earthquake hazard in the new madrid seismic zone remains a concern · 2016. 8. 4. · new ma dri...

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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2009–3071 August 2009 Earthquake Hazard in the New Madrid Seismic Zone Remains a Concern Printed on recycled paper Th!"! $% &"’() (*"!!+!,- $, -.! %/$!,-$0/ /’++1,$-2 -.(- ( /’,-$,1$,* /’,/!", !3$%-% 4’" ( +(5’" )!%-"1/-$6! !("-.71(8! $, -.! 9!: ;()"$) %!$%+$/ <’,!= ;(,2 %-"1/-1"!% $, ;!+>.$%? @!,,=? A-= B’1$%? ;’=? (,) ’-.!" /’++1,$-$!% $, -.! /!,-"(C ;$%%$%%$>>$ D$6!" E(CC!2 "!*$’, ("! 61C,!"(&C! (,) (- "$%8 4"’+ %!6!"! *"’1,) %.(8$,*= @.$% (%%!%%+!,- $% &(%!) ’, )!/()!% ’4 "!%!("/. ’, 9!: ;()"$) !("-.71(8!% (,) "!C(-!) >.!,’+!,( &2 )’<!,% ’4 F!)!"(C? 1,$6!"%$-2? A-(-!? (,) /’,%1C-$,* !("-. scientists. G’,%$)!"(&C! $,-!"!%- .(% )!6!C’>!) "!/!,-C2 4"’+ +!)$( "!>’"-% -.(- -.! 9!: ;()"$) %!$%+$/ <’,! +(2 &! %.1--$,* )’:,= @.!%! "!>’"-% %-!+ 4"’+ >1&C$%.!) "!%!("/. 1%$,* *C’&(C >’%$-$’,$,* %2%-!+ HIJAK $,%-"1+!,-% :$-. "!%1C-% ’4 *!’)!-$/ +!(%1"!+!,-% ’4 %-"($, $, -.! L("-.M% /"1%-= N!/(1%! ’4 ( C(/8 ’4 +!(%1"(&C! %-"($, (- -.! %1"4(/! $, %’+! ("!(% ’4 -.! %!$%+$/ <’,! ’6!" -.! >(%- OP 2!("%? ("*1+!,-% .(6! &!!, ()6(,/!) -.(- -.!"! $% ,’ &1$C)1> ’4 %-"!%% (- )!>-. :$-.$, -.! 9!: ;()"$) %!$%+$/ <’,! (,) -.(- -.! <’,! +(2 ,’ C’,*!" >’%! ( %$*,$0/(,- .(<(")= Q% >("- ’4 -.! /’,%!,%1%R&1$C)$,* >"’/!%% 1%!) -’ )!6!C’> -.! ,(-$’,(C %!$%+$/ .(<(") +(>%? -.! S=A= I!’R C’*$/(C A1"6!2 HSAIAK /’,6!,!) ( :’"8%.’> ’4 !3>!"-% $, TUUV -’ !6(C1(-! -.! C(-!%- 0,)$,*% $, !("-.71(8! .(<(")% $, -.! L(%-!", S,$-!) A-(-!%= @.!%! !3>!"-% /’,%$)!"!) -.! IJA )(-( 4"’+ 9!: ;()"$) (6($C(&C! (- -.(- -$+! -.(- (C%’ %.’:!) C$--C! -’ ,’ *"’1,) +’6!+!,- (- -.! %1"4(/!= @.! !3>!"-% )$) ,’- 0,) -.! IJA )(-( -’ &! ( /’,6$,/$,* "!(%’, -’ C’:!" -.! (%%!%%+!,- ’4 !("-.71(8! .(<(") $, -.! 9!: ;()"$) "!*$’,? !%>!/$(CC2 $, C$*.- ’4 -.! +(,2 ’-.!" -2>!% ’4 )(-( -.(- ("! 1%!) -’ /’,%-"1/- -.! .(<(") (%%!%%R +!,-? %!6!"(C ’4 :.$/. ("! )!%/"$&!) .!"!= The Geological Record @.!"! ("! .$%-’"$/(C (//’1,-% ’4 +(5’" !("-.71(8!% $, -.! 9!: ;()"$) "!*$’, )1"$,* OWOOXOT= @.! *!’C’*$/ "!/’") ’4 >"!ROWOO !("-.71(8!% (C%’ "!6!(C% -.(- -.! 9!: ;()"$) %!$%+$/ <’,! .(% "!>!(-!)C2 >"’)1/!) %!71!,/!% ’4 +(5’" !("-.71(8!%? $,/C1)$,* %!6!"(C ’4 +(*,$-1)! Y -’ W? ’6!" -.! >(%- P?ZUU 2!("%= @.!%! >"!.$%-’"$/ !("-.71(8!% /(1%!) %!6!"! (,) :$)!%>"!() *"’1,) 4($C1"!% $, -.! 9!: ;()"$) "!*$’,? +1/. C$8! -.’%! /(1%!) &2 -.! OWOOXOT !("-.R 71(8! %!71!,/!= @.! 8!2 !6$)!,/! 4’" C("*! !("-.71(8!% -.(- ’//1""!) $, -.! >(%- ("! %(,) &C’:% -.(- 4’"+!) :.!, 1,)!"R *"’1,) %(,) (,) :(-!" !"1>-!) -’ -.! %1"4(/! (% ( "!%1C- ’4 6$’R C!,- %.(8$,*= 91+!"’1% C("*! %(,) &C’:% ’6!" ( :$)! ("!( :!"! /"!(-!) &2 %-"’,* *"’1,) %.(8$,* )1"$,* -.! OWOOXOT !("-.R 71(8!%= A$+$C("C2 C("*!? :$)!%>"!()? (,) (&1,)(,- >"!.$%-’"$/ %(,) &C’:% :!"! >"’)1/!) ’6!" -.! %(+! ("!( )1"$,* *"’1,) %.(8$,* 4"’+ >"!6$’1% /C1%-!"% ’4 C("*! !("-.71(8!% ("’1,) Q=[= OPZU? Q=[= \UU? (,) T]ZU N=G= @.! %$<!% (,) ("!(C )$%-"$&1-$’, ’4 -.! >"!.$%-’"$/ %(,) &C’:% $,)$/(-! -.(- -.! ’C)!" !("-.71(8!% :!"! %$+$C(" $, C’/(-$’, (,) +(*,$-1)! -’ -.! OWOOXOT %.’/8%= Memphis Nashville St. Louis Indianapolis MISSOURI ARKANSAS MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA TENNESSEE KENTUCKY ILLINOIS INDIANA Little Rock Evansville Springfield Huntsville Columbia Birmingham Florence Jackson Paducah Louisville Bloomington Peoria Decatur Jonesboro Springfield Pine Bluff Owensboro Danville Terre Haute Mount Vernon Poplar Bluff Cape Girardeau Hot Springs Quincy Ottumwa IOWA LOUISIANA Hopkinsville Bowling Green 1976 1843 1811 1811 1865 1812 1812 1991 1903 1917 1838 1891 1968 2008 1987 1990 1895 1909 1916 New Madrid seismic zone 93°W 41°N 40°N 39°N 38°N 37°N 36°N 35°N 34°N 33°N 92°W 91°W 90°W 89°W 88°W 87°W 86°W 55 55 Topographic map showing earthquakes greater than magnitude 2.5 (circles) of the central United States. Red circles are earthquakes that occurred after 1972 (U.S. Geological Survey Preliminary Determination of Epicenters (PDE) catalog). Blue circles are earthquakes that occurred before 1973 (USGS PDE and historical catalog). Larger earthquakes are represented by larger circles. Yellow patches show urban areas with populations greater than 10,000.

