnaMintaorszg Argentna

    Argentina model countryArgentina model country Economic turbulences and crises in the late 90sEconomic turbulences and crises in the late 90s

    Brazil and Argentina Brazil and Argentina

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    Chile Chile oppression and economicoppression and economicreformsreforms

    Salvador Allende Salvador Allende socialist presidentsocialist president 1970 1970

    Military coup led by August Pinochet in 1973Military coup led by August Pinochet in 1973(financed by US corporations and the CIA)(financed by US corporations and the CIA)

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    Chile Chile oppression andoppression andeconomic reformseconomic reforms

    Neoliberal economic policiesNeoliberal economic policies Chicago Chicagoboysboys

    Result fastest growing economy in LatinResult fastest growing economy in Latin

    AmericaAmerica Reform of the pension system one of theReform of the pension system one of the

    most copied and controversial reformsmost copied and controversial reforms

    1989 1989 the return of democracy intothe return of democracy into ChilChilee Limited role of the state in the economy Limited role of the state in the economy

    the only exception is the copper miningthe only exception is the copper mining

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    Chile Chile oppression andoppression andeconomic reformseconomic reforms

    Chile is the local champion of freeChile is the local champion of freetrade FTAs with USA and Canadatrade FTAs with USA and Canada

    Problem still big income inequalityProblem still big income inequality

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    Start of economic cooperationStart of economic cooperationin Latin Americain Latin America

    ALALCALALC - Latin American Free Trade Association- Latin American Free Trade Association Goal - creation of a free-trade zoneGoal - creation of a free-trade zone

    Lost impetus as of 1965, and almost come to aLost impetus as of 1965, and almost come to acomplete standstill in the 70'scomplete standstill in the 70's

    ALADI - The Latin American IntegrationALADI - The Latin American IntegrationAssociationAssociation Goal - economic preference zone was establishedGoal - economic preference zone was established

    creating conditions favorable to the growth of bilateralcreating conditions favorable to the growth of bilateralinitiativesinitiatives

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    Mercosur - Mercado ComnMercosur - Mercado Comndel Surdel Sur

    It is a Regional Trade Agreement among Argentina, Brazil, ParaguayIt is a Regional Trade Agreement among Argentina, Brazil, Paraguayand Uruguay founded in 1991 by the Treaty of Asuncin, which wasand Uruguay founded in 1991 by the Treaty of Asuncin, which waslater amended and updated by the 1994 Treaty of Ouro Preto.later amended and updated by the 1994 Treaty of Ouro Preto.

    Mercosur origins trace back to 1985 when Presidents Ral Alfonsn ofMercosur origins trace back to 1985 when Presidents Ral Alfonsn ofArgentina and Jos Sarney of Brazil signed the Argentina-BrazilArgentina and Jos Sarney of Brazil signed the Argentina-Brazil

    Integration and Economics Cooperation Program or PICEIntegration and Economics Cooperation Program or PICE Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru currently have associateBolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru currently have associate

    member status. Venezuela signed a membership agreement on 17member status. Venezuela signed a membership agreement on 17June 2006, but before becoming a full member its entry has to beJune 2006, but before becoming a full member its entry has to beratified by the Paraguayan and the Brazilian parliamentsratified by the Paraguayan and the Brazilian parliaments

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    Union of South AmericanUnion of South AmericanNationsNations

    ItIt is an intergovernmental union integrating two existingis an intergovernmental union integrating two existingcustoms unions: Mercosur and the Andean Communitycustoms unions: Mercosur and the Andean Communityof Nations, as part of a continuing process of Southof Nations, as part of a continuing process of SouthAmerican integration.American integration.

    It is modeled on the European UnionIt is modeled on the European Union -- including aincluding acommon currency, parliament, and passportcommon currency, parliament, and passport

    One of the initiatives of UNASUR is the creation of aOne of the initiatives of UNASUR is the creation of asingle market, beginning with the elimination of tariffssingle market, beginning with the elimination of tariffsfor non-sensitive products by 2014 and sensitivefor non-sensitive products by 2014 and sensitive

    products by 2019.products by 2019.

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    The Dominican Rep blicThe Dominican Republic

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    The Dominican RepublicThe Dominican RepublicCentral America Free TradeCentral America Free Trade

    AgreementAgreement Originally, the agreement encompassed theOriginally, the agreement encompassed theUnited States and the Central AmericanUnited States and the Central Americancountries of Costa Rica, El Salvador,countries of Costa Rica, El Salvador,Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua, and wasGuatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua, and wascalled CAFTAcalled CAFTA

    In 2004, the Dominican Republic joined theIn 2004, the Dominican Republic joined thenegotiations, and the agreement was renamednegotiations, and the agreement was renamedDR-CAFTADR-CAFTA

    The goal of the agreement is the creation of aThe goal of the agreement is the creation of afree trade area, similar to the North Americanfree trade area, similar to the North AmericanFree Trade Agreement (NAFTA).Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).