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  • U.S. Department of the InteriorU.S. Geological Survey

    Fact Sheet 2009–3071August 2009

    Earthquake Hazard in the New Madrid Seismic Zone Remains a Concern

    Printed on recycled paper

    Th!"!#$%#&"'()#(*"!!+!,-#$,#-.!#%/$!,-$0/#/'++1,$-2#-.(-#(#/',-$,1$,*#/',/!",#!3$%-%#4'"#(#+(5'"#)!%-"1/-$6!#!("-.71(8!#$,#-.!#9!:#;()"$)#%!$%+$/#>$#D$6!"#E(CC!2#"!*$',#("!#61C,!"(&C!#(,)#(-#"$%8#4"'+#%!6!"!#*"'1,)#%.(8$,*= 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

    %.(8$,*#4"'+#>"!6$'1%#/C1%-!"%#'4#C("*!#!("-.71(8!%#("'1,)#Q=[=#OPZU?#Q=[=#\UU?#(,)#T]ZU#N=G=#@.!#%$"!.$%-'"$/#%(,)#&C':%#$,)$/(-!#-.(-#-.!#'C)!"#!("-.71(8!%#:!"!#%$+$C("#$,#C'/(-$',#(,)#+(*,$-1)!#-'#-.!#OWOOXOT#%.'/8%=

    Memphis

    Nashville

    St. Louis

    Indianapolis

    MISSOURI

    ARKANSAS

    MISSISSIPPI

    ALABAMA

    TENNESSEE

    KENTUCKY

    ILLINOIS

    INDIANA

    Little Rock

    Evansville

    Springfield

    Huntsville

    Columbia

    Birmingham

    Florence

    Jackson

    Paducah

    Louisville

    Bloomington

    Peoria

    Decatur

    Jonesboro

    Springfield

    Pine  Bluff

    Owensboro

    Danville

    Terre Haute

    Mount Vernon

    Poplar Bluff

    Cape Girardeau

    Hot Springs

    Quincy

    Ottumwa

    IOWA

    LOUISIANA

    Hopkinsville

    Bowling Green

    1976

    1843

    18111811

    1865

    18121812

    1991

    1903

    1917

    1838

    18911968

    2008

    1987

    1990

    1895

    1909

    1916

    New Madridseismic zone

    93°W41°N

    40°N

    39°N

    38°N

    37°N

    36°N

    35°N

    34°N

    33°N

    92°W 91°W 90°W 89°W 88°W 87°W 86°W

    55

    55

    Topographic map showing earthquakes greater than magnitude 2.5 (circles) of the central United States. Red circles are earthquakes that occurred after 1972 (U.S. Geological Survey Preliminary Determination of Epicenters (PDE) catalog). Blue circles are earthquakes that occurred before 1973 (USGS PDE and historical catalog). Larger earthquakes are represented by larger circles. Yellow patches show urban areas with populations greater than 10,000.

  • Continuing Seismic Activity

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

    N(%!)#',#-.$%#.$%-'"2#'4#>(%-#!("-.71(8!%?#-.!#SAIA#!%-$+(-!%#-.!#/.(,/!#'4#.(6$,*#(,#!("-.71(8!#%$+$C("#-'#',!#'4#-.!#OWOOXOT#%!71!,/!#$,#-.!#,!3-#ZU#2!("%#$%#(&'1-#Y#-'#OU#>!"/!,-?#(,)#-.!#/.(,/!#'4#.(6$,*#(#+(*,$-1)!#V#'"#C("*!"#!("-.71(8!#$,#ZU#2!("%#$%#TZ#-'#PU#>!"/!,-=

    Likely Impacts from Future Large Earthquakes

    L("-.71(8!#.((%%$,*#%!$%+$/#:(6!%=#@.!#OWOOXOT#!("-.71(8!%#/(1%!)#+(,2#-2>!%#'4#*"'1,)#4($C1"!%#$,/C1)$,*#C(,)%C$)!%#(C',*#-.!#;$%%$%%$>>$#D$6!"#&C144%#4"'+#;$%%$%%$>>$#-'#_!,-1/82=#I"'1,)#4($C1"!%#(C%'#$,/C1)!)#C(-!"(C#%>"!()$,*#(,)#*"'1,)#%1&%$)!,/!#&2#%'$C#C$71!4(/-$',#(/"'%%#-.!#;$%%$%%$>>$#D$6!"#

    `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`'')#0!C)%#(,)#"'()%#(,)#)$%"1>-#(*"$/1C-1"!#4'"#:!!8%#-'#+',-.%=#FC'')$,*#'4#4("+C(,)?#:.!"!#(*"$/1C-1"(C#/.!+$/(C%#("!#%-'"!)#',%$-!?#/'1C)#/',-(+$,(-!#"$6!"%#(,)#%-"!(+%=#F($C1"!#'4#C!6!!%?#!%>!/$(CC2#)1"$,*#.$*.#:(-!"?#:'1C)#/',-"$&1-!#-'#`'')$,*?#(,)#4($C1"!%#'4#"$6!"&(,8%#/'1C)#+(8!#-.!#;$%%$%%$>>$#D$6!"#(,)#$-%#-"$&1-("$!%#)$40/1C-#-'#,(6$*(-!#4'"#+(,2#:!!8%=

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a'C4#D$6!"#-.(-#>(%%!%#-."'1*.#;!+>.$%=#@.!#'C)!"#.$*.:(2%#(,)#"($C"'()#&"$)*!%#-.(-#/"'%%#-.!#;$%%$%%$>>$#D$6!"?#(%#:!CC#(%#'C)!"#'6!">(%%!%?#:'1C)#C$8!C2#&!#)(+(*!)#'"#/'CC(>%!#$,#-.!#!6!,-#'4##(#+(5'"#9!:#;()"$)#!("-.71(8!=#A'+!#'4#-.!#&"$)*!%#(,)#>$>!C$,!%#/"'%%$,*#-.!#a'C4#D$6!"#+$*.-#&!#)(+(*!)#'"#)!%-"'2!)=#QC-.'1*.#;!+>.$%#$%#C$8!C2#-'#&!#-.!#4'/1%#'4#+(5'"#)(+(*!#$,#-.!#"!*$',?#A-=#B'1$%?#;'=?#B$--C!#D'/8?#Q"8=?#(,)#+(,2#%+(CC#(,)#+!)$1+R%$

    Continuing Preparedness Needed

    @.!#*!'C'*$/#"!/'")#'4#"!>!(-!)#C("*!#!("-.71(8!%?#-.!#.$%-'"$/(C#(//'1,-%#'4#-.!#OWOOXOT#C("*!#!("-.71(8!%?#(,)#-.!#/',-$,1$,*#!("-.71(8!#(/-$6$-2#$,#-.!#("!(#("!#/'+>!CC$,*#!6$)!,/!#-.(-#-.!#9!:#;()"$)#"!*$',#.(%#.$*.#!("-.71(8!#.(',)!"(,/!#'4#!6$)!,/!#C!()%#1%#-'#/',/C1)!#-.(-#!("-.71(8!%#/(,#&!#!3>!/-!)#$,#-.!#41-1"!#(%#4"!71!,-C2#(,)#(%#%!6!"!C2#(%#$,#-.!#>(%-#P?ZUU#2!("%=#A1/.#.$*.#.(-1--C!d1%*%=*'6